Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$432,104
$8,704 in 24h
Trades
2,977
Unique wallets
486
Liquidity
$51,542
Latest YES mid
43¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 09:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.3¢
(top1%: 33% YES on $12.9K
vs crowd: 45% YES on $225.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 28 | $26.5K | $33.8K | $7.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 63 | $11.6K | $36.8K | $25.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 125 | $52.7K | $42.1K | +$10.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 270 | $11.3K | $11.2K | +$78 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $4.3K | $8.7K | $4.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 29 | $516 | $3.4K | $2.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 23 | $105 | $9.4K | $9.3K |
| Median | 43 | $1.0K | $2.2K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 62 | $2.9K | $4.8K | $1.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $423 | $6.5K | $6.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 29 | $1.8K | $5.8K | $4.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $24.2K | $19.9K | +$4.3K |
| unranked | 252 | $66.9K | $63.3K | +$3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +64,314 | $24,060 | $24,060 | 61 | 06-08 00:06 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +30,579 | $17,374 | $17,374 | 32 | 06-20 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc356…8052 | Yes | +20,018 | $4,081 | $31,406 | 41 | 06-15 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x273b…de09 | No | +15,620 | $10,778 | $10,778 | 18 | 05-28 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +13,104 | $6,044 | $6,044 | 12 | 06-10 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +11,621 | $6,712 | $6,712 | 14 | 06-14 21:01 |
| Tattered-Legend 0x939c…ad45 | Yes | +10,186 | $6,316 | $24,391 | 11 | 06-13 03:57 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +9,653 | $5,622 | $5,622 | 164 | 06-20 09:02 |
| Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | +8,811 | $3,314 | $3,314 | 12 | 06-18 23:15 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +8,732 | $3,458 | $3,458 | 144 | 06-20 07:46 |
| Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | +8,585 | $5,967 | $5,967 | 2 | 06-02 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xed79…5479 | No | +6,347 | $3,871 | $3,871 | 2 | 06-03 23:28 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +6,251 | $3,251 | $3,251 | 6 | 06-06 18:49 |
| High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | +5,205 | $3,167 | $3,167 | 18 | 06-19 01:29 |
| Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | No | +5,000 | $2,900 | $2,900 | 2 | 06-19 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +3,813 | $1,521 | $1,521 | 4 | 06-16 18:41 |
| Cold-Angstrom 0x57c0…60c5 | Yes | +3,266 | $1,236 | $1,236 | 2 | 06-03 04:30 |
| Fresh-Interval 0xdc6d…10fa | No | +3,000 | $1,650 | $1,650 | 3 | 06-05 19:01 |
| Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | +2,957 | $1,774 | $4,226 | 13 | 06-19 01:29 |
| Several-Irrigation 0x2826…f448 | No | +2,514 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 06-04 16:26 |
| Thick-Language 0x453a…81d2 | Yes | +2,500 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 06-18 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +2,421 | $1,293 | $1,293 | 5 | 06-07 02:01 |
| Meager-Home 0xdecd…f575 | No | +2,381 | $1,452 | $1,452 | 1 | 06-14 23:58 |
| Back-Accident 0x2da5…9c11 | Yes | +2,180 | $904 | $904 | 5 | 06-08 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +2,108 | $791 | $1,037 | 6 | 06-16 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x02ed…7251 | Yes | +1,900 | $714 | $714 | 2 | 06-08 00:06 |
| Admired-Hometown 0x1c06…047c | Yes | +1,837 | $735 | $735 | 1 | 06-13 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc95b…b355 | No | +1,800 | $1,086 | $1,086 | 5 | 06-04 11:03 |
| Chubby-Forehead 0x2ce0…8d6f | No | +1,755 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 02:12 |
| Wiry-Termite 0xf21a…b6e3 | No | +1,607 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-16 21:20 |
| Sudden-Trouble 0x880e…54ed | No | +1,605 | $1,025 | $1,025 | 3 | 06-04 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5ca…0a70 | Yes | +1,281 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-31 16:53 |
| Faithful-Liquor 0xb696…9e1f | Yes | +1,258 | $392 | $392 | 8 | 05-30 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x88f0…96de | Yes | +1,252 | $550 | $550 | 1 | 06-08 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xab6c…88d9 | Yes | +1,125 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-17 20:12 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +1,081 | $318 | $1,851 | 57 | 06-02 02:41 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +1,076 | $689 | $689 | 3 | 06-16 08:16 |
