Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

237

Trades

688

lifetime

Volume

$913

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 11-07 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

76% 25% -$36

Politics

13% 83% +$1

Sports

7% 15% +$10

Crypto

4% 50% -$12

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	05-16 03:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	+4	$2	50¢	$2	$0	11-07 03:07
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	-1	$0	10¢	$-0	+$0	06-05 10:21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+0	$0	10¢	$0	$0	05-28 04:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	06-03 11:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	11	$36	71	27	+44	Yes	-$12	03-23 13:05
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	18	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$4	03-17 08:00
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	35	$35	30	31	-1	open	—	06-05 10:21
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$31	0	368	-368	No	+$31	04-30 02:27
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	15	$29	16	16	+0	No	+$1	02-04 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	4	$25	28	22	+6	Yes	+$20	04-25 07:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-22 22:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-22 22:41
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	03-08 17:58
Iran leadership change by March 13?	11	$23	16	9	+7	No	+$1	03-11 14:06
val ef s2g 2026 02 02 game1	32	$18	18	15	+3	S2G Esports	-$14	01-31 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	2	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	+$15	05-31 06:30
will iran strike turkey in march	7	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-22 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	2	$16	16	16	+0	Yes	+$14	06-04 12:05
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	36	$15	20	16	+4	No	-$4	03-19 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	14	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$13	05-02 16:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-08 18:08
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	6	$12	17	0	+17	Over	+$5	03-17 17:49
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-08 18:07
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	1	$10	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	02-01 07:15
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 total 3pt5	5	$10	25	0	+25	Under	-$10	03-10 18:25
Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?	11	$10	10	10	+0	No	-$9	05-19 05:24
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 17c	7	$9	29	16	+13	Yes	$0	04-17 06:39
Games Total: O/U 2.5	10	$9	9	9	+0	Under	-$7	06-01 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	2	$9	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	05-31 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	7	$9	15	15	+0	No	+$5	05-10 04:31
Penguins vs. Flyers	2	$8	206	0	+206	Flyers	-$8	04-30 02:47
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	7	$7	6	5	+2	Yes	+$1	05-30 14:46
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	7	$7	7	6	+2	Yes	-$1	06-06 15:08
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	02-04 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 03:07:10	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3eb4c9…
10-31 10:06:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x747ad8…
06-23 01:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x126337…
06-22 23:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x085091…
06-22 10:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdc8555…
06-13 04:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x38e993…
06-13 03:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x311377…
06-13 03:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xda3cba…
06-13 02:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x7bee5e…
06-12 19:52:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xbf6848…
06-12 18:26:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x35c81b…
06-12 05:39:55	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xf3671a…
06-12 05:16:07	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x32e410…
06-12 04:31:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa9889a…
06-07 07:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xabe47c…
06-07 07:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x67da2d…
06-07 06:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x1b6d75…
06-07 02:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5b8a86…
06-07 02:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbd6782…
06-06 15:08:39	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xe38e08…
06-05 10:42:22	T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent - Toss Match Double Essex Winner	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe74684…
06-05 10:21:25	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x5e4f15…
06-05 10:21:13	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x98e450…
06-05 07:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa400c4…
06-05 07:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xb3bc10…
06-05 07:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x284547…
06-05 07:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2f6eea…
06-05 06:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x63c441…
06-05 06:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfc7bf0…
06-05 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x977793…
06-05 05:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x7100c6…
06-05 05:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x525aef…
06-05 05:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x22ef9f…
06-05 05:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x72800f…
06-05 04:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbdaedb…
06-05 04:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x6d5e71…
06-05 04:14:10	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x71c148…
06-05 04:04:30	lol me1 pcific 2026 06 05 game4 any player penta kill	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xd8bb7e…
06-05 04:04:13	lol me1 pcific 2026 06 05 game4 any player penta kill	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc63b34…
06-05 04:03:30	lol me1 pcific 2026 06 05 game4 any player penta kill	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbd0b95…
06-05 03:54:25	Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x353dee…
06-05 03:53:37	Will Phoenix Flames finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x8b63d9…
06-05 03:53:27	Will Carolina Hogs finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x31aef3…
06-05 03:52:33	Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfac9e8…
06-05 03:51:28	Will Phoenix Flames finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x733d68…
06-05 03:50:45	Will Carolina Hogs finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe745a2…
06-05 03:38:45	Will the Cincinnati Reds have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5ce05e…
06-05 03:38:18	Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x6aeada…
06-05 03:37:24	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa3d4fd…
06-05 03:37:07	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc97fed…
06-05 03:35:40	Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x4d7865…
06-05 03:34:45	Will the Cincinnati Reds have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x78ea02…
06-05 03:33:25	Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb756b0…
06-05 03:32:57	Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x28fc3b…
06-05 03:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xde2500…
06-05 03:29:34	Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7e67aa…
06-05 03:29:16	Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x83ec2c…
06-05 03:26:51	Will the Houston Astros have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x820e70…
06-05 03:25:37	Will the New York Mets have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x7e6d72…
06-05 03:24:52	Will the New York Mets have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4c1480…
06-05 03:24:15	Will the New York Mets have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x29ecc5…
06-05 03:17:07	crict20blast mid ess 2026 06 07 completed match	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x9c93cc…
06-05 03:16:30	crict20blast mid ess 2026 06 07 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3377c5…
06-05 02:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x754c94…
06-04 17:14:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd5a5d2…
06-04 14:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc62e98…
06-04 13:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2f8c3f…
06-04 13:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xace5d2…
06-04 12:30:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb39ebe…
06-04 12:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on June 4?	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x866a52…
06-04 12:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x366ec6…
06-04 11:11:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1484d3…
06-04 09:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9249bf…
06-04 09:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf4370a…
06-04 08:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x3a972b…
06-04 06:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb8ffc5…
06-04 06:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2650d7…
06-04 06:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xb9b17c…
06-04 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xe9c009…
06-04 05:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x859035…
06-04 05:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x71d1ff…
06-04 05:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x9277c1…
06-03 17:02:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xeea1e8…
06-03 16:07:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc039d9…
06-03 14:32:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x35de46…
06-03 14:28:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc398dc…
06-03 11:44:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xe8797a…
06-03 11:44:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5202e2…
06-03 11:26:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x27fc77…
06-03 08:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc54854…
06-03 07:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xe21520…
06-03 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x78fd47…
06-03 04:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3f3d48…
06-03 04:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x174da0…
06-02 21:57:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x8f99e1…
06-02 16:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0268f1…
06-02 15:31:40	T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcbf9f1…
06-02 15:31:07	T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x12d508…
06-02 05:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x795a39…
06-02 05:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x84ebca…