Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$162
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
284
lifetime
Volume
$37.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$3.99K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 19:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,063 $1,877 94¢ $1.9K +$52 07-01 19:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,208 $1,129 96¢ $1.2K +$33 06-19 16:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +400 $308 86¢ $346 +$38 06-01 13:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $249 64¢ $192 $-57 07-01 19:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $174 88¢ $177 +$4 07-01 19:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -100 $-192 100¢ $-100 +$92 07-01 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 06-30 23:10
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$0 06-30 23:10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 54¢ $2 $-0 06-29 17:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-29 17:29