Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
open
Total volume
$45,144
$32 in 24h
Trades
632
Unique wallets
178
Liquidity
$14,780
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-18 09:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.6¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $2.5K
vs crowd: 17% YES on $30.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $3.6K | $16.4K | $12.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $222 | $3.8K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $638 | $3.0K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 74 | $880 | $1.9K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $466 | $2.0K | $1.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $3.3K | $1.6K | +$1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $76 | $564 | $487 |
| Median | 16 | $131 | $219 | $88 |
| Below median | 27 | $56 | $358 | $303 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $648 | $77 | +$572 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $1 | $506 | $505 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $41 | $13.7K | $13.6K |
| unranked | 74 | $584 | $6.2K | $5.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | +6,516 | $1,713 | $3,834 | 3 | 07-06 03:48 |
| Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | +4,706 | $3,838 | $4,362 | 7 | 08-16 23:06 |
| Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | +2,670 | $648 | $648 | 24 | 06-25 01:44 |
| Pesky-Composer 0x3d39…1586 | Yes | +1,916 | $345 | $345 | 4 | 07-23 07:29 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | No | +1,748 | $1,393 | $2,207 | 2 | 07-27 18:54 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | +1,748 | $292 | $292 | 5 | 07-22 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +1,684 | $1,417 | $1,417 | 9 | 08-02 03:10 |
| Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | +1,215 | $1,008 | $1,008 | 1 | 08-02 03:10 |
| Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | +1,205 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 07-21 20:09 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +960 | $144 | $144 | 6 | 07-21 17:58 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +900 | $693 | $693 | 1 | 06-01 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6fb…bf4c | No | +832 | $733 | $733 | 1 | 07-28 02:50 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | +350 | $282 | $282 | 10 | 07-21 20:12 |
| Annual-Harmonize 0xe5a1…63d5 | No | +346 | $284 | $284 | 2 | 07-22 12:29 |
| logan 0x33c5…2230 | Yes | +346 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-16 09:55 |
| Brave-Patron 0x9720…14f4 | No | +335 | $275 | $275 | 2 | 07-22 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6dbc…82b2 | No | +333 | $273 | $273 | 1 | 07-22 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x544c…8240 | No | +332 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 07-23 07:29 |
| Well-Worn-Whirlwind 0x3cba…a822 | No | +310 | $254 | $254 | 1 | 07-22 12:29 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +283 | $232 | $232 | 1 | 06-29 20:00 |
| Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | +260 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 07-22 12:08 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +243 | $30 | $30 | 9 | 07-28 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x87bf…3111 | No | +220 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 07-09 01:11 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +200 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 08-16 23:06 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +188 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 07-06 03:48 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +130 | $98 | $98 | 8 | 06-08 05:32 |
| Required-Wrecker 0xb4ba…4ced | No | +123 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-01 18:14 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +119 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-13 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c6e…4391 | No | +110 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 08-04 15:24 |
| Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | +110 | $14 | $14 | 6 | 08-02 23:40 |
| Right-Canteen 0xbc9d…f9fe | Yes | +105 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 09:12 |
| Negative-Subexpression 0x7175…ae4e | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-23 15:48 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +100 | $62 | $375 | 11 | 06-25 01:44 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +96 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 07-08 15:39 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +90 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 06-16 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +81 | $9 | $529 | 73 | 08-02 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | +80 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-04 15:24 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +78 | $67 | $217 | 8 | 07-20 23:27 |
| Memorable-Zoology 0xab49…7660 | No | +70 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-21 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e76…7757 | No | +66 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 01:53 |
| Sweet-Wait 0xffb1…f54e | Yes | +61 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-24 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2456…694d | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-22 13:57 |
| Self-Assured-Clock 0xd960…ed40 | Yes | +44 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-13 05:33 |
| Thrifty-Liquidity 0xd979…6340 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 18:45 |
| Past-Reverse 0xb8fc…ed7f | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +37 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-21 17:53 |
| Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 08:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2456…694d | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-21 05:32 |
| Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | +26 | $6 | $26 | 20 | 07-29 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x160e…617d | Yes | +23 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-22 06:06 |
| Indelible-Clock 0x544b…62be | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 05:32 |
| Adventurous-Traveler 0x7f13…f06a | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-04 22:35 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-13 21:56 |
| Stingy-Neighbour 0x87d1…3da3 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x27fd…d0b4 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f6d…f6f6 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 20:09 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 02:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 09:28:40 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x3b261f… |
| 08-18 09:28:40 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x3b261f… |
| 08-16 23:06:15 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0xbdde74… |
| 08-16 23:06:15 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0xbdde74… |
| 08-15 11:48:25 | Dearest-Hydrolysis 0x1818…fb2f | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x87f2bf… |
| 08-15 11:48:25 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x87f2bf… |
| 08-13 07:44:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xd78108… |
| 08-13 07:44:33 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xd78108… |
