Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,454
$32 in 24h
Trades
159
Unique wallets
61
Liquidity
$14,780
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-17 01:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-27.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $188
vs crowd: 28% YES on $12.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $2.9K | $7.7K | $4.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $171 | $1.1K | $913 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $209 | $88 | +$121 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $256 | $158 | +$98 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $188 | $188 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $3.1K | $35 | +$3.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $52 | $1 | +$51 |
| Median | 9 | $104 | $71 | +$32 |
| Below median | 5 | $17 | $8 | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $232 | $46 | +$186 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | — | $7.8K | $7.8K |
| unranked | 22 | $13 | $861 | $848 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | +11,351 | $2,773 | $2,773 | 1 | 06-16 01:47 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +9,897 | $7,469 | $7,631 | 11 | 06-16 01:47 |
| Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | +926 | $230 | $230 | 10 | 06-17 01:53 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +900 | $693 | $693 | 1 | 06-01 18:38 |
| logan 0x33c5…2230 | Yes | +346 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-16 09:55 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +297 | $211 | $226 | 9 | 06-16 11:03 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +130 | $98 | $98 | 8 | 06-08 05:32 |
| Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | +122 | $14 | $145 | 6 | 06-16 11:55 |
| Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | No | +120 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-16 07:48 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +90 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 06-16 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e76…7757 | No | +66 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 01:53 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | +60 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-16 01:47 |
| Sweet-Wait 0xffb1…f54e | Yes | +56 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-16 18:20 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +46 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-16 18:20 |
| Thrifty-Liquidity 0xd979…6340 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 18:45 |
| Spectacular-Markup 0x6218…f344 | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-10 23:50 |
| Past-Reverse 0xb8fc…ed7f | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 11:21 |
| Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 08:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-16 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb15d…558a | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 12:27 |
| Biodegradable-Peach 0x1175…314c | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 04:13 |
| Indelible-Clock 0x544b…62be | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 05:32 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-13 21:56 |
| Bustling-Boom 0xe8f4…1ad1 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:31 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 02:03 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +7 | $3 | $102 | 14 | 06-16 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8ad…e2e0 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 23:23 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0be0…ffaf | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 07:31 |
| Large-Alteration 0x076e…c497 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xca79…8bdd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 11:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 01:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x1e76…7757 | No | BUY | 66 | 76¢ | $50 | 0x5f4e72… |
| 06-17 01:53:28 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 24¢ | $16 | 0x5f4e72… |
| 06-16 18:30:53 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 90 | 76¢ | $68 | 0x99a451… |
| 06-16 18:30:53 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 24¢ | $22 | 0x99a451… |
| 06-16 18:20:26 | Sweet-Wait 0xffb1…f54e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x519566… |
| 06-16 18:20:26 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x519566… |
| 06-16 14:53:01 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xf2c613… |
| 06-16 14:53:01 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xf2c613… |
| 06-16 12:41:03 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x4d3f7c… |
| 06-16 12:41:03 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x4d3f7c… |
| 06-16 12:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xb15d…558a | No | BUY | 27 | 75¢ | $20 | 0x6b5931… |
| 06-16 12:27:10 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x6b5931… |
| 06-16 11:55:04 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0xda8ac0… |
| 06-16 11:55:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xda8ac0… |
| 06-16 11:55:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x3b747d… |
| 06-16 11:55:00 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x3b747d… |
| 06-16 11:21:06 | Past-Reverse 0xb8fc…ed7f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x8aeffc… |
| 06-16 11:21:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x8aeffc… |
| 06-16 11:03:24 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x03f2eb… |
| 06-16 11:03:24 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x03f2eb… |
| 06-16 11:03:24 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x03f2eb… |
| 06-16 10:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x0f6d48… |
| 06-16 10:00:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x0f6d48… |
| 06-16 10:00:03 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x0f6d48… |
| 06-16 09:58:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x3e85c7… |
| 06-16 09:58:03 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x3e85c7… |
| 06-16 09:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x89f8ee… |
| 06-16 09:56:01 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x89f8ee… |
| 06-16 09:55:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb05816… |
| 06-16 09:55:58 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 57 | 70¢ | $40 | 0xb05816… |
| 06-16 09:55:58 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0xb05816… |
