Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$348
Unrealized P&L
+$189
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
106
2,674 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.01K
$41.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Other
76% 62% +$967
Tech
20% 74% +$686
Sports
2% 60% +$73
Crypto
1% 90% +$53
Politics
1% 44% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 -$149 98¢ $-156 -$7 05-30 12:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +176 $95 70¢ $123 +$28 10-30 21:56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +125 -$41 88¢ $109 +$151 10-19 06:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +198 $80 54¢ $107 +$27 10-28 17:14
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $76 96¢ $86 +$10 10-30 12:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -81 -$64 99¢ $-80 -$16 05-30 08:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +83 $74 94¢ $78 +$4 09-30 22:13
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +75 $60 96¢ $73 +$13 05-23 16:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +75 $60 80¢ $60 $0 10-16 07:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$58 98¢ $-59 $0 08-16 14:41
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -64 -$60 88¢ $-56 +$4 08-16 16:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +59 $50 93¢ $55 +$5 07-06 16:22
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -47 -$46 97¢ $-46 +$0 08-16 16:13
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +76 $55 56¢ $43 -$12 10-23 13:38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +43 $39 95¢ $41 +$2 10-03 15:29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +74 $50 48¢ $36 -$14 08-04 22:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -61 -$42 56¢ $-34 +$8 05-21 10:25
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +34 $30 95¢ $32 +$2 09-27 10:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +38 $30 80¢ $31 +$1 10-21 20:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +32 $25 90¢ $29 +$4 09-26 10:05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +55 $30 52¢ $29 -$1 11-01 10:06
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +63 $30 43¢ $27 -$3 10-01 22:10
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -24 -$23 98¢ $-23 $0 09-19 08:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +24 $20 96¢ $23 +$3 06-12 07:39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $23 93¢ $22 -$1 10-25 23:54
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +23 $7 93¢ $22 +$15 05-13 06:58
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +33 $25 55¢ $18 -$7 09-22 11:31
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +22 $20 77¢ $17 -$3 05-21 10:27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +46 $35 37¢ $17 -$18 10-03 10:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +16 $16 89¢ $15 -$1 10-26 16:28