Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$7,631
Trades
87
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$23,141
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-17 11:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $115
vs crowd: 7% YES on $5.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $6 | $2.9K | $2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $208 | $27 | +$181 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $142 | $507 | $365 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $115 | — | +$115 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $64 | — | +$64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $97 | $97 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $28 | $2.9K | $2.9K |
| unranked | 29 | $142 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +3,000 | $2,880 | $2,880 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,549 | $115 | $115 | 19 | 06-13 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c49…fbeb | Yes | +1,565 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +1,459 | $1,386 | $1,386 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xacc0…441d | Yes | +1,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 22:24 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +237 | $-18 | $145 | 6 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +117 | $2 | $11 | 5 | 06-17 11:40 |
| White-Yurt 0x6ad8…c703 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-03 00:28 |
| Carefree-Deck 0xe8b0…4ee1 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-16 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc6f…9d19 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-15 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf85a…e693 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-16 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cda…68d6 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-11 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf530…97e3 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ac3…6b8b | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-12 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e2e…db23 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-12 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x92b4…4c4c | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 11:58 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-17 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfeea…c7b4 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x635b…7a9b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-06 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x673c…7013 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc46b…5c50 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ce2…f92b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-11 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8939…5070 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-17 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x25fe…7b2a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-13 08:57 |
| Beautiful-Rating 0xd890…5834 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-02 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f30…9f18 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-12 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xda80…4f1d | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-08 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a72…3c20 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 09:14 |
| Naughty-Stab 0xc5ed…9374 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d6a…bfc9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 03:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 11:40:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x04c8a1… |
| 06-17 11:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x8939…5070 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x04c8a1… |
| 06-17 07:23:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ae098… |
| 06-17 07:23:40 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4ae098… |
| 06-16 18:39:32 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc2092c… |
| 06-16 18:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xc2092c… |
| 06-16 05:49:09 | (anonymous) 0xf85a…e693 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x86a28f… |
| 06-16 05:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x7674…eb4a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x86a28f… |
| 06-16 02:41:06 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | SELL | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0x314035… |
| 06-16 02:41:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x314035… |
| 06-16 02:41:06 | (anonymous) 0xf85a…e693 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x314035… |
| 06-15 07:01:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x61ecdb… |
| 06-15 07:01:07 | (anonymous) 0xdde9…6479 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x61ecdb… |
| 06-15 07:01:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x61ecdb… |
| 06-14 09:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x2a72…3c20 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6cb95c… |
| 06-14 09:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6cb95c… |
| 06-13 08:57:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb1dfcf… |
| 06-13 08:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x25fe…7b2a | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb1dfcf… |
| 06-12 14:51:10 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa94e44… |
| 06-12 14:51:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa94e44… |
| 06-12 09:44:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x80f85e… |
| 06-12 09:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x0f30…9f18 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x80f85e… |
| 06-12 09:32:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0d9912… |
| 06-12 09:32:51 | (anonymous) 0xfeea…c7b4 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x0d9912… |
| 06-12 08:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x0e2e…db23 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xed8609… |
| 06-12 08:36:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xed8609… |
| 06-12 07:34:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2a964e… |
| 06-12 07:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x673c…7013 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x2a964e… |
| 06-12 06:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x9ac3…6b8b | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xa8a785… |
| 06-12 06:16:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa8a785… |
| 06-12 03:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x4d6a…bfc9 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0498ac… |
| 06-12 03:57:28 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0498ac… |
| 06-11 22:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x7f09cb… |
| 06-11 22:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xacc0…441d | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x7f09cb… |
| 06-11 12:14:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7307dc… |
| 06-11 12:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x2cda…68d6 | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x7307dc… |
| 06-11 00:48:03 | (anonymous) 0x7ce2…f92b | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x3789ce… |
| 06-11 00:48:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3789ce… |
| 06-10 12:41:21 | (anonymous) 0xf530…97e3 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xf5e23a… |
| 06-10 12:41:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf5e23a… |
| 06-09 11:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x92b4…4c4c | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x440225… |
| 06-09 11:58:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x440225… |
| 06-08 13:21:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf33788… |
| 06-08 13:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xda80…4f1d | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf33788… |
| 06-08 00:40:36 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x650537… |
| 06-08 00:40:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x650537… |
| 06-07 13:27:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x31d16b… |
| 06-07 13:27:27 | (anonymous) 0xfc6f…9d19 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x31d16b… |
| 06-07 11:28:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x75db23… |
| 06-07 11:28:51 | Specific-Shaker 0x710d…02aa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x75db23… |
| 06-06 14:14:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0c6361… |
| 06-06 14:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x635b…7a9b | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x0c6361… |
| 06-06 11:56:01 | Naughty-Stab 0xc5ed…9374 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb08ada… |
| 06-06 11:56:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb08ada… |
| 06-05 16:01:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1,006 | 4¢ | $40 | 0x3280e9… |
| 06-05 16:01:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 133 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x3280e9… |
| 06-05 16:01:58 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | SELL | 1,861 | 96¢ | $1,787 | 0x3280e9… |
| 06-05 16:01:58 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 96¢ | $2,880 | 0x3280e9… |
| 06-05 06:28:27 | Critical-Mass 0x323d…781c | No | SELL | 111 | 95¢ | $105 | 0x5aa022… |
| 06-05 06:28:27 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 111 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x5aa022… |
| 06-04 03:25:58 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x677bf0… |
| 06-04 03:25:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1,357 | 6¢ | $81 | 0x677bf0… |
| 06-04 03:25:58 | (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x677bf0… |
| 06-04 03:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x677bf0… |
| 06-04 03:25:58 | Carefree-Deck 0xe8b0…4ee1 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x677bf0… |
| 06-04 03:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x8c49…fbeb | Yes | BUY | 1,565 | 6¢ | $92 | 0x677bf0… |
| 06-04 02:01:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x4a7bef… |
| 06-04 02:01:09 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x4a7bef… |
| 06-04 01:53:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x8b24e7… |
| 06-04 01:53:04 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x8b24e7… |
| 06-03 14:23:34 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xe787e3… |
| 06-03 14:23:34 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xe787e3… |
| 06-03 09:50:37 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x01480b… |
| 06-03 09:50:37 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x01480b… |
| 06-03 00:28:50 | White-Yurt 0x6ad8…c703 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xc6ec25… |
| 06-03 00:28:50 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc6ec25… |
| 06-02 20:24:49 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 705 | 4¢ | $28 | 0x44d000… |
| 06-02 20:24:49 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,161 | 4¢ | $46 | 0x44d000… |
| 06-02 20:24:49 | Wary-Rush 0x15a3…d715 | Yes | SELL | 1,866 | 4¢ | $75 | 0x44d000… |
| 06-02 13:52:34 | Beautiful-Rating 0xd890…5834 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x2e65ac… |
| 06-02 13:52:34 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2e65ac… |
| 05-27 21:26:33 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 1,459 | 95¢ | $1,386 | 0x987323… |
| 05-27 21:26:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1,307 | 5¢ | $65 | 0x987323… |
| 05-27 21:26:33 | (anonymous) 0xc46b…5c50 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x987323… |
| 05-27 21:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x987323… |
| 05-27 21:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x4eb2…c39f | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x987323… |
| 05-27 21:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x79d5…710e | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x987323… |