Burdensome-Custard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$359

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	02-10 00:23
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	22	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-23 01:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-17 00:54
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	10	$11	5	6	-1	open	—	07-21 01:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-11 09:31
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:52
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 00:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	05-23 01:08
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-27 01:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 01:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 09:38
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:29
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:30
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:32
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 09:57
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:11
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-18 01:45
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:33:51	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7b9244…
07-25 09:33:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8310ec…
07-25 09:22:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd7452…
07-25 09:21:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58bbbb…
07-23 01:25:06	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x768ca2…
07-23 01:24:27	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfde3a5…
07-23 00:56:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9042b5…
07-23 00:55:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe217ec…
07-21 01:14:27	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaacc6a…
07-20 03:16:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x896a80…
07-20 03:15:51	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe4cc33…
07-20 02:45:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23463b…
07-20 02:44:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d17c9…
07-18 01:46:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9086a3…
07-18 01:45:49	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x625923…
07-18 01:43:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec5747…
07-18 01:42:55	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd14f3f…
07-18 00:36:42	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb5c84e…
07-18 00:24:09	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8fe4f…
07-17 00:54:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc454fd…
07-17 00:40:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26a912…
07-16 00:39:41	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa68a1f…
07-16 00:27:13	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae5da4…
07-15 01:27:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc93bcf…
07-15 01:06:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x658268…
07-14 00:54:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7fc549…
07-14 00:40:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf7b377…
07-13 02:29:14	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x75ab45…
07-13 02:15:49	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13b68e…
07-11 02:05:38	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x428346…
07-11 01:35:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x578b53…
07-10 01:13:28	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x59df8b…
07-10 01:12:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa3466e…
07-10 00:43:31	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99e27a…
07-10 00:40:55	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9e0131…
07-09 00:41:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e715a…
07-09 00:27:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33c83d…
07-08 00:59:08	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x45b4fc…
07-08 00:58:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0dc81f…
07-08 00:34:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d1fe0…
07-08 00:33:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26f5d9…
07-08 00:32:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2230b…
07-07 00:51:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x441efa…
07-07 00:32:08	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46e275…
07-06 01:45:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1b936b…
07-06 01:45:08	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad0c84…
07-06 01:27:44	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x744921…
07-06 01:26:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ba720…
07-04 00:58:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x82d205…
07-04 00:58:14	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5dd33c…
07-04 00:48:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xced04b…
07-04 00:46:47	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x03bbd4…
07-03 01:55:32	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x694fef…
07-03 01:55:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb8b290…
07-03 01:42:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5deb9…
07-03 01:41:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x965514…
07-02 01:58:08	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7e5104…
07-02 01:57:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe519b0…
07-02 01:43:14	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc80d1…
07-02 01:42:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x85fb79…
07-01 00:33:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3fb8…
07-01 00:32:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3b289f…
07-01 00:14:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37467d…
07-01 00:13:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fa398…
06-30 01:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5327d0…
06-30 01:02:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a2bcc…
06-27 01:26:11	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b44ac…
06-27 01:08:37	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac3e74…
06-25 01:05:46	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc4f41…
06-25 01:05:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x19277e…
06-25 00:27:28	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99e955…
06-25 00:25:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71a6b0…
06-23 10:03:53	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd92c8f…
06-23 09:39:32	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c2e8e…
06-22 09:02:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfe76df…
06-22 08:38:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe772d9…
06-21 10:29:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe90495…
06-21 10:29:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x487842…
06-21 10:23:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcca512…
06-21 10:20:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed455…
06-18 09:57:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xea000f…
06-18 09:57:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9770…
06-18 09:47:31	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ad362…
06-18 09:45:34	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ce1ed…
06-17 08:45:43	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcff344…
06-17 08:37:25	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf99778…
06-16 09:22:39	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1ba5ce…
06-16 09:21:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd726ab…
06-16 09:14:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x974970…
06-16 09:13:19	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf6333c…
06-15 09:32:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c7036…
06-15 09:31:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x15af03…
06-15 09:19:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d0061…
06-15 09:17:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63459d…
06-13 08:33:13	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x19d0ce…
06-13 08:32:46	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6a2ef2…
06-13 08:25:42	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb64852…
06-13 08:24:04	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf8aaba…
06-12 09:32:19	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x723538…
06-12 09:31:51	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3f630d…