Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
open
Total volume
$9,246
$7 in 24h
Trades
238
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$6,943
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-23 21:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $65
vs crowd: 2% YES on $3.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $967 | $967 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $65 | $2 | +$62 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $477 | $477 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $18 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $65 | — | +$65 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 17 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 26 | $18 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | +1,917 | $1,831 | $1,831 | 39 | 07-23 21:10 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,466 | $62 | $67 | 54 | 07-23 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,013 | $967 | $967 | 1 | 07-18 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +206 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7410…f96f | No | +196 | $187 | $187 | 1 | 07-07 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +103 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa98c…521a | Yes | +37 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe04…d0c7 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-23 10:16 |
| Discrete-Wiretap 0x0afd…99d4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 09:47 |
| Grim-Agriculture 0x6019…548f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 15:58 |
| Crooked-Clearing 0xbf5c…3df3 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 05:02 |
| Slimy-Sausage 0x3e4e…e34b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 14:16 |
| Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 12:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 21:10:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x19e712… |
| 07-23 21:10:42 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x19e712… |
| 07-23 14:16:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a4626… |
| 07-23 14:16:13 | Slimy-Sausage 0x3e4e…e34b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6a4626… |
| 07-23 10:16:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8bb345… |
| 07-23 10:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xfe04…d0c7 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8bb345… |
| 07-23 09:32:15 | Quarterly-Eyelash 0x4cd5…913b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1e2a13… |
| 07-23 09:32:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1e2a13… |
| 07-23 09:04:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc38496… |
| 07-23 09:04:30 | Tired-Reset 0x7723…802e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc38496… |
| 07-23 09:04:28 | Poor-Behaviour 0xc678…5d37 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaec435… |
| 07-23 09:04:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaec435… |
| 07-23 09:04:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x320a45… |
| 07-23 09:04:27 | Ringed-Parallelogram 0x8f6b…acc8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4af9c8… |
| 07-23 09:04:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4af9c8… |
| 07-23 09:04:27 | Hungry-Pizza 0x75d3…a63c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x320a45… |
| 07-23 09:04:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x06a161… |
| 07-23 09:04:24 | Milky-Bakeware 0x60b0…4568 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd8756c… |
| 07-23 09:04:24 | Brown-Bear 0xf66e…2196 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x06a161… |
| 07-23 09:04:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd8756c… |
| 07-23 09:04:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf62c95… |
| 07-23 09:04:19 | Smug-Technology 0xc21c…c2ce | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf62c95… |
| 07-23 09:04:16 | Inborn-Serval 0xb505…b066 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc1b867… |
| 07-23 09:04:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc1b867… |
| 07-23 09:04:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3575f8… |
| 07-23 09:04:16 | Plaintive-Stockings 0x3f42…8cbb | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3575f8… |
| 07-23 09:03:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc14aa8… |
| 07-23 09:03:42 | Bewitched-Activity 0xfa15…0f15 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc14aa8… |
| 07-23 08:52:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6069de… |
| 07-23 08:52:00 | Ringed-Parallelogram 0x8f6b…acc8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6069de… |
| 07-23 08:49:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb917da… |
| 07-23 08:49:28 | Bewitched-Activity 0xfa15…0f15 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb917da… |
| 07-23 08:47:57 | Hungry-Pizza 0x75d3…a63c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd421d3… |
| 07-23 08:47:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd421d3… |
| 07-23 08:47:12 | Tired-Reset 0x7723…802e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4cbbb1… |
| 07-23 08:47:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4cbbb1… |
| 07-23 08:47:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a4c36… |
| 07-23 08:47:07 | Milky-Bakeware 0x60b0…4568 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6a4c36… |
| 07-23 08:46:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6eaa75… |
| 07-23 08:46:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x701e2d… |
| 07-23 08:46:57 | Smug-Technology 0xc21c…c2ce | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x701e2d… |
| 07-23 08:46:57 | Brown-Bear 0xf66e…2196 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6eaa75… |
| 07-23 08:46:55 | Inborn-Serval 0xb505…b066 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcd0523… |
| 07-23 08:46:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcd0523… |
| 07-23 08:46:51 | Plaintive-Stockings 0x3f42…8cbb | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0b2cb7… |
| 07-23 08:46:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0b2cb7… |
| 07-23 08:46:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8c68c3… |
| 07-23 08:46:49 | Poor-Behaviour 0xc678…5d37 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8c68c3… |
| 07-23 05:31:55 | (anonymous) 0xb6ca…c084 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5faca2… |
| 07-23 05:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5faca2… |
| 07-23 01:17:31 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0x57a597… |
| 07-23 01:17:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 101 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x57a597… |
| 07-22 13:49:22 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf49188… |
| 07-22 13:49:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf49188… |
| 07-22 09:47:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8599c9… |
| 07-22 09:47:19 | Discrete-Wiretap 0x0afd…99d4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8599c9… |
| 07-21 19:18:39 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0x86ac67… |
| 07-21 19:18:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x86ac67… |
| 07-20 00:50:48 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 176 | 96¢ | $169 | 0x9067da… |
| 07-20 00:50:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 176 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x9067da… |
| 07-19 18:06:03 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0x22b43b… |
| 07-19 18:06:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x22b43b… |
| 07-18 19:17:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x48b154… |
| 07-18 19:17:36 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x48b154… |
| 07-18 16:52:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 257 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x4de019… |
| 07-18 16:52:39 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 257 | 96¢ | $246 | 0x4de019… |
| 07-18 04:49:55 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | SELL | 250 | 96¢ | $239 | 0xe2854a… |
| 07-18 04:49:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 257 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xe2854a… |
| 07-18 04:49:55 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xe2854a… |
| 07-18 04:49:55 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1,013 | 95¢ | $967 | 0xe2854a… |
| 07-17 13:24:09 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 46 | 95¢ | $44 | 0x194aac… |
| 07-17 13:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | SELL | 46 | 95¢ | $44 | 0x194aac… |
| 07-17 00:15:07 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x288c79… |
| 07-17 00:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x288c79… |
| 07-16 16:09:49 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xed9347… |
| 07-16 16:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | SELL | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xed9347… |
| 07-14 15:32:50 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x29c36a… |
| 07-14 15:32:50 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x29c36a… |
| 07-14 15:32:50 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x29c36a… |
| 07-14 04:33:13 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc85364… |
| 07-14 04:33:13 | (anonymous) 0x809d…5f51 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc85364… |
| 07-13 23:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xa84736… |
| 07-13 23:45:38 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xa84736… |
| 07-13 07:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x2b4c…42ec | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0831b3… |
| 07-13 07:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x0831b3… |
| 07-12 14:58:32 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 103 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6833b5… |
| 07-12 14:58:32 | (anonymous) 0x03b3…9aaf | Yes | SELL | 103 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6833b5… |
| 07-11 16:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x0a330a… |
| 07-11 16:46:13 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x0a330a… |
| 07-10 02:21:10 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 66 | 95¢ | $63 | 0x0136b3… |
| 07-10 02:21:10 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | BUY | 66 | 95¢ | $63 | 0x0136b3… |
| 07-09 21:10:41 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x2d7c10… |
| 07-09 21:10:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x2d7c10… |
| 07-09 20:20:37 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x68f8cc… |
| 07-09 20:20:37 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x68f8cc… |
| 07-08 23:34:44 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0x59f1a3… |
| 07-08 23:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0x59f1a3… |
| 07-08 21:05:23 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x21b8a6… |
| 07-08 21:05:23 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x21b8a6… |
| 07-07 22:17:49 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 70 | 95¢ | $67 | 0xcd799b… |