Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$682
Unrealized P&L
+$253
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (90d)
325
Trades (90d)
1,217
2,711 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$23.1K
$41.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 10:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 247 days
Categories
Other
76% 62% +$978
Tech
20% 74% +$708
Sports
2% 60% +$73
Crypto
1% 90% +$53
Politics
1% 55% +$27
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +167 $146 94¢ $157 +$11 10-31 20:01
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 -$149 98¢ $-157 -$8 05-30 12:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +246 $106 62¢ $151 +$45 11-02 11:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +176 $95 72¢ $128 +$33 10-30 21:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +124 $112 92¢ $114 +$2 11-04 22:17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +93 $86 96¢ $89 +$3 11-02 11:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $76 99¢ $88 +$12 10-30 12:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -81 -$64 99¢ $-80 -$16 05-30 08:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +83 $74 94¢ $78 +$4 09-30 22:13
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +75 $60 98¢ $74 +$14 05-23 16:14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +75 -$86 90¢ $68 +$154 11-05 00:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +75 $60 88¢ $66 +$6 10-16 07:54
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +74 $50 82¢ $60 +$10 10-20 06:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$58 99¢ $-59 -$1 08-16 14:41
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -64 -$60 88¢ $-56 +$4 08-16 16:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +59 $50 94¢ $55 +$5 07-06 16:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +66 $59 82¢ $54 -$5 11-04 22:11
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -47 -$46 98¢ $-46 +$0 08-16 16:13
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +76 $55 49¢ $37 -$18 10-23 13:38
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +34 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 09-27 10:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +55 $30 56¢ $31 +$1 11-01 10:06
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +32 $25 90¢ $29 +$4 09-26 10:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +24 $20 98¢ $23 +$3 06-12 07:39
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -24 -$23 98¢ $-23 $0 09-19 08:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -61 -$42 38¢ $-23 +$19 05-21 10:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $23 91¢ $22 -$1 10-25 23:54
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +23 $7 94¢ $22 +$15 05-13 06:58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +74 $50 29¢ $21 -$29 08-04 22:28
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +63 $30 28¢ $17 -$13 10-01 22:10
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +74 $20 24¢ $17 -$3 10-21 20:54