Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$94,854
$513 in 24h
Trades
1,237
Unique wallets
273
Liquidity
$16,188
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-06-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 14:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+50.8¢
(top1%: 73% YES on $726
vs crowd: 22% YES on $69.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $1.1K | $42.7K | $41.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $3.6K | $5.4K | $1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $2.8K | $4.1K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 169 | $8.0K | $1.5K | +$6.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $531 | $195 | +$336 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $267 | $25 | +$242 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $700 | $784 | $84 |
| Median | 28 | $5.7K | $344 | +$5.4K |
| Below median | 37 | $129 | $431 | $302 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $507 | $111 | +$396 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $1.9K | $1.6K | +$286 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $851 | $41.8K | $40.9K |
| unranked | 136 | $4.8K | $8.4K | $3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +51,003 | $39,123 | $39,123 | 110 | 07-08 14:51 |
| Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | +20,864 | $5,656 | $5,656 | 39 | 07-07 20:48 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | Yes | +10,143 | $1,910 | $1,910 | 30 | 06-23 11:53 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | +4,647 | $1,246 | $1,420 | 11 | 07-02 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2dd…d9b8 | Yes | +3,651 | $730 | $730 | 4 | 06-25 13:27 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +2,274 | $370 | $370 | 21 | 07-01 16:31 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | +2,236 | $1,743 | $1,743 | 18 | 06-18 19:12 |
| Unique-Person 0xffd2…d7ae | Yes | +1,550 | $353 | $353 | 22 | 06-30 16:43 |
| Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | +1,500 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 07-04 21:45 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +1,388 | $266 | $266 | 34 | 07-04 10:55 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +1,243 | $982 | $1,117 | 24 | 07-06 19:06 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | +1,100 | $263 | $263 | 7 | 06-15 18:36 |
| Useful-Gravy 0x35e3…3d33 | Yes | +1,053 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-26 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed4…a408 | Yes | +1,000 | $210 | $210 | 5 | 06-18 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x178d…c0f5 | Yes | +932 | $267 | $267 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +896 | $742 | $2,220 | 30 | 07-04 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | +802 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| Untidy-Rim 0x3c6d…00b0 | No | +706 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-31 21:28 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | +550 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 07-04 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bf7…b7e6 | Yes | +500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 03:46 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +450 | $355 | $355 | 27 | 07-07 20:48 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +400 | $330 | $330 | 6 | 07-03 07:20 |
| Wasteful-Baobab 0xd658…2525 | No | +400 | $319 | $319 | 4 | 06-18 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf726…7e8b | Yes | +393 | $92 | $92 | 6 | 06-24 14:16 |
| Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | +383 | $312 | $312 | 18 | 07-07 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9f8…95f5 | Yes | +349 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-06 18:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +311 | $237 | $237 | 11 | 06-16 05:31 |
| Yawning-Medication 0x2953…2ed5 | Yes | +300 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 06-12 02:35 |
| Suburban-Cell 0x3883…6bb0 | No | +300 | $246 | $246 | 1 | 06-29 16:47 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | No | +300 | $247 | $758 | 13 | 06-18 09:34 |
| Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | +280 | $203 | $721 | 6 | 07-06 04:35 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +226 | $53 | $182 | 3 | 06-07 09:01 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +226 | $179 | $592 | 3 | 06-06 21:24 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +225 | $177 | $279 | 5 | 06-13 21:02 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +225 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-13 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x77f8…569f | Yes | +189 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 07-08 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb592…666b | Yes | +173 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-16 20:59 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +165 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +165 | $50 | $122 | 4 | 06-04 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1492…97da | Yes | +159 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-12 12:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +158 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 06-16 16:27 |
| Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | +148 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-02 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | +145 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 06-29 16:47 |
