Realized P&L
+$335
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
6,642
Trades
16,040
lifetime
Volume
$103.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$323
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 05-15 11:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
93% 63% +$413
Politics
6% 79% +$108
Crypto
1% 65% -$125
Tech
0% 75% -$62
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 +$0 05-05 16:06
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 05-12 07:40
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +28 $27 100¢ $28 +$0 05-06 21:11
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +39 $16 68¢ $27 +$11 05-12 04:55
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +25 $16 98¢ $25 +$8 05-06 21:11
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +30 $25 80¢ $24 $0 05-10 07:29
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-06 13:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No +12 $11 100¢ $12 +$2 05-06 13:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-07 07:30
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-06 15:34
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-06 15:34
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 05-03 20:34
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +10 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 05-03 17:36
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-05 13:46
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-14 20:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $4 36¢ $4 -$1 05-07 09:04
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No +5 $4 29¢ $1 -$2 05-04 14:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +5 $5 29¢ $1 -$3 05-05 13:46