Realized P&L
-$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$220
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
1,158
Trades
19,350
lifetime
Volume
$135.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$2.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 11-07 11:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
47% 48% +$1
Politics
24% 41% +$188
Sports
17% 61% -$977
Crypto
7% 38% -$347
Tech
4% 71% +$33
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 437 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -642 -$493 96¢ $-614 -$121 05-28 11:59
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -21,910 -$308 3¢ $-570 -$262 10-16 15:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +300 $239 98¢ $294 +$55 09-12 15:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $231 88¢ $264 +$33 09-19 06:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +250 $195 90¢ $226 +$31 09-14 13:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +200 $168 100¢ $200 +$32 09-14 11:31
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -1,983 -$371 8¢ $-156 +$216 09-07 09:00
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -933 -$220 6¢ $-56 +$164 07-27 07:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $75 12¢ $36 -$39 09-18 03:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +250 $52 10¢ $24 -$29 09-15 02:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +27 $22 85¢ $23 +$1 09-28 23:37
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 +$0 11-02 12:35
Dota 2: potn9ki vs Zenith - Game 1 Winner potn9ki +9 $2 70¢ $6 +$4 11-07 11:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +300 -$173 2¢ $6 +$179 09-12 14:41
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 06-27 14:40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +27 $7 15¢ $4 -$3 09-24 09:17
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 11-02 14:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +200 $30 0¢ $0 -$30 09-14 14:22
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -6 $109 3¢ $-0 -$109 09-07 09:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 08-25 08:41
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$76 90¢ $0 +$76 06-04 21:27
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +0 $2 100¢ $0 -$2 08-17 13:46
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +0 -$5 17¢ $0 +$5 07-31 02:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 17¢ $0 $0 08-21 23:02
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +0 $0 17¢ $0 +$0 07-28 00:54
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -0 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 09-08 02:21
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 09-22 16:26
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$15 2¢ $0 +$15 11-03 08:22
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 10-14 14:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -0 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 08-19 06:10