Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$20,403
Trades
282
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$2,630
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-11
last 08-18 05:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $269 | $2.7K | $2.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $5.0K | $1.7K | +$3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $130 | $2.7K | $2.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $10 | $194 | $184 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $72 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $4.9K | $384 | +$4.5K |
| Median | 4 | $9 | $18 | $8 |
| Below median | 14 | $79 | $440 | $361 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $5 | $141 | $136 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $209 | $337 | $128 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $240 | $240 |
| unranked | 23 | $104 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | +3,238 | $2,577 | $2,577 | 7 | 08-13 08:59 |
| Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | +2,566 | $4,507 | $5,259 | 7 | 08-16 12:48 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +801 | $136 | $136 | 2 | 08-13 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +361 | $40 | $40 | 13 | 08-13 13:25 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +355 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 08-13 04:54 |
| Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | +300 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 08-13 13:25 |
| Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | +231 | $210 | $210 | 3 | 07-11 23:12 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | +200 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 08-13 04:54 |
| Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b3…1426 | No | +185 | $162 | $162 | 3 | 08-13 11:55 |
| Infatuated-Spider 0x8b02…b95f | No | +134 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 08-18 05:13 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 07-02 06:54 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-25 04:15 |
| Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-18 05:13 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +100 | $22 | $49 | 4 | 08-13 07:34 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +84 | $7 | $14 | 10 | 08-17 19:17 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +83 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 08-13 09:47 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | +57 | $51 | $51 | 11 | 08-13 11:55 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +50 | $8 | $16 | 3 | 08-13 10:27 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-13 13:25 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 08-13 10:27 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 08-13 13:25 |
| Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | Yes | +49 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-13 11:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +44 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-13 07:30 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | +31 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-13 13:25 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +30 | $7 | $12 | 3 | 08-13 07:37 |
| Keen-Softening 0xe879…6d22 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-02 16:39 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +23 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-13 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd5a…aa7a | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 08-13 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 08-17 19:17 |
| Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $16 | 4 | 08-18 05:13 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-13 22:00 |
| Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-13 04:54 |
| Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-29 05:05 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +16 | $14 | $141 | 3 | 08-13 13:25 |
| Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-03 08:47 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 08-14 23:32 |
| Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-13 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-14 05:58 |
| Watchful-Production 0x2184…00df | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-13 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bf7…6b55 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-13 07:04 |
| Left-Cobweb 0x5d55…7cba | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-13 07:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f09…1f55 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-13 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf685…1ddc | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-13 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aea…b7dd | No | +1 | $1 | $5 | 6 | 08-13 10:27 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-13 10:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 05:13:45 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9d6175… |
| 08-18 05:13:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9d6175… |
| 08-18 05:13:22 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc43a43… |
| 08-18 05:13:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc43a43… |
| 08-18 05:13:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc43a43… |
| 08-18 05:13:22 | Infatuated-Spider 0x8b02…b95f | No | BUY | 134 | 93¢ | $125 | 0xc43a43… |
| 08-18 05:13:22 | Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc43a43… |
| 08-17 19:17:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x9c07c3… |
| 08-17 19:17:37 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x9c07c3… |
| 08-17 19:17:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9c07c3… |
| 08-17 19:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9c07c3… |
| 08-16 12:48:58 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8f519e… |
| 08-16 12:48:58 | Unfolded-Phone 0x1590…000d | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8f519e… |
| 08-15 11:03:24 | Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xa2af75… |
| 08-15 11:03:24 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xa2af75… |
| 08-14 23:32:37 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x5ac1a2… |
| 08-14 23:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5ac1a2… |
| 08-14 20:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd37fbb… |
| 08-14 20:41:40 | (anonymous) 0xca76…c885 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd37fbb… |
| 08-14 10:38:04 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfd66b7… |
