Realized P&L
+$234
Unrealized P&L
+$315
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
26
Trades
8,718
lifetime
Volume
$49.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.70K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 07-22 14:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% $-8
Sports
34% 50% $-35
Politics
11% 67% +$82
Crypto
9% 89% +$195
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +2,907 $358 12¢ $363 +$6 07-16 12:11
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -303 $-229 82¢ $-250 $-20 05-28 11:59
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -3,845 $-278 $-211 +$66 07-09 21:15
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -1,607 $-323 10¢ $-161 +$162 07-22 09:37
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -155 $-96 76¢ $-118 $-22 06-04 21:27
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -115 $-96 84¢ $-96 $-1 05-28 21:17
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +200 $78 42¢ $84 +$6 07-17 16:29
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -474 $-106 16¢ $-78 +$28 07-14 05:57
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +118 $45 66¢ $78 +$33 07-07 07:12
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? No -69 $-63 97¢ $-67 $-4 07-06 12:36
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +200 $73 30¢ $60 $-13 07-17 16:29
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +95 $35 50¢ $48 +$13 07-08 11:46
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +34 $1 58¢ $20 +$19 07-15 03:26
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes +40 $-15 45¢ $18 +$32 07-05 14:43
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes +168 $19 11¢ $18 $-1 07-01 10:13
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -20 $-11 71¢ $-15 $-3 05-27 21:24
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +131 $7 $6 $-1 07-15 08:11
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -6 $-5 88¢ $-5 $-0 06-27 14:40
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? Yes -19 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$0 06-11 22:14
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes -15 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$2 06-23 20:33
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +7 $-12 16¢ $1 +$13 07-02 12:40