Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e304…394d7e
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$80.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.56K
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
4,861
Trades
249,560
lifetime
Volume
$8.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$239.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-26 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 239 days
Categories
Other
55% 62% -$12,994
Sports
23% 65% +$87,450
Politics
18% 59% +$2,563
Crypto
2% 55% +$2,171
Tech
1% 54% -$1,231
Pop-Culture
1% 75% +$2,779
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 916 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +69,164 $57,225 77¢ $53.3K -$3,969 10-26 13:20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +56,247 $34,239 72¢ $40.4K +$6,203 10-26 13:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +40,353 $29,534 94¢ $37.9K +$8,337 10-26 13:17
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +79,388 $29,029 28¢ $22.3K -$6,721 10-26 16:47
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +21,662 $14,116 100¢ $21.6K +$7,492 10-25 16:28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +59,157 $10,885 23¢ $13.6K +$2,721 10-26 19:18
Bulls vs. Celtics Celtics +13,975 $12,018 88¢ $12.2K +$210 10-26 04:30
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,172 $5,665 100¢ $6.2K +$498 09-24 15:31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +88,473 $11,764 6¢ $5.4K -$6,323 10-26 20:47
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,957 $4,781 100¢ $5.0K +$171 09-24 13:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4,536 $3,525 45¢ $2.0K -$1,497 06-01 15:19
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,176 $1,816 83¢ $1.8K -$4 10-25 18:42
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,726 $1,574 100¢ $1.7K +$150 10-09 18:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,854 $337 88¢ $1.6K +$1,304 06-02 02:38
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +6,597 $1,327 20¢ $1.3K -$41 10-25 22:15
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +1,172 $1,154 98¢ $1.1K -$9 05-19 08:01
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +5,799 $1,089 20¢ $1.1K +$42 10-26 19:49
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,106 $702 100¢ $1.1K +$403 05-28 10:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,948 $812 56¢ $1.1K +$270 06-02 03:36
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -1,061 -$835 95¢ $-1006 -$172 06-01 16:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,279 $855 74¢ $940 +$85 06-02 02:24
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +894 $838 95¢ $851 +$13 06-02 03:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -825 -$787 96¢ $-796 -$9 08-07 21:45
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +4,593 $1,520 17¢ $769 -$751 10-26 06:27
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +924 $682 80¢ $744 +$62 08-12 07:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -743 -$559 94¢ $-700 -$140 06-01 15:29
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +701 $674 97¢ $680 +$6 10-26 13:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,466 $503 45¢ $660 +$157 06-01 16:46
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +679 $608 97¢ $658 +$51 06-01 08:10
Hawks vs. Rockets Hawks +1,839 $625 36¢ $653 +$28 10-26 04:31