Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$11,681
$184 in 24h
Trades
648
Unique wallets
132
Liquidity
$3,492
Latest YES mid
73¢
Latest NO mid
27¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-01 10:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-63.1¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $311
vs crowd: 70% YES on $8.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $2.0K | $796 | +$1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $1.6K | $1.3K | +$273 |
| 🐟 Fish | 38 | $1.0K | $215 | +$824 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 58 | $1.1K | $129 | +$979 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $22 | $289 | $267 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $657 | $532 | +$126 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $402 | $147 | +$256 |
| Median | 11 | $783 | $2 | +$781 |
| Below median | 20 | $286 | $174 | +$112 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $16 | $30 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $348 | $83 | +$265 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1.5K | $925 | +$559 |
| unranked | 57 | $1.8K | $263 | +$1.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +3,676 | $787 | $900 | 22 | 07-01 10:11 |
| Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | +1,388 | $289 | $289 | 12 | 06-14 14:31 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +1,324 | $1,078 | $1,078 | 21 | 06-14 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2818…5369 | Yes | +1,286 | $944 | $944 | 6 | 06-27 13:40 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | No | +999 | $289 | $289 | 7 | 06-24 05:45 |
| Weak-Threshold 0xbd65…304f | Yes | +610 | $452 | $452 | 8 | 06-30 17:52 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | +583 | $433 | $682 | 17 | 06-30 13:19 |
| Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | +245 | $190 | $190 | 14 | 06-24 01:08 |
| Trifling-Ravioli 0xf8eb…8473 | Yes | +200 | $159 | $159 | 3 | 06-18 19:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +153 | $123 | $285 | 6 | 06-30 17:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +142 | $45 | $73 | 3 | 06-27 22:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +114 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 06-28 13:13 |
| Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | Yes | +110 | $74 | $151 | 6 | 06-27 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +82 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 06-23 19:06 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +80 | $61 | $87 | 5 | 06-24 00:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +66 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-25 10:16 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $27 | $159 | 38 | 06-25 10:16 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $40 | $70 | 6 | 06-27 13:40 |
| Burly-Chronometer 0x0524…1479 | Yes | +60 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-13 06:50 |
| Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage 0xa9a0…e259 | Yes | +51 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-31 21:22 |
| Little-Heartwood 0x81c9…4a47 | Yes | +50 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-20 14:12 |
| Torn-Sleuth 0xc5a9…0c9a | No | +50 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-01 22:07 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | +49 | $39 | $124 | 8 | 06-27 22:38 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | +42 | $14 | $17 | 2 | 06-27 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +42 | $37 | $110 | 2 | 06-24 05:08 |
| Thrifty-Cost 0x7d58…1c3e | No | +39 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-03 10:03 |
| Motionless-Happening 0xe790…27ba | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-31 01:12 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-22 23:52 |
| Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | No | +19 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 18:27 |
| Feminine-Pennant-Disadvantage 0xe1e0…fe32 | No | +18 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 17:30 |
| Reliable-Grove 0xfa5e…c88b | No | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +16 | $-0 | $215 | 53 | 07-01 02:10 |
| Meaty-Deathwatch 0xd110…eae5 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $-3 | $37 | 4 | 06-27 22:38 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 06:13 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-24 05:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-22 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b98…e05a | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf85a…622a | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 00:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-23 18:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 10:11:46 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x776815… |
| 07-01 10:11:46 | Wavy-Barracks 0xadd4…51da | No | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x776815… |
| 07-01 06:10:20 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4d3fce… |
| 07-01 06:10:20 | Unwieldy-Pate 0x7047…8352 | No | SELL | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4d3fce… |
| 07-01 02:10:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x522e97… |
| 07-01 02:10:59 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x522e97… |
| 07-01 02:10:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 24 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x47daa3… |
| 07-01 02:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 24 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x47daa3… |
| 06-30 17:52:47 | Weak-Threshold 0xbd65…304f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x7ad08b… |
| 06-30 17:52:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x7ad08b… |
| 06-30 13:19:05 | Weak-Threshold 0xbd65…304f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x9ae424… |
| 06-30 13:19:05 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x9ae424… |
| 06-29 06:57:11 | (anonymous) 0x05e0…1fd7 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x5d95d3… |
| 06-29 06:57:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x5d95d3… |
| 06-28 13:13:05 | Meaty-Deathwatch 0xd110…eae5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x55213f… |
| 06-28 13:13:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x55213f… |
| 06-27 22:38:11 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | BUY | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x75be36… |
