Outrageous-Dish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$485

Unrealized P&L

-$490

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

259

Trades

1,251

lifetime

Volume

$94.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$7.92K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Sports

40% 42% -$1,574

Crypto

32% 67% +$3,021

Other

29% 46% -$1,932

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-5,381	-$3,966	82¢	$-4385	-$420	10-17 02:38
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	+1,725	$1,294	80¢	$1.4K	+$78	10-28 06:07
76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	+1,185	$735	64¢	$752	+$18	10-28 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,765	$710	26¢	$468	-$243	10-19 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-354	-$312	92¢	$-327	-$15	07-18 18:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+257	$130	66¢	$171	+$41	08-30 15:58
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+3,232	$103	5¢	$149	+$46	10-04 18:45
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+360	$103	34¢	$124	+$22	09-25 07:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,227	-$110	10¢	$-117	-$6	10-24 20:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,111	-$36	2¢	$-47	-$12	10-21 04:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-86	-$5	4¢	$-3	+$2	10-24 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nuggets vs. Thunder	1	$4.2K	5,648	0	+5,648	Thunder	+$1,468	10-22 14:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$4.0K	0	5,381	-5,381	open	—	10-17 02:38
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	24	$3.8K	4,815	3,174	+1,642	Yes	+$1,079	02-03 20:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$546	02-02 03:19
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	8	$2.2K	4,438	213	+4,225	open	—	10-20 04:42
Air Force vs. Wyoming	1	$2.2K	3,226	0	+3,226	Wyoming	-$2,194	10-23 23:42
Spread: Maryland (-4.5)	4	$2.2K	3,006	1,646	+1,360	Rutgers	+$705	10-17 04:35
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	32	$2.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$169	03-07 22:39
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	32	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$47	03-10 05:56
Spread: Devils (-1.5)	1	$2.1K	3,074	0	+3,074	Avalanche	+$984	10-20 20:05
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	19	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$19	07-06 21:22
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	1	$2.0K	2,860	0	+2,860	Kentucky	-$1,973	10-17 21:06
Warriors vs. Nuggets	7	$1.7K	2,370	2,307	+63	Warriors	-$1,607	10-27 04:15
will solana dip to 90 in february 2026	17	$1.6K	1,351	1,360	-9	Yes	+$255	02-05 16:36
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	7	$1.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$432	02-05 16:37
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	1	$1.6K	2,462	0	+2,462	Canadiens	-$1,551	10-23 23:31
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	11	$1.4K	3,741	3,741	+0	No	-$1,394	01-30 02:35
Timberwolves vs. Heat	3	$1.3K	2,864	0	+2,864	Timberwolves	+$1,518	10-21 22:45
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 54.5	1	$1.3K	2,790	0	+2,790	Under	-$1,339	10-18 23:55
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	13	$1.3K	1,392	1,392	+0	No	+$33	03-07 22:39
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$1.3K	1,725	0	+1,725	open	—	10-28 06:07
Red Wings vs. Oilers	4	$1.2K	1,943	0	+1,943	Red Wings	-$1,110	10-27 03:11
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	8	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$124	01-18 16:12
Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5	1	$1.1K	2,140	0	+2,140	Under	+$1,027	10-23 22:08
Spread: Kansas State (-3.5)	1	$998	2,080	0	+2,080	Kansas State	+$1,082	10-17 04:47
Suns vs. Trail Blazers	1	$968	2,419	0	+2,419	Trail Blazers	-$968	10-22 01:43
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	18	$962	800	800	+0	80k	+$558	01-31 14:42
mlb cle tex 2026 06 05	9	$931	1,128	0	+1,128	Texas Rangers	+$196	06-06 02:40
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	67	$924	1,673	1,917	-244	No	+$454	04-01 01:19
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	8	$902	1,138	1,400	-262	Yes	+$110	02-06 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:07:41	Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	1,725	75¢	$1,294	0x37641d…
10-28 05:43:23	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x577354…
10-28 05:40:08	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xd7faa9…
10-28 05:40:08	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x4df664…
10-28 05:39:49	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc29583…
10-28 05:39:47	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x471c1d…
10-28 05:36:16	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x0337d6…
10-28 05:36:14	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7617b6…
10-28 05:36:14	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5fa1d0…
10-28 05:36:14	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x44c086…
10-28 05:24:40	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xf099db…
10-28 05:24:40	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xdf3b81…
10-28 05:16:50	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x2df5a9…
10-28 05:16:37	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x832cef…
10-28 05:14:23	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe6f36b…
10-28 04:53:34	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x41b5d2…
10-28 04:48:43	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xea8739…
10-28 04:47:52	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x18beee…
10-28 04:36:41	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	1,185	62¢	$735	0xd679b1…
10-28 04:27:23	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x3a183c…
10-28 04:15:50	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x7845fc…
10-28 04:15:49	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x975cef…
10-28 04:03:26	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x187edd…
10-28 03:30:04	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x8a0522…
10-28 03:05:45	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x50b4a1…
10-28 03:05:42	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xc40b4f…
10-28 03:05:39	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb3d9f0…
10-28 03:05:38	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8af6cf…
