Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$677
Unrealized P&L
+$205
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved (90d)
321
Trades (90d)
1,211
2,690 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$23.1K
$41.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 10:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Other
76% 62% +$985
Tech
20% 74% +$708
Sports
2% 60% +$73
Crypto
1% 90% +$53
Politics
1% 44% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 -$149 98¢ $-156 -$8 05-30 12:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +246 $106 56¢ $139 +$33 11-02 11:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +176 $95 68¢ $121 +$26 10-30 21:56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +125 -$41 85¢ $107 +$148 10-19 06:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +93 $86 95¢ $88 +$2 11-02 11:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $76 98¢ $87 +$11 10-30 12:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -81 -$64 99¢ $-80 -$16 05-30 08:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +83 $74 94¢ $78 +$4 09-30 22:13
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +75 $60 98¢ $74 +$14 05-23 16:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +75 $60 82¢ $62 +$2 10-16 07:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$58 98¢ $-59 -$1 08-16 14:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +59 $50 95¢ $56 +$6 07-06 16:22
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -64 -$60 80¢ $-51 +$9 08-16 16:14
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -47 -$46 98¢ $-46 +$0 08-16 16:13
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +76 $55 55¢ $42 -$13 10-23 13:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +46 $42 88¢ $41 -$1 11-02 23:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +44 $40 92¢ $41 +$1 11-03 10:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -61 -$42 64¢ $-39 +$3 05-21 10:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +74 $50 45¢ $34 -$16 08-04 22:28
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +34 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 09-27 10:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +38 $30 84¢ $32 +$2 10-21 20:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +32 $25 90¢ $29 +$4 09-26 10:05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +55 $30 52¢ $29 -$1 11-01 10:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +24 $20 98¢ $23 +$3 06-12 07:39
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -24 -$23 99¢ $-23 $0 09-19 08:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $23 93¢ $22 -$1 10-25 23:54
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +23 $7 94¢ $22 +$15 05-13 06:58
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +33 $25 61¢ $20 -$5 09-22 11:31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +63 $30 28¢ $17 -$13 10-01 22:10
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +22 $20 77¢ $17 -$3 05-21 10:27