| 06-27 22:38:11 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 287 | 24¢ | $69 | 0x75be36… |
| 06-27 22:38:11 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x75be36… |
| 06-27 22:38:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 57 | 24¢ | $14 | 0x75be36… |
| 06-27 22:38:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 54 | 24¢ | $13 | 0x75be36… |
| 06-27 22:38:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 76¢ | $95 | 0x75be36… |
| 06-27 13:48:05 | Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0xeedb77… |
| 06-27 13:48:05 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | No | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xeedb77… |
| 06-27 13:41:16 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xaa9c15… |
| 06-27 13:41:16 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xaa9c15… |
| 06-27 13:41:14 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x9eacae… |
| 06-27 13:41:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x9eacae… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xdb9da2… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xdb9da2… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xdb9da2… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xdb9da2… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xbe1524… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xbe1524… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xdb9da2… |
| 06-27 13:40:59 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xdb9da2… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | No | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 13:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x2818…5369 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 74¢ | $173 | 0xb91b89… |
| 06-27 11:42:50 | (anonymous) 0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 73¢ | $19 | 0xb375e3… |
| 06-27 11:42:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 26 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xb375e3… |
| 06-26 00:01:35 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0xc877f5… |
| 06-26 00:01:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 150 | 30¢ | $45 | 0xc877f5… |
| 06-26 00:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x2818…5369 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 70¢ | $140 | 0xc877f5… |
| 06-26 00:01:22 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | BUY | 49 | 31¢ | $15 | 0xa08c38… |
| 06-26 00:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x2818…5369 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 69¢ | $34 | 0xa08c38… |
| 06-26 00:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x2818…5369 | Yes | BUY | 191 | 68¢ | $130 | 0x52436a… |
| 06-26 00:01:08 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | SELL | 46 | 68¢ | $31 | 0x52436a… |
| 06-26 00:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | SELL | 145 | 68¢ | $99 | 0x52436a… |
| 06-25 15:01:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 45 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x83ffc8… |
| 06-25 15:01:49 | (anonymous) 0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 69¢ | $31 | 0x83ffc8… |
| 06-25 10:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 21 | 32¢ | $7 | 0xde75d1… |
| 06-25 10:17:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xde75d1… |
| 06-25 10:17:26 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 68¢ | $59 | 0xde75d1… |
| 06-25 10:17:26 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0xde75d1… |
| 06-25 10:17:26 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 48 | 67¢ | $32 | 0xde75d1… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 75¢ | $65 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 73¢ | $139 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | BUY | 48 | 74¢ | $36 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 254 | 26¢ | $66 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 10:16:49 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 759 | 26¢ | $198 | 0x9a1c62… |
| 06-25 09:32:26 | Unwieldy-Pate 0x7047…8352 | No | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x21840b… |
| 06-25 09:32:26 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x21840b… |
| 06-25 08:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x8f78c6… |
| 06-25 08:59:05 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x8f78c6… |
| 06-24 21:32:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x56c1db… |
| 06-24 21:32:05 | Reliable-Grove 0xfa5e…c88b | No | BUY | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x56c1db… |
| 06-24 13:08:58 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0xac8bed… |
| 06-24 13:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | No | SELL | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xac8bed… |
| 06-24 13:08:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xac8bed… |
| 06-24 09:32:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc1c164… |
| 06-24 09:32:59 | Uneven-Deliberation 0x110d…a09b | No | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc1c164… |
| 06-24 08:17:23 | Leafy-Profit 0xee8e…9f3b | No | SELL | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x712b0c… |
| 06-24 08:17:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x712b0c… |
| 06-24 06:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x73cb…7627 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x16bb74… |
| 06-24 06:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x16bb74… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x2818…5369 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 74¢ | $298 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | No | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x095b…8a05 | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 78¢ | $18 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | No | BUY | 138 | 25¢ | $34 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:45:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xcbd9c7… |
| 06-24 05:08:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x801666… |
| 06-24 05:08:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x801666… |
| 06-24 05:08:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x801666… |
| 06-24 05:08:19 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | No | BUY | 29 | 29¢ | $8 | 0x801666… |
| 06-24 05:08:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 71¢ | $36 | 0x801666… |