Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
open
Total volume
$32,419
$32 in 24h
Trades
375
Unique wallets
113
Liquidity
$14,780
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-09 01:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $21.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $3.0K | $13.8K | $10.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $174 | $2.5K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $245 | $597 | $351 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 49 | $685 | $743 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | — | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $3.2K | $373 | +$2.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $64 | $22 | +$42 |
| Median | 11 | $107 | $118 | $11 |
| Below median | 15 | $22 | $255 | $233 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $648 | $77 | +$572 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | — | $350 | $350 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $13 | $11.9K | $11.9K |
| unranked | 45 | $43 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | +6,516 | $1,713 | $3,834 | 3 | 07-06 03:48 |
| Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | +5,000 | $4,100 | $4,100 | 2 | 07-08 15:38 |
| Whispered-Herb 0xe38d…6c36 | Yes | +2,670 | $648 | $648 | 24 | 06-25 01:44 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | No | +2,221 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 1 | 06-29 19:47 |
| Tattered-Thrill 0xd553…6af5 | No | +1,253 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-25 04:36 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +900 | $693 | $693 | 1 | 06-01 18:38 |
| logan 0x33c5…2230 | Yes | +346 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-16 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +300 | $246 | $246 | 1 | 07-03 06:14 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +283 | $232 | $232 | 1 | 06-29 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +239 | $47 | $263 | 36 | 07-08 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x87bf…3111 | No | +220 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 07-09 01:11 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | +200 | $159 | $159 | 4 | 07-06 03:48 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +188 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 07-06 03:48 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +130 | $98 | $98 | 8 | 06-08 05:32 |
| Required-Wrecker 0xb4ba…4ced | No | +123 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-01 18:14 |
| Right-Canteen 0xbc9d…f9fe | Yes | +105 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 09:12 |
| Negative-Subexpression 0x7175…ae4e | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-23 15:48 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +100 | $62 | $375 | 11 | 06-25 01:44 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +96 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 07-08 15:39 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +90 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 06-16 18:30 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +73 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-29 19:48 |
| Memorable-Zoology 0xab49…7660 | No | +70 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-21 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e76…7757 | No | +66 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 01:53 |
| Sweet-Wait 0xffb1…f54e | Yes | +61 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-24 21:13 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +61 | $49 | $70 | 3 | 07-05 23:18 |
| Worst-Dolphin 0x9e75…89a5 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-30 23:10 |
| Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | +47 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 07-01 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb15d…558a | No | +42 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-24 23:26 |
| Thrifty-Liquidity 0xd979…6340 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 18:45 |
| Spectacular-Markup 0x6218…f344 | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-10 23:50 |
| Past-Reverse 0xb8fc…ed7f | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 11:21 |
| Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 08:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-16 09:55 |
| Biodegradable-Peach 0x1175…314c | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 04:13 |
| Stingy-Neighbour 0x87d1…3da3 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-29 19:47 |
| Indelible-Clock 0x544b…62be | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 05:32 |
| Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-29 19:48 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-13 21:56 |
| Nautical-Hair 0x5255…c8cf | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-28 01:35 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 02:03 |
| Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $5 | 8 | 07-06 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8ad…e2e0 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0be0…ffaf | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 07:31 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $3 | 2 | 06-25 14:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 01:11:11 | (anonymous) 0x87bf…3111 | No | BUY | 220 | 82¢ | $180 | 0x9bffc8… |
| 07-09 01:11:11 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 220 | 82¢ | $180 | 0x9bffc8… |
| 07-08 21:34:20 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x59d5f2… |
| 07-08 21:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x9eb7…294c | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x59d5f2… |
| 07-08 15:39:05 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x5d0951… |
| 07-08 15:39:05 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x5d0951… |
| 07-08 15:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x79eb8d… |
| 07-08 15:38:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 82¢ | $1,640 | 0xa34581… |
| 07-08 15:38:40 | Low-Junior 0xa2fb…ff75 | No | SELL | 0 | 81¢ | $0 | 0x79eb8d… |
| 07-08 15:38:40 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 82¢ | $1,640 | 0xa34581… |
| 07-07 18:31:52 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 27 | 82¢ | $22 | 0xec8df1… |
| 07-07 18:31:52 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xec8df1… |
| 07-07 15:58:10 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 81 | 82¢ | $66 | 0x3a5c4c… |
| 07-07 15:58:10 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 81 | 82¢ | $66 | 0x3a5c4c… |
| 07-07 15:57:41 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 82¢ | $2,460 | 0x4f0413… |
| 07-07 15:57:41 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xf78581… |
| 07-07 15:57:41 | Incredible-Capability 0xb4e9…a4e5 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4f0413… |
| 07-07 15:57:41 | Low-Junior 0xa2fb…ff75 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xf78581… |
| 07-07 15:57:41 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 2,965 | 82¢ | $2,431 | 0x4f0413… |
