Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$277,680
$291 in 24h
Trades
3,356
Unique wallets
858
Liquidity
$30,020
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-29 17:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $23.4K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $169.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 34 | $503 | $56.4K | $55.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 47 | $2.9K | $40.2K | $37.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 126 | $1.5K | $46.9K | $45.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 651 | $4.7K | $16.4K | $11.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $1.1K | $22.3K | $21.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 26 | $1.2K | $2.5K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 22 | $99 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| Median | 156 | $196 | $11.3K | $11.1K |
| Below median | 121 | $405 | $5.2K | $4.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $194 | $745 | $551 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $1.4K | $6.7K | $5.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $481 | $29.5K | $29.0K |
| unranked | 476 | $4.5K | $78.1K | $73.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +27,570 | $26,559 | $26,559 | 24 | 07-20 20:25 |
| Political-Calibre 0x5a1a…7ba7 | Yes | +21,421 | $1,469 | $1,469 | 20 | 07-14 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ac…1009 | Yes | +13,984 | $523 | $523 | 9 | 07-22 08:22 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +9,501 | $8,724 | $8,724 | 12 | 06-01 20:14 |
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +8,487 | $8,012 | $8,012 | 2 | 07-27 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc051…912b | No | +8,158 | $7,900 | $7,900 | 2 | 07-15 21:59 |
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | +7,328 | $232 | $2,247 | 439 | 07-29 17:16 |
| Unfit-Theme 0x53cb…448f | Yes | +6,833 | $480 | $494 | 5 | 06-11 09:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc23d…9167 | Yes | +5,699 | $351 | $351 | 5 | 07-19 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5950…8c48 | No | +5,057 | $4,736 | $16,014 | 63 | 07-20 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b82…674b | Yes | +4,355 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-18 04:02 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +3,411 | $257 | $322 | 11 | 07-29 12:39 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +3,000 | $2,820 | $2,820 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +2,626 | $114 | $151 | 17 | 07-20 20:25 |
| Far-Carbon 0x886f…95aa | No | +2,533 | $2,317 | $7,205 | 6 | 07-24 05:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | +2,515 | $2,412 | $2,412 | 1 | 07-02 06:25 |
| Pleasant-Cephalopod 0x918e…3271 | Yes | +2,500 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-29 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xddf0…119b | No | +2,496 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 1 | 07-22 15:09 |
| Damaged-Tank 0x1a6e…b5bc | No | +2,128 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-09 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x20bd…4845 | No | +1,996 | $1,856 | $1,856 | 1 | 06-11 09:00 |
| Insistent-Salt 0xab94…35a9 | No | +1,808 | $1,736 | $1,736 | 1 | 06-21 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x10c3…db1d | Yes | +1,721 | $129 | $206 | 3 | 06-18 10:41 |
| Fresh-Laundry 0x75fd…9924 | No | +1,649 | $1,544 | $1,544 | 6 | 06-05 06:28 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +1,500 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 07-20 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,493 | $55 | $55 | 6 | 06-22 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7820…fa12 | No | +1,230 | $1,181 | $1,181 | 1 | 06-20 17:02 |
| Bumpy-Pronunciation 0x8b5a…b95d | Yes | +1,224 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 07-16 23:29 |
| Tasty-Counseling 0xcbd1…e0cc | Yes | +1,211 | $58 | $142 | 2 | 07-29 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d3f…eadf | Yes | +1,143 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd778…f2d5 | Yes | +1,136 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 17:00 |
| Colorful-Maize 0xe073…18d9 | No | +1,134 | $1,043 | $1,043 | 13 | 05-31 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x54f7…d7bf | Yes | +1,071 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 07-29 15:29 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +1,061 | $2 | $634 | 64 | 07-29 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1c9…3e2f | No | +1,042 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-21 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5950…8c48 | Yes | +1,000 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-20 15:14 |
| Palatable-Opposite 0x7458…fecf | No | +1,000 | $940 | $940 | 1 | 06-03 07:13 |
| Loving-Fatigue 0x95f3…f831 | Yes | +843 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 06-28 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a63…10b3 | No | +840 | $790 | $790 | 1 | 06-16 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | +753 | $593 | $21,704 | 124 | 07-22 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9d5…2489 | Yes | +753 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-14 05:11 |
| Complicated-Rainy 0x8da3…4700 | No | +745 | $700 | $700 | 2 | 06-16 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbb1…2f98 | No | +733 | $704 | $704 | 1 | 06-20 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbc7…f991 | Yes | +700 | $29 | $29 | 9 | 06-22 08:38 |
| Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | +643 | $588 | $2,468 | 7 | 06-11 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9ca…1808 | Yes | +571 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-09 16:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +565 | $542 | $542 | 1 | 06-20 16:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x38c8…64d0 | No | +551 | $532 | $532 | 1 | 07-18 04:46 |
| Sardonic-Characterization 0xad33…9962 | No | +521 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-02 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd880…9de0 | No | +516 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-22 08:38 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +500 | $480 | $480 | 2 | 07-08 18:34 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +500 | $480 | $480 | 1 | 06-21 05:28 |
| Yawning-Celebrity 0xb5fd…1873 | No | +500 | $470 | $470 | 1 | 06-04 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +458 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-16 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f0d…ad7e | No | +430 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-27 21:38 |
| thuc 0x6bef…ef0b | Yes | +400 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-22 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0595…49d4 | Yes | +400 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-15 17:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4c092c… |
| 07-29 17:16:56 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 61 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4c092c… |
| 07-29 17:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1b3063… |
| 07-29 17:13:09 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1b3063… |
| 07-29 17:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7532a4… |
| 07-29 17:09:45 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 68 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7532a4… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | (anonymous) 0xb577…a4ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 202 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | (anonymous) 0xd7f2…d2e0 | No | SELL | 630 | 97¢ | $610 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | Treasured-Entirety 0x4f8e…df5c | Yes | SELL | 1,500 | 3¢ | $41 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x1a3e…6182 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xeba1f1… |
| 07-29 17:05:18 | Filthy-Windshield 0xd1e3…7515 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x60cbf0… |
| 07-29 17:05:18 | (anonymous) 0x8883…df82 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x60cbf0… |
| 07-29 16:19:48 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe77cb8… |
| 07-29 16:19:48 | (anonymous) 0xcbc0…e700 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe77cb8… |
| 07-29 16:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10b716… |
| 07-29 16:15:39 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10b716… |
| 07-29 16:12:23 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf016d6… |
| 07-29 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf016d6… |
| 07-29 16:11:24 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe02570… |
| 07-29 16:11:24 | Pessimistic-Sociology 0xbf3b…1bf9 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe02570… |
| 07-29 16:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1b62eb… |
| 07-29 16:03:03 | Dishonest-March 0x23e2…9fff | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1b62eb… |
| 07-29 16:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc301e7… |
| 07-29 16:00:27 | Harsh-Downforce 0xc78c…dd43 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc301e7… |
| 07-29 15:59:12 | Humiliating-Variety 0xb216…05e3 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x0b719c… |
| 07-29 15:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0b719c… |
| 07-29 15:52:59 | Vivacious-Broiler 0x7a29…fe3c | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x38fafc… |
| 07-29 15:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x38fafc… |
| 07-29 15:49:47 | Present-Blazer 0x114f…b44d | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x636208… |
| 07-29 15:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x636208… |
| 07-29 15:49:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fc0a9… |
| 07-29 15:49:45 | Unwritten-Clave 0xef3a…7458 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x5fc0a9… |
| 07-29 15:47:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaad081… |
| 07-29 15:47:02 | Rowdy-Nourishment 0x9a3f…c914 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xaad081… |
| 07-29 15:42:47 | Watchful-Boulevard 0xd531…76d4 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x141891… |
| 07-29 15:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x141891… |
| 07-29 15:40:18 | Nutritious-Income 0xdcac…b73c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x874a33… |
| 07-29 15:40:18 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x874a33… |
| 07-29 15:38:35 | Insidious-Senator 0xf970…851d | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xcfc898… |
| 07-29 15:38:35 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcfc898… |
| 07-29 15:38:26 | Used-Autoimmunity 0x46af…9b71 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x85a728… |
| 07-29 15:38:26 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x85a728… |
