Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$101,902
$199 in 24h
Trades
586
Unique wallets
160
Liquidity
$13,955
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-19 18:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.7¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $712
vs crowd: 9% YES on $95.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $94 | $66.1K | $66.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $1.2K | $9.8K | $8.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $5.2K | $10.6K | $5.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 70 | $2.0K | $812 | +$1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $8 | $704 | $696 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $765 | $4.9K | $4.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $64 | $9.6K | $9.5K |
| Median | 15 | $78 | $667 | $588 |
| Below median | 15 | $43 | $402 | $359 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $76 | $189 | $113 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $48 | $7.9K | $7.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $140 | $20.2K | $20.1K |
| unranked | 83 | $7.2K | $42.7K | $35.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | +48,576 | $3,983 | $3,983 | 73 | 07-18 21:11 |
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +22,666 | $21,089 | $21,089 | 10 | 06-26 10:20 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +16,761 | $15,004 | $15,004 | 12 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +9,785 | $9,212 | $9,212 | 5 | 07-18 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | +6,000 | $480 | $480 | 7 | 06-26 02:15 |
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | +5,995 | $5,454 | $5,454 | 8 | 06-16 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x200d…401c | Yes | +5,398 | $422 | $422 | 4 | 06-18 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d65…9ad4 | No | +5,000 | $4,550 | $4,550 | 1 | 06-05 05:23 |
| Determined-Tomato 0xbace…3429 | No | +4,823 | $4,341 | $4,341 | 6 | 06-03 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +4,414 | $4,194 | $4,194 | 1 | 07-16 07:40 |
| Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | +4,176 | $272 | $625 | 23 | 07-17 22:01 |
| Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | +4,009 | $3,648 | $3,648 | 3 | 06-05 05:23 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +3,878 | $312 | $312 | 67 | 07-17 22:01 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +3,366 | $3,057 | $3,057 | 48 | 06-25 06:59 |
| Abandoned-Mortality 0x6dff…5faf | Yes | +3,060 | $367 | $367 | 1 | 06-01 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x26aa…5054 | No | +2,680 | $2,412 | $2,412 | 1 | 06-05 05:14 |
| Unsteady-Rice 0x22d3…c969 | Yes | +2,500 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-03 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e36…31c3 | Yes | +2,500 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 07-11 18:27 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +2,042 | $1,908 | $4,150 | 10 | 07-19 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xca29…287f | Yes | +2,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 07:40 |
| Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | +1,890 | $1,699 | $1,901 | 6 | 06-09 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x89d4…e370 | Yes | +1,500 | $158 | $178 | 2 | 06-27 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +1,053 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-17 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,004 | $40 | $240 | 10 | 06-29 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0640…4c5c | Yes | +1,000 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-22 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…3232 | No | +990 | $901 | $901 | 1 | 06-04 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | +969 | $95 | $95 | 3 | 06-09 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +960 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-02 07:18 |
| Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | +888 | $808 | $808 | 1 | 06-06 19:19 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +800 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-17 11:33 |
| Nice-Pup 0x9958…a221 | Yes | +800 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-03 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e9c…492d | Yes | +791 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-19 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xacc0…441d | Yes | +727 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 06-11 22:25 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +500 | $470 | $470 | 1 | 07-03 02:31 |
| Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | +437 | $34 | $283 | 19 | 06-18 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ea1…584c | No | +399 | $371 | $371 | 8 | 07-03 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +364 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-02 20:59 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +359 | $25 | $79 | 8 | 06-12 06:22 |
| Wary-Rush 0x15a3…d715 | Yes | +357 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 06-02 20:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +309 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-10 14:58 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +300 | $285 | $285 | 1 | 07-01 12:46 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +300 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 06-01 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | +269 | $253 | $253 | 3 | 07-07 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf05a…b07f | Yes | +263 | $81 | $652 | 2 | 06-02 07:18 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +226 | $202 | $558 | 5 | 06-01 23:36 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 3 | 07-11 19:17 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +200 | $18 | $54 | 6 | 06-19 13:11 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +200 | $19 | $37 | 4 | 06-14 12:47 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +200 | $18 | $54 | 6 | 06-19 13:11 |
