Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$44,090
$513 in 24h
Trades
707
Unique wallets
187
Liquidity
$16,188
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-06-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 16:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.4¢
(top1%: 43% YES on $68
vs crowd: 28% YES on $34.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $988 | $18.0K | $17.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $1.0K | $1.7K | $665 |
| 🐟 Fish | 31 | $1.3K | $4.1K | $2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 113 | $6.2K | $1.2K | +$5.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $29 | $39 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $204 | $11 | +$193 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $5.4K | $652 | +$4.8K |
| Median | 19 | $51 | $221 | $170 |
| Below median | 26 | $116 | $405 | $290 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $499 | $95 | +$404 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $603 | $869 | $267 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $744 | $17.8K | $17.1K |
| unranked | 89 | $1.8K | $4.9K | $3.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +22,691 | $16,404 | $16,404 | 42 | 06-16 16:28 |
| Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | +18,560 | $5,181 | $5,181 | 22 | 06-15 06:53 |
| Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | No | +3,168 | $2,383 | $3,785 | 3 | 06-16 16:26 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | +2,716 | $699 | $699 | 8 | 06-16 05:32 |
| Unique-Person 0xffd2…d7ae | Yes | +1,500 | $345 | $345 | 21 | 06-12 02:35 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | +1,100 | $263 | $263 | 7 | 06-15 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x178d…c0f5 | Yes | +932 | $267 | $267 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | +802 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2dd…d9b8 | Yes | +764 | $183 | $183 | 1 | 06-11 18:25 |
| Untidy-Rim 0x3c6d…00b0 | No | +706 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-31 21:28 |
| Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | +600 | $462 | $462 | 1 | 06-11 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x12df…6a3d | Yes | +375 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 06-13 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9f8…95f5 | Yes | +349 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-06 18:13 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +332 | $70 | $70 | 12 | 06-15 11:25 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +326 | $253 | $253 | 9 | 06-14 16:13 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | +315 | $231 | $231 | 2 | 06-06 01:25 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +311 | $237 | $237 | 11 | 06-16 05:31 |
| Yawning-Medication 0x2953…2ed5 | Yes | +300 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 06-12 02:35 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | +268 | $205 | $321 | 8 | 06-16 14:06 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +226 | $53 | $182 | 3 | 06-07 09:01 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +226 | $179 | $592 | 3 | 06-06 21:24 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +225 | $177 | $279 | 5 | 06-13 21:02 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +225 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-13 21:02 |
| Wasteful-Baobab 0xd658…2525 | No | +215 | $169 | $169 | 2 | 06-08 10:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf726…7e8b | Yes | +175 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 06-15 19:08 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +165 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +165 | $50 | $122 | 4 | 06-04 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1492…97da | Yes | +159 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-12 12:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +158 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 06-16 16:27 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +144 | $108 | $108 | 13 | 06-16 16:26 |
| Naive-Artist 0xdb54…f008 | No | +130 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-11 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | +100 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 06-12 11:14 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +91 | $69 | $142 | 12 | 06-16 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc422…ae44 | No | +75 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-28 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xde9c…b1d6 | Yes | +70 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-07 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2171…b71e | Yes | +69 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 02:28 |
| Shameless-Pledge 0x5b2c…207c | Yes | +63 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-10 00:01 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +60 | $15 | $44 | 8 | 06-15 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9010…336f | Yes | +58 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 19:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +57 | $42 | $334 | 11 | 06-16 16:26 |
| Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | +55 | $41 | $41 | 10 | 06-16 16:26 |
| Frivolous-Diffuse 0xd188…ae31 | Yes | +52 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-05 13:08 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-12 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7994…aa73 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| Celebrated-Flesh 0xca2d…3236 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ea6…808d | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc11a…76b7 | Yes | +34 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 01:30 |
| Organic-Mandolin 0x4186…ee77 | Yes | +33 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 18:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 06-16 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4935…dfda | No | +29 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-09 09:00 |
| Elated-Chino 0x20eb…87ef | No | +28 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 15:15 |
| Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-16 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-01 15:50 |
| Cheap-Bondsman 0x66a2…c5fb | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-01 08:11 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-06 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-06 02:00 |
| Doting-Stupidity 0x747b…a2d4 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-11 08:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 16:28:37 | (anonymous) 0xdcc3…d8e9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x6057c8… |
| 06-16 16:28:37 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 16 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x6057c8… |
| 06-16 16:27:26 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xd5c2fd… |
| 06-16 16:27:26 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xd5c2fd… |
| 06-16 16:27:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xd5c2fd… |
| 06-16 16:26:19 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x80e3b1… |
| 06-16 16:26:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x80e3b1… |
| 06-16 16:26:19 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x80e3b1… |
| 06-16 16:26:19 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x80e3b1… |
| 06-16 16:26:19 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 943 | 71¢ | $670 | 0x80e3b1… |
| 06-16 16:26:19 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | No | SELL | 987 | 71¢ | $701 | 0x80e3b1… |
| 06-16 14:06:31 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 23 | 73¢ | $17 | 0xef5a65… |
| 06-16 14:06:31 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 23 | 73¢ | $17 | 0xef5a65… |
