Suburban-Stucco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$249

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

703

Trades

3,396

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

75% 54% +$198

Crypto

13% 80% -$3

Politics

11% 69% +$56

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+11	$1	6¢	$1	+$0	10-29 04:04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+8	$21	1¢	$0	-$21	10-26 17:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	29	$654	398	317	+81	No	+$7	10-22 13:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	8	$452	230	230	+0	No	+$6	10-10 07:39
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	30	$443	384	137	+247	No	+$41	10-09 07:21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	8	$389	196	196	+0	No	+$2	10-19 10:48
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	24	$295	253	65	+188	Yes	+$7	10-17 14:55
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	17	$245	236	30	+206	Yes	+$0	10-15 22:06
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	6	$243	124	124	+0	No	+$4	10-12 19:12
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	16	$217	127	127	+0	No	+$17	10-20 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	8	$150	143	10	+133	No	+$3	10-13 10:25
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	11	$144	233	100	+133	No	-$1	10-13 05:03
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	20	$141	99	79	+20	No	+$17	02-13 10:11
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$135	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	10-13 05:49
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	14	$131	143	11	+132	Yes	+$5	10-13 16:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	8	$129	78	55	+23	No	+$1	10-04 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	15	$123	77	65	+12	Yes	-$9	10-20 14:55
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	30	$122	101	61	+40	Yes	+$8	09-25 16:01
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	17	$121	97	55	+41	Yes	+$13	09-04 13:27
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	26	$121	525	525	+0	No	-$12	05-31 21:25
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	9	$118	76	76	+0	No	+$6	10-08 17:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	28	$116	127	127	+0	Yes	-$11	01-30 03:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	13	$116	69	64	+5	No	+$7	10-05 09:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 04:00 UTC	18	$109	104	100	+4	Up	+$1	04-12 07:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	26	$101	190	35	+155	open	—	10-28 19:58
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$2	10-16 22:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$98	60	60	+0	No	+$2	01-30 00:16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	28	$96	86	86	+0	No	+$44	08-07 03:16
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	6	$91	353	353	+0	Yes	-$5	05-29 15:19
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	16	$84	96	4	+91	No	+$16	09-23 20:39
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	12	$81	71	66	+5	No	+$5	09-12 13:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	14	$81	72	72	+0	open	—	10-26 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:04:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x8e3b05…
10-29 01:46:53	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x88ed5a…
10-29 00:33:53	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xf2592a…
10-29 00:23:05	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xaa3c6a…
10-28 21:50:07	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x48ab6d…
10-28 21:38:16	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x902323…
10-28 21:24:55	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc916bf…
10-28 21:15:29	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb69511…
10-28 19:58:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x4ba74b…
10-28 19:53:16	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa92f5c…
10-28 19:53:07	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xc365f8…
10-28 19:48:46	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4ad733…
10-28 18:49:52	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xbb2c3e…
10-28 17:56:58	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x6ed233…
10-28 17:56:05	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xa02e2d…
10-28 17:55:56	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x5c023f…
10-28 17:54:29	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x72fb1d…
10-28 17:50:55	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7eb4b1…
10-28 17:30:44	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x06664c…
10-28 17:30:37	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x49f5ae…
10-28 17:20:46	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x3ef772…
10-28 17:20:41	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x7d10ad…
10-28 17:19:19	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x05f2b4…
10-28 16:42:43	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x087b9c…
10-28 16:42:28	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x2c5391…
10-28 16:38:17	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb257be…
10-28 16:37:53	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd73452…
10-28 16:36:35	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6af964…
10-28 16:26:29	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3a8eac…
10-28 16:25:34	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x7fd2cd…
10-28 16:21:04	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe2fe6a…
10-28 16:15:20	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4317ad…
10-28 16:15:01	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4f8159…
10-28 15:22:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xe97844…
10-28 14:54:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xef030e…
10-28 14:50:22	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x39e6ef…
10-28 13:32:14	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1df50e…
10-28 13:30:59	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf29e86…
10-28 13:26:13	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x58593c…
10-28 13:24:44	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1db0a3…
10-28 12:14:56	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1a3dd9…
10-28 10:39:08	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x8f4a87…
10-28 10:24:29	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x224b73…
10-28 09:56:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x9afe49…
10-28 09:50:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5e31a3…
10-28 09:41:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xec13cc…
10-28 09:41:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xcb4325…
10-28 09:40:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xec3fb0…
10-28 09:35:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xdc09b4…
10-28 09:26:41	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2c7b0f…
10-28 09:15:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7c7935…
10-28 09:13:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb13597…
10-28 09:01:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x06d850…
10-28 09:00:56	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x778fa6…
10-28 09:00:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe4482a…
10-28 08:57:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x556bed…
10-28 08:51:56	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x09e2bb…
10-28 08:44:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0c157c…
10-28 08:33:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe801b1…
10-28 07:46:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0xf76468…
10-28 07:46:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xd9fe43…
10-28 07:36:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x05c089…
10-28 07:34:56	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x87f235…
10-28 07:32:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0877f4…
10-28 07:28:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x9e3c5a…
10-28 07:27:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe7afc8…
10-28 07:25:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x09d2e6…
10-28 07:22:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd84165…
10-28 07:22:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xdb8256…
10-28 07:20:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0a8ff7…
10-28 07:11:31	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd6ee93…
10-28 07:03:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd2b424…
10-28 07:03:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x69f4f6…
10-28 07:03:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x10767e…
10-28 07:02:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbc4ec2…
10-28 06:58:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0xd1d215…
10-28 05:39:35	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x593962…
10-28 05:38:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x643082…
10-28 05:36:16	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb28266…
10-28 05:22:08	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc7687b…
10-28 05:21:53	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xcc776d…
10-28 05:13:50	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb3cf6c…
10-28 05:13:28	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x517cc4…
10-28 03:03:20	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0xc64519…
10-28 03:02:50	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x11d046…
10-28 02:48:00	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdfec1b…
10-28 02:45:36	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0ab6a6…
10-28 02:37:44	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3d3a58…
10-28 01:00:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x1e0fd4…
10-28 01:00:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x572e13…
10-28 00:51:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1fc9b5…
10-27 23:23:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x67cf6c…
10-27 21:58:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc90a7c…
10-27 21:54:48	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x24037f…
10-27 21:54:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xabdef1…
10-27 21:53:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x905658…
10-27 21:52:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb3836a…
10-27 21:33:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xaf7c35…
10-27 21:26:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xadebe1…
10-27 21:12:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2c41b1…