| Rosy-Ark 0x221c…d3c1 | Yes | +1,060 | $385 | $807 | 13 | 06-15 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xee1a…e579 | No | +1,013 | $588 | $3,303 | 75 | 06-18 16:20 |
| Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | +1,000 | $590 | $590 | 1 | 06-19 03:39 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +834 | $363 | $363 | 2 | 06-07 09:44 |
| Gorgeous-Bulldozer 0xee98…113d | No | +801 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-17 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8de1…3f69 | No | +787 | $464 | $464 | 3 | 06-19 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +750 | $472 | $472 | 1 | 06-03 16:01 |
| Intelligent-Sidewalk 0x5806…751f | No | +703 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-02 17:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 09:02:55 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x086f02… |
| 06-20 09:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xbdbf…1585 | No | SELL | 802 | 56¢ | $449 | 0x086f02… |
| 06-20 09:02:55 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 646 | 56¢ | $362 | 0x086f02… |
| 06-20 09:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x086f02… |
| 06-20 09:02:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0x086f02… |
| 06-20 09:00:29 | Euphoric-Contribution 0xb8ca…d987 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x8fbfd1… |
| 06-20 09:00:29 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 12 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x8fbfd1… |
| 06-20 08:01:31 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xe50e9b… |
| 06-20 08:01:31 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xe50e9b… |
| 06-20 07:46:55 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 41¢ | $41 | 0xb49663… |
| 06-20 07:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xb49663… |
| 06-20 07:46:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0xb49663… |
| 06-20 07:46:55 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 4 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xb49663… |
| 06-20 07:46:55 | Tedious-Bean 0xb36b…7804 | Yes | SELL | 350 | 42¢ | $147 | 0xb49663… |
| 06-20 06:10:05 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xef3c87… |
| 06-20 06:10:05 | Unsung-Fit 0x35f7…8058 | No | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xef3c87… |
| 06-20 03:57:05 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xcd18d3… |
| 06-20 03:57:05 | (anonymous) 0x8e73…c594 | No | SELL | 8 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xcd18d3… |
| 06-20 02:27:32 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 13 | 43¢ | $6 | 0x59d849… |
| 06-20 02:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x59d849… |
| 06-20 02:27:32 | Antique-Footstool 0x9f36…1105 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x59d849… |
| 06-20 00:25:29 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 44¢ | $44 | 0x0c617c… |
| 06-20 00:25:29 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0x0c617c… |
| 06-20 00:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x8a6a97… |
| 06-20 00:05:10 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x8a6a97… |
| 06-20 00:05:10 | (anonymous) 0xf7ac…427f | No | BUY | 15 | 57¢ | $8 | 0x8a6a97… |
| 06-19 23:56:35 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 200 | 56¢ | $112 | 0xd8b3f9… |
| 06-19 23:56:35 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 44¢ | $44 | 0xd8b3f9… |
| 06-19 23:30:55 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x264b20… |
| 06-19 23:30:55 | (anonymous) 0xf7ac…427f | No | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x264b20… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | BUY | 143 | 58¢ | $83 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | SELL | 9,105 | 57¢ | $5,146 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | No | BUY | 4,738 | 58¢ | $2,748 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | BUY | 500 | 54¢ | $270 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Full-Licensing 0xd37a…85ef | Yes | SELL | 102 | 48¢ | $49 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | (anonymous) 0xf8b5…6123 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 45¢ | $135 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 53¢ | $6 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 55¢ | $1,650 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 23:13:17 | Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | BUY | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0x80268d… |
| 06-19 22:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xbdb624… |
| 06-19 22:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x83b1…88e9 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xbdb624… |