| 06-16 09:55:58 | logan 0x33c5…2230 | Yes | BUY | 346 | 29¢ | $100 | 0xb05816… |
| 06-16 09:05:45 | Bustling-Boom 0xe8f4…1ad1 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x159415… |
| 06-16 09:05:45 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x159415… |
| 06-16 09:05:45 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x159415… |
| 06-16 09:03:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x675e36… |
| 06-16 09:03:19 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x675e36… |
| 06-16 09:03:19 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x675e36… |
| 06-16 09:03:19 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x675e36… |
| 06-16 08:25:10 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x3c69b2… |
| 06-16 08:25:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x3c69b2… |
| 06-16 08:23:30 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x3e955d… |
| 06-16 08:23:30 | Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x3e955d… |
| 06-16 08:23:30 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x3e955d… |
| 06-16 07:48:22 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 25¢ | $30 | 0x84f29f… |
| 06-16 07:48:22 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | No | BUY | 120 | 75¢ | $90 | 0x84f29f… |
| 06-16 06:49:15 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x0a3c22… |
| 06-16 06:49:15 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x0a3c22… |
| 06-16 04:23:43 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 25¢ | $118 | 0xa5daf1… |
| 06-16 04:23:43 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 25¢ | $118 | 0xa5daf1… |
| 06-16 02:37:13 | Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 25¢ | $15 | 0x1b4da4… |
| 06-16 02:37:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 59 | 25¢ | $15 | 0x1b4da4… |
| 06-16 01:47:28 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0xe448ad… |
| 06-16 01:47:28 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xe448ad… |
| 06-16 01:47:28 | Earnest-Rawhide 0x79dc…ca77 | Yes | SELL | 1,249 | 24¢ | $300 | 0xe448ad… |
| 06-16 01:47:28 | Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | BUY | 11,351 | 24¢ | $2,773 | 0xe448ad… |
| 06-16 01:47:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xe448ad… |
| 06-16 01:47:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 75¢ | $3,750 | 0xe448ad… |
| 06-16 00:06:46 | Prudent-Engineer 0x1934…0a4b | Yes | SELL | 111 | 23¢ | $25 | 0x902e04… |
| 06-16 00:06:46 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x902e04… |
| 06-16 00:06:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 23¢ | $17 | 0x902e04… |
| 06-16 00:06:46 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | BUY | 307 | 23¢ | $71 | 0x902e04… |
| 06-15 14:14:45 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 23¢ | $62 | 0x824b4f… |
| 06-15 14:14:45 | Prudent-Engineer 0x1934…0a4b | Yes | SELL | 270 | 23¢ | $62 | 0x824b4f… |
| 06-15 08:51:06 | Prudent-Engineer 0x1934…0a4b | Yes | SELL | 23 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x004ce9… |
| 06-15 08:51:06 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x004ce9… |
| 06-14 10:30:18 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | BUY | 372 | 21¢ | $79 | 0x8b2fce… |
| 06-14 10:30:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x8b2fce… |
| 06-14 10:30:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x8b2fce… |
| 06-14 10:30:18 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 22¢ | $17 | 0x8b2fce… |
| 06-13 23:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xd8ad…e2e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x370cf1… |
| 06-13 23:23:27 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x370cf1… |
| 06-13 21:56:48 | Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x7682fc… |
| 06-13 21:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x7682fc… |
| 06-13 14:13:22 | Broken-Scalp 0xbfc8…d015 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x6d23c1… |
| 06-13 14:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x6d23c1… |
| 06-13 11:36:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xa18ae3… |
| 06-13 11:36:09 | (anonymous) 0xca79…8bdd | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xa18ae3… |
| 06-13 07:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x0be0…ffaf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x22edcf… |
| 06-13 07:31:18 | Prudent-Engineer 0x1934…0a4b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x22edcf… |
| 06-12 18:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xd6f7d8… |
| 06-12 18:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0xd6f7d8… |
| 06-12 18:31:04 | Authorized-Quinoa 0xc4d5…9532 | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xd6f7d8… |
| 06-12 08:15:21 | Prudent-Engineer 0x1934…0a4b | Yes | SELL | 85 | 23¢ | $20 | 0x44a210… |
| 06-12 08:15:21 | (anonymous) 0x8cd1…ea75 | No | SELL | 85 | 77¢ | $66 | 0x44a210… |
| 06-12 01:29:15 | Authorized-Quinoa 0xc4d5…9532 | No | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xb927f1… |
| 06-12 01:29:15 | (anonymous) 0xb8fc…08fc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xb927f1… |
| 06-11 18:54:09 | Everlasting-Premeditation 0xb538…413e | No | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xb9a971… |
| 06-11 18:54:09 | Prudent-Engineer 0x1934…0a4b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb9a971… |
| 06-10 23:50:09 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x942228… |
| 06-10 23:50:09 | Spectacular-Markup 0x6218…f344 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x942228… |
| 06-09 19:15:19 | Exemplary-Ship 0xe9b7…8030 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xc67e11… |
| 06-09 19:15:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 24 | 78¢ | $19 | 0xc67e11… |
| 06-08 06:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xb440…d514 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xd96336… |
| 06-08 06:38:36 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0xd96336… |
| 06-08 05:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xb440…d514 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8c031b… |
| 06-08 05:32:00 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x8c031b… |
| 06-07 12:06:06 | Large-Alteration 0x076e…c497 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x430006… |
| 06-07 12:06:06 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x430006… |
| 06-06 02:45:28 | Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de…fe0e | Yes | SELL | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xb951ef… |