| 08-14 10:38:04 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfd66b7… |
| 08-14 05:58:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x175f3c… |
| 08-14 05:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x175f3c… |
| 08-13 22:00:13 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x36d284… |
| 08-13 22:00:13 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x36d284… |
| 08-13 22:00:13 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 1,738 | 8¢ | $139 | 0x36d284… |
| 08-13 22:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x7678…22a3 | No | SELL | 1,638 | 92¢ | $1,507 | 0x36d284… |
| 08-13 22:00:13 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x36d284… |
| 08-13 15:15:04 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf10007… |
| 08-13 15:15:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xf10007… |
| 08-13 15:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf10007… |
| 08-13 13:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x8d2e…d47e | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x9580ae… |
| 08-13 13:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9580ae… |
| 08-13 13:25:09 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbb168d… |
| 08-13 13:25:09 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xbb168d… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x96693a… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x96693a… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 140 | 10¢ | $14 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | SELL | 1,500 | 90¢ | $1,350 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 11¢ | $33 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | SELL | 83 | 90¢ | $75 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 13:25:04 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 2,280 | 10¢ | $231 | 0x6bd6e5… |
| 08-13 11:59:01 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xcafd48… |
| 08-13 11:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xcafd48… |
| 08-13 11:59:01 | Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xcafd48… |
| 08-13 11:55:18 | Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x1abb49… |
| 08-13 11:55:18 | Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x730c9e… |
| 08-13 11:55:18 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x730c9e… |
| 08-13 11:55:18 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x1abb49… |
| 08-13 11:55:16 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x6b8f2b… |
| 08-13 11:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x6b8f2b… |
| 08-13 11:55:10 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x8c26cc… |
| 08-13 11:55:10 | Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b3…1426 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x8c26cc… |
| 08-13 11:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x20e165… |
| 08-13 11:55:09 | (anonymous) 0xf685…1ddc | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x20e165… |
| 08-13 11:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x1f09…1f55 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xddc8f5… |
| 08-13 11:55:07 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x8554c0… |
| 08-13 11:55:07 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x8554c0… |
| 08-13 11:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xddc8f5… |
| 08-13 11:55:04 | (anonymous) 0x1f09…1f55 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf5f7c1… |
| 08-13 11:55:04 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf5f7c1… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc64e5a… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | Watchful-Production 0x2184…00df | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xac20e2… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | (anonymous) 0xfd5a…aa7a | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x75a0b7… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe0f099… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xac20e2… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x75a0b7… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b3…1426 | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xe0f099… |
| 08-13 11:55:03 | (anonymous) 0xfd5a…aa7a | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc64e5a… |
| 08-13 11:55:01 | Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b3…1426 | No | BUY | 167 | 88¢ | $147 | 0x863c16… |
| 08-13 11:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x863c16… |
| 08-13 10:27:22 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x8093c0… |
| 08-13 10:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x4aea…b7dd | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x8093c0… |
| 08-13 10:27:21 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xfa087c… |
| 08-13 10:27:21 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xfa087c… |
| 08-13 10:27:19 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xeb8f4b… |
| 08-13 10:27:19 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | No | SELL | 88 | 84¢ | $74 | 0xeb8f4b… |
| 08-13 10:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x7678…22a3 | No | BUY | 1,638 | 85¢ | $1,391 | 0xeb8f4b… |
| 08-13 10:27:19 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | SELL | 1,500 | 85¢ | $1,275 | 0xeb8f4b… |
| 08-13 09:47:33 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | No | SELL | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x26bf5d… |
| 08-13 09:47:33 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x26bf5d… |
| 08-13 08:59:16 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | No | SELL | 140 | 84¢ | $118 | 0x95086a… |
| 08-13 08:59:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 16¢ | $22 | 0x95086a… |
| 08-13 08:59:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 17¢ | $24 | 0xefd769… |
| 08-13 08:59:00 | Normal-Poet 0xc004…c095 | No | SELL | 800 | 83¢ | $664 | 0xefd769… |
| 08-13 08:59:00 | Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | BUY | 940 | 83¢ | $780 | 0xefd769… |
| 08-13 07:57:13 | Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x367d1b… |
| 08-13 07:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x367d1b… |
| 08-13 07:57:09 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x285536… |
| 08-13 07:57:09 | Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x285536… |
| 08-13 07:57:09 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x285536… |
| 08-13 07:57:06 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 60 | 81¢ | $49 | 0xa672ed… |
| 08-13 07:57:06 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 60 | 81¢ | $49 | 0xa672ed… |