Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$179
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
19
Trades
7,241
lifetime
Volume
$47.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$2.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-21 11:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
38% 71% +$3
Politics
33% 75% +$1
Sports
22% 50% +$5
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027? No +281 $120 68¢ $190 +$70 07-11 05:11
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $100 87¢ $183 +$83 07-10 11:12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +296 $142 56¢ $164 +$22 06-27 21:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $154 44¢ $133 $-21 06-27 18:16
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +105 $59 92¢ $97 +$38 06-16 13:25
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +150 $83 64¢ $95 +$12 07-08 21:17
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $74 63¢ $94 +$21 07-08 22:57
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +281 $162 32¢ $91 $-70 07-17 12:56
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +106 $61 78¢ $83 +$22 06-15 14:38
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +120 $63 69¢ $83 +$19 06-27 03:42
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $79 57¢ $74 $-5 07-19 19:17
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +90 $55 76¢ $68 +$13 07-06 02:07
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +95 $44 62¢ $59 +$15 07-09 15:42
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +150 $74 39¢ $59 $-16 07-13 19:10
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +130 $52 43¢ $56 +$4 07-20 11:36
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +150 $82 37¢ $55 $-27 07-14 12:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +86 $55 64¢ $55 +$0 06-28 09:50
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +150 $72 36¢ $55 $-18 07-06 22:28
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +84 $44 61¢ $51 +$7 07-05 18:22
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +159 $71 31¢ $49 $-22 07-12 11:22
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +54 $39 85¢ $46 +$8 06-25 21:14
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +50 $30 88¢ $44 +$14 06-06 14:40
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +50 $36 82¢ $41 +$5 06-10 23:00
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +54 $33 72¢ $39 +$6 06-26 19:05
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +50 $34 76¢ $38 +$4 06-24 11:14
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $31 62¢ $37 +$6 07-16 08:37
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +74 $48 50¢ $37 $-11 06-15 14:55
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $25 50¢ $37 +$12 06-17 16:16
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +50 $37 73¢ $36 $-1 07-09 18:07
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +95 $50 38¢ $35 $-14 07-10 12:01