Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e304…394d7e Create alert
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$52.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.5K
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
5,924
Trades
258,417
lifetime
Volume
$9.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$116.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-14 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 258 days
Categories
Other
54% 59% -$21,269
Sports
23% 65% +$90,836
Politics
20% 54% -$20,744
Crypto
2% 58% +$2,463
Tech
1% 54% -$1,231
Pop-Culture
1% 75% +$2,779
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 4748 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +32,366 $29,625 100¢ $32.3K +$2,660 11-04 09:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +14,639 $12,122 100¢ $14.6K +$2,480 11-04 22:01
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +13,812 $12,051 100¢ $13.8K +$1,741 11-05 09:18
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +12,715 $11,291 100¢ $12.7K +$1,405 11-05 11:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +12,235 $9,959 100¢ $12.2K +$2,246 11-04 19:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +6,498 $5,800 100¢ $6.5K +$691 11-05 12:11
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -2,875 -$2,544 98¢ $-2822 -$278 11-03 04:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,854 $337 96¢ $1.8K +$1,433 06-02 02:38
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +1,580 $1,421 99¢ $1.6K +$139 11-05 14:07
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? No +1,269 $933 100¢ $1.3K +$333 11-03 23:07
Will Rene Haas be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +1,588 $1,295 77¢ $1.2K -$75 11-13 19:50
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No +1,181 $1,123 100¢ $1.2K +$53 11-03 23:17
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +1,172 $1,154 98¢ $1.1K -$6 05-19 08:01
Will Michael Kagan be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +1,000 $972 98¢ $983 +$11 11-13 16:30
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No +1,006 $837 93¢ $940 +$104 11-03 23:00
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +951 $789 98¢ $935 +$146 11-05 16:59
Will Johny Srouji be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +1,000 $904 92¢ $921 +$17 11-13 16:56
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +1,000 $856 89¢ $892 +$36 11-13 10:55
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +894 $838 100¢ $889 +$51 06-02 03:13
Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +1,050 $806 82¢ $861 +$55 11-13 20:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -825 -$787 98¢ $-812 -$25 08-07 21:45
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? No +797 $654 98¢ $784 +$130 11-05 06:51
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +776 $630 98¢ $762 +$132 10-31 10:22
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +762 $715 100¢ $758 +$43 11-05 23:51
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? Yes +706 $536 99¢ $702 +$166 11-04 08:28
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +705 $670 98¢ $688 +$18 11-13 13:22
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? No +690 $568 99¢ $680 +$112 10-31 08:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -743 -$559 91¢ $-677 -$118 06-01 15:29
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes -694 -$467 95¢ $-663 -$195 05-22 01:45
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +664 $652 95¢ $629 -$23 05-17 00:18