Agreeable-Birth 0x84c386…be35d4
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$781
Unrealized P&L
+$156
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
102
Trades
13,030
lifetime
Volume
$128.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-21 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
52% 52% +$757
Other
40% 45% +$24
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +225 $210 92¢ $208 $-2 07-14 12:06
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +169 $157 92¢ $154 $-2 07-14 23:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +106 $25 99¢ $105 +$80 07-11 08:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +126 $62 70¢ $88 +$27 07-15 23:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +75 $68 98¢ $73 +$5 07-18 18:03
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +71 $67 99¢ $70 +$3 07-08 10:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -77 $-59 86¢ $-67 $-7 05-29 21:19
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +69 $65 94¢ $66 +$1 06-27 04:02
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +126 $54 52¢ $65 +$11 07-20 16:25
New pandemic in 2026? No +69 $61 94¢ $65 +$4 06-16 16:37
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +70 $65 92¢ $64 $-0 07-19 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +117 $77 54¢ $63 $-14 07-18 06:28
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -100 $-61 60¢ $-60 +$2 07-05 11:31
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +71 $62 83¢ $59 $-3 07-06 13:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +63 $47 88¢ $56 +$8 07-19 10:01
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +93 $36 56¢ $53 +$17 07-15 16:40
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +58 $3 88¢ $51 +$48 06-30 14:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +68 $53 72¢ $49 $-4 07-20 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $36 46¢ $47 +$10 07-17 00:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +56 $37 82¢ $46 +$9 06-16 10:58
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +70 $44 63¢ $44 +$0 07-20 21:08
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +51 $42 82¢ $42 $-0 07-21 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $47 36¢ $37 $-10 06-29 12:20
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +35 $32 92¢ $32 +$0 07-11 15:42
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -36 $-33 84¢ $-30 +$3 07-17 20:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-18 86¢ $-29 $-12 05-29 02:42
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No -29 $-24 86¢ $-25 $-1 06-07 01:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +76 $33 32¢ $25 $-8 06-27 04:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -84 $-16 28¢ $-23 $-7 07-16 17:38
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +24 $22 95¢ $23 +$1 06-08 11:11