| Grand-Hunting 0xf128…b8d1 | Yes | +170 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-14 01:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +153 | $146 | $146 | 3 | 07-16 19:00 |
| Aromatic-Asterisk 0x8668…9332 | Yes | +153 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-03 13:50 |
| Junior-Bottomline 0x83c2…110b | No | +147 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 06-08 04:43 |
| Pleasant-Cephalopod 0x918e…3271 | Yes | +142 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-28 22:14 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +110 | $102 | $196 | 4 | 07-16 21:13 |
| Excited-Pancreas 0xf1fd…b42c | No | +107 | $97 | $97 | 3 | 06-14 01:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-18 15:56 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | +78 | $70 | $607 | 64 | 07-03 02:31 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +67 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 06-05 03:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x93a98f… |
| 07-19 18:38:22 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 466 | 94¢ | $438 | 0x93a98f… |
| 07-19 18:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x7e9c…492d | Yes | BUY | 791 | 6¢ | $47 | 0x93a98f… |
| 07-18 21:11:34 | Grown-Redirect 0x4d76…b872 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xdb250c… |
| 07-18 21:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdb250c… |
| 07-18 21:11:03 | Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | BUY | 6,291 | 95¢ | $5,976 | 0x02f6ef… |
| 07-18 21:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 2,943 | 5¢ | $147 | 0x02f6ef… |
| 07-18 21:06:13 | (anonymous) 0xc968…e9d0 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x08970f… |
| 07-18 21:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x08970f… |
| 07-18 14:36:51 | (anonymous) 0x068c…7418 | No | SELL | 41 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xfef344… |
| 07-18 14:36:51 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 41 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xfef344… |
| 07-17 22:01:31 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 95 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xd29a50… |
| 07-17 22:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 953 | 5¢ | $48 | 0xd29a50… |
| 07-17 22:01:31 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd29a50… |
| 07-17 22:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | BUY | 1,053 | 95¢ | $1,000 | 0xd29a50… |
| 07-17 11:33:07 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x4ab2c1… |
| 07-17 11:33:07 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x4ab2c1… |
| 07-17 11:33:07 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 700 | 94¢ | $658 | 0xbebeae… |
| 07-17 11:33:07 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 700 | 6¢ | $42 | 0xbebeae… |
| 07-16 21:13:47 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x46e998… |
| 07-16 21:13:47 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 71 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x46e998… |
| 07-16 21:13:47 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | No | SELL | 86 | 94¢ | $81 | 0x46e998… |
| 07-16 19:00:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x581fdb… |
| 07-16 19:00:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x581fdb… |
| 07-16 14:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xc189…e636 | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0xf15a27… |
| 07-16 14:20:10 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0xf15a27… |
| 07-16 07:40:37 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x06835a… |
| 07-16 07:40:37 | (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x06835a… |
| 07-16 07:40:28 | (anonymous) 0xdf0c…a34f | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x6eda91… |
| 07-16 07:40:28 | (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6eda91… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xd4cd…686d | No | SELL | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 4,414 | 95¢ | $4,194 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xca29…287f | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,022 | 5¢ | $51 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xcdca…c8ec | No | SELL | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 1,180 | 95¢ | $1,121 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-16 07:40:26 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x290e63… |
| 07-15 14:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x539c76… |
| 07-15 14:15:16 | Lovely-Delay 0x3a73…cd82 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x539c76… |
| 07-13 11:13:53 | Lovely-Delay 0x3a73…cd82 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xff098d… |
| 07-13 11:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xff098d… |
| 07-12 14:58:25 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 91 | 94¢ | $85 | 0xecf992… |
| 07-12 14:58:25 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xecf992… |
| 07-11 19:17:14 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 65 | 95¢ | $62 | 0xea74e9… |
