Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,941,083
$9,940 in 24h
Trades
18,022
Unique wallets
2,106
Liquidity
$239,353
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 20:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.2¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $865.7K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $3.29M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 125 | $264.7K | $2.14M | $1.87M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 237 | $250.5K | $145.5K | +$105.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 583 | $194.9K | $202.4K | $7.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,161 | $78.7K | $16.8K | +$61.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 116 | $226.3K | $639.3K | $413.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 162 | $79.3K | $48.6K | +$30.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 140 | $14.7K | $14.3K | +$430 |
| Median | 367 | $10.5K | $15.3K | $4.9K |
| Below median | 739 | $51.5K | $69.3K | $17.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 177 | $28.4K | $44.6K | $16.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 197 | $51.8K | $51.7K | +$73 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 103 | $108.9K | $623.1K | $514.2K |
| unranked | 105 | $217.4K | $996.4K | $779.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x42d1…dab6 | No | +1,108,598 | $896,505 | $896,505 | 65 | 09-02 22:30 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +243,466 | $56,838 | $56,838 | 147 | 09-17 00:31 |
| Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | +198,586 | -$1,795 | $105,541 | 291 | 10-26 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x216b…d8a5 | Yes | +183,697 | $16,099 | $16,099 | 23 | 10-23 09:50 |
| Organic-Intensity 0x972c…9492 | Yes | +164,010 | $8,979 | $8,979 | 2 | 10-23 11:18 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +152,531 | $119,013 | $119,013 | 113 | 09-26 13:40 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +86,205 | $74,579 | $74,579 | 54 | 10-05 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7dd3…4ae7 | No | +79,959 | $73,301 | $73,301 | 1 | 08-25 05:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x96e8…bf9f | Yes | +67,548 | $6,753 | $6,753 | 4 | 09-14 08:29 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +62,177 | $32,829 | $50,773 | 23 | 08-23 11:51 |
| Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | +59,003 | $3,392 | $3,407 | 137 | 10-12 12:25 |
| Juicy-Inlaws 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | +57,898 | $2,784 | $2,784 | 2 | 09-22 09:37 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +49,000 | $45,080 | $45,080 | 21 | 09-02 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | No | +42,006 | $36,664 | $36,664 | 12 | 09-23 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | Yes | +41,195 | $2,021 | $2,021 | 7 | 10-08 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bd8…fc9e | Yes | +38,750 | $2,743 | $2,743 | 163 | 09-23 11:37 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +34,703 | $23,658 | $24,005 | 525 | 10-07 23:24 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +33,971 | $10,320 | $13,626 | 899 | 10-13 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb392…fc73 | Yes | +30,003 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 54 | 10-18 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d5…523e | Yes | +29,688 | $2,620 | $2,620 | 28 | 10-19 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8baf…e747 | Yes | +29,393 | $1,441 | $1,533 | 24 | 10-02 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf25…3b7f | No | +28,869 | $19,781 | $19,781 | 11 | 07-31 21:09 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +27,557 | $5,365 | $5,365 | 58 | 09-02 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0a…35cd | Yes | +27,498 | $990 | $990 | 9 | 10-15 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +25,621 | $9,577 | $9,577 | 34 | 08-21 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2272…b294 | Yes | +22,603 | $2,029 | $2,029 | 1 | 09-16 15:50 |
| Truthful-Level 0xc427…6f4d | Yes | +22,234 | $1,085 | $1,085 | 3 | 10-26 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +21,675 | $1,829 | $2,091 | 7 | 10-26 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cad…44b0 | Yes | +16,976 | $4,528 | $4,528 | 2 | 08-13 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +14,817 | $8,922 | $8,922 | 25 | 10-18 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca5…8727 | Yes | +13,258 | $1,264 | $1,264 | 26 | 09-11 06:25 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +12,986 | $1,523 | $1,613 | 8 | 10-16 19:10 |
| Esteemed-Yoga 0xe700…7005 | Yes | +12,886 | $1,173 | $1,173 | 2 | 09-16 04:29 |
| Murky-Toll 0x1cd2…7f85 | No | +12,581 | $10,010 | $10,010 | 5 | 08-08 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x26b5…ae60 | Yes | +11,786 | $588 | $588 | 1 | 09-22 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd3b…3a99 | Yes | +11,553 | $2,311 | $2,311 | 7 | 08-08 09:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x338b…26e4 | Yes | +11,368 | $909 | $909 | 1 | 09-01 07:33 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +10,682 | $10,212 | $10,212 | 1 | 10-20 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +10,416 | $8,924 | $298,542 | 223 | 10-26 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7a2…ca44 | Yes | +10,399 | $861 | $861 | 2 | 09-08 21:18 |
