Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5?
open
Total volume
$1,305
$1,177 in 24h
Trades
70
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$593
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $203 | $126 | +$76 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | $24 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 1 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 22 | $187 | $71 | +$116 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warmhearted-Coinsurance 0x5a3b…957b | No | +93 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-05 21:44 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +45 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 05-05 21:59 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +35 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 05-05 20:50 |
| Hard-To-Find-Oyster 0x353b…e535 | Yes | +34 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-05 15:24 |
| Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 21:09 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +31 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-05 12:56 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +28 | $-1 | $141 | 26 | 05-05 21:00 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-05 19:17 |
| Severe-Intentionality 0xc4f9…8d24 | No | +23 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 19:02 |
| Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-05 19:33 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 20:13 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 13:15 |
| Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-05 19:36 |
| Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-05 21:59 |
| Sturdy-Hemisphere 0x9fbf…f003 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| Mediocre-Alliance 0x506c…840c | Yes | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 18:07 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 21:44 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 10:10 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 06:59 |
| Shallow-Duration 0xf16f…4857 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Mealy-Grant 0xc53f…5c8b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 22:05:02 | Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xadf681… |
| 05-05 22:04:38 | Lovable-Mailbox 0xa79a…4883 | No | SELL | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0x390835… |
| 05-05 22:00:04 | Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | SELL | 785 | 100¢ | $784 | 0xef46fa… |
| 05-05 21:59:56 | Unwitting-Lid 0x200e…7d37 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x74ef00… |
| 05-05 21:59:52 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4eb595… |
| 05-05 21:59:44 | Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x063993… |
| 05-05 21:59:44 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x02b2f4… |
| 05-05 21:54:34 | Nice-Target 0x5476…e9ed | Yes | SELL | 1 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x63a2fa… |
| 05-05 21:44:58 | Warmhearted-Coinsurance 0x5a3b…957b | No | BUY | 93 | 58¢ | $53 | 0xd4c600… |
| 05-05 21:44:52 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xdf321d… |
| 05-05 21:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 46¢ | $7 | 0x407dc2… |
| 05-05 21:09:44 | Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 62¢ | $20 | 0x32e021… |
| 05-05 21:00:04 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 66¢ | $14 | 0x17a1b5… |
| 05-05 20:54:54 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0x325b06… |
| 05-05 20:50:04 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x7fe7d1… |
| 05-05 20:50:02 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x81d3b7… |
| 05-05 20:50:00 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x7a4e29… |
| 05-05 20:49:56 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x566c1a… |
| 05-05 20:49:36 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x7127f2… |
| 05-05 20:49:32 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xa82d2f… |
| 05-05 20:13:34 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x8bdb70… |
| 05-05 20:13:32 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x85626f… |
| 05-05 19:58:12 | Mealy-Grant 0xc53f…5c8b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x490cb6… |
| 05-05 19:45:04 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x6e7a18… |
| 05-05 19:44:58 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x1ecbc1… |
| 05-05 19:44:52 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd5f6f6… |
| 05-05 19:44:44 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xac408d… |
| 05-05 19:44:38 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x0203f2… |
| 05-05 19:43:20 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x092ce3… |
| 05-05 19:43:14 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x7f567e… |
| 05-05 19:43:08 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xd2cd76… |
| 05-05 19:42:54 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x7a7e38… |
| 05-05 19:41:30 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xfbb7bf… |
| 05-05 19:41:22 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc4b8fa… |
| 05-05 19:37:16 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x498e3a… |
| 05-05 19:37:10 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x0f9d74… |
| 05-05 19:36:50 | Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x150ff4… |
| 05-05 19:34:58 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xc55c3a… |
| 05-05 19:34:52 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x7164e6… |
| 05-05 19:34:44 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5bbff4… |
| 05-05 19:34:38 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x6b150a… |
| 05-05 19:34:32 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x144953… |
| 05-05 19:34:22 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x4b4dc3… |
| 05-05 19:34:16 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x8034be… |
| 05-05 19:34:14 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x0fb062… |
| 05-05 19:33:24 | Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x27f80f… |
| 05-05 19:33:16 | Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xccb985… |
| 05-05 19:31:32 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3c069f… |
| 05-05 19:17:54 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 70¢ | $18 | 0xaabecf… |
| 05-05 19:06:24 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 66¢ | $14 | 0xf9837f… |
| 05-05 19:03:08 | Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xb38fee… |
| 05-05 19:02:46 | Severe-Intentionality 0xc4f9…8d24 | No | BUY | 23 | 38¢ | $9 | 0x7cee85… |
| 05-05 18:58:08 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x81ac76… |
| 05-05 18:54:12 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x444342… |
| 05-05 18:54:12 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x7a0600… |
| 05-05 18:51:52 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xe8a602… |
| 05-05 18:07:48 | Mediocre-Alliance 0x506c…840c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0xa6553d… |
| 05-05 15:24:30 | Hard-To-Find-Oyster 0x353b…e535 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 64¢ | $22 | 0xad5e0d… |
| 05-05 14:17:18 | Exhausted-Statistic 0x5814…bbfa | No | SELL | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x971b68… |
| 05-05 13:15:22 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x7c4bb8… |
| 05-05 12:56:50 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd3452d… |
| 05-05 10:10:16 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xd11767… |
| 05-05 10:10:08 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 26 | 48¢ | $12 | 0xb83fba… |
| 05-05 10:06:34 | Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x932a94… |
| 05-05 08:00:08 | Sturdy-Hemisphere 0x9fbf…f003 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xc379da… |
| 05-05 06:59:48 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x8a4b46… |
| 05-05 06:59:48 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xfbbef6… |
| 05-05 06:00:04 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xf904a9… |
| 05-05 05:44:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x8d3286… |
| 05-04 20:24:32 | Shallow-Duration 0xf16f…4857 | No | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x12b827… |