| Naive-Artist 0xdb54…f008 | No | +130 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-11 08:59 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +119 | $25 | $97 | 19 | 07-06 19:06 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +119 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 06-18 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x09f2…8503 | Yes | +113 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-06 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7a3…8fe0 | Yes | +105 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-30 17:22 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +79 | $56 | $249 | 18 | 07-06 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc422…ae44 | No | +75 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-28 17:00 |
| Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | +62 | $52 | $391 | 62 | 06-23 17:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +46 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 07-02 04:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 14:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x8b5a…553c | No | SELL | 51 | 78¢ | $40 | 0xeeba43… |
| 07-08 14:51:37 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 51 | 78¢ | $40 | 0xeeba43… |
| 07-08 14:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xb138…36ab | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x21ce71… |
| 07-08 14:42:29 | (anonymous) 0x77f8…569f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x21ce71… |
| 07-08 13:55:52 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 181 | 78¢ | $141 | 0x3539c3… |
| 07-08 13:55:52 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | SELL | 181 | 78¢ | $141 | 0x3539c3… |
| 07-07 20:56:16 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x5a70eb… |
| 07-07 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x5a70eb… |
| 07-07 20:48:22 | Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x3a77c7… |
| 07-07 20:48:22 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x3a77c7… |
| 07-07 20:48:02 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x9430e2… |
| 07-07 20:48:02 | Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9430e2… |
| 07-07 20:48:02 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x9430e2… |
| 07-07 20:46:34 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x5e1726… |
| 07-07 20:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x5e1726… |
| 07-07 20:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x5e1726… |
| 07-07 11:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x2ff0…9a61 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x424182… |
| 07-07 11:35:13 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x424182… |
| 07-07 05:13:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x96e7e9… |
| 07-07 05:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x04f4…54e1 | No | BUY | 17 | 79¢ | $14 | 0x96e7e9… |
| 07-07 05:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x77f8…569f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x96e7e9… |
| 07-06 19:06:25 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 23 | 80¢ | $18 | 0x37ecf8… |
| 07-06 19:06:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x37ecf8… |
| 07-06 19:06:25 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x37ecf8… |
| 07-06 19:06:25 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 23 | 80¢ | $18 | 0x37ecf8… |
| 07-06 19:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x77f8…569f | Yes | BUY | 175 | 20¢ | $35 | 0x37ecf8… |
| 07-06 15:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x09f2…8503 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 20¢ | $23 | 0x7eeef4… |
| 07-06 15:32:22 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 113 | 80¢ | $90 | 0x7eeef4… |
| 07-06 15:06:59 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x8797e3… |
| 07-06 15:06:59 | (anonymous) 0x64ab…23a8 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x8797e3… |
| 07-06 12:38:22 | Phony-Rip 0xff20…d963 | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xebfb94… |
| 07-06 12:38:22 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xebfb94… |
| 07-06 04:35:23 | Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x5f2152… |
| 07-06 04:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x1ccf…99ec | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x5f2152… |
| 07-06 03:14:31 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x6b4c8c… |
| 07-06 03:14:31 | Frivolous-Diffuse 0xd188…ae31 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x6b4c8c… |
| 07-06 03:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x7d13…2de2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x030ef5… |
| 07-06 03:13:16 | Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x030ef5… |
| 07-06 01:36:50 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x55d6c0… |
| 07-06 01:36:50 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x55d6c0… |
| 07-05 07:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x4097…88f2 | No | SELL | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x1fbaee… |
| 07-05 07:04:37 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x1fbaee… |
| 07-04 21:45:17 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x22c61e… |
| 07-04 21:45:17 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0x22c61e… |
| 07-04 21:44:41 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xefc44d… |
| 07-04 21:44:41 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0xefc44d… |
