Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
open
Total volume
$4,336
$39 in 24h
Trades
291
Unique wallets
73
Liquidity
$26,319
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-16 19:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $13 | $257 | $244 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $37 | $246 | $209 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 55 | $9 | $371 | $362 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $257 | $247 |
| Median | 37 | $1 | $46 | $45 |
| Below median | 10 | $11 | $10 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $246 | $246 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 12 | $9 | $315 | $306 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +701 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-12 08:11 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +700 | $15 | $15 | 8 | 07-12 08:11 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 11:48 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | +280 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 11:48 |
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +161 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:17 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +156 | $2 | $2 | 7 | 07-14 04:42 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 11:48 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 20:51 |
| Kind-Capitulation 0x53d8…75f6 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbe8…bfbd | No | +29 | $28 | $69 | 3 | 07-16 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | +5 | $5 | $65 | 36 | 07-09 11:48 |
| Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 07-11 09:33 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-11 09:33 |
| Shady-Pause 0x8cc2…5319 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 07:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:17:32 | (anonymous) 0xbbe8…bfbd | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x85e0b5… |
| 07-16 19:17:32 | Frugal-Ethnicity 0x28e8…1e84 | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x85e0b5… |
| 07-16 19:17:32 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x85e0b5… |
| 07-14 04:42:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d758e… |
| 07-14 04:42:53 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d758e… |
| 07-12 19:07:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x710450… |
| 07-12 19:07:07 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x710450… |
| 07-12 19:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x710450… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 149 | 99¢ | $147 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 522 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-12 08:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 233 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x99476b… |
| 07-11 16:33:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe93f19… |
| 07-11 16:33:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe93f19… |
| 07-11 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x202cb4… |
| 07-11 16:33:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x202cb4… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 149 | 98¢ | $146 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 16:32:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7cdbf0… |
| 07-11 09:41:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7e9afd… |
| 07-11 09:41:25 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7e9afd… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd74ae2… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x442ed8… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd74ae2… |
| 07-11 09:41:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x442ed8… |
| 07-11 09:41:22 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x86ee01… |
| 07-11 09:41:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x86ee01… |
| 07-11 09:41:20 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaa8731… |
| 07-11 09:41:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaa8731… |
| 07-11 09:33:25 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38306e… |
| 07-11 09:33:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38306e… |
| 07-11 09:33:25 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x38306e… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc3cf2a… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x61cd2d… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x61cd2d… |
| 07-11 09:33:23 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3cf2a… |
| 07-11 09:33:20 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x85adae… |
| 07-11 09:33:20 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb6dc04… |
| 07-11 09:33:20 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x85adae… |
| 07-11 09:33:20 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb6dc04… |
| 07-10 07:22:10 | Shady-Pause 0x8cc2…5319 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4b4214… |
| 07-10 07:22:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4b4214… |
| 07-10 01:36:13 | Deserted-Alley 0xbf6f…be8e | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6f435a… |
| 07-10 01:36:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6f435a… |
| 07-10 01:36:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb42fed… |
| 07-10 01:36:10 | Likely-Mama 0x2f0d…7ca3 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb42fed… |
| 07-10 01:36:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf36daa… |
| 07-10 01:36:08 | Polished-Scheme 0xb62e…f989 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf36daa… |
| 07-10 01:36:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xad4bac… |
| 07-10 01:36:07 | Tidy-Leverage 0x6b92…d7b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xad4bac… |
| 07-10 01:36:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6bfb99… |
| 07-10 01:36:05 | Studious-Whelp 0x4956…2a4d | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6bfb99… |
| 07-10 01:20:47 | Deserted-Alley 0xbf6f…be8e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x281172… |
| 07-10 01:20:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x281172… |
| 07-10 01:20:44 | Likely-Mama 0x2f0d…7ca3 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x14ec39… |
| 07-10 01:20:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x14ec39… |
| 07-10 01:20:41 | Polished-Scheme 0xb62e…f989 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb08012… |
| 07-10 01:20:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb08012… |
| 07-10 01:20:40 | Tidy-Leverage 0x6b92…d7b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbe7464… |
| 07-10 01:20:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe7464… |
| 07-10 01:20:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x974e8d… |
| 07-10 01:20:37 | Studious-Whelp 0x4956…2a4d | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x974e8d… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 500 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1,567 | 98¢ | $1,534 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 250 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 3,235 | 2¢ | $69 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 11:48:19 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | BUY | 155 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x330b3b… |
| 07-09 07:46:56 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe23507… |
| 07-09 07:46:56 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe23507… |
| 07-09 07:46:53 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1753e8… |
| 07-09 07:46:53 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1753e8… |
| 07-09 07:46:52 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd2f8ae… |
| 07-09 07:46:52 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd2f8ae… |
| 07-09 07:46:50 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5ea9e5… |
| 07-09 07:46:50 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5ea9e5… |
| 07-09 07:46:47 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf69c02… |
| 07-09 07:46:47 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf69c02… |
| 07-09 07:33:55 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x87f0c0… |
| 07-09 07:33:55 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x87f0c0… |
| 07-09 07:33:53 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8c211a… |
| 07-09 07:33:53 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8c211a… |
| 07-09 07:33:50 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd4fabb… |
| 07-09 07:33:50 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd4fabb… |
| 07-09 07:33:47 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x059640… |
| 07-09 07:33:47 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x059640… |
| 07-09 07:33:46 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x40bbb3… |
| 07-09 07:33:46 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x40bbb3… |
| 07-08 02:23:20 | Multicolored-Dead 0x6099…f70b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x576912… |
| 07-08 02:23:20 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x576912… |
| 07-08 02:23:17 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4008c1… |
| 07-08 02:23:17 | Woeful-Fang 0x4b23…e57c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4008c1… |
| 07-08 02:23:17 | Skinny-Hepatitis 0x73a9…5666 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6f655d… |
| 07-08 02:23:17 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6f655d… |
| 07-08 02:23:14 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…ca4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9a29c7… |