Outrageous-Dish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$172

Unrealized P&L

-$754

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

253

Trades

1,211

lifetime

Volume

$88.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$5.91K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Sports

38% 41% -$1,760

Crypto

34% 67% +$3,021

Other

29% 46% -$1,433

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-5,381	-$3,966	84¢	$-4493	-$527	10-17 02:38
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,765	$710	22¢	$397	-$313	10-19 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-354	-$312	92¢	$-323	-$12	07-18 18:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+257	$130	66¢	$169	+$39	08-30 15:58
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+3,232	$103	5¢	$150	+$47	10-04 18:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,227	-$110	12¢	$-141	-$31	10-24 20:16
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+360	$103	34¢	$124	+$22	09-25 07:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,111	-$36	3¢	$-56	-$20	10-21 04:15
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	+112	$9	45¢	$51	+$42	10-03 02:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-86	-$5	6¢	$-5	$0	10-24 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nuggets vs. Thunder	1	$4.2K	5,648	0	+5,648	Thunder	+$1,468	10-22 14:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$4.0K	0	5,381	-5,381	open	—	10-17 02:38
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	24	$3.8K	4,815	3,174	+1,642	Yes	+$1,079	02-03 20:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$546	02-02 03:19
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	8	$2.2K	4,438	213	+4,225	open	—	10-20 04:42
Air Force vs. Wyoming	1	$2.2K	3,226	0	+3,226	Wyoming	-$2,194	10-23 23:42
Spread: Maryland (-4.5)	4	$2.2K	3,006	1,646	+1,360	Rutgers	+$705	10-17 04:35
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	32	$2.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$169	03-07 22:39
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	32	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$47	03-10 05:56
Spread: Devils (-1.5)	1	$2.1K	3,074	0	+3,074	Avalanche	+$984	10-20 20:05
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	19	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$19	07-06 21:22
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	1	$2.0K	2,860	0	+2,860	Kentucky	-$1,973	10-17 21:06
Warriors vs. Nuggets	7	$1.7K	2,370	2,307	+63	Warriors	-$1,607	10-27 04:15
will solana dip to 90 in february 2026	17	$1.6K	1,351	1,360	-9	Yes	+$255	02-05 16:36
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	7	$1.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$432	02-05 16:37
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	1	$1.6K	2,462	0	+2,462	Canadiens	-$1,551	10-23 23:31
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	11	$1.4K	3,741	3,741	+0	No	-$1,394	01-30 02:35
Timberwolves vs. Heat	3	$1.3K	2,864	0	+2,864	Timberwolves	+$1,518	10-21 22:45
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 54.5	1	$1.3K	2,790	0	+2,790	Under	-$1,339	10-18 23:55
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	13	$1.3K	1,392	1,392	+0	No	+$33	03-07 22:39
Red Wings vs. Oilers	4	$1.2K	1,943	0	+1,943	Red Wings	-$1,110	10-27 03:11
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	8	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$124	01-18 16:12
Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5	1	$1.1K	2,140	0	+2,140	Under	+$1,027	10-23 22:08
Spread: Kansas State (-3.5)	1	$998	2,080	0	+2,080	Kansas State	+$1,082	10-17 04:47
Suns vs. Trail Blazers	1	$968	2,419	0	+2,419	Trail Blazers	-$968	10-22 01:43
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	18	$962	800	800	+0	80k	+$558	01-31 14:42
mlb cle tex 2026 06 05	9	$931	1,128	0	+1,128	Texas Rangers	+$196	06-06 02:40
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	67	$924	1,673	1,917	-244	No	+$454	04-01 01:19
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	8	$902	1,138	1,400	-262	Yes	+$110	02-06 00:22
Spread: Oregon (-6.5)	1	$900	1,730	0	+1,730	Nebraska	+$830	10-18 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:15:27	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	2,307	0¢	$4	0x2568ec…
10-27 03:36:36	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x6ea693…
10-27 03:11:32	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x8b0979…
10-27 03:08:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf72642…
10-27 02:42:09	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5b6639…
10-27 02:36:36	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd69c17…
10-27 02:15:24	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x11ed26…
10-27 02:15:23	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe4308e…
10-27 02:08:32	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x849c3a…
10-27 02:00:12	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2,267	71¢	$1,610	0x7292d3…
10-27 01:31:09	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6f0ea3…
10-26 23:39:35	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0xca6251…
10-26 23:31:18	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	141	60¢	$85	0xa2b105…
10-26 23:29:03	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	186	67¢	$125	0xded277…
10-26 20:07:41	CA Unión leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	213	28¢	$60	0x448984…
10-26 20:06:59	Estudiantes de La Plata leading at halftime?	No	BUY	240	73¢	$175	0x77886d…
10-26 20:01:17	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	1,868	62¢	$1,158	0xf50466…
10-26 19:59:20	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	1,389	50¢	$694	0xecc83f…
10-24 20:33:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x2fd170…
10-24 20:16:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,227	9¢	$110	0x0f1c95…
10-24 17:16:54	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	870	71¢	$618	0x1a1cf0…
10-24 01:50:53	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xce04ab…
10-23 23:46:38	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x286d41…
10-23 23:42:42	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	3,226	68¢	$2,194	0xa67fc5…
10-23 23:31:53	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Blackhawks	BUY	2,462	63¢	$1,551	0x0e12c7…
10-23 23:14:56	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0xf7a6cb…
10-23 22:51:09	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	559	70¢	$391	0xa152e8…