| 07-04 21:44:41 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x8eea5c… |
| 07-04 21:44:41 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0x8eea5c… |
| 07-04 21:44:11 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0x751181… |
| 07-04 21:44:11 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x751181… |
| 07-04 21:44:11 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x799f7b… |
| 07-04 21:44:11 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0x799f7b… |
| 07-04 16:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x1a28…035b | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xdf55ea… |
| 07-04 16:54:55 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | BUY | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x74883f… |
| 07-04 16:54:55 | Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | SELL | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x74883f… |
| 07-04 16:54:55 | Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | SELL | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xdf55ea… |
| 07-04 10:55:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 52 | 81¢ | $42 | 0x7eb2c5… |
| 07-04 10:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 134 | 81¢ | $109 | 0x7eb2c5… |
| 07-04 10:55:19 | Scarce-Nexus 0x9e7e…3e1d | No | SELL | 276 | 81¢ | $223 | 0x7eb2c5… |
| 07-04 10:55:19 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x7eb2c5… |
| 07-04 10:55:19 | Courteous-Crawdad 0x9394…37da | Yes | SELL | 526 | 19¢ | $100 | 0x7eb2c5… |
| 07-04 10:55:19 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 49 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x7eb2c5… |
| 07-04 08:10:16 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | SELL | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x309851… |
| 07-04 08:10:16 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x309851… |
| 07-03 18:48:14 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x056348… |
| 07-03 18:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x559e…fa1d | No | SELL | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x056348… |
| 07-03 16:21:32 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 19 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x42c958… |
| 07-03 16:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xc140…a5ed | Yes | SELL | 19 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x42c958… |
| 07-03 07:20:11 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 32 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xc9be4c… |
| 07-03 07:20:11 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0xc9be4c… |
| 07-03 07:20:11 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xc9be4c… |
| 07-03 00:01:47 | Lonely-Lemonade-Cowboy 0x7a45…df70 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xec63d4… |
| 07-03 00:01:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xec63d4… |
| 07-02 18:52:23 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 20¢ | $200 | 0xdbed4d… |
| 07-02 18:52:23 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 80¢ | $800 | 0xdbed4d… |
| 07-02 13:48:22 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 148 | 80¢ | $118 | 0xbbd1b6… |
| 07-02 13:48:22 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 148 | 20¢ | $30 | 0xbbd1b6… |
| 07-02 04:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 46 | 82¢ | $38 | 0xf6f8a5… |
| 07-02 04:12:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 46 | 18¢ | $8 | 0xf6f8a5… |
| 07-02 03:46:50 | (anonymous) 0x6bf7…b7e6 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0x8da7ea… |
| 07-02 03:46:50 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 500 | 80¢ | $400 | 0x8da7ea… |
| 07-01 20:57:55 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x4bee1a… |
| 07-01 20:57:55 | Deficient-Strobe 0x1639…24f3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x4bee1a… |
| 07-01 16:31:34 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xef88f8… |
| 07-01 16:31:34 | Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | BUY | 552 | 19¢ | $105 | 0xef88f8… |
| 07-01 16:31:34 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xef88f8… |
| 07-01 16:31:34 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xef88f8… |
| 07-01 16:31:34 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 536 | 81¢ | $434 | 0xef88f8… |
| 07-01 14:07:55 | (anonymous) 0xd11d…b073 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x10625c… |
| 07-01 14:07:55 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 28 | 81¢ | $23 | 0x10625c… |
| 07-01 12:29:59 | Grown-Redirect 0x4d76…b872 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8e969f… |
| 07-01 12:29:59 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x8e969f… |
| 07-01 12:28:38 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 200 | 19¢ | $38 | 0x19aec3… |
| 07-01 12:28:38 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 200 | 81¢ | $162 | 0x19aec3… |
| 07-01 01:01:05 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0xff840d… |
| 07-01 01:01:05 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0xff840d… |
| 06-30 17:22:38 | (anonymous) 0xb7a3…8fe0 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x78512e… |
| 06-30 17:22:38 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 105 | 81¢ | $85 | 0x78512e… |
| 06-30 17:02:20 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 78 | 81¢ | $63 | 0xe2f44a… |
| 06-30 17:02:20 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | SELL | 78 | 81¢ | $63 | 0xe2f44a… |