| Cavernous-Terminal 0x9cf8…7f09 | Yes | +10,378 | $189 | $2,869 | 9 | 09-15 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | +10,303 | $9,729 | $9,729 | 7 | 10-02 04:38 |
| Tattered-Legend 0x939c…ad45 | Yes | +10,186 | $6,316 | $24,391 | 11 | 06-13 03:57 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +8,655 | $4,477 | $4,477 | 14 | 06-28 22:13 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +7,425 | $7,096 | $7,096 | 14 | 10-19 07:22 |
| Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | No | +7,277 | $5,888 | $6,654 | 5 | 09-23 10:03 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +6,400 | $6,125 | $6,125 | 4 | 10-23 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +5,143 | $4,521 | $4,521 | 5 | 09-03 04:51 |
| Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | No | +5,000 | $2,900 | $2,900 | 2 | 06-19 23:13 |
| Fresh-Interval 0xdc6d…10fa | No | +5,000 | $3,010 | $3,010 | 4 | 07-13 16:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:29:32 | Bustling-Lining 0xc802…d54b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x05c0c9… |
| 10-26 20:29:32 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x05c0c9… |
| 10-26 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | SELL | 390 | 6¢ | $24 | 0x19eb7b… |
| 10-26 15:22:18 | Sunny-Strudel 0x5d81…360e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd70e74… |
| 10-26 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd70e74… |
| 10-26 15:22:18 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x19eb7b… |
| 10-26 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x19eb7b… |
| 10-26 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | BUY | 150 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x19eb7b… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | BUY | 557 | 7¢ | $37 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 150 | 93¢ | $139 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 15:11:27 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 79 | 93¢ | $73 | 0x6cfec6… |
| 10-26 00:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 9,090 | 94¢ | $8,581 | 0x87d91a… |
| 10-26 00:23:15 | Truthful-Level 0xc427…6f4d | Yes | BUY | 9,101 | 6¢ | $510 | 0x87d91a… |
| 10-26 00:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x87d91a… |
| 10-26 00:17:24 | Suburban-Mussel 0x1950…81a3 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x847f40… |
| 10-26 00:17:24 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x847f40… |
| 10-25 23:56:18 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x22689d… |
| 10-25 23:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x8e45…e0a4 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x22689d… |
| 10-25 23:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 239 | 94¢ | $226 | 0xa8e31a… |
| 10-25 23:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x6d33…5a14 | No | SELL | 275 | 95¢ | $260 | 0xa8e31a… |
| 10-25 23:08:18 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 36 | 95¢ | $34 | 0xa8e31a… |
| 10-25 22:56:59 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x2f8d4c… |
| 10-25 22:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x2f8d4c… |
| 10-25 22:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x6d33…5a14 | No | SELL | 264 | 95¢ | $250 | 0x2f8d4c… |
| 10-25 22:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 157 | 95¢ | $148 | 0x2f8d4c… |
| 10-25 22:56:59 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x2f8d4c… |
| 10-25 22:50:27 | (anonymous) 0xb566…5ad4 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x71f7c2… |
| 10-25 22:50:27 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x71f7c2… |
| 10-25 21:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8f7616… |
| 10-25 21:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x6cd3…c8c1 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8f7616… |
| 10-25 18:51:42 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x4d910f… |
| 10-25 18:51:42 | (anonymous) 0xe706…2579 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x4d910f… |
| 10-25 18:50:18 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0x4b7177… |
| 10-25 18:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xf3b5…0c33 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x4b7177… |
| 10-25 18:50:18 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | SELL | 58 | 95¢ | $55 | 0x4b7177… |
| 10-25 18:50:18 | Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | Yes | SELL | 161 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x4b7177… |
| 10-25 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xf3b5…0c33 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x666ee5… |
| 10-25 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0x8e45…e0a4 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x666ee5… |
| 10-25 17:11:24 | Suburban-Mussel 0x1950…81a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xd31d86… |
| 10-25 17:11:24 | (anonymous) 0xf3b5…0c33 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd31d86… |
| 10-25 14:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x6cd3…c8c1 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x3603ce… |
| 10-25 14:43:14 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x3603ce… |
| 10-25 13:19:00 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcc380c… |
