Agreeable-Birth 0x84c386…be35d4
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$781
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
102
Trades
11,520
lifetime
Volume
$113.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.76K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-01 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
53% 52% +$757
Other
38% 45% +$24
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 331 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +131 $121 93¢ $122 +$1 06-27 06:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +93 $86 96¢ $89 +$3 06-25 12:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +106 $77 82¢ $87 +$10 06-01 16:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +94 $86 92¢ $87 +$0 06-28 16:41
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +98 $84 86¢ $85 +$0 06-24 17:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +85 $60 99¢ $84 +$24 06-19 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +116 $45 70¢ $81 +$36 06-30 01:56
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +79 $73 99¢ $79 +$6 06-21 20:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +120 $57 56¢ $68 +$11 06-29 04:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -77 $-59 88¢ $-67 $-8 05-29 21:19
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +69 $65 94¢ $65 +$1 06-27 04:02
New pandemic in 2026? No +69 $61 92¢ $63 +$2 06-16 16:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +143 $58 44¢ $62 +$4 06-29 04:15
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +73 $60 80¢ $59 $-1 06-29 19:48
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +58 $59 98¢ $57 $-3 07-01 01:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +55 $51 100¢ $55 +$4 06-09 19:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +53 $7 100¢ $53 +$46 06-18 14:08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-18 08:58
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +54 $50 92¢ $49 $-1 06-28 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $47 44¢ $45 $-2 06-29 12:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +49 $33 90¢ $44 +$12 06-08 23:56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +58 $3 72¢ $42 +$39 06-30 14:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +56 $37 75¢ $42 +$5 06-16 10:58
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -39 $-54 100¢ $-39 +$15 06-29 18:07
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +34 $29 100¢ $34 +$5 05-29 07:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +76 $33 42¢ $32 $-1 06-27 04:15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +77 $42 40¢ $31 $-11 06-23 20:11
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +37 $28 81¢ $30 +$3 06-02 11:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +144 $54 20¢ $28 $-26 06-15 01:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-18 80¢ $-27 $-10 05-29 02:42