| 06-16 13:45:25 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xcd1ef4… |
| 06-16 13:45:25 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xcd1ef4… |
| 06-16 13:45:25 | Live-Institution-Dance 0xfc27…cefb | No | SELL | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xcd1ef4… |
| 06-16 12:38:37 | Glass-Payoff-Styling 0xdec8…933c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xb2c7bb… |
| 06-16 12:38:37 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xb2c7bb… |
| 06-16 11:03:18 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xd44b08… |
| 06-16 11:03:18 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xd44b08… |
| 06-16 11:03:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd44b08… |
| 06-16 05:32:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 27¢ | $17 | 0xa3df7f… |
| 06-16 05:32:48 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 27¢ | $17 | 0xa3df7f… |
| 06-16 05:31:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x0439d6… |
| 06-16 05:31:43 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 27¢ | $40 | 0x0439d6… |
| 06-16 05:31:43 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x0439d6… |
| 06-16 05:31:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 44 | 73¢ | $32 | 0x0439d6… |
| 06-16 05:21:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xcdddae… |
| 06-16 05:21:40 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xcdddae… |
| 06-16 05:21:40 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xcdddae… |
| 06-16 05:21:39 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xee8e6c… |
| 06-16 05:21:39 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xee8e6c… |
| 06-16 03:30:54 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x6b89bf… |
| 06-16 03:30:54 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x6b89bf… |
| 06-16 03:30:54 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x6b89bf… |
| 06-16 03:30:54 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x6b89bf… |
| 06-16 02:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x117f…fd66 | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x122021… |
| 06-16 02:58:55 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x122021… |
| 06-16 02:10:06 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xe77212… |
| 06-16 02:10:06 | Subdued-Policy 0xe586…a592 | No | SELL | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0xe77212… |
| 06-16 02:10:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xe77212… |
| 06-16 01:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xb9ac…5a4c | No | SELL | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x1076e9… |
| 06-16 01:34:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x1076e9… |
| 06-16 01:21:43 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xa9cd6a… |
| 06-16 01:21:43 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xa9cd6a… |
| 06-16 01:02:45 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xe5374f… |
| 06-16 01:02:45 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xe5374f… |
| 06-16 00:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x2997…f19e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xb63757… |
| 06-16 00:39:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xb63757… |
| 06-16 00:21:54 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0x0d9652… |
| 06-16 00:21:54 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0x0d9652… |
| 06-16 00:07:58 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x380207… |
| 06-16 00:07:58 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x380207… |
| 06-16 00:07:58 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x380207… |
| 06-16 00:07:58 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x380207… |
| 06-16 00:03:19 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xeefe72… |
| 06-16 00:03:19 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xeefe72… |
| 06-16 00:03:19 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xeefe72… |
| 06-15 20:09:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x1bc865… |
| 06-15 20:09:13 | (anonymous) 0x48fe…e72b | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x1bc865… |
| 06-15 20:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x6c7d…61e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xe2df32… |
| 06-15 20:09:12 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xe2df32… |
| 06-15 20:05:07 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xae5568… |
| 06-15 20:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x9ea6…808d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xae5568… |
| 06-15 20:05:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xae5568… |
| 06-15 20:03:28 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xe32979… |
| 06-15 20:03:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe32979… |
| 06-15 20:03:28 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xe32979… |
| 06-15 19:08:51 | (anonymous) 0xf726…7e8b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xa9f037… |
| 06-15 19:08:51 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $11 | 0xa9f037… |
| 06-15 19:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xf726…7e8b | Yes | BUY | 161 | 27¢ | $43 | 0x3e8df2… |
| 06-15 19:08:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x3e8df2… |
| 06-15 19:08:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x3e8df2… |
| 06-15 18:43:52 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x612bec… |
| 06-15 18:43:52 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 91 | 75¢ | $69 | 0x612bec… |
| 06-15 18:43:52 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x612bec… |
| 06-15 18:38:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xabd760… |
| 06-15 18:38:57 | Low-Junior 0xa2fb…ff75 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xabd760… |
| 06-15 18:38:55 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x655bd8… |
| 06-15 18:38:55 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x655bd8… |
| 06-15 18:38:55 | (anonymous) 0xfbff…058b | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x655bd8… |
| 06-15 18:38:55 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 173 | 25¢ | $43 | 0x655bd8… |
| 06-15 18:38:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x655bd8… |
| 06-15 18:38:55 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 25¢ | $26 | 0x655bd8… |
| 06-15 18:36:13 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x291d63… |
| 06-15 18:36:13 | Low-Junior 0xa2fb…ff75 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x291d63… |
| 06-15 18:36:12 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | BUY | 1,815 | 25¢ | $454 | 0xed0036… |
| 06-15 18:36:12 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 1,815 | 25¢ | $454 | 0xed0036… |
| 06-15 18:34:00 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x496e7d… |
| 06-15 18:34:00 | Live-Institution-Dance 0xfc27…cefb | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x496e7d… |
| 06-15 18:14:54 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x926557… |
| 06-15 18:14:54 | Low-Junior 0xa2fb…ff75 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x926557… |
| 06-15 18:14:52 | Celebrated-Flesh 0xca2d…3236 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xa80644… |
| 06-15 18:14:52 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xa80644… |
| 06-15 17:46:24 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xbd905b… |
| 06-15 17:46:24 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 24 | 75¢ | $18 | 0xbd905b… |
| 06-15 17:12:22 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x69243d… |
| 06-15 17:12:22 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x69243d… |
| 06-15 17:07:15 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 24 | 77¢ | $19 | 0x04c877… |
| 06-15 17:07:15 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x04c877… |