Realized P&L
-$1.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$515
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
1,121
Trades
19,309
lifetime
Volume
$134.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 11-04 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
47% 49% +$30
Politics
24% 43% +$189
Sports
17% 61% -$977
Crypto
7% 38% -$347
Tech
4% 71% +$33
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 437 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -642 -$493 96¢ $-614 -$121 05-28 11:59
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -21,910 -$308 1¢ $-296 +$12 10-16 15:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +300 $239 97¢ $290 +$51 09-12 15:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $231 88¢ $262 +$31 09-19 06:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +250 $195 92¢ $231 +$36 09-14 13:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +200 $168 100¢ $200 +$32 09-14 11:31
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -1,983 -$371 8¢ $-156 +$216 09-07 09:00
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -933 -$220 6¢ $-56 +$164 07-27 07:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $75 12¢ $38 -$38 09-18 03:40
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +181 $44 16¢ $29 -$15 11-03 02:52
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +27 $22 88¢ $24 +$2 09-28 23:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +250 $52 8¢ $19 -$34 09-15 02:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 11-02 12:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +500 $12 2¢ $12 +$0 11-04 02:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +300 -$173 3¢ $10 +$183 09-12 14:41
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -6,495 -$58 0¢ $-10 +$49 05-01 03:00
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +800 $8 1¢ $7 -$1 11-04 04:43
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -6 -$5 99¢ $-6 -$1 06-27 14:40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +438 $6 1¢ $6 $0 10-28 06:12
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +27 $7 12¢ $3 -$3 09-24 09:17
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1,955 -$18 0¢ $-3 +$15 05-04 14:07
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,400 $6 0¢ $2 -$3 10-22 12:57
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 11-02 14:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +200 $30 0¢ $0 -$30 09-14 14:22
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -6 $109 1¢ $-0 -$109 09-07 09:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $0 62¢ $0 +$0 08-25 08:41
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$76 89¢ $0 +$76 06-04 21:27
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +0 $2 100¢ $0 -$2 08-17 13:46
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +0 -$5 17¢ $0 +$5 07-31 02:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 08-21 23:02