Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$112,146
$513 in 24h
Trades
1,778
Unique wallets
425
Liquidity
$16,188
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-06-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-30 09:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.7¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $3.3K
vs crowd: 21% YES on $81.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $1.2K | $49.7K | $48.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 50 | $5.4K | $6.7K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 59 | $1.7K | $5.3K | $3.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 293 | $9.1K | $2.5K | +$6.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $640 | $2.6K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $311 | $1.2K | $847 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 22 | $6.6K | $4.2K | +$2.4K |
| Median | 46 | $153 | $450 | $297 |
| Below median | 66 | $194 | $498 | $304 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $507 | $91 | +$416 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $860 | $42.6K | $41.7K |
| unranked | 228 | $6.2K | $10.7K | $4.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +51,842 | $39,778 | $39,778 | 162 | 07-12 00:23 |
| Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | +21,924 | $5,826 | $5,826 | 40 | 07-28 12:30 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | +8,250 | $1,653 | $2,166 | 44 | 07-30 09:21 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +4,034 | $3,332 | $3,332 | 5 | 07-28 19:24 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | +3,676 | $1,085 | $1,581 | 34 | 07-27 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2dd…d9b8 | Yes | +3,651 | $730 | $730 | 4 | 06-25 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x77f8…569f | Yes | +3,000 | $600 | $600 | 22 | 07-15 01:50 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +2,846 | $488 | $488 | 60 | 07-29 18:30 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +2,750 | $470 | $470 | 46 | 07-11 17:47 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | +2,236 | $1,743 | $1,743 | 18 | 06-18 19:12 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,008 | $1,627 | $1,762 | 35 | 07-28 15:00 |
| Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | +1,643 | $320 | $320 | 4 | 07-24 12:19 |
| Unique-Person 0xffd2…d7ae | Yes | +1,550 | $353 | $353 | 22 | 06-30 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | +1,121 | $157 | $157 | 9 | 07-30 02:28 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | +1,100 | $263 | $263 | 7 | 06-15 18:36 |
| Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | No | +1,098 | $945 | $945 | 8 | 07-26 16:19 |
| Useful-Gravy 0x35e3…3d33 | Yes | +1,053 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-26 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed4…a408 | Yes | +1,000 | $210 | $210 | 5 | 06-18 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x178d…c0f5 | Yes | +932 | $267 | $267 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | +802 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | +725 | $122 | $122 | 44 | 07-29 18:29 |
| Untidy-Rim 0x3c6d…00b0 | No | +706 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-31 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3448…d09b | Yes | +617 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-27 11:52 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +612 | $489 | $489 | 33 | 07-28 12:30 |
| Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | +541 | $444 | $444 | 29 | 07-28 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bf7…b7e6 | Yes | +500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 03:46 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +400 | $330 | $330 | 6 | 07-03 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf726…7e8b | Yes | +393 | $92 | $92 | 6 | 06-24 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9f8…95f5 | Yes | +349 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-06 18:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +311 | $237 | $237 | 11 | 06-16 05:31 |
| Yawning-Medication 0x2953…2ed5 | Yes | +300 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 06-12 02:35 |
| Suburban-Cell 0x3883…6bb0 | No | +300 | $246 | $246 | 1 | 06-29 16:47 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | +275 | $63 | $157 | 5 | 07-27 11:52 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +250 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 07-17 20:36 |
| Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | No | +236 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 07-20 09:50 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +226 | $53 | $182 | 3 | 06-07 09:01 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +226 | $179 | $592 | 3 | 06-06 21:24 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +225 | $177 | $279 | 5 | 06-13 21:02 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +225 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-13 21:02 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +202 | $172 | $172 | 5 | 07-29 18:48 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +179 | $34 | $106 | 21 | 07-23 04:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb592…666b | Yes | +173 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-16 20:59 |
| Flippant-Trader 0xc320…7637 | No | +169 | $139 | $139 | 3 | 07-21 22:43 |
| Glum-Endive 0x9da9…e9c7 | Yes | +167 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-22 18:37 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +165 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +165 | $50 | $122 | 4 | 06-04 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1492…97da | Yes | +159 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5afb…dd6f | No | +131 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-14 12:15 |
| Naive-Artist 0xdb54…f008 | No | +130 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-11 08:59 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +119 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 06-18 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | No | +87 | $74 | $285 | 4 | 07-28 19:24 |
| Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | +82 | $71 | $490 | 72 | 07-28 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc422…ae44 | No | +75 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-28 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x32c6…a145 | No | +60 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-16 00:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 09:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x9c35…135e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x45ec97… |
| 07-30 09:21:15 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x45ec97… |
| 07-30 02:28:39 | (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 12¢ | $23 | 0x609cc9… |
| 07-30 02:28:39 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 190 | 12¢ | $23 | 0x609cc9… |
| 07-29 18:48:57 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 44 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1cca42… |
| 07-29 18:48:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 44 | 89¢ | $39 | 0x1cca42… |
| 07-29 18:44:29 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8cf3ac… |
| 07-29 18:44:29 | Rectangular-Surroundings 0x21de…4608 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8cf3ac… |
| 07-29 18:30:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x35bf34… |
| 07-29 18:30:38 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x35bf34… |
| 07-29 18:30:00 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 299 | 12¢ | $36 | 0x9a96fd… |
| 07-29 18:30:00 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 299 | 88¢ | $263 | 0x9a96fd… |
