Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69
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Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
15.2%
Resolved
10
Trades
790
lifetime
Volume
$7.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$587
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
79% 29% $-5
Tech
15% — —
Sports
5% 67% $-3
Crypto
0% — —
Politics
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 $-149 94¢ $-151 $-2 05-30 12:28
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -86 $-74 88¢ $-76 $-2 06-07 19:11
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +57 $42 92¢ $52 +$11 06-01 22:45
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +55 $50 80¢ $44 $-6 06-09 06:50
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +43 $32 84¢ $36 +$4 06-03 17:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +35 $30 90¢ $32 +$2 06-06 18:06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $33 62¢ $31 $-2 06-02 20:35
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +30 $26 93¢ $28 +$2 05-30 16:13
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +40 $26 63¢ $25 $-1 06-04 11:43
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No -22 $-21 99¢ $-22 $-0 05-30 08:24
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +60 $12 35¢ $21 +$9 06-09 08:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +29 $20 70¢ $20 +$0 06-06 18:06
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +32 $13 35¢ $11 $-2 06-09 09:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 05-30 12:28
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 +$0 05-30 12:26
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-11 $-0 05-30 12:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 05-29 10:57