Unfinished-Belt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.2%

Resolved

Trades

938

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

77% 29% $-5

Tech

18% — —

Sports

4% 67% $-3

Crypto

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	10	$389	211	211	+0	open	—	01-12 14:12
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	3	$301	166	166	+0	open	—	08-07 13:14
will stranger things season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale	7	$229	41	193	-152	open	—	01-05 20:49
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	8	$219	165	75	+90	open	—	04-15 16:02
will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	6	$184	239	100	+139	open	—	07-27 09:21
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	7	$165	228	0	+228	open	—	08-03 09:36
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?	3	$162	81	101	-20	open	—	04-18 11:42
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	1	$149	0	160	-160	open	—	05-30 12:28
will xo kitty season 3 be the top us netflix show this week	16	$144	196	40	+156	open	—	04-05 11:26
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	20	$143	203	60	+143	open	—	02-07 14:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$142	83	83	+0	open	—	07-18 14:12
will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	8	$139	243	0	+243	open	—	08-08 10:13
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$138	0	139	-139	open	—	06-18 17:03
will run away be the 2 global netflix show this week january 6 2026	11	$131	92	117	-25	open	—	01-06 19:54
will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	6	$130	220	0	+220	open	—	08-08 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$125	144	0	+144	open	—	06-13 15:33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	5	$119	171	0	+171	open	—	07-08 16:18
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$118	0	120	-120	open	—	03-29 17:07
will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1510	3	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	06-11 16:53
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	9	$107	169	0	+169	open	—	01-11 23:15
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	5	$106	126	0	+126	open	—	07-23 18:14
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	02-13 17:56
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	06-25 15:22
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	4	$102	110	0	+110	open	—	04-13 11:17
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	07-02 06:53
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	07-10 12:36
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	07-02 06:54
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	5	$98	56	56	+0	open	—	02-23 20:27
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	10	$90	74	74	+0	open	—	05-18 12:26
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$88	132	0	+132	open	—	02-10 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 01:04:04	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x93db08…
08-08 21:28:48	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x42c1e5…
08-08 15:46:55	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xb5f47f…
08-08 15:46:04	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x4c29b4…
08-08 15:45:15	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x64ff75…
08-08 10:13:27	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x03e963…
08-08 09:10:58	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xd484e6…
08-08 08:33:40	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x674f2f…
08-07 23:26:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5fea86…
08-07 23:26:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	43	75¢	$32	0x0446eb…
08-07 21:26:07	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 20 million views this week 20260805171239501	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xa939e5…
08-07 19:34:52	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4fffc6…
08-07 19:33:10	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7a9ff4…
08-07 13:14:03	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	166	91¢	$151	0x29b84b…
08-07 11:02:06	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe2c25f…
08-07 09:52:49	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x10a629…
08-07 09:24:36	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xc14f39…
08-07 09:18:54	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xd12949…
08-07 07:46:39	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc3dc6d…
08-06 21:48:44	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x1c3176…
08-06 17:10:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc26f1c…
08-05 21:48:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x085942…
08-03 16:38:20	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5065fc…
08-03 15:14:20	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x81161f…
08-03 15:00:06	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcc9c23…
08-03 14:13:03	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xabcf3c…
08-03 11:03:30	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd4c132…
08-03 09:36:06	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf20be4…
08-03 09:35:12	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xce96a5…
08-02 22:57:15	will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x024bed…
08-02 22:53:27	will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4f3ae9…
08-02 15:22:42	will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x63e48f…
08-02 13:14:42	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4a0faa…
08-01 12:35:44	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x843ed6…
07-31 12:16:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd1f1fb…
07-27 22:12:12	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x32ff9c…
07-27 09:21:52	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x66f228…
07-26 15:05:16	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x39a793…
07-23 18:14:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8fab2e…
07-22 16:54:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x3ac99f…
07-22 07:18:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x8c5349…
07-21 18:52:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5c3a46…
07-21 18:50:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$14	0x220acf…
07-21 11:37:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3e7a88…
07-21 11:36:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x0c52aa…
07-18 14:13:21	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x3fa10c…
07-18 14:12:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xd65d6a…
07-16 21:15:11	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6cecb5…
07-16 17:14:35	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x81597e…
07-16 17:11:08	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x188504…
07-16 17:09:37	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x371b2a…
07-16 17:09:13	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xd49cf9…
07-15 17:36:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa30ab7…
07-15 17:28:46	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x62e7fc…
07-15 07:25:56	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x388087…
07-12 14:32:28	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0xcbface…
07-12 11:10:40	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9d0308…
07-12 11:07:01	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbc57e4…
07-11 18:39:49	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xaf87cb…
07-11 17:29:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe66231…
07-11 17:24:19	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x147b06…
07-11 17:24:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x336deb…
07-11 17:17:04	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x38b292…
07-11 08:12:41	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xfc5f92…
07-10 20:34:07	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9b888e…
07-10 12:36:53	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x2d74f7…
07-10 05:25:01	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xbec507…
07-08 16:18:41	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x03dc90…
07-08 16:18:34	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x836105…
07-08 16:16:41	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x4007b6…
07-08 16:16:10	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x1bfc81…
07-08 06:55:19	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x4ec2aa…
07-07 19:06:10	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xe00eae…
07-07 16:53:19	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x984747…
07-07 11:46:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x558d26…
07-06 16:19:47	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf5fd48…
07-05 21:47:56	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd70d07…
07-05 21:47:29	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5ae3ff…
07-05 18:46:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa432cd…
07-05 18:43:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 2pt5	Norway	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x76a935…
07-05 18:37:44	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9713d8…
07-05 18:37:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9ae7c7…
07-05 10:17:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xa9a5ac…
07-04 15:07:25	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9dc7e0…
07-04 14:05:46	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xafff31…
07-04 14:05:08	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339	No	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x157317…
07-03 23:37:43	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x56a29b…
07-02 22:52:55	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa7f6ba…
07-02 19:12:52	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2d285c…
07-02 06:54:22	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd6f1ab…
07-02 06:53:35	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd33efc…
07-02 06:50:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xea8037…
07-01 20:42:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4818e6…
07-01 14:10:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xcc9ebd…
06-30 23:55:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8c237d…
06-30 23:54:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa349b8…
06-30 23:54:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x50fd30…
06-30 23:51:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x14c8d3…
06-29 14:32:50	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe70190…
06-28 16:17:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x48b34d…