Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e304…394d7e
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$162
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
180
Trades
112,318
lifetime
Volume
$4.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$6.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-07 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
60% 66% +$1,799
Sports
25% 84% +$3,327
Politics
10% 29% $-274
Crypto
3% 0% $-79
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 2950 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -878 $-811 95¢ $-831 $-21 06-01 16:53
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +519 $365 90¢ $465 +$100 06-02 03:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +888 $370 46¢ $413 +$43 06-02 02:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,081 $318 34¢ $362 +$44 06-02 02:41
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -319 $-252 84¢ $-270 $-18 06-01 16:01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -294 $-261 92¢ $-269 $-8 05-29 16:23
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -530 $-168 50¢ $-268 $-99 06-01 15:01
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? No -260 $-248 99¢ $-257 $-9 05-30 15:43
US recession by end of 2026? No +262 $213 90¢ $236 +$23 06-01 16:07
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +234 $197 94¢ $219 +$22 06-01 13:14
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +226 $202 94¢ $213 +$12 06-01 23:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +388 $220 54¢ $208 $-13 06-01 15:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +291 $180 70¢ $205 +$25 06-01 15:12
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +217 $189 93¢ $203 +$14 06-01 23:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +530 $114 38¢ $199 +$85 06-02 02:38
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +219 $154 88¢ $192 +$37 05-30 02:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 $-168 94¢ $-187 $-19 06-01 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +296 $177 62¢ $185 +$8 06-01 15:57
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +200 $149 86¢ $173 +$24 06-01 22:45
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +478 $262 36¢ $172 $-90 06-01 15:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -234 $-119 66¢ $-153 $-34 05-29 00:07
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -298 $-211 50¢ $-148 +$63 06-01 14:37
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -211 $-123 60¢ $-126 $-3 06-02 02:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +330 $141 34¢ $114 $-27 06-02 03:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $98 92¢ $107 +$9 05-30 13:28
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -161 $-126 62¢ $-101 +$25 06-01 13:15
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +228 $83 44¢ $100 +$17 06-01 10:26
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes -200 $-10 49¢ $-97 $-87 05-29 14:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +135 $60 69¢ $93 +$33 05-30 16:24
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +80 $73 98¢ $78 +$5 05-29 16:04