10-28 03:05:36	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xae730f…
10-28 03:05:35	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x850fc3…
10-28 02:34:14	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xe75dfa…
10-28 02:16:29	Kings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	748	19¢	$142	0xba28bd…
10-28 02:16:27	Kings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	188	19¢	$36	0xa279c0…
10-28 01:59:33	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sharks	BUY	1,243	64¢	$796	0xc09ca1…
10-28 01:57:50	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	846	49¢	$415	0xd45c0d…
10-28 01:52:27	Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	968	54¢	$523	0x05308b…
10-27 21:28:17	Kings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	936	55¢	$512	0x2a574f…
10-27 18:16:54	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	112	44¢	$49	0x6f9e24…
10-27 16:08:15	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,082	60¢	$649	0x0c1303…
10-27 15:35:08	Gimnástica Segoviana CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	936	53¢	$498	0x65783b…
10-27 04:15:27	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	2,307	0¢	$4	0x2568ec…
10-27 03:36:36	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x6ea693…
10-27 03:11:32	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x8b0979…
10-27 03:08:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf72642…
10-27 02:42:09	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5b6639…
10-27 02:36:36	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd69c17…
10-27 02:15:24	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x11ed26…
10-27 02:15:23	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe4308e…
10-27 02:08:32	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x849c3a…
10-27 02:00:12	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2,267	71¢	$1,610	0x7292d3…
10-27 01:31:09	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6f0ea3…
10-26 23:39:35	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0xca6251…
10-26 23:31:18	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	141	60¢	$85	0xa2b105…
10-26 23:29:03	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	186	67¢	$125	0xded277…
10-26 20:07:41	CA Unión leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	213	28¢	$60	0x448984…
10-26 20:06:59	Estudiantes de La Plata leading at halftime?	No	BUY	240	73¢	$175	0x77886d…
10-26 20:01:17	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	1,868	62¢	$1,158	0xf50466…
10-26 19:59:20	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	1,389	50¢	$694	0xecc83f…
10-24 20:33:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x2fd170…
10-24 20:16:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,227	9¢	$110	0x0f1c95…
10-24 17:16:54	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	870	71¢	$618	0x1a1cf0…
10-24 01:50:53	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xce04ab…
10-23 23:46:38	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x286d41…
10-23 23:42:42	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	3,226	68¢	$2,194	0xa67fc5…
10-23 23:31:53	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Blackhawks	BUY	2,462	63¢	$1,551	0x0e12c7…
10-23 23:14:56	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0xf7a6cb…
10-23 22:51:09	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	559	70¢	$391	0xa152e8…
10-23 22:08:42	Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2,140	52¢	$1,113	0x99335a…
10-23 20:05:12	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x19ea70…
10-23 20:03:48	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0xc26e37…
10-23 18:41:36	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	539	60¢	$323	0x5d6b6f…
10-23 18:41:14	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	750	33¢	$248	0xdfacdf…
10-23 17:57:02	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x7a1d8a…
10-23 15:52:51	Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	1,192	47¢	$560	0x466266…
10-23 15:52:33	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	381	75¢	$285	0x3b63a5…
10-23 04:17:41	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x22dbe5…
10-23 03:31:27	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	109	27¢	$30	0x6777e3…
10-22 20:29:57	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,500	57¢	$855	0x6f07cb…
10-22 19:54:51	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)	Maple Leafs	BUY	788	70¢	$552	0xa8b448…
10-22 18:46:48	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	305	56¢	$171	0xe22b70…
10-22 18:46:35	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	495	33¢	$163	0x09c8e4…
10-22 14:18:02	KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,870	44¢	$823	0x5f27ea…
10-22 14:14:29	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5,648	74¢	$4,180	0x537629…
10-22 04:21:02	Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?	No	BUY	85	83¢	$71	0x43ffab…
10-22 04:03:45	Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x826d9d…
10-22 03:54:35	Spread: Bruins (-1.5)	Predators	BUY	252	65¢	$164	0x339911…
10-22 03:51:53	Ducks vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	425	65¢	$276	0x6f61f9…
10-22 03:50:08	Jets vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	425	65¢	$276	0xa6bc9b…
10-22 03:45:48	Wild vs. Flames	Wild	BUY	425	65¢	$276	0x04b63c…
10-22 01:43:47	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Suns	BUY	2,419	40¢	$968	0x74b35f…
10-21 22:45:15	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xca9a7c…
10-21 22:23:56	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	934	47¢	$439	0xf5f670…
10-21 22:20:18	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	1,870	47¢	$879	0x5c279d…
10-21 16:44:59	Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,759	45¢	$792	0xb11e3b…
10-21 12:57:02	Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	375	25¢	$94	0x83bcc1…
10-21 12:56:39	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,052	59¢	$625	0xc1ec7a…
10-21 04:15:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,111	2¢	$36	0xd711b8…
10-21 04:14:08	Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 1,024.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x3a7777…
10-21 04:08:00	Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?	No	BUY	997	75¢	$747	0x269c56…
10-21 03:56:32	Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	825	90¢	$741	0x27c76e…