| 06-19 22:25:47 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x7a1930… |
| 06-19 22:25:47 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 58¢ | $7 | 0x7a1930… |
| 06-19 22:25:47 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | No | BUY | 262 | 58¢ | $152 | 0x7a1930… |
| 06-19 22:25:47 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 200 | 42¢ | $84 | 0x7a1930… |
| 06-19 22:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x58f2b1… |
| 06-19 22:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x95a2…96c8 | No | SELL | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x58f2b1… |
| 06-19 12:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x9b47…1327 | No | SELL | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0x691bba… |
| 06-19 12:51:58 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0x691bba… |
| 06-19 12:36:13 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0xaf4e56… |
| 06-19 12:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x8d15…38a3 | No | SELL | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0xaf4e56… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 39 | 55¢ | $21 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x8de1…3f69 | No | BUY | 170 | 59¢ | $100 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | SELL | 552 | 58¢ | $319 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | Near-Cathedral 0xf141…67b0 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 44¢ | $44 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 12:28:35 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x3cea28… |
| 06-19 08:10:29 | Shallow-Span 0x5763…1c22 | No | SELL | 609 | 59¢ | $359 | 0x8f3dcc… |
| 06-19 08:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x8de1…3f69 | No | BUY | 609 | 59¢ | $359 | 0x8f3dcc… |
| 06-19 08:00:02 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xec71d7… |
| 06-19 08:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x8de1…3f69 | No | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xec71d7… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 191 | 41¢ | $78 | 0x15779a… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x15779a… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xa66d…0859 | Yes | SELL | 203 | 41¢ | $83 | 0x15779a… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xafbd…5a59 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x54fb25… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x54fb25… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | SELL | 1,601 | 59¢ | $937 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | BUY | 43 | 58¢ | $25 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 1,000 | 59¢ | $590 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xd4c1…ed09 | No | BUY | 100 | 57¢ | $57 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 38 | 56¢ | $21 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xe5c6…0b43 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x6750…3551 | No | BUY | 100 | 58¢ | $58 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | BUY | 61 | 59¢ | $36 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 57¢ | $57 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 03:39:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x0cf9c7… |
| 06-19 02:40:28 | Embarrassed-Snowboarding 0x3f19…05cb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xca598b… |
| 06-19 02:40:28 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xca598b… |
| 06-19 01:29:13 | High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | BUY | 667 | 60¢ | $400 | 0x2b0f06… |
| 06-19 01:29:13 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 667 | 60¢ | $400 | 0x2b0f06… |
| 06-19 01:29:05 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 333 | 60¢ | $200 | 0x9a10f2… |
| 06-19 01:29:05 | High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | BUY | 333 | 60¢ | $200 | 0x9a10f2… |
| 06-18 23:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0xff4de5… |
| 06-18 23:18:52 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xff4de5… |
| 06-18 23:15:43 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 1,043 | 60¢ | $626 | 0xc4bd65… |
| 06-18 23:15:43 | (anonymous) 0x15e6…3c2b | Yes | SELL | 1,078 | 40¢ | $431 | 0xc4bd65… |
| 06-18 23:15:43 | Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | BUY | 35 | 40¢ | $14 | 0xc4bd65… |
| 06-18 21:41:32 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $29 | 0xe4a4af… |
| 06-18 21:41:32 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0xe4a4af… |
| 06-18 21:41:32 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0xe4a4af… |
| 06-18 21:41:32 | Wealthy-Pruner 0xb443…a0ca | No | SELL | 211 | 59¢ | $125 | 0xe4a4af… |
| 06-18 21:41:32 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0xe4a4af… |
| 06-18 21:41:32 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 41¢ | $12 | 0xe4a4af… |