Realized P&L
+$772
Unrealized P&L
-$118
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved
3,207
Trades
68,389
lifetime
Volume
$1.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-06 04:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Other
61% 81% +$967
Politics
16% 78% +$320
Sports
14% 83% +$196
Crypto
8% 67% -$742
Tech
0% 75% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2386 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $194 98¢ $195 +$2 11-06 03:18
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $191 96¢ $192 +$0 11-06 03:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 86¢ $171 -$1 10-23 21:31
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +234 $187 73¢ $171 -$16 10-07 21:45
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,626 $260 10¢ $163 -$97 10-24 11:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +220 $109 63¢ $139 +$30 11-06 05:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +98 $51 97¢ $96 +$44 11-06 05:02
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw? Yes +60 $57 99¢ $59 +$3 11-04 01:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +60 $54 98¢ $59 +$5 09-14 09:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 11-02 14:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +160 $81 37¢ $58 -$23 11-02 16:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +60 $51 77¢ $46 -$5 11-06 05:42
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +60 $42 55¢ $33 -$9 10-30 00:11
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +40 $41 76¢ $31 -$11 11-06 05:56
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 05-05 01:27
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +60 $32 45¢ $27 -$5 10-30 02:32
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$0 08-18 08:47
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 08-17 18:29
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 11-06 05:54
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 08-18 16:41
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 08-15 05:02
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 08-17 12:25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 08-13 17:05
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +40 $19 47¢ $19 -$1 11-05 22:06
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 08-18 15:57
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +20 $12 53¢ $11 -$1 11-03 21:41
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +74 $38 14¢ $10 -$28 09-04 06:41
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 -$1 11-02 08:52
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +40 $21 23¢ $9 -$12 11-04 14:44
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 08-08 12:17