Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,152,182
$8,704 in 24h
Trades
7,857
Unique wallets
1,139
Liquidity
$51,542
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-20 03:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.8¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $259.5K
vs crowd: 25% YES on $1.73M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 64 | $110.6K | $364.3K | $253.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 127 | $181.7K | $846.5K | $664.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 301 | $98.3K | $67.2K | +$31.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 647 | $48.9K | $15.1K | +$33.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $50.7K | $208.7K | $158.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 58 | $16.0K | $19.7K | $3.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 43 | $3.3K | $11.9K | $8.6K |
| Median | 95 | $5.7K | $6.0K | $288 |
| Below median | 121 | $6.2K | $10.3K | $4.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 41 | $7.6K | $16.0K | $8.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 51 | $2.0K | $16.6K | $14.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $44.6K | $67.9K | $23.3K |
| unranked | 678 | $303.4K | $936.0K | $632.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x42d1…dab6 | No | +894,188 | $699,744 | $699,744 | 46 | 08-19 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ad9…8d2e | Yes | +689,469 | $140,828 | $140,828 | 72 | 08-19 15:33 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +189,295 | $135,517 | $135,517 | 186 | 08-16 18:14 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +157,077 | $41,801 | $41,801 | 12 | 08-14 00:16 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +130,108 | $44,066 | $44,066 | 87 | 08-17 15:11 |
| Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | +120,000 | $90,312 | $90,342 | 61 | 08-17 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b26…2211 | Yes | +80,638 | $20,159 | $20,159 | 4 | 08-03 15:00 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +69,100 | $45,637 | $45,637 | 76 | 08-13 11:36 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | +48,453 | $37,829 | $43,231 | 66 | 08-06 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xafa2…0611 | Yes | +33,199 | $9,000 | $9,000 | 2 | 07-23 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf25…3b7f | No | +28,869 | $19,781 | $19,781 | 11 | 07-31 21:09 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +25,082 | $17,993 | $17,993 | 35 | 08-14 00:16 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +24,674 | $15,543 | $15,543 | 375 | 08-16 18:14 |
| Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | +24,383 | $8,147 | $8,147 | 27 | 08-20 03:38 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +24,167 | $8,505 | $8,505 | 436 | 08-19 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x636c…1e07 | Yes | +22,447 | $7,685 | $7,685 | 3 | 07-14 23:27 |
| Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | +19,656 | $4,248 | $4,248 | 20 | 08-19 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cad…44b0 | Yes | +16,976 | $4,528 | $4,528 | 2 | 08-13 11:36 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +16,460 | $4,082 | $4,082 | 34 | 08-19 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x273b…de09 | No | +15,620 | $10,778 | $10,778 | 18 | 05-28 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +14,406 | $6,448 | $6,448 | 24 | 07-18 17:49 |
| Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | +13,780 | $3,483 | $4,268 | 36 | 08-19 15:49 |
| Ready-Bell 0x96ef…5523 | Yes | +13,246 | $3,081 | $3,081 | 17 | 08-18 09:22 |
| Murky-Toll 0x1cd2…7f85 | No | +12,581 | $10,010 | $10,010 | 5 | 08-08 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +11,621 | $6,712 | $6,712 | 14 | 06-14 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd3b…3a99 | Yes | +11,553 | $2,311 | $2,311 | 7 | 08-08 09:11 |
| High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | +10,603 | $6,314 | $6,314 | 26 | 06-28 04:32 |
| Tattered-Legend 0x939c…ad45 | Yes | +10,186 | $6,316 | $24,391 | 11 | 06-13 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7cb…83a5 | Yes | +9,248 | $2,389 | $5,681 | 15 | 08-19 15:31 |
| Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | +8,749 | $1,609 | $9,431 | 24 | 08-16 18:54 |
| Understated-Saxophone 0x86ab…e5be | No | +8,719 | $6,065 | $6,065 | 3 | 07-29 15:24 |
| Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | +8,674 | $1,894 | $1,894 | 52 | 08-20 02:54 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +8,655 | $4,477 | $4,477 | 14 | 06-28 22:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9135…fd1f | Yes | +8,604 | $1,893 | $1,893 | 5 | 07-20 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | +8,500 | $1,870 | $1,870 | 27 | 07-16 07:04 |
| Young-Belligerency-Sunroom 0x786e…074e | Yes | +8,260 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 08-08 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x466a…444a | Yes | +8,096 | $2,058 | $2,058 | 3 | 07-26 08:39 |
| Pastel-Method 0x606d…1aaf | No | +7,327 | $5,337 | $18,422 | 4 | 08-19 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7db9…d477 | Yes | +6,824 | $1,757 | $1,757 | 2 | 08-11 02:38 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +6,574 | $5,566 | $26,848 | 77 | 08-15 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xed79…5479 | No | +6,347 | $3,871 | $3,871 | 2 | 06-03 23:28 |
| Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | No | +6,229 | $4,938 | $5,062 | 2 | 08-19 15:23 |
| Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | No | +5,000 | $2,900 | $2,900 | 2 | 06-19 23:13 |
| Fresh-Interval 0xdc6d…10fa | No | +5,000 | $3,010 | $3,010 | 4 | 07-13 16:37 |
| Giving-Delay 0xd802…f912 | Yes | +4,589 | $1,147 | $1,147 | 37 | 08-15 19:09 |
| Exemplary-Creek 0x5482…d034 | Yes | +3,997 | $1,879 | $1,879 | 3 | 06-26 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +3,813 | $1,521 | $1,521 | 4 | 06-16 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x0366…a001 | Yes | +3,720 | $866 | $3,994 | 24 | 08-12 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +3,486 | $2,571 | $2,571 | 8 | 08-05 17:37 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +3,387 | $2,678 | $3,697 | 4 | 08-20 02:26 |
| Unfit-Nasal 0xfa22…00dd | Yes | +3,303 | $947 | $947 | 2 | 07-31 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x02ed…7251 | Yes | +3,300 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 4 | 07-27 09:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 03:38:55 | Focused-Kilogram 0x9d3b…22ab | Yes | BUY | 186 | 18¢ | $34 | 0x533a66… |
| 08-20 03:38:55 | Gracious-Acoustics 0x6817…f496 | Yes | SELL | 186 | 18¢ | $34 | 0x533a66… |
| 08-20 02:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x0b8a…e3ce | Yes | SELL | 49 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xdaa357… |
| 08-20 02:54:34 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xdaa357… |
| 08-20 02:26:45 | Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | BUY | 600 | 83¢ | $498 | 0x495b58… |
| 08-20 02:26:45 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | SELL | 95 | 83¢ | $79 | 0x495b58… |
| 08-20 02:26:45 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 505 | 17¢ | $86 | 0x495b58… |
| 08-20 00:57:22 | Deep-Hose 0x014e…f880 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xdf4eed… |
| 08-20 00:57:22 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | SELL | 26 | 83¢ | $21 | 0xdf4eed… |
| 08-20 00:23:58 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | SELL | 129 | 83¢ | $107 | 0xdd2a3c… |
| 08-20 00:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | SELL | 21 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xdd2a3c… |
| 08-20 00:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | SELL | 250 | 83¢ | $208 | 0xdd2a3c… |
| 08-20 00:23:58 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 400 | 83¢ | $332 | 0xdd2a3c… |
| 08-19 23:42:00 | (anonymous) 0xeade…f936 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x4a2a04… |
| 08-19 23:42:00 | (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x4a2a04… |
| 08-19 21:17:48 | Gracious-Acoustics 0x6817…f496 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 18¢ | $36 | 0xa59be8… |
| 08-19 21:17:48 | (anonymous) 0x78b3…a139 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 18¢ | $36 | 0xa59be8… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | SELL | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | Sophisticated-Methane 0xcf58…d9bd | No | SELL | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x88ce…00f4 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 18¢ | $14 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | Gracious-Acoustics 0x6817…f496 | Yes | SELL | 1,365 | 18¢ | $246 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xb24b…f263 | No | SELL | 268 | 82¢ | $220 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | Dapper-Earmuffs 0x10fe…3053 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 18¢ | $36 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:17:09 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0xc25b09… |
| 08-19 21:07:33 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x55f820… |
| 08-19 21:07:33 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x55f820… |
| 08-19 21:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x76cc…48d1 | No | BUY | 80 | 81¢ | $65 | 0x55f820… |
| 08-19 21:07:33 | Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | No | SELL | 200 | 81¢ | $162 | 0x55f820… |
| 08-19 20:03:55 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0x926669… |
| 08-19 20:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xb330…01e8 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x926669… |
| 08-19 20:03:55 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 633 | 20¢ | $127 | 0x926669… |
| 08-19 20:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x926669… |
| 08-19 20:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0x926669… |
| 08-19 20:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | BUY | 33 | 80¢ | $26 | 0x926669… |
| 08-19 19:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x029f…99fb | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x5fc4fd… |
| 08-19 19:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x88ce…00f4 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x5fc4fd… |
| 08-19 19:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | BUY | 200 | 81¢ | $162 | 0x5fc4fd… |
| 08-19 19:54:52 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 367 | 19¢ | $70 | 0x5fc4fd… |
