Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,866

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-23 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

43% 50% $-9

Other

41% — —

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	88¢	$10	+$0	07-01 06:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-19	$-26	50¢	$-10	+$16	07-08 14:18
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+7	$3	12¢	$1	$-2	06-03 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	96	$639	581	546	+36	open	—	03-10 16:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	43	$385	518	518	+0	open	—	06-30 10:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$348	480	505	-25	open	—	06-02 10:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	52	$224	212	212	+0	open	—	02-28 19:34
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	19	$203	131	131	+0	open	—	02-23 08:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	38	$185	222	0	+222	open	—	02-13 07:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	26	$177	137	137	+0	open	—	04-07 22:54
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	6	$174	99	149	-50	open	—	02-12 15:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	24	$157	113	99	+14	open	—	03-03 18:33
will axiom be accused of insider trading	36	$156	202	97	+104	open	—	02-26 12:48
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	7	$151	87	134	-47	open	—	02-12 15:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	19	$147	387	303	+84	open	—	02-03 12:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	16	$146	246	246	+0	open	—	05-10 20:02
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	13	$144	205	153	+53	open	—	02-02 10:56
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	16	$142	85	72	+13	open	—	07-14 13:25
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	17	$138	72	72	+0	open	—	02-13 07:53
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	15	$137	72	72	+0	open	—	02-04 17:42
Iran leadership change by April 30?	16	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	04-20 14:34
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	17	$120	167	65	+101	open	—	02-27 01:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$119	71	71	+0	open	—	03-30 06:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	35	$119	104	79	+26	open	—	03-27 08:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	14	$117	124	0	+124	open	—	02-27 11:00
will bernie sanders say crypto or bitcoin during the fighting oligarchy rally	20	$110	64	64	+0	open	—	02-11 16:01
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	19	$107	153	60	+93	open	—	02-27 10:54
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$104	96	57	+38	open	—	02-10 07:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	14	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	03-23 08:25
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	9	$98	61	61	+0	open	—	03-25 08:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$95	133	133	+0	open	—	03-25 08:22
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	19	$94	113	0	+113	open	—	02-24 14:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	19	$92	149	149	+0	open	—	04-21 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:53:00	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3bdf9e…
07-23 15:47:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2cf4ed…
07-22 12:42:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x9a0750…
07-22 12:41:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0xebecf1…
07-20 15:45:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9a472a…
07-20 15:45:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1b5896…
07-20 15:33:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x447710…
07-20 15:29:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xce7ecc…
07-20 15:29:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x608267…
07-20 15:27:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x853dae…
07-20 15:06:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x7aac4d…
07-14 13:25:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x59c50d…
07-14 13:24:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xaae546…
07-13 14:40:38	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe892d6…
07-13 14:29:52	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3e5c09…
07-10 11:30:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x56df97…
07-10 11:29:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	72	92¢	$66	0xf97ba5…
07-09 13:19:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x488958…
07-09 13:19:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xe27128…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x4ff108…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x3f7554…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x21996e…
07-09 13:19:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xb26fd7…
07-09 13:19:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x5e8588…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xe53840…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	11	84¢	$10	0xd8ebdd…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xd0d5fa…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x2aee07…
07-09 11:57:17	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5880a7…
07-08 14:18:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	83	42¢	$35	0xf3a21d…
07-07 11:30:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x5ea031…
07-06 21:45:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xf66c03…
07-06 21:45:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x7937fe…
07-02 21:39:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x956a2b…
07-02 20:58:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2b6603…
07-02 20:58:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb52d4a…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfced8b…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf0fa5f…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc7916c…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbc9ecf…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbbfda4…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb55851…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x91e234…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8f1c60…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8360d2…
07-02 20:57:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6ee472…
07-02 06:14:44	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf6f541…
07-01 21:48:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6e9356…
07-01 21:48:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb16ee6…
07-01 20:50:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x9955e3…
07-01 20:44:32	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x1b0ac0…
07-01 19:10:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x217e13…
07-01 07:18:28	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x22bf1f…
07-01 06:26:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x42a30f…
07-01 06:07:46	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$10	0xbfb5bf…
06-30 17:15:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0xde7e24…
06-30 10:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x43f004…
06-28 05:20:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x563175…
06-28 05:20:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x265814…
06-25 23:49:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x461d22…
06-25 13:21:08	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x403bc2…
06-25 12:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe502d3…
06-25 12:42:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x14a9ee…
06-25 09:43:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x9dc7fd…
06-25 09:38:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x8de6df…
06-25 09:38:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x0045e4…
06-25 00:59:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x34abf5…
06-25 00:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa9c329…
06-24 12:36:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0x0ac8fc…
06-21 17:39:53	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd20515…
06-21 16:32:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xa8db32…
06-21 14:24:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x024883…
06-20 18:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf29fe9…
06-20 18:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x35361b…
06-20 17:59:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb94751…
06-20 17:59:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2db8f7…
06-20 17:59:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x6962e3…
06-17 15:54:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0xe69640…
06-17 15:52:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xde9be1…
06-16 17:38:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa331a6…
06-16 16:58:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5fb062…
06-16 16:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xeae269…
06-16 16:54:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa6474a…
06-16 16:53:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa8f295…
06-16 16:52:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x530a7e…
06-16 16:52:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x066e54…
06-16 16:50:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6a9d88…
06-16 16:49:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x7403a7…
06-16 15:40:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x1ecc48…
06-16 15:40:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	383	17¢	$65	0xdd57ff…
06-16 11:42:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xd09b79…
06-16 11:40:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x77c6fc…
06-16 11:40:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x4405bc…
06-16 11:40:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x5eb25b…
06-16 11:40:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x5f0b54…
06-16 11:40:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xcef1e5…
06-16 11:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x8e3b93…
06-16 11:39:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x25bc27…
06-16 11:36:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x931f54…
06-16 08:19:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xd138a8…