Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,420
Trades
193
Unique wallets
96
Liquidity
$23,141
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 18:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $115
vs crowd: 6% YES on $6.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $7 | $3.0K | $2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $210 | $259 | $48 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $21 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 66 | $149 | $1.1K | $949 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $115 | — | +$115 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $64 | — | +$64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $102 | $101 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $30 | $3.0K | $3.0K |
| unranked | 67 | $169 | $2.8K | $2.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +3,000 | $2,880 | $2,880 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,549 | $115 | $115 | 19 | 06-13 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c49…fbeb | Yes | +1,565 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +1,459 | $1,386 | $1,386 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xacc0…441d | Yes | +1,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | +517 | $21 | $21 | 6 | 06-19 10:20 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +237 | $-18 | $145 | 6 | 06-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +217 | $210 | $231 | 5 | 07-08 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf85a…e693 | No | +150 | $143 | $143 | 3 | 06-18 05:54 |
| Indelible-Nun 0x7649…b00b | Yes | +106 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-16 18:39 |
| White-Yurt 0x6ad8…c703 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-03 00:28 |
| Carefree-Deck 0xe8b0…4ee1 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-04 03:25 |
| Common-Mortgage 0x663d…7681 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-23 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-23 05:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc6f…9d19 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 13:27 |
| Exemplary-Pill 0x8cc7…4ef5 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cda…68d6 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-11 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf530…97e3 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e2e…db23 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-12 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ac3…6b8b | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-12 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x92b4…4c4c | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x14ca…93fb | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-20 07:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb186…5ce3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-25 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa077…732a | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-02 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfeea…c7b4 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x635b…7a9b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-06 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x227c…903c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-25 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x79fc…06d2 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-28 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd694…334d | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-02 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x673c…7013 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc46b…5c50 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9949…c018 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-08 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x08a2…676e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x29d4…3e0c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-08 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 16:52 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +1 | $-2 | $15 | 9 | 07-01 23:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 18:06:25 | Competent-Wardrobe 0x87ec…5da8 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xbbbd89… |
| 07-08 18:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x29d4…3e0c | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xbbbd89… |
| 07-08 18:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xbbbd89… |
| 07-08 12:24:41 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdbe8f8… |
| 07-08 12:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x9949…c018 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xdbe8f8… |
| 07-06 13:31:05 | (anonymous) 0xdba9…2941 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x475456… |
| 07-06 13:31:05 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x475456… |
| 07-06 12:49:34 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x407d3b… |
| 07-06 12:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x700f…7346 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x407d3b… |
| 07-06 12:13:50 | Babyish-Trove-Agony 0xd853…0637 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd56529… |
| 07-06 12:13:50 | (anonymous) 0x29d4…3e0c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd56529… |
| 07-06 10:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xfa4f…9437 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x11e160… |
| 07-06 10:00:10 | Babyish-Trove-Agony 0xd853…0637 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x11e160… |
| 07-04 14:34:08 | Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | SELL | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x460273… |
| 07-04 14:34:08 | Babyish-Trove-Agony 0xd853…0637 | No | SELL | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x460273… |
| 07-02 12:46:40 | Narrow-Clave 0x5f08…22d4 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf754d0… |
| 07-02 12:46:40 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf754d0… |
| 07-02 12:44:31 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa28c10… |
| 07-02 12:44:31 | (anonymous) 0xce61…c2e1 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa28c10… |
| 07-02 12:31:35 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc245ca… |
| 07-02 12:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xd694…334d | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc245ca… |
| 07-02 11:34:11 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x15aa99… |
| 07-02 11:34:11 | (anonymous) 0x08a2…676e | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x15aa99… |
| 07-02 11:25:34 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xa28926… |
| 07-02 11:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xa077…732a | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xa28926… |
| 07-02 05:51:38 | Uncommon-Stack 0xd3e9…ec07 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xdb7f23… |
| 07-02 05:51:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xdb7f23… |
| 07-01 23:08:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f36cd… |
