Interesting-Aspic 0x2f5242…339fba
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
19
Trades
6,842
lifetime
Volume
$42.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$811
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-09 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
36% 75% +$1
Other
36% 71% +$3
Sports
21% 50% +$5
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +157 $93 82¢ $128 +$35 06-07 03:00
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +100 $57 54¢ $54 $-4 06-05 23:44
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $30 76¢ $38 +$8 06-06 02:15
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +50 $30 72¢ $36 +$6 06-07 11:37
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +49 $32 70¢ $34 +$2 06-08 01:23
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +170 $82 18¢ $31 $-50 06-05 12:52
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +50 $30 60¢ $30 $-0 06-06 14:40
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +50 $25 55¢ $28 +$3 05-29 02:51
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $26 55¢ $28 +$2 06-08 01:57
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +45 $27 60¢ $27 +$0 06-08 22:04
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +50 $34 54¢ $27 $-7 06-07 07:00
Will the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 80.5 +50 $25 49¢ $24 $-0 06-08 19:33
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +36 $20 68¢ $24 +$4 06-09 02:28
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +100 $38 24¢ $24 $-15 06-09 20:12
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +50 $22 46¢ $23 +$1 06-03 06:34
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +50 $20 46¢ $23 +$3 05-30 05:09
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $26 46¢ $23 $-3 06-09 05:35
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 83.5 +45 $21 51¢ $23 +$2 06-04 07:02
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $24 44¢ $22 $-2 06-08 10:51
Discord IPO before 2027? No +50 $20 40¢ $20 $-0 06-03 06:11
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +50 $28 40¢ $20 $-8 05-30 11:51
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026? Yes +40 $16 48¢ $19 +$3 06-08 06:21
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $21 34¢ $17 $-4 06-09 08:06
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +50 $24 34¢ $17 $-7 06-05 03:49
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $17 30¢ $15 $-2 06-07 17:06
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? No +50 $22 29¢ $14 $-7 06-08 12:49
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +18 $14 78¢ $14 +$0 06-01 12:54
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +36 $16 32¢ $12 $-4 06-08 21:37
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No +12 $7 75¢ $9 +$2 06-04 23:51
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes +19 $9 35¢ $7 $-3 06-02 22:44