Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$22,421
Trades
913
Unique wallets
158
Liquidity
$23,141
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-22 10:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+80.3¢
(top1%: 86% YES on $209
vs crowd: 6% YES on $16.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $19 | $9.3K | $9.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $463 | $2.8K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $31 | $488 | $457 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 110 | $470 | $2.6K | $2.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $180 | $28 | +$152 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $108 | $874 | $766 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Median | 7 | — | $154 | $154 |
| Below median | 9 | $3 | $180 | $177 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $6 | $59 | $52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $19 | $56 | $37 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $173 | $8.7K | $8.5K |
| unranked | 112 | $493 | $5.1K | $4.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | +8,796 | $271 | $271 | 6 | 08-21 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +5,663 | $5,495 | $5,495 | 2 | 08-10 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +4,695 | $20 | $327 | 20 | 08-21 15:46 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,856 | $141 | $220 | 23 | 07-17 12:53 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +3,000 | $2,880 | $2,880 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c49…fbeb | Yes | +1,565 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +1,459 | $1,386 | $1,386 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xacc0…441d | Yes | +1,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +750 | $728 | $728 | 4 | 08-21 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +644 | $16 | $48 | 36 | 08-21 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | +604 | $23 | $23 | 8 | 07-17 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | +400 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-21 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x719d…feaa | No | +206 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-14 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x93af…94d7 | No | +177 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 07-14 04:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +170 | $164 | $664 | 10 | 07-17 12:53 |
| Indelible-Nun 0x7649…b00b | Yes | +106 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | +105 | $102 | $102 | 3 | 08-21 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-16 18:39 |
| White-Yurt 0x6ad8…c703 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-03 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7350…a2df | No | +84 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 08-21 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | +79 | $77 | $182 | 27 | 07-17 11:16 |
| Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | +74 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-21 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | +69 | $67 | $88 | 4 | 08-21 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7a0…4f95 | No | +65 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 08-21 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c6b…c3da | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 08-03 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5215…bf8b | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 08-03 17:16 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 9 | 08-21 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-04 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ec0…08ec | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-03 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x38c3…248a | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 08-03 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x10c1…7350 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 08-03 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cd9…198c | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-12 20:18 |
| Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-17 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x084f…cdce | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-21 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x84a3…7ec4 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 17 | 08-03 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0d8…4e4f | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 13 | 08-03 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aa1…d00a | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 08-21 10:07 |
| Common-Mortgage 0x663d…7681 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-23 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5873…ac19 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x27d6…0f96 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 08-15 14:26 |
| Exemplary-Pill 0x8cc7…4ef5 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc46b…5c50 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 10:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xfb9c…8e7f | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcf2b79… |
| 08-22 10:07:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcf2b79… |
| 08-21 17:35:42 | (anonymous) 0xdbae…955a | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x3923d9… |
| 08-21 17:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3923d9… |
| 08-21 15:46:27 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf2b678… |
| 08-21 15:46:27 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 626 | 4¢ | $24 | 0xf2b678… |
| 08-21 15:46:27 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 644 | 4¢ | $25 | 0xf2b678… |
| 08-21 15:46:03 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x385210… |
| 08-21 15:46:03 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 1,251 | 4¢ | $45 | 0x385210… |
| 08-21 15:46:03 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 1,263 | 4¢ | $45 | 0x385210… |
| 08-21 15:44:34 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 1,095 | 3¢ | $37 | 0x53a585… |
| 08-21 15:44:34 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x53a585… |
| 08-21 15:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 243 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x53a585… |
| 08-21 15:44:34 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 834 | 3¢ | $28 | 0x53a585… |
| 08-21 15:44:30 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 212 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x20e67a… |
| 08-21 15:44:30 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 162 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x20e67a… |
| 08-21 15:44:30 | (anonymous) 0x084f…cdce | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x20e67a… |
