Realized P&L
+$756
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved
3,200
Trades
67,952
lifetime
Volume
$1.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-05 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Other
62% 81% +$954
Politics
16% 79% +$328
Sports
14% 83% +$185
Crypto
8% 67% -$742
Tech
0% 75% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2386 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,626 $260 12¢ $203 -$57 10-24 11:03
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $194 97¢ $194 +$0 11-04 18:24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +198 $187 95¢ $188 +$1 11-04 23:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 86¢ $171 -$1 10-23 21:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +240 $123 57¢ $136 +$13 11-05 00:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +90 $43 98¢ $88 +$45 11-04 20:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +160 $81 43¢ $69 -$12 11-02 16:51
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw? Yes +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 11-04 01:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 11-02 14:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +60 $54 98¢ $59 +$5 09-14 09:30
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +49 $46 85¢ $41 -$4 11-05 04:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +40 $38 99¢ $39 +$1 11-04 21:50
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 +$1 11-05 04:49
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +60 $42 56¢ $34 -$9 10-30 00:11
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +40 $31 81¢ $32 +$2 11-05 05:21
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +40 $38 81¢ $32 -$6 11-05 04:59
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 05-05 01:27
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +60 $32 44¢ $26 -$6 10-30 02:32
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +40 $21 52¢ $21 $0 11-04 23:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +141 $21 14¢ $20 $0 11-05 01:55
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +74 $38 27¢ $20 -$17 09-04 06:41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$0 08-18 08:47
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 08-17 18:29
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 08-15 05:02
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 08-18 16:41
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 08-17 12:25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 08-13 17:05
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +16 $16 93¢ $15 $0 10-22 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 08-18 15:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $9 19¢ $10 +$0 11-05 05:15