Burdensome-Custard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$310

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

24% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	02-10 00:23
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-04 00:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-11 09:31
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:52
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 01:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	05-23 01:08
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-27 01:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 09:38
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:29
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:30
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:32
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 09:57
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:11
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 00:33
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 09:18
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 09:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 03:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:58:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x82d205…
07-04 00:58:14	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5dd33c…
07-04 00:48:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xced04b…
07-04 00:46:47	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x03bbd4…
07-03 01:55:32	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x694fef…
07-03 01:55:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb8b290…
07-03 01:42:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5deb9…
07-03 01:41:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x965514…
07-02 01:58:08	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7e5104…
07-02 01:57:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe519b0…
07-02 01:43:14	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc80d1…
07-02 01:42:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x85fb79…
07-01 00:33:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3fb8…
07-01 00:32:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3b289f…
07-01 00:14:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37467d…
07-01 00:13:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fa398…
06-30 01:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5327d0…
06-30 01:02:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a2bcc…
06-27 01:26:11	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b44ac…
06-27 01:08:37	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac3e74…
06-25 01:05:46	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc4f41…
06-25 01:05:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x19277e…
06-25 00:27:28	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99e955…
06-25 00:25:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71a6b0…
06-23 10:03:53	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd92c8f…
06-23 09:39:32	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c2e8e…
06-22 09:02:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfe76df…
06-22 08:38:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe772d9…
06-21 10:29:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe90495…
06-21 10:29:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x487842…
06-21 10:23:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcca512…
06-21 10:20:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed455…
06-18 09:57:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xea000f…
06-18 09:57:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9770…
06-18 09:47:31	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ad362…
06-18 09:45:34	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ce1ed…
06-17 08:45:43	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcff344…
06-17 08:37:25	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf99778…
06-16 09:22:39	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1ba5ce…
06-16 09:21:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd726ab…
06-16 09:14:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x974970…
06-16 09:13:19	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf6333c…
06-15 09:32:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c7036…
06-15 09:31:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x15af03…
06-15 09:19:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d0061…
06-15 09:17:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63459d…
06-13 08:33:13	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x19d0ce…
06-13 08:32:46	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6a2ef2…
06-13 08:25:42	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb64852…
06-13 08:24:04	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf8aaba…
06-12 09:32:19	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x723538…
06-12 09:31:51	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3f630d…
06-12 09:18:58	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8bda4b…
06-12 09:17:25	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x401404…
06-11 09:31:52	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a1abe…
06-11 09:13:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85f8e2…
06-10 09:38:49	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e08e0…
06-10 09:38:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe77070…
06-10 09:21:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f3fb3…
06-10 09:20:36	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a658d…
06-09 08:37:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb09a7a…
06-09 08:28:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc61955…
06-06 08:33:57	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab9dc8…
06-06 08:04:12	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1efd2f…
06-05 08:36:36	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3a52b1…
06-05 08:35:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa28e18…
06-05 08:13:09	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe2ffc9…
06-05 08:12:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa4fa73…
06-04 09:54:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77ba90…
06-04 09:49:39	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f9a93…
06-04 09:39:09	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d0a79…
06-04 09:37:54	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc8338b…
06-03 08:43:25	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd42627…
06-03 08:43:05	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2e3f6f…
06-03 08:41:08	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d9efc…
06-03 08:39:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b44db…
06-02 07:47:15	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7eca9…
06-01 09:44:34	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x487673…
06-01 09:37:31	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x947e82…
05-30 03:26:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61caa1…
05-30 03:19:18	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e32da…
05-29 09:19:17	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5d53e…
05-29 09:18:20	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2e52e9…
05-29 08:58:12	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c7a56…
05-29 08:55:35	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52547c…
05-28 10:15:29	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x027d10…
05-28 09:52:59	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82dc64…
05-26 09:47:49	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7ed168…
05-26 09:25:58	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61969e…
05-23 01:08:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf303e…
05-22 07:26:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4892bf…
05-22 07:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd036af…
05-21 01:47:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9fe1b4…
05-21 00:52:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x370356…
05-18 02:51:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdf92f4…
05-18 02:14:57	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00e521…
05-09 02:20:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd854ee…
05-09 01:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2d5874…
05-08 01:51:17	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x049ba7…
05-08 01:22:48	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01d45f…