Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$2,004
Trades
42
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$820
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 11:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $990 | $989 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $10 | $924 | $914 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $995 | $995 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| Median | 8 | — | $410 | $410 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $508 | $506 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4 | No | +995 | $990 | $990 | 1 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Flashy-Food-Spit 0xb968…4b8e | No | +404 | $404 | $404 | 2 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | +265 | $264 | $264 | 4 | 05-16 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xde2c…ce79 | Yes | +205 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Clueless-Gripper 0x1f58…fde0 | Yes | +125 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-16 08:51 |
| False-Proof-Reward 0x7c27…b565 | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | +83 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-15 10:56 |
| Incomplete-Sustenance 0x309b…40a1 | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:25 |
| Miserable-Banyan 0x6ea2…1167 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 19:13 |
| Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $3 | 2 | 05-15 18:19 |
| Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 20:28 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 17:56 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 07:24 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 01:04 |
| Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 22:38 |
| Harmful-Validity 0x386e…3463 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:49 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 07:59 |
| Utter-Deficit 0xbc3e…cefd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c0f…652e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 13:31 |
| Several-Pressurization 0x6d54…7c67 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 09:15 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 11:21:06 | Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | No | SELL | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0xde2dc4… |
| 05-16 09:31:33 | Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x741e50… |
| 05-16 09:31:27 | Flashy-Food-Spit 0xb968…4b8e | No | BUY | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0x84ad51… |
| 05-16 09:31:26 | Incomplete-Sustenance 0x309b…40a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x520b5b… |
| 05-16 09:31:26 | False-Proof-Reward 0x7c27…b565 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x7033f4… |
| 05-16 09:31:26 | Flashy-Food-Spit 0xb968…4b8e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x89630b… |
| 05-16 09:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x3c0f…652e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0cae6f… |
| 05-16 09:31:26 | Incomplete-Sustenance 0x309b…40a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8884f0… |
| 05-16 09:31:26 | Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x873501… |
| 05-16 09:31:24 | False-Proof-Reward 0x7c27…b565 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x3cf37c… |
| 05-16 09:31:24 | Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x91689d… |
| 05-16 09:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x3c0f…652e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc0f5ad… |
| 05-16 09:31:22 | Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xa0f38d… |
| 05-16 09:31:22 | Incomplete-Sustenance 0x309b…40a1 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9916fc… |
| 05-16 09:31:22 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2af1e1… |
| 05-16 09:31:22 | False-Proof-Reward 0x7c27…b565 | No | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $61 | 0x1f3b79… |
| 05-16 09:31:22 | (anonymous) 0xde2c…ce79 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x66bd83… |
| 05-16 09:31:19 | Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4 | No | BUY | 995 | 100¢ | $990 | 0xc769b8… |
| 05-16 09:25:18 | Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56fee0… |
| 05-16 09:15:34 | Several-Pressurization 0x6d54…7c67 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6ffcf6… |
| 05-16 08:51:30 | Clueless-Gripper 0x1f58…fde0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf3bcd3… |
| 05-16 08:51:26 | Clueless-Gripper 0x1f58…fde0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x38bdbc… |
| 05-16 08:51:23 | Clueless-Gripper 0x1f58…fde0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xde9ea3… |
| 05-16 07:59:56 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x252ea4… |
| 05-16 07:59:56 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1a787c… |
| 05-16 07:59:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7cec8c… |
| 05-16 07:59:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe0f722… |
| 05-16 07:59:56 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x675cfe… |
| 05-16 07:24:59 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xada6a4… |
| 05-16 01:04:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xf27457… |
| 05-15 22:38:44 | Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfb6c21… |
| 05-15 20:28:32 | Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x47cba5… |
| 05-15 19:13:08 | Miserable-Banyan 0x6ea2…1167 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd461a7… |
| 05-15 18:42:17 | High-Level-Reservation 0x99f9…e847 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfbf5fc… |
| 05-15 18:19:49 | Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0850be… |
| 05-15 17:56:54 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x3aea0d… |
| 05-15 17:22:25 | Utter-Deficit 0xbc3e…cefd | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x1b1217… |
| 05-15 10:56:45 | Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | BUY | 83 | 97¢ | $80 | 0x5a6ab5… |
| 05-15 07:04:14 | Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x981fbb… |
| 05-15 00:07:35 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x335ed7… |
| 05-14 13:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x72a3d0… |
| 05-14 12:49:21 | Harmful-Validity 0x386e…3463 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xdc4fb5… |