Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69
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Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
15.2%
Resolved
10
Trades
897
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$900
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
77% 29% $-5
Tech
18% — —
Sports
4% 67% $-3
Crypto
0% — —
Politics
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 $-149 96¢ $-154 $-6 05-30 12:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +171 $119 76¢ $131 +$12 07-08 16:18
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +113 $100 90¢ $102 +$2 07-10 12:36
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 92¢ $101 +$1 07-02 06:54
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +100 $85 88¢ $88 +$3 06-11 09:35
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +115 $100 76¢ $88 $-12 07-02 06:53
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +69 $50 85¢ $59 +$9 06-24 08:48
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $50 88¢ $52 +$2 06-10 20:30
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -43 $-42 97¢ $-42 $-0 06-15 20:06
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +56 $30 50¢ $28 $-2 06-10 20:28
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? No +27 $25 95¢ $26 +$1 06-28 14:30
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 05-30 12:28
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -11 $-10 97¢ $-11 $-1 05-30 12:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 05-29 10:57
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 06-24 08:50