10-23 22:08:42	Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2,140	52¢	$1,113	0x99335a…
10-23 20:05:12	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x19ea70…
10-23 20:03:48	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0xc26e37…
10-23 18:41:36	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	539	60¢	$323	0x5d6b6f…
10-23 18:41:14	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	750	33¢	$248	0xdfacdf…
10-23 17:57:02	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x7a1d8a…
10-23 15:52:51	Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	1,192	47¢	$560	0x466266…
10-23 15:52:33	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	381	75¢	$285	0x3b63a5…
10-23 04:17:41	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x22dbe5…
10-23 03:31:27	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	109	27¢	$30	0x6777e3…
10-22 20:29:57	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,500	57¢	$855	0x6f07cb…
10-22 19:54:51	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)	Maple Leafs	BUY	788	70¢	$552	0xa8b448…
10-22 18:46:48	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	305	56¢	$171	0xe22b70…
10-22 18:46:35	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	495	33¢	$163	0x09c8e4…
10-22 14:18:02	KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,870	44¢	$823	0x5f27ea…
10-22 14:14:29	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5,648	74¢	$4,180	0x537629…
10-22 04:21:02	Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?	No	BUY	85	83¢	$71	0x43ffab…
10-22 04:03:45	Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x826d9d…
10-22 03:54:35	Spread: Bruins (-1.5)	Predators	BUY	252	65¢	$164	0x339911…
10-22 03:51:53	Ducks vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	425	65¢	$276	0x6f61f9…
10-22 03:50:08	Jets vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	425	65¢	$276	0xa6bc9b…
10-22 03:45:48	Wild vs. Flames	Wild	BUY	425	65¢	$276	0x04b63c…
10-22 01:43:47	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Suns	BUY	2,419	40¢	$968	0x74b35f…
10-21 22:45:15	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xca9a7c…
10-21 22:23:56	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	934	47¢	$439	0xf5f670…
10-21 22:20:18	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	1,870	47¢	$879	0x5c279d…
10-21 16:44:59	Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,759	45¢	$792	0xb11e3b…
10-21 12:57:02	Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	375	25¢	$94	0x83bcc1…
10-21 12:56:39	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,052	59¢	$625	0xc1ec7a…
10-21 04:15:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,111	2¢	$36	0xd711b8…
10-21 04:14:08	Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 1,024.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x3a7777…
10-21 04:08:00	Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?	No	BUY	997	75¢	$747	0x269c56…
10-21 03:56:32	Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	825	90¢	$741	0x27c76e…
10-21 03:50:33	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	780	73¢	$569	0xc200fb…
10-21 03:25:56	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	833	57¢	$475	0xc40853…
10-21 03:25:38	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	860	37¢	$318	0x3c9cfb…
10-20 20:05:59	Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	3,074	68¢	$2,090	0xc4b567…
10-20 04:42:20	Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,760	51¢	$1,407	0xcb2551…
10-20 03:59:18	Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	450	52¢	$234	0x7bfe39…
10-20 03:56:03	Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	621	51¢	$317	0x116ef6…
10-20 03:42:23	Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	394	46¢	$180	0x68d4b6…
10-19 01:24:09	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa6726d…
10-18 23:55:32	Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 54.5	Over	BUY	2,790	48¢	$1,339	0x690755…
10-18 12:41:36	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Jets	BUY	851	35¢	$298	0x50aa32…
10-18 03:04:21	Spread: Oregon (-6.5)	Nebraska	BUY	1,730	52¢	$900	0xffe358…
10-18 02:51:20	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	1,375	31¢	$426	0x0f7c6b…
10-17 21:06:48	Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	2,860	69¢	$1,973	0x8a2932…
10-17 21:00:20	Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	145	67¢	$97	0x427a78…
10-17 20:51:42	Spread: Arkansas (-0.5)	Arkansas	BUY	1,564	33¢	$516	0x8c3144…
10-17 20:33:59	Kent State vs. South Florida: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xca02ea…
10-17 20:27:42	Kent State vs. South Florida: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	795	48¢	$382	0xf67114…
10-17 19:59:18	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	276	73¢	$200	0x901c04…
10-17 05:01:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe8987a…
10-17 04:47:07	Spread: Kansas State (-3.5)	Kansas State	BUY	2,080	48¢	$998	0xc6c88a…
10-17 04:35:43	Spread: Maryland (-4.5)	Rutgers	BUY	1,360	47¢	$639	0x2f7f64…
10-17 04:33:59	Spread: Maryland (-4.5)	Rutgers	SELL	1,646	46¢	$757	0x76c98a…
10-17 04:30:13	Spread: Maryland (-4.5)	Rutgers	BUY	1,543	47¢	$725	0xdc820a…
10-17 04:28:22	Spread: Maryland (-4.5)	Rutgers	BUY	103	46¢	$48	0xf50e37…
10-17 04:02:26	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	1,752	47¢	$823	0xda5921…
10-17 02:56:27	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb8a329…
10-17 02:56:12	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0x63f209…
10-17 02:38:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,365	80¢	$1,092	0x460d7e…
10-13 05:24:23	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xa2a667…
10-13 05:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x84c8ad…
10-13 05:22:59	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	70¢	$700	0x1013e7…
10-13 05:15:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xf8dd39…
10-13 05:15:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x5ea6aa…
10-13 05:15:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	750	70¢	$525	0x6e819a…
10-13 04:46:32	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xc121b7…
10-13 04:46:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x3bc14c…
10-13 04:46:17	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x029864…
10-13 04:43:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	71¢	$78	0xa0c59f…
10-13 04:15:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd17d5f…