Realized P&L
+$16.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.35K
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
1,734
Trades
10,958
lifetime
Volume
$615.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$15.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-07 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
35% 46% +$9,855
Politics
32% 82% +$4,780
Sports
29% 65% +$1,609
Tech
4% 55% +$147
Crypto
0% 0% —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 1375 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,886 $2,236 81¢ $2.3K +$89 10-27 21:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,886 $1,653 68¢ $1.9K +$295 10-27 21:42
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197,502 $422 1¢ $1.9K +$1,454 11-07 18:51
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $765 98¢ $984 +$219 11-04 15:14
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +1,000 $897 95¢ $950 +$53 11-05 11:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,886 $1,268 32¢ $938 -$330 10-27 21:34
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $978 92¢ $925 -$53 10-09 13:44
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +815 $241 99¢ $809 +$568 08-24 13:40
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? No +663 $555 100¢ $661 +$106 06-14 16:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,886 $750 19¢ $561 -$189 10-27 21:36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +500 $480 99¢ $497 +$17 05-20 16:24
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +416 $266 99¢ $413 +$147 11-02 14:18
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +400 $144 98¢ $394 +$250 05-13 22:52
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards? Yes +461 $46 70¢ $325 +$279 09-12 08:13
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,174 $357 2¢ $315 -$41 11-03 22:12
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +300 $108 100¢ $299 +$191 11-03 16:43
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +308 $3 88¢ $271 +$268 08-30 14:59
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? No +238 $195 68¢ $163 -$32 08-14 12:33
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? No +108 $76 99¢ $107 +$31 06-05 19:16
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No +100 $82 100¢ $100 +$18 06-09 19:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No +100 $94 97¢ $97 +$3 07-20 11:47
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -87 -$95 100¢ $-87 +$9 10-27 14:08
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $60 8¢ $75 +$15 10-02 12:35
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +2,021 $85 3¢ $59 -$27 11-04 06:16
Will Jared Goff finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns? No +52 $46 86¢ $44 -$2 08-27 02:44
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +35 $30 100¢ $35 +$5 05-10 02:40
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +350 $25 9¢ $33 +$8 06-02 23:35
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No +30 $27 100¢ $30 +$3 05-21 12:15
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No +29 $28 99¢ $28 +$0 06-23 10:24
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No +20 $18 91¢ $18 $0 06-03 00:22