| 07-07 15:57:41 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x4f0413… |
| 07-06 21:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | No | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x411ae3… |
| 07-06 21:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x411ae3… |
| 07-06 21:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x411ae3… |
| 07-06 16:07:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x30d2e2… |
| 07-06 16:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 58 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x30d2e2… |
| 07-06 16:07:38 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x30d2e2… |
| 07-06 16:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x30d2e2… |
| 07-06 16:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x3a52…b97e | Yes | SELL | 439 | 20¢ | $86 | 0x30d2e2… |
| 07-06 10:29:04 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x870c71… |
| 07-06 10:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x870c71… |
| 07-06 10:29:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x870c71… |
| 07-06 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xad658d… |
| 07-06 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xad658d… |
| 07-06 07:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 3 | 78¢ | $3 | 0xdbee08… |
| 07-06 07:37:49 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xdbee08… |
| 07-06 03:48:43 | Low-Junior 0xa2fb…ff75 | No | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x247243… |
| 07-06 03:48:43 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x247243… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 3,770 | 79¢ | $2,980 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | SELL | 3,333 | 21¢ | $700 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 03:48:38 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x550cb1… |
| 07-06 01:45:20 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…f006 | No | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x0085a4… |
| 07-06 01:45:20 | Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | BUY | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x0085a4… |
| 07-05 23:18:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x0951a4… |
| 07-05 23:18:34 | Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x0951a4… |
| 07-04 23:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…f006 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x10c25f… |
| 07-04 23:16:25 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x10c25f… |
| 07-04 22:57:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xb6a4eb… |
| 07-04 22:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb6a4eb… |
| 07-04 19:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…f006 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xdd21cb… |
| 07-04 19:28:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xdd21cb… |
| 07-04 18:20:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0x310c07… |
| 07-04 18:20:19 | (anonymous) 0x5be4…183b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x310c07… |
| 07-04 18:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x5be4…183b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x407f1f… |
| 07-04 18:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x407f1f… |
| 07-04 18:03:22 | Anchored-Inhibition 0x93e9…5d21 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x7cd909… |
| 07-04 18:03:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 26 | 82¢ | $22 | 0x7cd909… |
| 07-04 11:09:53 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1f1ee4… |
| 07-04 11:09:53 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1f1ee4… |
| 07-04 10:53:26 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x81c503… |
| 07-04 10:53:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x81c503… |
| 07-04 00:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…f006 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5e7939… |
| 07-04 00:47:37 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5e7939… |
| 07-03 20:32:11 | Feline-Sprat 0x7a89…ff1d | Yes | SELL | 77 | 18¢ | $14 | 0xa64a84… |
| 07-03 20:32:11 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 77 | 82¢ | $63 | 0xa64a84… |
| 07-03 06:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 300 | 82¢ | $246 | 0xbcc1c7… |
| 07-03 06:14:56 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 300 | 82¢ | $246 | 0xbcc1c7… |
| 07-02 22:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…f006 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7c8e4e… |
| 07-02 22:42:52 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7c8e4e… |
| 07-02 09:12:49 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0xde495c… |
| 07-02 09:12:49 | Right-Canteen 0xbc9d…f9fe | Yes | BUY | 105 | 19¢ | $20 | 0xde495c… |
| 07-02 09:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xde495c… |
| 07-02 09:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 87 | 19¢ | $17 | 0xde495c… |
| 07-02 07:44:46 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x9b860c… |
| 07-02 07:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x9b860c… |
| 07-02 07:24:25 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x7b4662… |
| 07-02 07:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7b4662… |
| 07-02 07:24:25 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 88 | 81¢ | $71 | 0x7b4662… |
| 07-02 07:24:25 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 78 | 81¢ | $63 | 0x7b4662… |
| 07-01 23:26:41 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 74 | 81¢ | $60 | 0x45daba… |
| 07-01 23:26:41 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 74 | 81¢ | $60 | 0x45daba… |
| 07-01 22:04:05 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xdcdcc3… |
| 07-01 22:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…f006 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xdcdcc3… |
| 07-01 19:15:58 | Bustling-Boom 0xe8f4…1ad1 | No | SELL | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0xf8ac75… |
| 07-01 19:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 26 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xf8ac75… |
| 07-01 18:14:19 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 123 | 81¢ | $100 | 0xf4f923… |
| 07-01 18:14:19 | Required-Wrecker 0xb4ba…4ced | No | BUY | 123 | 81¢ | $100 | 0xf4f923… |
| 07-01 15:03:13 | Sugary-Dynamite 0x1674…1656 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xc2c10a… |
| 07-01 15:03:13 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xc2c10a… |
| 07-01 12:21:53 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xf752d6… |
| 07-01 12:21:53 | Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xf752d6… |
| 07-01 07:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x08762d… |
| 07-01 07:25:52 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x08762d… |
| 06-30 23:10:10 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x8aacec… |
| 06-30 23:10:10 | Worst-Dolphin 0x9e75…89a5 | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x8aacec… |
| 06-30 20:28:56 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xc8fc0b… |