| 08-21 15:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 665 | 97¢ | $646 | 0xb37f2d… |
| 08-21 15:44:27 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 704 | 3¢ | $20 | 0xb37f2d… |
| 08-21 15:44:27 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb37f2d… |
| 08-21 15:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0xb37f2d… |
| 08-21 15:44:24 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 4,878 | 3¢ | $137 | 0x273d49… |
| 08-21 15:44:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 4,878 | 3¢ | $137 | 0x273d49… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0xa7a0…4f95 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 142 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 3¢ | $11 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x7350…a2df | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x3e3a…d26b | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 10:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x4aa1…d00a | No | BUY | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0xaf64b3… |
| 08-21 07:29:30 | (anonymous) 0x7350…a2df | No | BUY | 74 | 97¢ | $72 | 0x43f013… |
| 08-21 07:29:30 | Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | BUY | 74 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x43f013… |
| 08-20 03:52:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x481dc9… |
| 08-20 03:52:04 | (anonymous) 0x7350…a2df | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x481dc9… |
| 08-20 03:48:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x3260eb… |
| 08-20 03:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x3260eb… |
| 08-19 15:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56a441… |
| 08-19 15:30:16 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56a441… |
| 08-19 15:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x4009…2a4d | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x56a441… |
| 08-18 03:55:06 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x59ef41… |
| 08-18 03:55:06 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x59ef41… |
| 08-18 03:32:18 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9328aa… |
| 08-18 03:32:18 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9328aa… |
| 08-17 16:28:31 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9d14ab… |
| 08-17 16:28:31 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9d14ab… |
| 08-17 16:21:55 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3a2b90… |
| 08-17 16:21:55 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3a2b90… |
| 08-17 11:07:51 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7b6590… |
| 08-17 11:07:51 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7b6590… |
| 08-17 11:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd17bf0… |
| 08-17 11:01:34 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd17bf0… |
| 08-17 06:49:13 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xece12d… |
| 08-17 06:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x2bc9…9179 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xece12d… |
| 08-16 14:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x49cef0… |
| 08-16 14:53:52 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x49cef0… |
| 08-16 14:43:30 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xcde86c… |
| 08-16 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xcde86c… |
| 08-16 12:32:04 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0xb23b97… |
| 08-16 12:32:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0xb23b97… |
| 08-16 11:41:13 | (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1470d7… |
| 08-16 11:41:13 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1470d7… |
| 08-16 11:41:13 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x1470d7… |
| 08-15 14:26:42 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x62812b… |
| 08-15 14:26:42 | (anonymous) 0x27d6…0f96 | No | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x62812b… |
| 08-15 14:26:42 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x62812b… |
| 08-15 13:08:04 | (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x61f468… |
| 08-15 13:08:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x61f468… |
| 08-15 02:06:49 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5d619e… |
| 08-15 02:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x27d6…0f96 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5d619e… |
| 08-15 01:36:13 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfd2f21… |
| 08-15 01:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfd2f21… |
| 08-10 13:53:40 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 689 | 97¢ | $670 | 0x0e8824… |
| 08-10 13:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x0e8824… |
| 08-10 13:53:40 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | SELL | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x0e8824… |
| 08-10 13:53:40 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0e8824… |
| 08-10 13:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x0e8824… |
| 08-10 13:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x0e8824… |
| 08-08 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc27852… |
| 08-08 15:22:18 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc27852… |
| 08-08 15:00:10 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x2d2953… |
| 08-08 15:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x2d2953… |
| 08-07 18:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1f1cff… |
| 08-07 18:22:22 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1f1cff… |
| 08-07 18:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x00f88b… |
| 08-07 18:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x00f88b… |
| 08-07 17:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x25bc7d… |
| 08-07 17:58:31 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x25bc7d… |
| 08-07 17:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x689b70… |
| 08-07 17:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x689b70… |
| 08-06 20:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x6c1130… |
| 08-06 20:49:09 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x6c1130… |
| 08-06 20:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xf26b75… |
| 08-06 20:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xf26b75… |
| 08-06 20:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x942d00… |
| 08-06 20:46:29 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x942d00… |
| 08-06 20:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd0f5b4… |
| 08-06 20:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd0f5b4… |
| 08-06 19:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xfa27a5… |
| 08-06 19:52:32 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xfa27a5… |