| 07-01 23:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x3f36cd… |
| 07-01 23:04:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xaaa229… |
| 07-01 23:04:26 | (anonymous) 0x23f7…547f | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xaaa229… |
| 06-30 22:17:28 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 225 | 97¢ | $218 | 0x656596… |
| 06-30 22:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x656596… |
| 06-30 22:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x656596… |
| 06-30 12:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9627cd… |
| 06-30 12:25:22 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9627cd… |
| 06-30 11:40:41 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2326e5… |
| 06-30 11:40:41 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2326e5… |
| 06-28 13:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x99ac1c… |
| 06-28 13:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x79fc…06d2 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x99ac1c… |
| 06-28 13:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x373e…e2d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x4e9eff… |
| 06-28 13:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4e9eff… |
| 06-25 09:25:08 | (anonymous) 0xb186…5ce3 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xcbff42… |
| 06-25 09:25:08 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xcbff42… |
| 06-25 09:25:08 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xcbff42… |
| 06-25 04:01:20 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ebf2a… |
| 06-25 04:01:20 | (anonymous) 0x227c…903c | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x4ebf2a… |
| 06-24 16:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x19f020… |
| 06-24 16:52:02 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x19f020… |
| 06-24 13:31:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3e373c… |
| 06-24 13:31:34 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x3e373c… |
| 06-23 15:28:35 | Common-Mortgage 0x663d…7681 | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x18d8c6… |
| 06-23 15:28:35 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | SELL | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x18d8c6… |
| 06-23 13:20:13 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa47593… |
| 06-23 13:20:13 | (anonymous) 0xd2a5…b248 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa47593… |
| 06-23 13:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xb186…5ce3 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x4ff00e… |
| 06-23 13:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ff00e… |
| 06-23 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0xe107…f328 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x992e16… |
| 06-23 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x992e16… |
| 06-23 12:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x8460…fa17 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xc8c42a… |
| 06-23 12:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc8c42a… |
| 06-23 05:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x79de05… |
| 06-23 05:20:43 | (anonymous) 0xdf96…6b1e | No | SELL | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x79de05… |
| 06-23 05:20:43 | (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x79de05… |
| 06-22 18:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x68e7…1c37 | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xd15ce7… |
| 06-22 18:44:17 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xd15ce7… |
| 06-22 18:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x1d18…a9c2 | No | SELL | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xd15ce7… |
| 06-22 18:44:17 | Swift-Divan 0x998a…d949 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xd15ce7… |
| 06-22 14:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x68e7…1c37 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x625600… |
| 06-22 14:39:43 | Valuable-Ostrich 0x389f…76d6 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x625600… |
| 06-22 07:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x68e7…1c37 | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x2c30b2… |
| 06-22 07:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x4d6a…bfc9 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x2c30b2… |
| 06-22 07:31:40 | Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x2c30b2… |
| 06-22 07:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x48c3…04e9 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0x2c30b2… |
| 06-22 07:31:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x2c30b2… |
| 06-20 14:40:17 | Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe23254… |
| 06-20 14:40:17 | Exemplary-Pill 0x8cc7…4ef5 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe23254… |
| 06-20 07:06:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x9c30f8… |
| 06-20 07:06:59 | (anonymous) 0x14ca…93fb | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x9c30f8… |
| 06-19 12:22:31 | Disgusting-Stall 0x5697…f49c | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0e6a49… |
| 06-19 12:22:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0e6a49… |
| 06-19 10:20:58 | Babyish-Trove-Agony 0xd853…0637 | No | BUY | 48 | 96¢ | $46 | 0xa2ad70… |
| 06-19 10:20:58 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 48 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa2ad70… |
| 06-19 05:40:28 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x148f7e… |
| 06-19 05:40:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x148f7e… |
| 06-19 05:39:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x418cba… |
| 06-19 05:39:56 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x418cba… |
| 06-18 12:43:44 | (anonymous) 0x68e7…1c37 | No | BUY | 64 | 95¢ | $61 | 0xa2cd25… |
| 06-18 12:43:44 | Indelible-Nun 0x7649…b00b | Yes | BUY | 106 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xa2cd25… |
| 06-18 12:43:44 | (anonymous) 0x1d18…a9c2 | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0xa2cd25… |
| 06-18 09:07:37 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x40abc6… |
| 06-18 09:07:37 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x40abc6… |
| 06-18 09:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x3e1954… |
| 06-18 09:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3e1954… |
| 06-18 05:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x48c3…04e9 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xc12975… |
| 06-18 05:54:34 | (anonymous) 0xf85a…e693 | No | BUY | 128 | 96¢ | $122 | 0xc12975… |
| 06-18 05:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 235 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xc12975… |
| 06-18 05:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x4d6a…bfc9 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xc12975… |
| 06-18 05:54:11 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x777590… |
| 06-18 05:54:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0x777590… |