Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$285
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
980
Trades
2,593
lifetime
Volume
$39.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 238 days
Categories
Other
76% 62% +$710
Tech
20% 74% +$638
Sports
2% 60% +$73
Crypto
1% 90% +$53
Politics
1% 44% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +194 $21 87¢ $168 +$147 10-22 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 -$149 97¢ $-156 -$7 05-30 12:28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +125 -$41 76¢ $95 +$137 10-19 06:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -81 -$64 98¢ $-80 -$16 05-30 08:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +83 $74 94¢ $77 +$3 09-30 22:13
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +78 $50 94¢ $73 +$23 09-24 07:03
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +75 $60 94¢ $71 +$11 05-23 16:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +75 $60 82¢ $62 +$2 10-16 07:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$58 97¢ $-58 $0 08-16 14:41
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -64 -$60 86¢ $-55 +$5 08-16 16:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +59 $50 90¢ $53 +$3 07-06 16:22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +76 $55 66¢ $50 -$5 10-23 13:38
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -47 -$46 98¢ $-46 $0 08-16 16:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +124 $50 35¢ $44 -$6 10-24 09:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $46 80¢ $43 -$3 10-26 21:58
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 10-26 21:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +43 $39 94¢ $41 +$2 10-03 15:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -61 -$42 64¢ $-39 +$2 05-21 10:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +69 $35 47¢ $32 -$3 09-30 20:46
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +38 $30 84¢ $32 +$2 10-21 20:51
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +34 $30 93¢ $31 +$1 09-27 10:01
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +74 $50 42¢ $31 -$19 08-04 22:28
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +46 $30 62¢ $29 -$1 09-22 11:30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $25 70¢ $28 +$3 10-26 13:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +32 $25 88¢ $28 +$3 09-26 10:05
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +33 $25 80¢ $26 +$1 09-22 11:31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +63 $30 39¢ $24 -$6 10-01 22:10
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -24 -$23 99¢ $-23 $0 09-19 08:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +24 $20 97¢ $23 +$3 06-12 07:39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $23 94¢ $23 -$1 10-25 23:54