Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

11,784

Trades

52,457

lifetime

Volume

$233.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$153

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-28 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 272 days

Categories

Other

99% 38% +$10,838

Crypto

1% 36% -$45

Politics

0% 54% +$4

Sports

0% 40% +$5

Tech

0% 25% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 451 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	+50	$49	96¢	$48	$0	09-14 06:00
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	+30	$27	96¢	$29	+$2	10-09 21:06
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	+25	$24	97¢	$24	$0	09-27 16:51
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	+108	$45	18¢	$19	-$26	10-22 00:26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+850	$10	1¢	$12	+$2	09-18 15:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+600	$20	2¢	$12	-$8	09-27 21:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+40	$5	15¢	$6	+$1	10-10 11:17
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+30	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	09-20 02:08
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$4	1¢	$1	-$3	05-28 20:04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1	$0	56¢	$1	+$0	07-09 04:39
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	80¢	$0	+$1	10-03 03:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?	55	$1.4K	1,046	1,046	+0	Yes	+$182	09-28 13:14
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	52	$1.1K	970	633	+337	open	—	10-26 06:53
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?	116	$1.0K	870	865	+5	open	—	10-22 12:57
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?	37	$852	645	645	+0	Yes	+$237	10-10 13:36
Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?	35	$718	410	410	+0	No	+$29	10-15 16:26
Will Simon peak at Category 4?	41	$714	502	502	+0	Yes	+$76	10-16 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	31	$670	910	310	+600	No	+$61	10-22 12:25
will wti reach 130 in september 2026	27	$659	644	344	+300	No	-$6	09-17 14:06
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	34	$630	474	474	+0	open	—	10-16 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	31	$622	809	709	+100	Yes	+$203	10-22 13:44
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	51	$611	496	496	+1	No	-$14	10-02 14:58
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?	47	$604	522	502	+20	open	—	10-21 15:47
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	20	$593	460	460	+0	open	—	10-19 03:49
Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?	15	$593	445	445	+0	No	+$296	09-01 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	25	$591	883	783	+100	No	+$302	10-22 20:32
Will Vance peak at Category 2?	38	$523	653	345	+307	open	—	10-25 21:08
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?	15	$512	270	270	+0	No	+$15	10-01 15:06
Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?	15	$510	315	315	+0	Yes	+$82	10-15 08:36
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?	24	$507	311	311	+0	Yes	+$9	10-01 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?	23	$502	495	495	+0	Yes	+$437	07-04 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?	12	$495	490	490	+0	Yes	+$460	09-12 11:22
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	30	$492	648	648	+0	open	—	10-20 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	40	$485	329	329	+0	Yes	+$125	09-10 06:04
where will it rain on october 13 2026 philadelphia pa	5	$484	389	380	+9	No	+$284	10-14 12:40
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	24	$471	282	282	+0	Yes	+$16	09-30 05:32
will wti reach 125 in september 2026	21	$466	300	250	+50	No	-$2	09-17 07:00
Will Vance peak at Category 3?	16	$457	300	300	+0	open	—	10-25 19:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	22	$451	259	259	+0	Yes	+$62	09-18 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	33	$448	356	356	+0	Yes	+$135	10-10 05:57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	21	$445	240	240	+0	No	+$9	09-27 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:23:21	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbaa031…
10-28 01:22:15	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	No	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0xd63447…
10-28 01:21:35	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xaa3693…
10-28 01:20:57	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4fee7b…
10-28 00:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xdb20fb…
10-28 00:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x496855…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4a4b21…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x38b988…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x04d0a6…
10-27 23:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x72221e…
10-27 23:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe0fa28…
10-27 23:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x104f86…
10-27 23:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xad6a81…
10-27 23:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	265	1¢	$2	0xb3182d…
10-27 23:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x9ff6aa…
10-27 22:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x485f03…
10-27 22:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x89479f…
10-27 21:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5f75d5…
10-27 21:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xfdbac1…
10-27 20:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5724b6…
10-27 20:28:18	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xf6a33f…
10-27 20:27:57	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xdf1011…
10-27 20:27:27	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xda3ef8…
10-27 18:26:17	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x6a0b84…
10-27 17:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x9823cc…
10-27 15:07:33	Will Arnab peak as a super cyclonic storm?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x15af34…
10-27 15:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb99e3…
10-27 15:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x2e29d9…
10-27 15:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x297b4a…
10-27 14:50:14	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x201636…
10-27 14:50:11	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xe1cb2e…
10-27 14:29:03	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x2a2550…
10-27 14:26:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x9a29d0…
10-27 14:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x0645d8…
10-27 13:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xaea104…
10-27 13:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd31541…
10-27 13:33:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x6c33bd…
10-27 13:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x8300f9…
10-27 12:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x176a91…
10-27 12:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbd089d…
10-27 12:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0343e1…
10-27 12:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd9428c…
10-27 12:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcc5ff7…
10-27 12:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x51d5c8…
10-27 12:25:53	Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xcbbe4c…
10-27 12:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8f3893…
10-27 12:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0xaf0fe2…
10-27 12:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x066d56…
10-27 12:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x377e08…
10-27 11:31:36	Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb59874…
10-27 11:24:54	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xb93ec6…
10-27 11:24:08	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xe833cd…
10-27 11:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x41f996…
10-27 11:04:50	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x372cfc…
10-27 11:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x35887c…
10-27 11:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x0f6f4c…
10-27 10:08:29	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x99cb0f…
10-27 10:07:54	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x98abee…
10-27 10:06:24	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x1004f2…
10-27 10:06:23	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8d2ff1…
10-27 08:28:02	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xbecfe9…
10-27 07:19:51	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9fe194…
10-27 07:02:03	Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xdf1097…
10-27 06:59:48	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x650244…
10-27 06:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x99ca7d…
10-27 06:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x638512…
10-27 06:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	245	0¢	$0	0x24ff52…
10-27 06:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0x19efce…
10-27 06:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0098ae…
10-27 06:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x8efd21…
10-27 06:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x36bb84…
10-27 06:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xb237e4…
10-27 06:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3b0652…
10-27 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf89a79…
10-27 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xb45e34…
10-27 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4c0854…
10-27 05:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xf41da6…
10-27 05:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xddbb8b…
10-27 05:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x2ee79a…
10-27 05:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc4163d…
10-27 05:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x0ce86e…
10-27 05:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1640fe…
10-27 05:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x224788…
10-27 05:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xc6fcb0…
10-27 05:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xf7a2c9…
10-27 05:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x583f70…
10-27 05:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x4096ce…
10-27 05:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x047565…
10-27 05:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x867aca…
10-27 05:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x901e31…
10-27 05:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x8340fa…
10-27 05:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa8c686…
10-27 05:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x108ce5…
10-27 05:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xd052f1…
10-27 04:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x53a95b…
10-27 04:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe0ea24…
10-27 04:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x4d9f8f…
10-27 04:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xbb41bb…
10-27 04:31:06	Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x5ad29e…
10-27 04:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x17b956…