Agreeable-Birth 0x84c386…be35d4
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$244
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$147
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75% — —
Crypto
17% — —
Politics
5% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6? No +56 $45 65¢ $36 $-9 05-05 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6? No +37 $33 98¢ $36 +$3 05-05 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6? No +13 $8 91¢ $12 +$4 05-05 17:09
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -15 $-11 66¢ $-10 +$1 05-05 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 6? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 05-05 10:01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May? No +28 $16 34¢ $10 $-6 05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 6? No +15 $10 60¢ $9 $-1 05-06 00:19
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +20 $6 40¢ $8 +$2 05-05 19:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 05-05 17:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes -16 $-5 29¢ $-5 $-0 05-06 02:44
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$1 05-06 00:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $-3 65¢ $-3 $-0 05-04 22:49
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +7 $3 8¢ $1 $-3 05-05 19:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 62¢ $-0 $-0 05-06 00:59
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -14 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 05-05 16:59