Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,218
Trades
93
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,630
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-29 22:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $36 | $98 | $62 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $93 | $350 | $258 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $115 | $114 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $9 | $23 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $210 | $210 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 7 | $58 | $159 | $100 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $73 | $69 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $17 | $2 | +$15 |
| unranked | 4 | $48 | $97 | $49 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | +231 | $210 | $210 | 3 | 07-11 23:12 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 07-02 06:54 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-25 04:15 |
| Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | +86 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-02 19:46 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-02 08:37 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 9 | 06-24 15:05 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +41 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-29 22:09 |
| Keen-Softening 0xe879…6d22 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-02 16:39 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $92 | 20 | 07-15 16:22 |
| Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-29 05:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 10:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 22:09:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xcd2031… |
| 07-29 22:09:39 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xcd2031… |
| 07-15 16:22:59 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x36c5fd… |
| 07-15 16:22:59 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x36c5fd… |
| 07-15 12:15:46 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x24a136… |
| 07-15 12:15:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x24a136… |
| 07-15 10:16:31 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5f8adf… |
| 07-15 10:16:31 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x5f8adf… |
| 07-15 10:15:43 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xe2573e… |
| 07-15 10:15:43 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe2573e… |
| 07-15 10:15:41 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 235 | 8¢ | $19 | 0x31a0b2… |
| 07-15 10:15:41 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | SELL | 275 | 92¢ | $253 | 0x31a0b2… |
| 07-15 10:15:41 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x31a0b2… |
| 07-15 10:15:41 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x31a0b2… |
| 07-14 12:17:13 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xea9ed5… |
| 07-14 12:17:13 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xea9ed5… |
| 07-14 04:38:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5c112a… |
| 07-14 04:38:58 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5c112a… |
| 07-11 23:12:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe74fa2… |
| 07-11 23:12:46 | Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xe74fa2… |
| 07-02 19:46:13 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xa2aef3… |
| 07-02 19:46:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xa2aef3… |
| 07-02 19:45:49 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xce76f6… |
| 07-02 19:45:49 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xce76f6… |
| 07-02 19:45:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1f9374… |
| 07-02 19:45:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1f9374… |
| 07-02 19:45:46 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x1f9374… |
| 07-02 19:45:46 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x1f9374… |
| 07-02 19:45:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x1f9374… |
| 07-02 16:39:44 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x06fde4… |
| 07-02 16:39:44 | Keen-Softening 0xe879…6d22 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x06fde4… |
| 07-02 08:37:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7a7b0b… |
| 07-02 08:37:52 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7a7b0b… |
| 07-02 08:37:52 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7a7b0b… |
| 07-02 08:37:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7a7b0b… |
| 07-02 08:33:11 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x4447f0… |
| 07-02 08:33:11 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x4447f0… |
| 07-02 06:54:22 | Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xd6f1ab… |
| 07-02 06:54:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd6f1ab… |
| 07-01 11:25:43 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x50de9a… |
| 07-01 11:25:43 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x50de9a… |
| 06-30 18:18:46 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x54e988… |
| 06-30 18:18:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x54e988… |
| 06-29 05:05:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xcb9d64… |
| 06-29 05:05:22 | Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xcb9d64… |
| 06-25 07:45:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x091e8e… |
| 06-25 07:45:52 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x091e8e… |
| 06-25 07:45:52 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x091e8e… |
| 06-25 07:45:52 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x091e8e… |
| 06-25 04:16:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1db99b… |
| 06-25 04:16:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1db99b… |
| 06-25 04:16:19 | Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x1db99b… |
| 06-25 04:16:19 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x1db99b… |
| 06-25 04:15:58 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5675bd… |
| 06-25 04:15:58 | Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x5675bd… |
| 06-25 04:15:58 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5675bd… |
| 06-25 04:15:58 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x5675bd… |
| 06-24 15:14:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xc4f8aa… |
| 06-24 15:14:38 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc4f8aa… |
| 06-24 15:05:46 | Ambitious-Damage 0x41e2…3ad5 | No | SELL | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0xa88350… |
| 06-24 15:05:46 | Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa88350… |
| 06-24 15:05:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xa88350… |
| 06-24 15:05:46 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xa88350… |
| 06-22 11:31:37 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x4c3153… |
| 06-22 11:31:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x4c3153… |
| 06-22 10:12:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xc8411f… |
| 06-22 10:12:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc8411f… |
| 06-22 10:12:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xc8411f… |
| 06-22 10:08:19 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7293be… |
| 06-22 10:08:19 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x7293be… |
| 06-22 10:08:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7293be… |
| 06-22 08:37:17 | Ambitious-Damage 0x41e2…3ad5 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0xaf5575… |
| 06-22 08:37:17 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 9¢ | $7 | 0xaf5575… |
| 06-18 17:00:26 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xe3a59a… |
| 06-18 17:00:26 | Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xe3a59a… |
| 06-17 09:42:52 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 107 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xac38f9… |
| 06-17 09:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x6235…df76 | No | SELL | 107 | 90¢ | $96 | 0xac38f9… |
| 06-12 14:18:10 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x282de7… |
| 06-12 14:18:10 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x282de7… |
| 06-12 14:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xb033…4f19 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x25f78a… |
| 06-12 14:15:46 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x25f78a… |
| 06-12 10:04:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6cb37c… |
| 06-12 10:04:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6cb37c… |
| 06-12 09:39:45 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xea2d4e… |
| 06-12 09:39:45 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xea2d4e… |
| 06-12 09:39:45 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xea2d4e… |
| 06-12 04:41:40 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x2e8f14… |
| 06-12 04:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x6235…df76 | No | BUY | 107 | 91¢ | $97 | 0x2e8f14… |
| 06-12 04:39:24 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x971eac… |
| 06-12 04:39:24 | (anonymous) 0xb033…4f19 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x971eac… |
| 06-11 08:31:34 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xddd749… |
| 06-11 08:31:34 | Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xddd749… |
| 06-11 08:31:34 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xddd749… |