| 07-29 15:38:23 | Ready-Contrail 0xf176…121f | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $33 | 0x4b02ad… |
| 07-29 15:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4b02ad… |
| 07-29 15:36:54 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd0843e… |
| 07-29 15:36:54 | Prudent-Matchmaker 0xf05b…b63f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd0843e… |
| 07-29 15:34:23 | Ready-Contrail 0xf176…121f | No | SELL | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x4dc8d8… |
| 07-29 15:34:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4dc8d8… |
| 07-29 15:32:42 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6e7e74… |
| 07-29 15:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x4d92…09e0 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6e7e74… |
| 07-29 15:31:33 | Worried-Aspect 0xde2e…baec | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5196bc… |
| 07-29 15:31:33 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5196bc… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | (anonymous) 0xfccf…12e0 | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 129 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | Ready-Contrail 0xf176…121f | No | SELL | 238 | 97¢ | $230 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | Tasty-Counseling 0xcbd1…e0cc | Yes | SELL | 1,211 | 3¢ | $42 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | SELL | 170 | 96¢ | $164 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 15:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x54f7…d7bf | Yes | BUY | 300 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x9ef394… |
| 07-29 12:39:02 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 68 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x2f0daa… |
| 07-29 12:39:02 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0x2f0daa… |
| 07-29 12:39:02 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 121 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x2f0daa… |
| 07-28 15:34:53 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 66 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xcc9e5b… |
| 07-28 15:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xcc9e5b… |
| 07-28 10:31:29 | (anonymous) 0xe476…a5f0 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0x1d6a9b… |
| 07-28 10:31:29 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1d6a9b… |
| 07-28 08:15:54 | (anonymous) 0x3276…6a94 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0e7b74… |
| 07-28 08:15:54 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0e7b74… |
| 07-27 21:29:31 | Luminous-Special 0x3933…026b | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xad50c4… |
| 07-27 21:29:31 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xad50c4… |
| 07-27 19:59:51 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x16aab4… |
| 07-27 19:59:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x16aab4… |
| 07-27 10:19:12 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a9eee… |
| 07-27 10:19:12 | Worldly-Lender-Organization 0xe60d…ef67 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a9eee… |
| 07-27 09:48:49 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 136 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x66dc89… |
| 07-27 09:48:49 | Worldly-Lender-Organization 0xe60d…ef67 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x66dc89… |
| 07-27 09:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x8751…ea48 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x957fb8… |
| 07-27 09:41:52 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x957fb8… |
| 07-27 09:18:19 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 191 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xc36c8e… |
| 07-27 09:18:19 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,496 | 96¢ | $1,440 | 0xc36c8e… |
| 07-27 09:18:19 | Worldly-Lender-Organization 0xe60d…ef67 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xc36c8e… |
| 07-27 09:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x453c…f5ee | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xc36c8e… |
| 07-27 09:18:19 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | SELL | 693 | 96¢ | $669 | 0xc36c8e… |
| 07-27 09:12:03 | (anonymous) 0x8751…ea48 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2f9221… |
| 07-27 09:12:03 | Worldly-Lender-Organization 0xe60d…ef67 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2f9221… |
| 07-27 08:16:22 | Worldly-Lender-Organization 0xe60d…ef67 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2f9bca… |
| 07-27 08:16:22 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2f9bca… |
| 07-27 06:34:25 | Good-Natured-Servant 0x8788…8aa8 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf9b323… |
| 07-27 06:34:25 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9b323… |
| 07-26 20:48:52 | (anonymous) 0x54f7…d7bf | Yes | BUY | 505 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xdc15f8… |
| 07-26 20:48:52 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 214 | 4¢ | $9 | 0xdc15f8… |
| 07-26 20:48:52 | (anonymous) 0x1a3e…6182 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xdc15f8… |
| 07-26 18:11:33 | (anonymous) 0xdde0…68f3 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x36fb4f… |
| 07-26 18:11:33 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x36fb4f… |
| 07-26 18:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x2ff0…9a61 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x36fb4f… |