| 08-13 05:33:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x43563a… |
| 08-13 05:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x43563a… |
| 08-13 05:33:31 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0x43563a… |
| 08-13 05:33:31 | Self-Assured-Clock 0xd960…ed40 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x43563a… |
| 08-12 05:35:07 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xe2c50a… |
| 08-12 05:35:07 | Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xe2c50a… |
| 08-08 10:37:43 | (anonymous) 0xedf2…931a | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xdd8fa1… |
| 08-08 10:37:43 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xdd8fa1… |
| 08-05 16:54:05 | Fantastic-Granny 0xb442…bed7 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x404995… |
| 08-05 16:54:05 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x404995… |
| 08-04 22:35:23 | Adventurous-Traveler 0x7f13…f06a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xbdbada… |
| 08-04 22:35:23 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xbdbada… |
| 08-04 22:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbdbada… |
| 08-04 15:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x1c6e…4391 | No | BUY | 80 | 88¢ | $70 | 0xc953f1… |
| 08-04 15:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | BUY | 80 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xc953f1… |
| 08-03 04:58:38 | (anonymous) 0xf125…49d5 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x0bea73… |
| 08-03 04:58:38 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x0bea73… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 67 | 89¢ | $60 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | Frilly-Difference 0x2e6a…7155 | Yes | SELL | 435 | 12¢ | $52 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 159 | 12¢ | $19 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 23:40:45 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1d8084… |
| 08-02 19:30:48 | (anonymous) 0xf9bb…6e6c | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x3ef5ff… |
| 08-02 19:30:48 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3ef5ff… |
| 08-02 17:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x40f645… |
| 08-02 17:51:29 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x40f645… |
| 08-02 11:49:50 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x9cdb16… |
| 08-02 11:49:50 | (anonymous) 0x1c6e…4391 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x9cdb16… |
| 08-02 03:10:21 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xca4da9… |
| 08-02 03:10:21 | Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | BUY | 1,215 | 83¢ | $1,008 | 0xca4da9… |
| 08-02 03:10:21 | Tattered-Thrill 0xd553…6af5 | No | SELL | 1,253 | 83¢ | $1,040 | 0xca4da9… |
| 08-02 03:10:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xca4da9… |
| 08-02 03:10:21 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xca4da9… |
| 08-01 10:58:17 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x4baf13… |
| 08-01 10:58:17 | Large-Alteration 0x076e…c497 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x4baf13… |
| 07-31 07:53:03 | Roasted-Tote 0x44b4…e0e2 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa10e65… |
| 07-31 07:53:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xa10e65… |
| 07-31 03:00:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x41307c… |
| 07-31 03:00:54 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x41307c… |
| 07-31 02:27:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x77d910… |
| 07-31 02:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x77d910… |
| 07-30 06:36:11 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x636d63… |
| 07-30 06:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x636d63… |
| 07-30 06:36:11 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x636d63… |
| 07-30 06:33:42 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x254ec7… |
| 07-30 06:33:42 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x254ec7… |
| 07-30 06:33:42 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x254ec7… |
| 07-30 06:33:42 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x254ec7… |
| 07-29 18:47:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x48929a… |
| 07-29 18:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x48929a… |
| 07-29 18:08:24 | Harsh-Scissors 0x921d…f171 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc9886b… |
| 07-29 18:08:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc9886b… |
| 07-29 17:58:12 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xec9240… |
| 07-29 17:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xec9240… |
| 07-29 14:07:41 | (anonymous) 0xc1d4…61a7 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xc8e34c… |
| 07-29 14:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc8e34c… |
| 07-29 14:07:39 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x222636… |
| 07-29 14:07:39 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | No | SELL | 597 | 85¢ | $510 | 0x222636… |
| 07-29 14:07:39 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x222636… |
| 07-29 14:07:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x222636… |
| 07-29 14:07:39 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x222636… |
| 07-29 14:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 102 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x222636… |
| 07-28 10:49:37 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbca1b7… |
| 07-28 10:49:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xbca1b7… |
| 07-28 05:02:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 88¢ | $40 | 0x84afc5… |
| 07-28 05:02:52 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x84afc5… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | SELL | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 150 | 11¢ | $16 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | SELL | 265 | 87¢ | $231 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | (anonymous) 0xf6fb…bf4c | No | BUY | 832 | 88¢ | $733 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-28 02:50:33 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x696faa… |
| 07-27 18:54:45 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdca9f5… |
| 07-27 18:54:45 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xdca9f5… |
| 07-27 18:54:30 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8891c3… |
| 07-27 18:54:30 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x8891c3… |
| 07-27 18:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2b5523… |
| 07-27 18:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 473 | 14¢ | $66 | 0x03185d… |
| 07-27 18:54:12 | Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | No | SELL | 473 | 86¢ | $407 | 0x03185d… |
| 07-27 18:54:12 | Stingy-Neighbour 0x87d1…3da3 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2b5523… |
| 07-26 12:07:12 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xb4fd18… |
| 07-26 12:07:12 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | SELL | 146 | 87¢ | $127 | 0xb4fd18… |
| 07-26 12:07:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb4fd18… |
| 07-26 12:07:12 | (anonymous) 0xccf3…8f27 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 13¢ | $27 | 0xb4fd18… |
| 07-26 09:00:42 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x133e9a… |
| 07-26 09:00:42 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x133e9a… |
| 07-26 02:22:43 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x285ccb… |