| 07-11 19:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xea74e9… |
| 07-11 18:27:19 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 833 | 94¢ | $783 | 0xfecdfb… |
| 07-11 18:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x3e36…31c3 | Yes | BUY | 833 | 6¢ | $50 | 0xfecdfb… |
| 07-11 18:26:56 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 835 | 6¢ | $50 | 0xabf2a9… |
| 07-11 18:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x3e36…31c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,667 | 6¢ | $100 | 0xabf2a9… |
| 07-11 18:26:56 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 832 | 94¢ | $782 | 0xabf2a9… |
| 07-11 18:18:14 | Exciting-Impropriety 0xc7d5…cced | No | SELL | 115 | 94¢ | $108 | 0x424aaa… |
| 07-11 18:18:14 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x424aaa… |
| 07-10 11:54:43 | Dearest-Logic 0xfb3e…94ce | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb9e8e8… |
| 07-10 11:54:43 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb9e8e8… |
| 07-07 10:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xd2454d… |
| 07-07 10:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 182 | 94¢ | $171 | 0xd2454d… |
| 07-06 02:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 83 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xd82095… |
| 07-06 02:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x6de5…5bf7 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xd82095… |
| 07-05 19:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 162 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x09f11d… |
| 07-05 19:51:52 | Buttery-Avalanche 0x4512…7e53 | Yes | SELL | 162 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x09f11d… |
| 07-05 12:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x6de5…5bf7 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x64283e… |
| 07-05 12:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0x64283e… |
| 07-05 05:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb6a541… |
| 07-05 05:02:40 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xb6a541… |
| 07-05 01:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x6ca2…1981 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x1f8350… |
| 07-05 01:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x1f8350… |
| 07-04 23:02:11 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 143 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x0decd6… |
| 07-04 23:02:11 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 143 | 95¢ | $136 | 0x0decd6… |
| 07-04 12:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 202 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x17dddc… |
| 07-04 12:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 202 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x17dddc… |
| 07-04 12:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 389 | 5¢ | $19 | 0x87019d… |
| 07-04 12:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 389 | 5¢ | $19 | 0x87019d… |
| 07-03 09:16:19 | (anonymous) 0xdb47…3c86 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x912d2f… |
| 07-03 09:16:19 | (anonymous) 0x0ea1…584c | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x912d2f… |
| 07-03 05:57:17 | Nice-Pup 0x9958…a221 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc1af01… |
| 07-03 05:57:17 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0xc1af01… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x938546… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b56…4a30 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x938546… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x938546… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xe920…5ee7 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x938546… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x938546… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | BUY | 500 | 94¢ | $470 | 0x938546… |
| 07-03 02:31:50 | Nice-Pup 0x9958…a221 | Yes | BUY | 765 | 6¢ | $46 | 0x938546… |
| 07-02 20:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xdf8c…ccbb | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xb9f18f… |
| 07-02 20:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xb9f18f… |
| 07-02 20:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xb9f18f… |
| 07-02 20:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0xb9f18f… |
| 07-02 20:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x18f1…f1a9 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xb9f18f… |
| 07-02 20:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xf4caa5… |
| 07-02 20:25:22 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf4caa5… |
| 07-02 20:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x18f1…f1a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xf4caa5… |
| 07-02 13:19:35 | (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x2f7178… |
| 07-02 13:19:35 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x2f7178… |
| 07-02 02:41:25 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x1c6d2c… |
| 07-02 02:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x1c6d2c… |
| 07-01 12:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 5¢ | $15 | 0xa014fe… |
| 07-01 12:46:40 | Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | BUY | 300 | 95¢ | $285 | 0xa014fe… |
| 07-01 00:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x0ea1…584c | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0xd08cf0… |
| 07-01 00:07:04 | Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | SELL | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0xd08cf0… |
| 07-01 00:05:58 | Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x482ad0… |