Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,923

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-12 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

43% 50% $-9

Other

41% — —

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	96	$639	581	546	+36	open	—	03-10 16:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	43	$385	518	518	+0	open	—	06-30 10:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$348	480	505	-25	open	—	06-02 10:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	52	$224	212	212	+0	open	—	02-28 19:34
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	19	$203	131	131	+0	open	—	02-23 08:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	38	$185	222	0	+222	open	—	02-13 07:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	26	$177	137	137	+0	open	—	04-07 22:54
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	6	$174	99	149	-50	open	—	02-12 15:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	24	$157	113	99	+14	open	—	03-03 18:33
will axiom be accused of insider trading	36	$156	202	97	+104	open	—	02-26 12:48
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	7	$151	87	134	-47	open	—	02-12 15:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	19	$147	387	303	+84	open	—	02-03 12:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	16	$146	246	246	+0	open	—	05-10 20:02
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	13	$144	205	153	+53	open	—	02-02 10:56
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	16	$142	85	72	+13	open	—	07-14 13:25
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	17	$138	72	72	+0	open	—	02-13 07:53
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	15	$137	72	72	+0	open	—	02-04 17:42
Iran leadership change by April 30?	16	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	04-20 14:34
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	17	$120	167	65	+101	open	—	02-27 01:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$119	71	71	+0	open	—	03-30 06:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	35	$119	104	79	+26	open	—	03-27 08:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	14	$117	124	0	+124	open	—	02-27 11:00
will bernie sanders say crypto or bitcoin during the fighting oligarchy rally	20	$110	64	64	+0	open	—	02-11 16:01
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	19	$107	153	60	+93	open	—	02-27 10:54
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$104	96	57	+38	open	—	02-10 07:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	14	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	03-23 08:25
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	9	$98	61	61	+0	open	—	03-25 08:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$95	133	133	+0	open	—	03-25 08:22
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	19	$94	113	0	+113	open	—	02-24 14:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	19	$92	149	149	+0	open	—	04-21 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 21:50:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x4e6b23…
08-12 21:36:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x37f1db…
08-12 21:34:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x965f32…
08-12 21:34:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd01897…
08-12 21:34:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x19a297…
08-12 21:33:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x3090c3…
08-12 21:33:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x7e7417…
08-12 21:32:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0xd2eb18…
08-12 21:28:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xc8a117…
08-12 21:28:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xda640c…
08-12 21:28:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5b8edc…
08-12 21:24:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	72	13¢	$9	0x1e39f3…
08-12 21:24:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x3885a8…
08-12 16:09:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x2f7bbd…
08-11 18:13:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x1cd247…
08-11 15:33:39	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x652322…
08-11 11:16:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xc572cd…
08-11 11:15:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb1a1aa…
08-08 15:54:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x99fe9a…
08-08 09:17:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x57b364…
08-07 20:45:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0xa2723c…
08-06 16:27:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5854ef…
08-06 16:27:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x385c33…
08-06 16:19:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd144b5…
08-06 16:19:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x787feb…
08-06 16:16:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x9d8c18…
08-05 12:56:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x529516…
08-05 08:47:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x1b88b6…
08-05 04:14:27	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x698437…
08-05 03:40:42	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x13fb63…
08-05 03:04:41	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x894f9c…
08-04 13:39:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x69287f…
08-04 13:21:23	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x3f9531…
08-04 13:21:21	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xe0523f…
08-04 12:28:21	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x531edc…
08-03 21:30:05	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd0029e…
08-03 18:43:48	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x981102…
08-03 08:49:57	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8e3816…
08-02 08:43:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x123818…
08-02 08:40:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x359d19…
08-01 21:47:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xf174ea…
08-01 20:47:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x72bc8d…
08-01 20:44:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc86010…
08-01 20:44:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xd823b3…
08-01 19:17:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x3dc59f…
08-01 19:16:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x631e42…
08-01 19:15:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x15fdef…
08-01 17:33:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0x0e3f3c…
08-01 17:22:59	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x580ba1…
08-01 17:09:38	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xbb6511…
08-01 17:06:02	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xf79505…
08-01 16:28:59	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xd10147…
08-01 16:22:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xb75c96…
08-01 15:52:36	btc updown 5m 1785599400	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x795036…
07-31 16:26:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x720676…
07-31 16:20:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0xa4b175…
07-29 19:44:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xb42849…
07-23 15:53:00	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3bdf9e…
07-23 15:47:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2cf4ed…
07-22 12:42:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x9a0750…
07-22 12:41:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0xebecf1…
07-20 15:45:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9a472a…
07-20 15:45:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1b5896…
07-20 15:33:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x447710…
07-20 15:29:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xce7ecc…
07-20 15:29:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x608267…
07-20 15:27:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x853dae…
07-20 15:06:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x7aac4d…
07-14 13:25:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x59c50d…
07-14 13:24:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xaae546…
07-13 14:40:38	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe892d6…
07-13 14:29:52	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3e5c09…
07-10 11:30:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x56df97…
07-10 11:29:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	72	92¢	$66	0xf97ba5…
07-09 13:19:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x488958…
07-09 13:19:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xe27128…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x4ff108…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x3f7554…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x21996e…
07-09 13:19:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xb26fd7…
07-09 13:19:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x5e8588…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xe53840…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	11	84¢	$10	0xd8ebdd…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xd0d5fa…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x2aee07…
07-09 11:57:17	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5880a7…
07-08 14:18:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	83	42¢	$35	0xf3a21d…
07-07 11:30:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x5ea031…
07-06 21:45:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xf66c03…
07-06 21:45:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x7937fe…
07-02 21:39:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x956a2b…
07-02 20:58:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2b6603…
07-02 20:58:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb52d4a…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfced8b…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf0fa5f…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc7916c…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbc9ecf…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbbfda4…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb55851…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x91e234…