Agreeable-Birth 0x84c386…be35d4 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
3,262
Trades
26,553
lifetime
Volume
$250.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 11-03 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Other
54% 50% -$9,307
Politics
40% 52% +$981
Sports
3% 43% -$200
Tech
2% 35% -$235
Crypto
1% 38% -$347
Pop-Culture
0% 11% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -291 -$210 88¢ $-255 -$44 09-19 08:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -218 -$203 92¢ $-201 +$2 09-23 03:08
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +80 $67 100¢ $80 +$14 06-05 07:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -62 -$27 94¢ $-59 -$31 05-29 02:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -45 -$42 97¢ $-44 -$1 10-05 15:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +58 $33 72¢ $41 +$8 04-30 16:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -39 -$37 98¢ $-38 -$1 09-23 00:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +34 $30 98¢ $33 +$4 09-22 23:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -49 -$24 66¢ $-32 -$8 09-23 18:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -26 -$25 98¢ $-26 -$1 09-23 05:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +20 $13 97¢ $19 +$6 05-29 21:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +19 $17 98¢ $18 +$1 06-17 04:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -22 -$11 82¢ $-18 -$7 07-30 06:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -18 -$17 92¢ $-16 +$1 06-05 16:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +58 $14 28¢ $16 +$2 09-23 11:13
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? No -13 -$11 97¢ $-13 -$1 09-26 05:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -60 -$9 19¢ $-11 -$3 09-25 02:02
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -12 -$14 92¢ $-11 +$3 07-17 20:13
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -97 -$18 11¢ $-11 +$7 09-26 18:45
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 06-29 12:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-26 07:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -9 -$8 96¢ $-9 $0 09-26 15:42
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-8 $0 09-24 07:37
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 04-29 09:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +63 $32 8¢ $5 -$27 09-25 19:23
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -144 -$14 3¢ $-5 +$10 09-23 08:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -5 -$5 92¢ $-5 +$0 06-05 23:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $1 92¢ $5 +$3 09-22 18:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 88¢ $4 +$3 08-21 03:31
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +4 -$7 88¢ $4 +$10 08-11 11:53