Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
open
Total volume
$293
$39 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$26,319
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-21 12:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $7 | $51 | $45 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $10 | $155 | $145 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $51 | $51 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 7 | $9 | $155 | $146 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +161 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:17 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | +125 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-30 08:41 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x80b4…5087 | No | +50 | $48 | $58 | 3 | 06-21 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e45…1aa4 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-16 03:44 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ec0…bf54 | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-16 03:44 |
| Kind-Capitulation 0x53d8…75f6 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbe8…bfbd | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-16 03:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 12:22:47 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xee4dce… |
| 06-21 12:22:47 | (anonymous) 0x80b4…5087 | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xee4dce… |
| 06-18 07:58:32 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd0e9e5… |
| 06-18 07:58:32 | (anonymous) 0xbfba…583c | Yes | SELL | 105 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd0e9e5… |
| 06-18 07:58:32 | (anonymous) 0x80b4…5087 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd0e9e5… |
| 06-16 03:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xbfba…583c | Yes | BUY | 105 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1fc75e… |
| 06-16 03:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xbbe8…bfbd | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x1fc75e… |
| 06-16 03:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x5e45…1aa4 | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x1fc75e… |
| 06-16 03:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x5ec0…bf54 | No | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x1fc75e… |
| 06-06 19:17:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x134afe… |
| 06-06 19:17:49 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x134afe… |
| 06-06 19:17:00 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf91031… |
| 06-06 19:17:00 | Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xf91031… |
| 06-06 19:17:00 | (anonymous) 0x80b4…5087 | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xf91031… |
| 06-06 19:17:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xf91031… |
| 06-01 20:51:05 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a5cf7… |
| 06-01 20:51:05 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a5cf7… |
| 05-30 08:43:17 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x59adb9… |
| 05-30 08:43:17 | Kind-Capitulation 0x53d8…75f6 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x59adb9… |
| 05-30 08:41:27 | (anonymous) 0x0c35…2bab | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xa995ef… |
| 05-30 08:41:27 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | BUY | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xa995ef… |