Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
open
Total volume
$10,745
$7 in 24h
Trades
390
Unique wallets
86
Liquidity
$6,943
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-13 03:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $109
vs crowd: 3% YES on $5.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $109 | $19 | +$90 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $477 | $477 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 72 | $25 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $109 | — | +$109 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 23 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 13 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 43 | $25 | $3.8K | $3.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | +2,939 | $2,822 | $2,822 | 58 | 08-10 16:25 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,908 | $106 | $113 | 102 | 08-13 02:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,065 | $1,018 | $1,018 | 2 | 07-27 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7410…f96f | No | +196 | $187 | $187 | 1 | 07-07 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-28 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x75b4…3c45 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-28 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-28 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa98c…521a | Yes | +37 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 16:21 |
| Incomplete-Pantsuit 0xcb99…3967 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-04 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | +9 | $9 | $12 | 8 | 08-13 03:31 |
| Alarmed-Gray 0xcc8f…6c72 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-04 07:56 |
| Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-08 12:17 |
| Grim-Agriculture 0x6019…548f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 15:58 |
| Capital-Consignment 0x2b44…e15f | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-04 06:35 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 08-13 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x10ee…c5d5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-05 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x45b0…599f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 10:28 |
| Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 12:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 03:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe551a4… |
| 08-13 03:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5bcf7d… |
| 08-13 03:31:46 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5bcf7d… |
| 08-13 03:31:46 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe551a4… |
| 08-13 03:30:22 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5185a6… |
| 08-13 03:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5185a6… |
| 08-13 03:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x42988b… |
| 08-13 03:30:21 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x42988b… |
| 08-13 03:30:18 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8462a8… |
| 08-13 03:30:18 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8462a8… |
| 08-13 02:33:01 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4b4e1b… |
| 08-13 02:33:01 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4b4e1b… |
| 08-13 02:33:00 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x44b260… |
| 08-13 02:33:00 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x44b260… |
| 08-13 02:32:55 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x54a002… |
| 08-13 02:32:55 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x54a002… |
| 08-13 02:32:49 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x670396… |
| 08-13 02:32:49 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x65dc8a… |
| 08-13 02:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x670396… |
| 08-13 02:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x65dc8a… |
| 08-13 02:32:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x670396… |
| 08-10 16:25:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 256 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xec3ee5… |
| 08-10 16:25:13 | (anonymous) 0xdc19…3f92 | No | SELL | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0xec3ee5… |
| 08-10 16:25:13 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 294 | 97¢ | $286 | 0xec3ee5… |
| 08-10 16:24:43 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x6e25d7… |
| 08-10 16:24:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6e25d7… |
| 08-10 00:54:25 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xa6e1c6… |
| 08-10 00:54:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa6e1c6… |
| 08-09 21:00:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa1eabb… |
| 08-09 21:00:36 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xa1eabb… |
| 08-08 23:53:54 | Discrete-Wiretap 0x0afd…99d4 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6c4b70… |
| 08-08 23:53:54 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6c4b70… |
| 08-08 23:36:01 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xd54951… |
| 08-08 23:36:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd54951… |
| 08-08 12:17:04 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xb1bcdf… |
| 08-08 12:17:04 | (anonymous) 0xfe04…d0c7 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xb1bcdf… |
| 08-07 14:16:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc30973… |
| 08-07 14:16:58 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xc30973… |
| 08-07 00:50:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd0d4e8… |
| 08-07 00:50:42 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xd0d4e8… |
| 08-06 17:14:53 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x730c43… |
| 08-06 17:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | SELL | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x730c43… |
| 08-06 12:42:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2bbc69… |
| 08-06 12:42:05 | Quintessential-Node 0x33aa…ef9a | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x2bbc69… |
| 08-06 04:48:09 | (anonymous) 0x29b5…125c | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x3c7f26… |
| 08-06 04:48:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3c7f26… |
| 08-05 20:48:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x17cc14… |
| 08-05 20:48:05 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x17cc14… |
| 08-05 10:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x45b0…599f | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x16552c… |
| 08-05 10:28:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x16552c… |
| 08-05 08:45:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa3412f… |
| 08-05 08:45:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa3412f… |
| 08-05 06:15:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd87d77… |
| 08-05 06:15:24 | (anonymous) 0x10ee…c5d5 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xd87d77… |
| 08-05 05:54:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5215be… |
| 08-05 05:54:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8aa…a3ab | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5215be… |
| 08-05 03:10:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x548201… |
| 08-05 03:10:21 | (anonymous) 0xb8ee…e1c6 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x548201… |
| 08-05 01:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x272d…835b | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x348d46… |
| 08-05 01:19:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x348d46… |
| 08-04 18:13:26 | Woeful-Cloudburst 0xfc0d…6b0f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x522ad9… |
| 08-04 18:13:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x522ad9… |
| 08-04 14:38:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 103 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x131140… |
| 08-04 14:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 103 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x131140… |
| 08-04 14:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 206 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xf8c2d4… |
| 08-04 14:15:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf8c2d4… |
| 08-04 07:56:15 | Alarmed-Gray 0xcc8f…6c72 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x4f8fae… |
| 08-04 07:56:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4f8fae… |
| 08-04 07:06:15 | Gruesome-Mining 0xf70b…51a9 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x362b41… |
| 08-04 07:06:15 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x362b41… |
| 08-04 06:35:54 | Capital-Consignment 0x2b44…e15f | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xbacd4e… |
| 08-04 06:35:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbacd4e… |
| 08-04 05:15:50 | Slimy-Sausage 0x3e4e…e34b | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xa13edc… |
| 08-04 05:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xa13edc… |
| 08-04 03:17:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69dc32… |
| 08-04 03:17:00 | Incomplete-Pantsuit 0xcb99…3967 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x69dc32… |
| 08-01 15:20:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 77 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xb072a3… |
| 08-01 15:20:29 | (anonymous) 0xafae…4b33 | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xb072a3… |
| 08-01 15:20:29 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 137 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xb072a3… |
| 07-31 01:55:47 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xafc834… |
| 07-31 01:55:47 | Lovable-Spork 0x3488…030a | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xafc834… |
| 07-31 01:55:45 | Prickly-Fatherinlaw 0x3da1…6fda | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x59873b… |
| 07-31 01:55:45 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x59873b… |
| 07-31 01:55:44 | Burdensome-Custard 0x412b…ccf4 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2c5faa… |
| 07-31 01:55:44 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2c5faa… |
| 07-31 01:55:42 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0199b6… |
| 07-31 01:55:42 | Sweltering-Doctor 0xfa50…bcd3 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0199b6… |
| 07-31 01:55:41 | Tall-Rule 0x5fdb…95b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9dbc0e… |
| 07-31 01:55:41 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9dbc0e… |
| 07-31 01:46:09 | Lovable-Spork 0x3488…030a | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x98fd86… |
| 07-31 01:46:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x98fd86… |
| 07-31 01:46:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11112c… |
| 07-31 01:46:03 | Prickly-Fatherinlaw 0x3da1…6fda | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x11112c… |
| 07-31 01:46:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x06d3e4… |
| 07-31 01:46:02 | Burdensome-Custard 0x412b…ccf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x06d3e4… |
| 07-31 01:45:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9148c8… |
| 07-31 01:45:59 | Sweltering-Doctor 0xfa50…bcd3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9148c8… |
| 07-31 01:45:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x391293… |
| 07-31 01:45:56 | Tall-Rule 0x5fdb…95b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x391293… |
| 07-30 13:36:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 49 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x213dcc… |