| 08-19 19:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x5fc4fd… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | (anonymous) 0xb24b…f263 | No | SELL | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | Dapper-Earmuffs 0x10fe…3053 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | Profitable-Hockey 0xd775…34b3 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 19¢ | $57 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x8383…cbcb | Yes | SELL | 544 | 19¢ | $103 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | (anonymous) 0xa4d0…127f | Yes | BUY | 141 | 19¢ | $27 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:46:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xda6178… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | Detailed-Basin 0x45dd…1e20 | No | SELL | 42 | 81¢ | $34 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xa4d0…127f | Yes | BUY | 451 | 19¢ | $86 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x6d05…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 19¢ | $15 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $17 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | Dapper-Earmuffs 0x10fe…3053 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 19:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x8492…2cc3 | No | BUY | 996 | 81¢ | $807 | 0xb8a5c9… |
| 08-19 16:18:55 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | SELL | 84 | 20¢ | $17 | 0xb55023… |
| 08-19 16:18:55 | Drafty-Mom 0x3d89…8a6c | Yes | BUY | 150 | 20¢ | $30 | 0xb55023… |
| 08-19 16:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x88ce…00f4 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xb55023… |
| 08-19 16:18:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0xb55023… |
| 08-19 16:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xb68e…e320 | No | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x2f19c8… |
| 08-19 16:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x2f19c8… |
| 08-19 15:59:42 | (anonymous) 0x1869…5a0d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x0f8dc3… |
| 08-19 15:59:42 | (anonymous) 0x6d05…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x0f8dc3… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 20¢ | $40 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Elastic-Weasel 0x39c9…b108 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Icy-Refuse 0xa83d…0251 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Dapper-Earmuffs 0x10fe…3053 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | SELL | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | (anonymous) 0xeade…f936 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 20¢ | $19 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Pastel-Method 0x606d…1aaf | No | BUY | 1,099 | 80¢ | $879 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | SELL | 150 | 80¢ | $120 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x88ce…00f4 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 20¢ | $16 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:51:19 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x448245… |
| 08-19 15:49:27 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 21¢ | $126 | 0x1b8c12… |
| 08-19 15:49:27 | Dapper-Earmuffs 0x10fe…3053 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1b8c12… |
| 08-19 15:49:27 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x1b8c12… |
| 08-19 15:49:27 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | SELL | 696 | 21¢ | $146 | 0x1b8c12… |
| 08-19 15:33:30 | (anonymous) 0x5c3e…8741 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x565996… |
| 08-19 15:33:30 | (anonymous) 0x6ad9…8d2e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x565996… |
| 08-19 15:31:27 | (anonymous) 0x6ad9…8d2e | Yes | BUY | 1,540 | 21¢ | $323 | 0x5c73c6… |
| 08-19 15:31:27 | (anonymous) 0xb7cb…83a5 | Yes | SELL | 1,540 | 21¢ | $323 | 0x5c73c6… |
| 08-19 15:23:45 | Same-Jewellery 0xfa01…9eed | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xb77e65… |
| 08-19 15:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x42d1…dab6 | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xb77e65… |
| 08-19 15:23:43 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 4,993 | 21¢ | $1,049 | 0x26e4cd… |
| 08-19 15:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x6ad9…8d2e | Yes | BUY | 887 | 21¢ | $186 | 0x26e4cd… |
| 08-19 15:23:43 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 21¢ | $42 | 0x26e4cd… |
| 08-19 15:23:43 | Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | No | BUY | 6,329 | 79¢ | $5,000 | 0x26e4cd… |
| 08-19 15:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x26e4cd… |
| 08-19 15:21:21 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 208 | 21¢ | $44 | 0x0f2249… |
| 08-19 15:21:21 | Pleasing-Deck 0xaad3…e666 | Yes | SELL | 208 | 21¢ | $44 | 0x0f2249… |
| 08-19 15:03:54 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 1,540 | 21¢ | $323 | 0x60d840… |
| 08-19 15:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xb7cb…83a5 | Yes | SELL | 1,540 | 21¢ | $323 | 0x60d840… |
| 08-19 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x4218…62d0 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 21¢ | $14 | 0x8be4e8… |
| 08-19 15:00:45 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 67 | 21¢ | $14 | 0x8be4e8… |
| 08-19 11:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x42d1…dab6 | No | BUY | 200 | 78¢ | $156 | 0x7a7212… |
| 08-19 11:10:28 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 22¢ | $44 | 0x7a7212… |
| 08-19 08:49:55 | (anonymous) 0xaf06…becb | Yes | SELL | 45 | 21¢ | $9 | 0xd214ce… |
| 08-19 08:49:55 | Frozen-Antler 0xe734…4f0c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 21¢ | $9 | 0xd214ce… |