Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$299
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
19
Trades
7,089
lifetime
Volume
$45.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$2.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-29 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
37% 71% +$3
Politics
34% 75% +$1
Sports
22% 50% +$5
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $154 50¢ $151 $-3 06-27 18:16
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +150 $116 99¢ $149 +$33 06-25 01:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +296 $142 50¢ $147 +$5 06-27 21:53
Will Aurora make a roster change before July? No +155 $72 88¢ $136 +$64 06-20 15:44
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +221 $135 56¢ $125 $-10 06-27 20:24
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +100 $38 98¢ $98 +$59 06-09 20:12
Discord IPO before 2027? No +221 $87 44¢ $96 +$9 06-27 08:38
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +126 $57 72¢ $90 +$34 06-24 02:01
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +105 $59 78¢ $81 +$23 06-16 13:25
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +120 $63 56¢ $68 +$4 06-27 03:42
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +106 $61 62¢ $66 +$5 06-15 14:38
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +67 $38 96¢ $64 +$26 06-25 07:12
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +74 $48 70¢ $52 +$4 06-15 14:55
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July? No +52 $30 99¢ $52 +$22 06-13 20:56
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +86 $55 60¢ $51 $-4 06-28 09:50
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +50 $23 99¢ $49 +$26 06-18 21:36
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +109 $51 44¢ $48 $-3 06-26 21:50
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $56 48¢ $48 $-9 06-25 14:28
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +50 $36 84¢ $42 +$6 06-10 23:00
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +50 $30 84¢ $42 +$12 06-06 14:40
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +50 $24 83¢ $42 +$18 06-05 03:49
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +137 $72 29¢ $39 $-32 06-24 01:17
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 83.5 +65 $32 55¢ $36 +$4 06-27 06:29
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +54 $33 64¢ $35 +$2 06-26 19:05
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +50 $30 70¢ $35 +$6 06-07 11:37
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? No +50 $39 70¢ $35 $-4 06-22 09:30
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +50 $27 70¢ $35 +$8 06-22 08:46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +86 $37 40¢ $34 $-3 06-23 11:06
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B? No +50 $28 61¢ $30 +$2 06-11 13:03
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +50 $34 60¢ $30 $-4 06-24 11:14