Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$7,855
$182 in 24h
Trades
371
Unique wallets
84
Liquidity
$3,224
Latest YES mid
29¢
Latest NO mid
71¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 08:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -15.0¢ (top1%: 20% YES on $1.2K vs crowd: 35% YES on $5.6K)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 13 $705 $767 $62
🐬 Dolphin 25 $519 $1.8K $1.3K
🐟 Fish 19 $582 $858 $276
🦐 Shrimp 27 $162 $128 +$33
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 2 $242 $947 $705
🏆 Top 5% 6 $138 $30 +$108
✅ Top 10% 7 $223 $263 $41
Median 3 $19 $14 +$5
Below median 13 $190 $1.0K $846
⚠️ Bottom 10% 5 $45 — +$45
🔻 Bottom 5% 14 $195 $277 $83
💀 Bottom 1% 7 $374 $569 $195
unranked 27 $542 $452 +$90
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c Yes +1,169 $339 $393 29 07-08 08:27
Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 No +706 $458 $458 4 07-01 03:01
CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd No +688 $489 $489 2 07-07 17:01
Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b3…1426 No +617 $432 $432 5 07-07 19:13
Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 No +421 $249 $249 5 06-29 05:18
Junior-Shutdown 0x2412…f534 Yes +400 $116 $116 11 07-06 11:03
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf Yes +394 $104 $104 16 07-06 20:57
Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c Yes +332 $111 $223 37 07-07 19:13
Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c No +280 $206 $265 20 07-08 08:27
Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 Yes +244 $90 $394 3 06-13 11:56
(anonymous) 0x5bc1…9932 Yes +223 $67 $67 1 07-07 19:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 Yes +200 $70 $70 6 07-01 08:12
Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c Yes +198 $71 $160 12 07-01 03:01
Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c Yes +184 $64 $64 3 06-11 10:48
Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 Yes +154 $44 $44 1 06-01 15:02
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf No +126 $84 $84 7 07-08 08:26
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 Yes +95 $30 $30 4 06-13 11:56
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 No +79 $61 $214 6 07-07 17:50
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 Yes +79 $36 $361 16 07-07 17:01
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 No +75 $53 $53 3 07-08 08:27
(anonymous) 0xf0f6…3836 No +74 $50 $50 1 06-13 21:36
Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d No +69 $42 $1,288 20 07-04 11:57
Few-Apparel 0x09e6…24a1 No +64 $-12 $539 3 06-22 04:41
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 No +60 $30 $30 1 06-02 12:52
(anonymous) 0xa099…8943 Yes +47 $20 $20 1 06-28 11:06
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 Yes +41 $12 $21 4 06-28 11:39
Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f No +35 $25 $25 5 07-07 19:13
Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 Yes +31 $10 $10 1 06-04 16:00
(anonymous) 0xfd5a…aa7a No +31 $22 $22 4 07-07 19:13
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 No +29 $21 $21 2 07-06 21:08
(anonymous) 0x70c7…92fe Yes +25 $10 $10 1 06-28 02:07
Watchful-Production 0x2184…00df No +24 $17 $17 3 07-07 19:04
Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 No +22 $15 $15 4 07-01 03:01
Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef Yes +20 $9 $9 1 05-28 17:51
Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 Yes +20 $6 $6 1 07-04 11:57
Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c No +20 $14 $14 1 07-07 17:01
Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e No +20 $14 $14 1 06-16 08:52
(anonymous) 0xbcba…4573 Yes +15 $5 $5 1 06-19 14:47
(anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea Yes +11 $7 $55 9 07-07 17:04
Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 Yes +11 $3 $3 1 06-04 07:23
(anonymous) 0x78d4…c133 Yes +10 $3 $3 1 06-21 21:12
Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c Yes +10 $4 $4 2 06-28 11:05
Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 No +10 $6 $6 1 06-28 11:05
(anonymous) 0xec47…0c22 No +10 $7 $7 2 06-28 11:39
Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 No +8 $5 $5 1 07-04 12:02
Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 No +5 $4 $4 1 07-04 11:57
Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 No +5 $3 $3 1 06-27 14:10
Mindless-Replication 0x278f…e428 No +4 $3 $3 1 06-18 15:48
(anonymous) 0xae73…09fa No +4 $2 $2 1 06-02 12:52
Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 Yes +2 $1 $5 2 06-04 03:31
(anonymous) 0xc4fa…842c No +1 $1 $1 1 07-04 12:15
(anonymous) 0x926d…a15b Yes +1 $1 $1 2 06-13 12:02