Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$637,606
$8,704 in 24h
Trades
4,649
Unique wallets
737
Liquidity
$51,542
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 14:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.2¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $45.3K
vs crowd: 42% YES on $347.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 37 | $36.9K | $81.9K | $45.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 80 | $20.3K | $56.7K | $36.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 200 | $62.8K | $50.6K | +$12.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 420 | $25.3K | $13.2K | +$12.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 19 | $4.8K | $40.6K | $35.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 40 | $10.1K | $4.7K | +$5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 30 | $198 | $11.3K | $11.1K |
| Median | 67 | $1.4K | $3.3K | $1.9K |
| Below median | 92 | $3.5K | $7.1K | $3.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 25 | $433 | $13.1K | $12.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 38 | $1.8K | $8.4K | $6.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 17 | $33.7K | $23.8K | +$9.9K |
| unranked | 409 | $89.4K | $90.2K | $724 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +85,794 | $33,566 | $33,566 | 73 | 06-28 04:32 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +38,777 | $25,132 | $25,132 | 30 | 07-09 04:16 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +33,376 | $18,889 | $18,889 | 43 | 06-24 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x636c…1e07 | Yes | +20,000 | $7,000 | $7,000 | 2 | 07-07 18:22 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +16,576 | $9,554 | $9,554 | 261 | 07-08 19:06 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +15,993 | $6,483 | $6,483 | 291 | 07-10 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x273b…de09 | No | +15,620 | $10,778 | $10,778 | 18 | 05-28 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +13,558 | $6,248 | $6,248 | 21 | 07-03 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +11,621 | $6,712 | $6,712 | 14 | 06-14 21:01 |
| Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | +11,217 | $4,163 | $4,163 | 16 | 07-10 14:43 |
| High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | +10,603 | $6,314 | $6,314 | 26 | 06-28 04:32 |
| Tattered-Legend 0x939c…ad45 | Yes | +10,186 | $6,316 | $24,391 | 11 | 06-13 03:57 |
| Wilted-Manacle 0x2760…03f3 | No | +9,281 | $5,092 | $5,102 | 7 | 06-30 12:36 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +8,655 | $4,477 | $4,477 | 14 | 06-28 22:13 |
| Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | +8,585 | $5,967 | $5,967 | 2 | 06-02 04:37 |
| Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | +8,000 | $4,603 | $4,603 | 12 | 07-06 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xed79…5479 | No | +6,347 | $3,871 | $3,871 | 2 | 06-03 23:28 |
| Gracious-Acoustics 0x6817…f496 | Yes | +6,147 | $2,693 | $10,826 | 19 | 07-06 21:16 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +5,261 | $4,589 | $24,605 | 67 | 07-10 02:02 |
| Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | No | +5,000 | $2,900 | $2,900 | 2 | 06-19 23:13 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +4,618 | $2,681 | $2,681 | 4 | 07-08 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xc356…8052 | Yes | +4,508 | $-1,692 | $37,180 | 60 | 07-06 13:18 |
| Exemplary-Creek 0x5482…d034 | Yes | +3,997 | $1,879 | $1,879 | 3 | 06-26 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +3,813 | $1,521 | $1,521 | 4 | 06-16 18:41 |
| Cold-Angstrom 0x57c0…60c5 | Yes | +3,266 | $1,236 | $1,236 | 2 | 06-03 04:30 |
| Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | +3,262 | $1,252 | $1,252 | 13 | 07-08 03:32 |
| Fresh-Interval 0xdc6d…10fa | No | +3,000 | $1,650 | $1,650 | 3 | 06-05 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e3…1941 | Yes | +2,857 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-07 19:48 |
| Several-Irrigation 0x2826…f448 | No | +2,514 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 06-04 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +2,421 | $1,293 | $1,293 | 5 | 06-07 02:01 |
| Meager-Home 0xdecd…f575 | No | +2,381 | $1,452 | $1,452 | 1 | 06-14 23:58 |
| Back-Accident 0x2da5…9c11 | Yes | +2,180 | $904 | $904 | 5 | 06-08 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +2,108 | $791 | $1,037 | 6 | 06-16 18:41 |
| Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | +2,080 | $762 | $762 | 3 | 07-07 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc21f…e079 | Yes | +1,980 | $962 | $962 | 2 | 06-26 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x02ed…7251 | Yes | +1,900 | $714 | $714 | 2 | 06-08 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc95b…b355 | No | +1,800 | $1,086 | $1,086 | 5 | 06-04 11:03 |
| Chubby-Forehead 0x2ce0…8d6f | No | +1,755 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 02:12 |
| Squiggly-Sub 0x46a3…338f | Yes | +1,670 | $785 | $785 | 2 | 06-24 17:50 |
| Wiry-Termite 0xf21a…b6e3 | No | +1,607 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-16 21:20 |
| Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | +1,600 | $1,034 | $1,034 | 2 | 07-06 12:43 |
| Gifted-Organisation 0xdbad…9352 | No | +1,600 | $864 | $864 | 1 | 06-25 13:53 |
| Yellowish-Ashram 0x93a4…a537 | Yes | +1,555 | $715 | $715 | 1 | 06-24 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x45d6…303a | No | +1,500 | $899 | $899 | 1 | 06-21 04:54 |
| Organic-Pronoun 0x34da…3435 | Yes | +1,299 | $466 | $466 | 10 | 07-07 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5ca…0a70 | Yes | +1,281 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-31 16:53 |
| Faithful-Liquor 0xb696…9e1f | Yes | +1,258 | $392 | $392 | 8 | 05-30 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x88f0…96de | Yes | +1,252 | $550 | $550 | 1 | 06-08 07:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 14:56:10 | Wary-Bafflement 0x75f9…dbb0 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x15956a… |
| 07-10 14:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x15956a… |
| 07-10 14:43:14 | Near-Cathedral 0xf141…67b0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x6d0a75… |
| 07-10 14:43:14 | Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | BUY | 201 | 32¢ | $64 | 0x6d0a75… |
| 07-10 14:43:14 | Glistening-Perception-Bandolier 0xf36f…c722 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x6d0a75… |
| 07-10 14:43:14 | Untrue-Downforce 0x4392…5723 | No | BUY | 296 | 68¢ | $200 | 0x6d0a75… |
| 07-10 14:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x0aec…80f6 | No | SELL | 45 | 67¢ | $30 | 0x6d0a75… |
| 07-10 14:29:11 | (anonymous) 0x4c9d…a138 | No | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x3416de… |
| 07-10 14:29:11 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x3416de… |
| 07-10 12:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf0d22e… |
| 07-10 12:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x0aec…80f6 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf0d22e… |
| 07-10 09:32:43 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xf2f8c4… |
| 07-10 09:32:43 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 22 | 67¢ | $15 | 0xf2f8c4… |
| 07-10 09:32:43 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | SELL | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xf2f8c4… |
| 07-10 09:32:43 | (anonymous) 0x0aec…80f6 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf2f8c4… |
| 07-10 04:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x49e5…03fd | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xc284df… |
| 07-10 04:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xc284df… |
| 07-10 03:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x0aec…80f6 | No | BUY | 55 | 66¢ | $36 | 0x6d6e57… |
| 07-10 03:05:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x6d6e57… |
| 07-10 03:05:14 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 34¢ | $24 | 0x6d6e57… |
| 07-10 03:05:14 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x6d6e57… |
| 07-10 03:03:50 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xa2de4f… |
| 07-10 03:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xa2de4f… |
| 07-10 03:03:50 | Beneficial-Silkworm 0x0a2d…60ca | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xa2de4f… |
| 07-10 02:04:20 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x2bbc6e… |
| 07-10 02:04:20 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x2bbc6e… |
| 07-10 02:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x2bbc6e… |
| 07-10 02:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x2bbc6e… |
| 07-10 02:04:20 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x2bbc6e… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | BUY | 1,482 | 67¢ | $1,000 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x0aec…80f6 | No | SELL | 25 | 67¢ | $17 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | SELL | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | BUY | 818 | 32¢ | $262 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 200 | 66¢ | $132 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 02:02:58 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 32¢ | $32 | 0xa2ddc7… |
| 07-10 01:29:20 | Official-Locker 0x5da4…7b7d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xf21f50… |
| 07-10 01:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xf21f50… |
| 07-10 01:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 14 | 65¢ | $9 | 0x0725c3… |
| 07-10 01:26:58 | Official-Locker 0x5da4…7b7d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x0725c3… |
| 07-10 01:20:40 | Official-Locker 0x5da4…7b7d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x39c6f1… |
| 07-10 01:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x39c6f1… |
| 07-10 01:13:53 | Official-Locker 0x5da4…7b7d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xa2bf46… |
| 07-10 01:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xa2bf46… |
| 07-09 22:22:19 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 88 | 34¢ | $30 | 0xa27df2… |
| 07-09 22:22:19 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0xa27df2… |
| 07-09 22:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0xa27df2… |
| 07-09 20:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x3cadf4… |
