Interesting-Aspic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

7,514

lifetime

Volume

$51.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-10 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

41% 71% +$3

Politics

32% 75% +$1

Sports

21% 50% +$5

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	30	$1.9K	6,820	2,900	+3,920	open	—	01-16 19:54
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	106	$1.4K	2,829	1	+2,828	open	—	04-25 18:49
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	118	$981	1,996	0	+1,996	open	—	04-14 06:52
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	108	$981	1,632	345	+1,287	open	—	02-28 17:13
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	44	$958	930	580	+350	open	—	02-28 06:49
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	19	$802	7,300	0	+7,300	open	—	01-16 16:29
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	50	$755	1,521	0	+1,521	open	—	04-23 20:59
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	111	$733	1,474	0	+1,474	open	—	04-13 12:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	166	$729	1,487	0	+1,487	open	—	03-07 00:00
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	81	$677	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	04-26 22:12
bitboy convicted	192	$668	1,381	0	+1,381	open	—	03-31 07:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$590	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	01-29 12:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	31	$588	1,192	0	+1,192	open	—	07-31 15:42
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	111	$489	930	26	+904	open	—	02-28 06:10
will jeremiyah love be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	33	$476	958	0	+958	open	—	04-23 23:55
will trump visit china by march 31	115	$430	882	0	+882	open	—	03-10 00:51
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	51	$407	830	0	+830	open	—	04-24 00:16
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	29	$404	810	0	+810	open	—	04-23 20:51
will st johns win the 2025 2026 big east mens basketball regular season championship	78	$395	819	0	+819	open	—	03-07 05:59
iran strike on israel by february 28	76	$390	790	0	+790	open	—	02-28 20:30
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	78	$387	755	44	+710	open	—	02-19 13:48
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	83	$386	771	0	+771	open	—	02-24 20:27
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	18	$367	712	0	+712	open	—	08-09 13:04
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	14	$355	3,548	0	+3,548	open	—	01-24 10:39
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	75	$347	700	0	+700	open	—	02-28 05:21
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	26	$308	617	0	+617	open	—	04-27 18:00
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	42	$307	597	0	+597	open	—	04-13 11:42
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	15	$291	593	0	+593	open	—	04-25 18:34
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	18	$289	569	0	+569	open	—	05-27 16:05
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	61	$288	596	0	+596	open	—	02-28 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:30:55	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x94f786…
08-10 21:58:24	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x44006f…
08-10 19:34:55	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6bd622…
08-10 18:39:06	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x64f7e1…
08-10 18:03:15	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x2813d7…
08-10 16:03:03	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa3093c…
08-10 16:03:03	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x718bc4…
08-10 15:30:42	Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xc5c7be…
08-10 15:26:58	Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x3f8e2b…
08-10 14:08:07	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	No	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x1fe757…
08-10 13:40:49	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x13b137…
08-10 13:01:00	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x773b25…
08-10 11:05:03	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x9fd0ab…
08-10 10:10:28	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x668f9d…
08-10 09:20:34	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5eb0a2…
08-10 09:19:19	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xfb9000…
08-10 08:44:03	Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x57096e…
08-10 08:43:48	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x354f0b…
08-10 08:33:46	Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5db44c…
08-10 08:33:45	Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xa3d524…
08-10 08:28:57	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x36ec8c…
08-10 08:23:27	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xadde0c…
08-10 07:28:19	will ryan gosling be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9aab02…
08-10 07:28:16	will ryan gosling be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x872670…
08-10 07:24:52	Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x1764f0…
08-10 07:23:25	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xcd873a…
08-10 07:05:55	Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x907217…
08-10 03:20:45	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xc91d68…
08-09 23:41:51	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x3bb9aa…
08-09 20:59:57	will andurils valuation hit high 125b by december 31	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xfb7a5b…
08-09 20:37:06	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x09e2b3…
08-09 20:23:13	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x7e8b92…
08-09 19:16:45	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x3db894…
08-09 17:09:07	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x13433f…
08-09 13:04:57	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x448b57…
08-09 10:05:19	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Lockheed Martin	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x639df8…
08-09 05:35:00	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0x2c133c…
08-09 02:31:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9b044e…
08-09 00:57:10	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x8757fc…
08-09 00:56:48	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xe611e1…
08-09 00:56:46	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x768f13…
08-08 23:28:19	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xf9b2ac…
08-08 20:37:10	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Anduril	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x904837…
08-08 20:27:18	Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x8e407b…
08-08 16:20:22	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x1f8630…
08-08 15:39:27	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x48d02b…
08-08 15:16:07	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	BUY	43	39¢	$17	0xda4173…
08-08 14:35:01	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xcdc56a…
08-08 11:29:19	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x04a4dd…
08-08 10:20:21	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x62b6c2…
08-08 10:20:16	Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd6ae11…
08-08 10:20:13	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by december 31 2026	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x979665…
08-08 05:56:43	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xce27ae…
08-07 23:27:19	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x7f4a5e…
08-07 19:28:25	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9a1607…
08-07 19:28:24	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xe353e6…
08-07 17:15:31	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	No	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x855ab9…
08-07 03:00:37	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 99.5	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x514144…
08-07 01:41:40	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x1c74c0…
08-07 01:19:19	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x6d7a2f…
08-07 00:23:23	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf6b50d…
08-06 21:17:33	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x9955ca…
08-06 18:46:03	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x3d3d88…
08-06 18:11:42	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x2fae0a…
08-06 17:19:39	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x1f2cf1…
08-06 17:06:51	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0x0ba417…
08-06 17:06:47	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x793091…
08-06 15:26:03	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x2048da…
08-06 15:26:00	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xe00643…
08-06 12:16:57	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf651a6…
08-06 09:56:14	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x04aa02…
08-06 09:51:11	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xbc778b…
08-06 09:45:45	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 99.5	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2fa5a3…
08-06 09:32:26	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3b34d7…
08-06 09:30:32	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x615dff…
08-06 08:04:21	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe6ff9f…
08-06 08:04:14	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x7fa3a7…
08-06 07:10:42	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x16d77e…
08-06 06:48:45	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xafcb18…
08-06 05:50:51	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb74043…
08-06 05:38:59	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x7122ed…
08-06 05:02:56	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xa0d4fc…
08-06 05:02:35	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xae034b…
08-06 05:02:35	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x237194…
08-06 03:50:09	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xc7a560…
08-06 03:50:09	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x0981c9…
08-06 01:10:12	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb60eba…
08-06 01:00:15	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 99.5	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xdec9d9…
08-05 21:27:35	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0x47825e…
08-05 20:54:47	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 99.5	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xea8457…
08-05 20:00:41	will lambdas valuation hit high 10b by december 31	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe542c7…
08-05 18:48:14	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xa62708…
08-05 18:36:09	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x81167e…
08-05 18:34:02	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdd911a…
08-05 16:49:11	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0xae73d1…
08-05 15:16:38	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xf53905…
08-05 15:12:32	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x6f080e…
08-05 15:08:20	Benedict Wong as Wong?	Yes	BUY	37	61¢	$22	0xdb5515…
08-05 15:08:18	Benedict Wong as Wong?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xdc2eb6…
08-05 14:30:47	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x95afe6…