Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e304…394d7e
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$925
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
180
Trades
112,312
lifetime
Volume
$3.99M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$24.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-16 05:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
59% 66% +$1,799
Sports
25% 84% +$3,327
Politics
10% 29% $-274
Crypto
3% 0% $-79
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 3906 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +10,000 $9,910 99¢ $9.9K +$35 06-16 05:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,795 $3,775 92¢ $4.4K +$612 06-11 19:13
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +1,173 $992 99¢ $1.2K +$170 05-31 03:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -878 $-811 94¢ $-823 $-13 06-01 16:53
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +738 $338 90¢ $661 +$323 06-02 03:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -911 $-147 64¢ $-588 $-440 06-01 08:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +888 $370 57¢ $511 +$140 06-02 02:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,081 $318 44¢ $470 +$152 06-02 02:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +519 $365 86¢ $444 +$79 06-02 03:04
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +442 $303 88¢ $391 +$88 06-01 08:24
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -530 $-168 66¢ $-347 $-179 06-01 15:01
Weed rescheduled by June 30? No +314 $308 99¢ $311 +$4 06-01 08:05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -321 $-219 94¢ $-303 $-84 05-29 23:24
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -296 $-281 94¢ $-279 +$2 06-02 03:02
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -294 $-261 92¢ $-269 $-8 05-29 16:23
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -319 $-252 83¢ $-265 $-13 06-01 16:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +296 $177 88¢ $259 +$82 06-01 15:57
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? No -260 $-248 98¢ $-256 $-8 05-30 15:43
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +478 $262 52¢ $246 $-15 06-01 15:31
US recession by end of 2026? No +262 $213 88¢ $230 +$17 06-01 16:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +291 $180 76¢ $221 +$41 06-01 15:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +234 $197 90¢ $210 +$13 06-01 13:14
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +226 $202 92¢ $207 +$5 06-01 23:36
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +217 $189 92¢ $200 +$11 06-01 23:37
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +219 $154 89¢ $195 +$41 05-30 02:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 $-168 92¢ $-183 $-15 06-01 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -234 $-119 72¢ $-167 $-48 05-29 00:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +388 $220 42¢ $165 $-55 06-01 15:42
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -195 $-158 84¢ $-165 $-7 06-01 08:05
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -169 $-158 96¢ $-163 $-5 05-30 15:43