| 10-25 13:19:00 | Downright-Entertainment 0x0f66…15f9 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xcc380c… |
| 10-25 13:13:24 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x184334… |
| 10-25 13:13:24 | Cuddly-Soap 0x02ee…7a9b | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x184334… |
| 10-25 10:08:18 | Downright-Entertainment 0x0f66…15f9 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xd6e56c… |
| 10-25 10:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x2b5e…f157 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd6e56c… |
| 10-25 10:03:02 | (anonymous) 0x2b5e…f157 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x617a89… |
| 10-25 10:03:02 | Cuddly-Soap 0x02ee…7a9b | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x617a89… |
| 10-25 08:54:21 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2c88d9… |
| 10-25 08:54:21 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x2c88d9… |
| 10-25 08:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x2b5e…f157 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2c88d9… |
| 10-25 08:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x2b5e…f157 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6e1ae0… |
| 10-25 08:50:21 | (anonymous) 0xf3b5…0c33 | No | BUY | 84 | 95¢ | $79 | 0x6e1ae0… |
| 10-25 04:10:18 | (anonymous) 0xe706…2579 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x14485e… |
| 10-25 04:10:18 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x14485e… |
| 10-25 04:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x9457ba… |
| 10-25 04:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x9b43…fcc1 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x9457ba… |
| 10-25 00:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x0d85e6… |
| 10-25 00:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x0543…31de | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x0d85e6… |
| 10-25 00:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x094b09… |
| 10-25 00:10:08 | Embarrassed-Mug 0x541e…91aa | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x094b09… |
| 10-24 23:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 495 | 94¢ | $467 | 0x6f0684… |
| 10-24 23:57:45 | (anonymous) 0xf180…f908 | No | SELL | 500 | 94¢ | $472 | 0x6f0684… |
| 10-24 23:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6f0684… |
| 10-24 22:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x9b43…fcc1 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x114230… |
| 10-24 22:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x114230… |
| 10-24 20:33:18 | Outrageous-Dish 0x81fa…c4d6 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x2fd170… |
| 10-24 20:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xa856…2278 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x2fd170… |
| 10-24 19:29:54 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | SELL | 313 | 6¢ | $18 | 0x70a96f… |
| 10-24 19:29:54 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | BUY | 313 | 6¢ | $18 | 0x70a96f… |
| 10-24 18:28:39 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5b92f3… |
| 10-24 18:28:39 | Yawning-Cabbage 0xc75c…db1b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5b92f3… |
| 10-24 18:10:00 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0ba3e0… |
| 10-24 18:10:00 | Embarrassed-Mug 0x541e…91aa | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x0ba3e0… |
| 10-24 18:06:23 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb95f2b… |
| 10-24 18:06:23 | (anonymous) 0x8dde…5045 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb95f2b… |
| 10-24 17:39:20 | (anonymous) 0x0543…31de | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x828892… |
| 10-24 17:39:20 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x828892… |
| 10-24 15:24:45 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 15,733 | 95¢ | $14,883 | 0xafe106… |
| 10-24 15:24:45 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | SELL | 15,733 | 5¢ | $850 | 0xafe106… |
| 10-24 15:24:29 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x423b32… |
| 10-24 15:24:29 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 153 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x423b32… |
| 10-24 15:24:29 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x423b32… |
| 10-24 15:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xf3b5…0c33 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa5fe71… |
| 10-24 15:21:56 | Glistening-Hiccups 0x2b16…a4fc | No | BUY | 160 | 95¢ | $152 | 0xa5fe71… |
| 10-24 15:21:56 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 238 | 5¢ | $12 | 0xa5fe71… |
| 10-24 15:21:56 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa5fe71… |
| 10-24 10:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x81d799… |
| 10-24 10:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xe8dc…3e53 | Yes | BUY | 970 | 5¢ | $47 | 0x81d799… |
| 10-24 10:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | SELL | 70 | 95¢ | $67 | 0x81d799… |
| 10-24 10:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x2aa4…e47c | Yes | SELL | 1,098 | 5¢ | $53 | 0x81d799… |
| 10-24 10:25:30 | Yawning-Cabbage 0xc75c…db1b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x078f52… |
| 10-24 10:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x078f52… |
| 10-24 08:39:53 | (anonymous) 0xc277…a315 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xf08452… |