Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
19
lifetime
Volume
$189
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$149
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91%
Politics
6%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6? No +56 $45 57¢ $32 $-13 05-05 18:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 5? No +23 $21 100¢ $23 +$2 05-05 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6? No +37 $33 60¢ $22 $-11 05-05 13:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5? No +31 $14 54¢ $17 +$2 05-05 12:56
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -15 $-11 73¢ $-11 +$0 05-05 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 6? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 05-05 10:01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May? No +28 $16 32¢ $9 $-7 05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6? No +13 $8 63¢ $8 +$0 05-05 17:09
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +20 $6 32¢ $6 +$0 05-05 19:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 05-05 17:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $-3 62¢ $-3 $-0 05-04 22:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May? No +26 $2 $2 +$0 05-05 00:09
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-05 16:59
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +7 $3 $1 $-3 05-05 19:52