| 07-09 20:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x0b1c…cc8a | No | SELL | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x3cadf4… |
| 07-09 20:29:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x3cadf4… |
| 07-09 06:36:38 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | No | SELL | 106 | 65¢ | $69 | 0xe79de1… |
| 07-09 06:36:38 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 35 | 35¢ | $12 | 0xe79de1… |
| 07-09 06:36:38 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0xe79de1… |
| 07-09 06:36:38 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | BUY | 154 | 65¢ | $100 | 0xe79de1… |
| 07-09 06:12:13 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 94 | 36¢ | $34 | 0xbe485d… |
| 07-09 06:12:13 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | BUY | 94 | 64¢ | $60 | 0xbe485d… |
| 07-09 04:16:11 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 11 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x8c8930… |
| 07-09 04:16:11 | Humongous-Pharmacopoeia 0x6e35…a3bd | No | SELL | 11 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x8c8930… |
| 07-09 03:56:31 | Rundown-Certificate 0x5911…28bb | Yes | SELL | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xb13348… |
| 07-09 03:56:31 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xb13348… |
| 07-09 00:14:56 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 3,003 | 63¢ | $1,892 | 0x3042e9… |
| 07-09 00:14:56 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 3,003 | 63¢ | $1,892 | 0x3042e9… |
| 07-08 23:25:49 | Rundown-Certificate 0x5911…28bb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x390110… |
| 07-08 23:25:49 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x390110… |
| 07-08 22:50:50 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x270447… |
| 07-08 22:50:50 | Rundown-Certificate 0x5911…28bb | Yes | SELL | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x270447… |
| 07-08 21:06:23 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 230 | 63¢ | $145 | 0xc35a0b… |
| 07-08 21:06:23 | (anonymous) 0xc1bb…a95d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 37¢ | $85 | 0xc35a0b… |
| 07-08 19:37:59 | (anonymous) 0x0b1c…cc8a | No | BUY | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x022f0d… |
| 07-08 19:37:59 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x022f0d… |
| 07-08 19:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xe37f…a74b | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x9cce26… |
| 07-08 19:28:22 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x9cce26… |
| 07-08 19:28:05 | Glistening-Perception-Bandolier 0xf36f…c722 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x7a2fe4… |
| 07-08 19:28:05 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 100 | 63¢ | $63 | 0x7a2fe4… |
| 07-08 19:06:50 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 63¢ | $63 | 0xf2a9ba… |
| 07-08 19:06:50 | Near-Cathedral 0xf141…67b0 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 37¢ | $40 | 0xf2a9ba… |
| 07-08 19:06:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xf2a9ba… |
| 07-08 17:21:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x88a610… |
| 07-08 17:21:53 | Rundown-Certificate 0x5911…28bb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x88a610… |
| 07-08 16:10:31 | Posh-Instinct 0x637f…7925 | No | BUY | 141 | 64¢ | $90 | 0xa15bc8… |
| 07-08 16:10:31 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 141 | 64¢ | $90 | 0xa15bc8… |
| 07-08 15:50:56 | Extraneous-Paperwork 0xe02c…4ab1 | No | SELL | 211 | 63¢ | $133 | 0xfc4dfd… |
| 07-08 15:50:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 37¢ | $5 | 0xfc4dfd… |
| 07-08 15:50:56 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 198 | 63¢ | $125 | 0xfc4dfd… |
| 07-08 15:35:35 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0x21c164… |
| 07-08 15:35:35 | (anonymous) 0xda0f…2a19 | No | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0x21c164… |
| 07-08 15:31:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x0dc124… |
| 07-08 15:31:37 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x0dc124… |
| 07-08 15:31:37 | Idealistic-Valance 0x191e…ef6b | No | BUY | 40 | 64¢ | $26 | 0x0dc124… |
| 07-08 15:31:37 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 150 | 64¢ | $96 | 0x0dc124… |
| 07-08 10:27:14 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 15 | 63¢ | $10 | 0xf8a0b3… |
| 07-08 10:27:14 | (anonymous) 0x1c51…96cd | No | SELL | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x293621… |
| 07-08 10:27:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xf8a0b3… |
| 07-08 10:27:14 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x293621… |
| 07-08 10:27:14 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 63¢ | $8 | 0xf8a0b3… |
| 07-08 10:27:14 | (anonymous) 0xba34…bf1c | No | SELL | 29 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xf8a0b3… |
| 07-08 10:26:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x927d3f… |
| 07-08 10:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x46da…bf52 | No | SELL | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x927d3f… |