Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
open
Total volume
$9,459
$39 in 24h
Trades
351
Unique wallets
89
Liquidity
$26,319
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-06 23:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 3% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $25 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $30 | $615 | $586 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | $106 | $104 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 61 | $9 | $590 | $581 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $28 | $194 | $166 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $12 | $556 | $544 |
| Median | 34 | $1 | $42 | $41 |
| Below median | 16 | $10 | $296 | $286 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $342 | $342 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $470 | $470 |
| unranked | 17 | $10 | $534 | $524 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 11:48 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +419 | $2 | $28 | 11 | 08-01 19:27 |
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +161 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:17 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 08-02 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6187…8065 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-22 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd5a…7ad0 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-22 13:50 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-01 19:18 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 20:51 |
| Kind-Capitulation 0x53d8…75f6 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbe8…bfbd | No | +29 | $28 | $69 | 3 | 07-16 19:17 |
| Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | +26 | $25 | $74 | 3 | 07-30 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | +24 | $23 | $83 | 37 | 07-29 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 08-06 23:01 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-06 23:01 |
| Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 07-11 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-03 19:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-11 09:33 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $21 | 13 | 07-24 06:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:01:57 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6ed2d5… |
| 08-06 23:01:57 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6ed2d5… |
| 08-03 19:12:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 95 | 96¢ | $91 | 0x25a269… |
| 08-03 19:12:39 | Austere-Bookcase 0x5ecf…af11 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x25a269… |
| 08-03 19:12:39 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x25a269… |
| 08-02 22:25:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x13fb6c… |
| 08-02 22:25:09 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x13fb6c… |
| 08-01 19:27:18 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xf80842… |
| 08-01 19:27:18 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xf80842… |
| 08-01 19:27:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x9f8ece… |
| 08-01 19:27:12 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x9f8ece… |
| 08-01 19:27:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 81 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x5c4736… |
| 08-01 19:27:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 81 | 95¢ | $77 | 0x5c4736… |
| 08-01 19:18:15 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x9651e0… |
| 08-01 19:18:15 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 350 | 97¢ | $339 | 0x9651e0… |
| 08-01 19:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9651e0… |
| 08-01 19:18:15 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 81 | 97¢ | $78 | 0x9651e0… |
| 08-01 19:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x9651e0… |
| 08-01 19:18:15 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9651e0… |
| 08-01 13:02:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x24f155… |
| 08-01 13:02:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x24f155… |
| 07-31 17:10:03 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x17f2a6… |
| 07-31 17:10:03 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x17f2a6… |
| 07-31 16:15:36 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | SELL | 114 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xa3491f… |
| 07-31 16:15:36 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xa3491f… |
| 07-31 16:15:36 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0xa3491f… |
| 07-31 06:20:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x36d2d1… |
| 07-31 06:20:12 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x36d2d1… |
| 07-31 06:20:06 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xe00ea4… |
| 07-31 06:20:06 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | SELL | 96 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xe00ea4… |
| 07-31 06:20:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xe00ea4… |
| 07-31 06:18:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xc3bc28… |
| 07-31 06:18:06 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc3bc28… |
| 07-31 06:18:06 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xc3bc28… |
| 07-31 06:18:06 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xc3bc28… |
| 07-30 13:26:17 | Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x49aeef… |
| 07-30 13:26:17 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49aeef… |
| 07-29 18:03:05 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c9fd2… |
| 07-29 18:03:05 | Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | SELL | 17 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x7c9fd2… |
| 07-29 18:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c9fd2… |
| 07-29 18:02:59 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x570ee0… |
| 07-29 18:02:59 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x570ee0… |
| 07-29 18:02:14 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 392 | 3¢ | $11 | 0xc2d308… |
| 07-29 18:02:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 189 | 97¢ | $184 | 0xc2d308… |
| 07-29 18:02:14 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xc2d308… |
| 07-29 18:02:14 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 600 | 97¢ | $583 | 0xc2d308… |
| 07-24 06:09:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x86a7c5… |
| 07-24 06:09:28 | Shady-Pause 0x8cc2…5319 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x86a7c5… |
| 07-22 18:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 408 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x2d060c… |
| 07-22 18:37:25 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 408 | 98¢ | $398 | 0x2d060c… |
| 07-22 14:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 293 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x9ccd41… |
| 07-22 14:44:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 293 | 98¢ | $286 | 0x9ccd41… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd5a…7ad0 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 156 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 293 | 98¢ | $286 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x6187…8065 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | Silver-Ribbon 0x7324…e8a9 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-22 13:50:22 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 747 | 98¢ | $731 | 0x9d1001… |
| 07-16 19:17:32 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x85e0b5… |
| 07-16 19:17:32 | Frugal-Ethnicity 0x28e8…1e84 | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x85e0b5… |
| 07-16 19:17:32 | (anonymous) 0xbbe8…bfbd | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x85e0b5… |
| 07-14 04:42:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d758e… |
| 07-14 04:42:53 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d758e… |
| 07-12 19:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x710450… |
| 07-12 19:07:07 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x710450… |
| 07-12 19:07:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x710450… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 149 | 99¢ | $147 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 233 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 522 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-11 16:33:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe93f19… |
| 07-11 16:33:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe93f19… |
| 07-11 16:33:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x202cb4… |
| 07-11 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x202cb4… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 149 | 98¢ | $146 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 09:41:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7e9afd… |
| 07-11 09:41:25 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7e9afd… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x442ed8… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd74ae2… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd74ae2… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x442ed8… |
| 07-11 09:41:22 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x86ee01… |
| 07-11 09:41:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x86ee01… |
| 07-11 09:41:20 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaa8731… |
| 07-11 09:41:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaa8731… |
| 07-11 09:33:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38306e… |
| 07-11 09:33:25 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x38306e… |
| 07-11 09:33:25 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38306e… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x61cd2d… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3cf2a… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x61cd2d… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc3cf2a… |
| 07-11 09:33:20 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb6dc04… |
| 07-11 09:33:20 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x85adae… |