Personal-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

2,585

Trades

17,208

lifetime

Volume

$2.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-27 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Other

99% 99% +$53,173

Crypto

1% 50% +$154

Politics

0% 100% +$42

Sports

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 368 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+29	$5	4¢	$1	-$4	09-15 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$9.6K	7,296	7,296	+0	No	+$797	06-01 12:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	110	$9.5K	5,855	5,855	+0	Yes	-$643	05-26 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	5	$5.6K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	+$200	04-28 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 8?	6	$5.2K	2,696	2,696	+0	No	+$172	05-08 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 25?	16	$4.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$10	08-25 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?	18	$4.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$19	08-18 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 12?	13	$4.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$33	09-12 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27?	17	$4.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$31	08-27 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?	23	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$76	08-22 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 30?	17	$4.7K	2,368	2,368	+0	No	+$21	08-30 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 15?	14	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$7	10-14 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 1?	30	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$12	10-01 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	9	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$17	10-18 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 2?	5	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$29	10-02 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22?	17	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$28	09-22 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	15	$4.5K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$42	10-12 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?	5	$4.5K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$61	10-19 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?	4	$4.5K	2,525	2,525	+0	No	+$533	07-09 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 29?	10	$4.4K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$207	09-29 02:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?	5	$4.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$427	08-02 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?	3	$4.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$438	08-19 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 2?	7	$4.4K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$43	05-02 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 3?	6	$4.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$52	05-03 04:09
highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	2	$4.3K	2,200	2,197	+3	Yes	+$62	04-20 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 18?	10	$4.3K	2,134	2,134	+0	No	+$7	08-18 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?	244	$4.2K	2,242	2,242	+0	Yes	+$43	07-01 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 30?	10	$4.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$184	04-30 04:40
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 33c	2	$4.1K	2,200	2,187	+13	No	+$262	04-18 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 9?	7	$4.1K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$141	05-09 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?	2	$4.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$307	05-02 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:55:23	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 5°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3281ae…
10-27 03:50:26	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb284b1…
10-27 01:55:32	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 6°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3951ea…
10-27 01:50:18	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 6°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9737c0…
10-26 23:53:53	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6c6788…
10-26 23:51:05	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x451da9…
10-26 23:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5257c1…
10-26 23:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 7°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0fb852…
10-26 23:23:38	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4624c6…
10-26 23:23:35	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0996f4…
10-26 23:21:05	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7e5f0f…
10-26 23:20:39	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfb3429…
10-26 23:20:39	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x00c962…
10-26 22:54:24	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x18dec8…
10-26 22:51:05	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf135ea…
10-26 21:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa777f0…
10-26 21:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27c51a…
10-26 21:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x7d20cc…
10-26 21:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbb932a…
10-26 21:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa99a71…
10-26 21:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3eec73…
10-26 21:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4b96e7…
10-26 21:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$74	0xe7ad3a…
10-26 21:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x2e43dd…
10-26 20:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x477b74…
10-26 20:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x46fcbd…
10-26 20:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd2b0d2…
10-26 20:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe910ac…
10-26 20:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9434ba…
10-26 20:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xfc2218…
10-26 20:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xa62b2e…
10-26 19:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x90427e…
10-26 19:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 26?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x0c1158…
10-26 19:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa92c48…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 26?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xb2680a…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9c5623…
10-26 19:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 26?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc3dc5e…
10-26 17:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xb90058…
10-26 17:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x9711a0…
10-26 12:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	SELL	276	100¢	$276	0x10441b…
10-26 12:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x095c50…
10-26 12:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd3fb9c…
10-26 12:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xa2c45a…
10-26 12:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7c48cb…
10-26 12:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	415	99¢	$412	0xbb1867…
10-26 10:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc59658…
10-26 10:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	418	100¢	$417	0x7eef48…
10-26 10:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8694ef…
10-26 10:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3095a9…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcf3c75…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xabc541…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa84a3a…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x97b0b6…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x47ec1a…
10-26 10:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd49a04…
10-26 10:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x16ec14…
10-26 10:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x13a700…
10-26 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdad8c8…
10-26 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd34068…
10-26 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcfb022…
10-26 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb0fae9…
10-26 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9e4c98…
10-26 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x79e3e0…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe10ef7…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe0f0ac…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc5f7e1…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x597cae…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5962c4…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5017fd…
10-26 10:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3e642b…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf82321…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb78996…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9158c5…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x528d62…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3f9110…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x337710…
10-26 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x27db19…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe10b28…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa6ccfe…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9b9f15…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8c15e3…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x82c590…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x29a892…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x27c289…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x18a061…
10-26 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x153bc3…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd06b5a…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa93f2c…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x8d4412…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c51e5…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5694cd…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3a4f0f…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1d6e2a…
10-26 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1cbe77…
10-26 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf1b4a2…
10-26 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdeaac1…
10-26 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa637be…
10-26 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x82d413…
10-26 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x47479b…
10-26 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x33f01a…