Realized P&L
+$3.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.20K
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
10,130
lifetime
Volume
$8.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$822
Open exposure
$661.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-30 12:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
37%
0%
$-600
Crypto
32%
—
—
Other
29%
100%
+$3,738
Sports
2%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk
• peak 353 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | +111,251 | $96,092 | 86¢ | $95.1K | $-973 | 06-30 11:57 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | +88,764 | $87,567 | 100¢ | $88.7K | +$1,108 | 06-04 16:51 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +64,505 | $60,412 | 95¢ | $61.1K | +$706 | 06-23 10:56 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | +60,000 | $59,515 | 100¢ | $59.9K | +$425 | 06-25 14:51 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | -51,812 | $-51,542 | 100¢ | $-51760 | $-218 | 06-14 21:42 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +55,498 | $51,329 | 93¢ | $51.4K | +$34 | 06-29 22:42 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | +46,973 | $44,719 | 96¢ | $45.2K | +$493 | 06-23 14:40 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | -28,772 | $-28,690 | 100¢ | $-28743 | $-53 | 06-14 13:38 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +24,057 | $21,651 | 90¢ | $21.8K | +$120 | 06-21 04:57 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +24,971 | $20,202 | 84¢ | $20.9K | +$649 | 06-26 02:12 | |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | No | +20,000 | $19,800 | 100¢ | $20.0K | +$180 | 06-11 15:53 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +19,406 | $17,217 | 91¢ | $17.7K | +$443 | 06-29 07:03 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +20,000 | $17,600 | 86¢ | $17.3K | $-300 | 06-16 05:49 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | -15,976 | $-15,503 | 97¢ | $-15488 | +$15 | 06-28 05:31 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +15,114 | $11,838 | 81¢ | $12.2K | +$405 | 06-29 06:35 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | +10,582 | $9,407 | 94¢ | $9.9K | +$487 | 06-05 13:20 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | +8,989 | $8,386 | 94¢ | $8.4K | +$32 | 06-16 09:59 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +8,751 | $7,366 | 88¢ | $7.7K | +$292 | 06-23 13:40 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | +5,995 | $5,791 | 98¢ | $5.9K | +$75 | 06-05 01:20 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,500 | $5,245 | 70¢ | $5.2K | $-33 | 06-30 12:33 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,550 | 94¢ | $4.7K | +$125 | 06-26 05:07 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,483 | $3,893 | 89¢ | $4.0K | +$97 | 06-30 13:07 | |
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | No | +2,675 | $2,670 | 100¢ | $2.7K | $-3 | 06-27 09:26 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | +2,350 | $2,291 | 100¢ | $2.3K | +$56 | 06-17 07:56 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,136 | $-2,068 | 97¢ | $-2075 | $-7 | 06-21 14:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +697 | $616 | 92¢ | $645 | +$29 | 06-24 13:41 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +590 | $561 | 96¢ | $564 | +$3 | 06-24 10:21 | |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | +150 | $150 | 100¢ | $150 | +$0 | 06-12 08:40 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +117 | $110 | 94¢ | $110 | $-0 | 06-24 10:14 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -91 | $-84 | 81¢ | $-73 | +$11 | 06-12 04:53 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 206 | $369.2K | 385,095 | 14,862 | +370,233 | open | — | 04-08 09:46 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 61 | $352.9K | 364,339 | 37,515 | +326,824 | open | — | 03-02 19:51 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 177 | $291.4K | 262,407 | 101,650 | +160,757 | open | — | 03-31 17:07 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 225 | $259.2K | 264,061 | 0 | +264,061 | open | — | 03-30 10:47 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 49 | $241.7K | 246,218 | 0 | +246,218 | open | — | 03-04 16:22 |
| will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026 | 557 | $231.6K | 243,501 | 30,810 | +212,691 | open | — | 03-30 22:53 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 103 | $195.2K | 201,538 | 104,347 | +97,192 | open | — | 03-01 19:59 |
| will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298 | 171 | $172.1K | 122,733 | 55,892 | +66,841 | open | — | 02-28 08:21 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 144 | $148.5K | 154,377 | 0 | +154,377 | open | — | 03-02 05:49 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 81 | $137.9K | 143,180 | 57,205 | +85,976 | open | — | 02-28 07:22 |
| will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936 | 214 | $132.2K | 79,263 | 65,951 | +13,313 | open | — | 02-28 21:23 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 11 | $131.0K | 131,233 | 0 | +131,233 | open | — | 04-01 09:02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | 63 | $126.2K | 126,951 | 2,500 | +124,451 | open | — | 04-27 15:14 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 115 | $117.0K | 72,258 | 53,442 | +18,816 | open | — | 02-28 04:52 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 47 | $112.4K | 125,754 | 4,102 | +121,652 | open | — | 06-30 11:57 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 65 | $110.0K | 80,732 | 38,808 | +41,924 | open | — | 01-31 20:40 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 77 | $109.7K | 112,896 | 0 | +112,896 | open | — | 05-11 09:20 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988 | 61 | $94.5K | 87,107 | 11,013 | +76,094 | open | — | 02-26 19:22 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 142 | $93.0K | 96,529 | 0 | +96,529 | open | — | 04-08 06:41 |
| bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026 | 33 | $88.2K | 88,301 | 0 | +88,301 | open | — | 06-09 16:11 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 90 | $87.6K | 88,764 | 0 | +88,764 | open | — | 06-04 16:51 |
| will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election | 15 | $82.5K | 82,845 | 0 | +82,845 | open | — | 02-08 21:26 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 9 | $79.4K | 70,000 | 10,000 | +60,000 | open | — | 06-25 14:51 |
| epl sun not 2026 04 24 not | 18 | $77.6K | 77,932 | 0 | +77,932 | open | — | 04-24 20:41 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 85 | $75.2K | 79,493 | 187 | +79,306 | open | — | 03-30 23:07 |
| bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026 | 20 | $73.9K | 74,018 | 0 | +74,018 | open | — | 06-06 17:18 |
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 26 | $71.3K | 72,982 | 0 | +72,982 | open | — | 02-09 21:56 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 194 | $68.2K | 71,000 | 0 | +71,000 | Yes | +$2,778 | 04-08 18:07 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 54 | $66.0K | 60,657 | 5,800 | +54,857 | open | — | 05-20 17:34 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 436 | $65.1K | 69,505 | 0 | +69,505 | open | — | 06-23 10:56 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||