| 07-29 18:29:26 | Remorseful-Sweater 0x4e13…56d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xa646a0… |
| 07-29 18:29:26 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 281 | 12¢ | $34 | 0xa646a0… |
| 07-29 18:29:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 62 | 88¢ | $55 | 0xa646a0… |
| 07-29 18:29:26 | (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xa646a0… |
| 07-29 18:29:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xa646a0… |
| 07-29 18:29:26 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xa646a0… |
| 07-29 16:17:51 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xbc47fe… |
| 07-29 16:17:51 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xbc47fe… |
| 07-29 15:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | BUY | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x8d30ba… |
| 07-29 15:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x8d30ba… |
| 07-29 15:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x7ac049… |
| 07-29 15:05:33 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 444 | 14¢ | $62 | 0x7ac049… |
| 07-29 15:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 14¢ | $21 | 0x7ac049… |
| 07-29 15:05:33 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x7ac049… |
| 07-29 15:05:33 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x7ac049… |
| 07-29 10:31:56 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x368dbb… |
| 07-29 10:31:56 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x368dbb… |
| 07-28 21:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x33f72c… |
| 07-28 21:55:26 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x33f72c… |
| 07-28 19:24:02 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 169 | 85¢ | $144 | 0x593fca… |
| 07-28 19:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | No | SELL | 124 | 85¢ | $106 | 0x593fca… |
| 07-28 19:24:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x593fca… |
| 07-28 18:56:07 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 144 | 16¢ | $23 | 0xb71fe8… |
| 07-28 18:56:07 | Probable-Strait 0xd046…c496 | No | SELL | 144 | 84¢ | $121 | 0xb71fe8… |
| 07-28 18:28:34 | (anonymous) 0xc754…bb99 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xbdd258… |
| 07-28 18:28:34 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xbdd258… |
| 07-28 15:00:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0xbf5c36… |
| 07-28 15:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | No | BUY | 87 | 85¢ | $74 | 0xbf5c36… |
| 07-28 15:00:31 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbf5c36… |
| 07-28 15:00:31 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0xbf5c36… |
| 07-28 15:00:31 | Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | No | SELL | 211 | 85¢ | $180 | 0xbf5c36… |
| 07-28 14:24:41 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xfc05c9… |
| 07-28 14:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0xfc05c9… |
| 07-28 14:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xaa921c… |
| 07-28 14:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xaa921c… |
| 07-28 14:23:05 | (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 15¢ | $26 | 0x1089a2… |
| 07-28 14:23:05 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 36 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x1089a2… |
| 07-28 14:23:05 | Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | No | BUY | 211 | 85¢ | $180 | 0x1089a2… |
| 07-28 14:19:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x56ad3d… |
| 07-28 14:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x979a…adff | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x56ad3d… |
| 07-28 14:08:16 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xfe80d5… |
| 07-28 14:08:16 | (anonymous) 0xc754…bb99 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xfe80d5… |
| 07-28 14:01:55 | Probable-Strait 0xd046…c496 | No | BUY | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0x299263… |
| 07-28 14:01:55 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 27 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x299263… |
| 07-28 14:00:32 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x7e4e0f… |
| 07-28 14:00:32 | Probable-Strait 0xd046…c496 | No | BUY | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0x7e4e0f… |
| 07-28 14:00:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 93 | 85¢ | $79 | 0x7e4e0f… |
| 07-28 12:30:59 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xc3031d… |
| 07-28 12:30:59 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xc3031d… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | SELL | 233 | 16¢ | $37 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | SELL | 621 | 16¢ | $99 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | BUY | 1,060 | 16¢ | $170 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 12:30:58 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf348b1… |
| 07-28 03:27:33 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x4105f1… |
| 07-28 03:27:33 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | No | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x4105f1… |
| 07-28 03:23:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 23 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x8d5d5b… |
| 07-28 03:23:46 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | No | BUY | 23 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x8d5d5b… |
| 07-28 03:20:55 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xbb40ba… |
| 07-28 03:20:55 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | No | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0xbb40ba… |
| 07-27 21:10:51 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | No | BUY | 23 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xbbee1e… |
| 07-27 21:10:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 23 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xbbee1e… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 139 | 84¢ | $117 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | SELL | 193 | 17¢ | $33 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 62 | 83¢ | $51 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | (anonymous) 0x3448…d09b | Yes | BUY | 617 | 16¢ | $100 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 11:52:42 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x504cbb… |
| 07-27 06:44:03 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xa7ecee… |
| 07-27 06:44:03 | Rectangular-Surroundings 0x21de…4608 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xa7ecee… |
| 07-27 00:29:54 | (anonymous) 0x7af7…5f97 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x21ecfb… |
| 07-27 00:29:54 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x21ecfb… |
| 07-26 19:18:16 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | SELL | 160 | 15¢ | $24 | 0x6f5d3f… |
| 07-26 19:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 15¢ | $24 | 0x6f5d3f… |
| 07-26 16:59:54 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd0faf2… |
| 07-26 16:59:54 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xd0faf2… |
| 07-26 16:19:27 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xa27123… |
| 07-26 16:19:27 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa27123… |
| 07-26 16:19:27 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 666 | 14¢ | $93 | 0xa27123… |
| 07-26 16:19:27 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xa27123… |
| 07-26 16:19:27 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa27123… |
| 07-26 16:19:27 | Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | No | BUY | 532 | 86¢ | $457 | 0xa27123… |
| 07-26 11:41:45 | Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xc8e927… |