Smug-Snowman 0x054741…20fb35
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$195
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
219
Trades
10,297
lifetime
Volume
$236.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.61K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 11:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Sports
61% 60% +$251
Other
36% 82% $-131
Politics
3% 100% +$74
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +200 $188 92¢ $185 $-3 07-20 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $158 72¢ $143 $-15 07-22 14:26
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 84.5 -180 $-137 79¢ $-142 $-5 07-19 11:53
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 07-13 15:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$0 07-22 15:32
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +100 $88 89¢ $89 +$1 07-11 11:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -90 $-81 94¢ $-85 $-4 06-14 03:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +100 $86 84¢ $84 $-2 07-21 14:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +111 $78 70¢ $77 $-1 07-20 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +78 $77 99¢ $77 +$1 07-20 01:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +125 $79 60¢ $76 $-3 07-22 14:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $101 36¢ $75 $-26 06-16 06:04
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +66 $60 99¢ $65 +$4 07-13 15:31
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +71 $61 91¢ $65 +$4 07-20 14:08
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +78 $67 83¢ $65 $-2 07-20 23:27
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +50 $37 97¢ $48 +$11 07-13 21:45
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -91 $-42 50¢ $-45 $-3 05-29 02:49
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +26 $25 99¢ $26 +$1 07-13 14:43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +20 $19 93¢ $19 +$0 07-21 20:09
Fed abolished before 2027? No -16 $-15 99¢ $-15 $-0 07-10 21:39
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? No -18 $-14 77¢ $-14 +$0 07-02 08:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-08 18:28
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 07-17 11:24
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 42¢ $4 $-1 07-11 19:25
Will Getafe qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes +5 $4 69¢ $3 $-1 06-06 08:40