Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$632,072
$26 in 24h
Trades
10,409
Unique wallets
2,077
Liquidity
$68,286
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-27 01:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.2¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $172.2K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $408.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 68 | $5.8K | $214.7K | $208.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 97 | $5.7K | $83.0K | $77.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 318 | $7.4K | $56.2K | $48.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,594 | $11.7K | $23.6K | $12.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 39 | $2.2K | $170.0K | $167.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 138 | $6.5K | $73.6K | $67.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 106 | $976 | $27.4K | $26.4K |
| Median | 630 | $1.7K | $15.4K | $13.7K |
| Below median | 775 | $4.8K | $10.7K | $5.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 127 | $1.8K | $19.1K | $17.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 103 | $3.4K | $31.6K | $28.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 62 | $7.5K | $26.5K | $19.0K |
| unranked | 97 | $1.7K | $3.3K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +85,634 | $77,404 | $77,404 | 256 | 06-01 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +25,936 | $24,930 | $37,018 | 29 | 10-22 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2cf…e92c | Yes | +24,602 | $944 | $944 | 16 | 08-18 14:49 |
| Damp-Narrative 0x7b5c…4960 | Yes | +21,000 | $1,980 | $1,980 | 81 | 05-26 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +15,566 | $14,971 | $14,971 | 28 | 08-05 17:27 |
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +10,881 | $10,346 | $10,346 | 4 | 10-20 13:09 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +9,280 | $954 | $1,339 | 91 | 10-21 21:16 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +7,981 | $122 | $122 | 6 | 08-21 05:27 |
| Unfit-Theme 0x53cb…448f | Yes | +6,833 | $480 | $494 | 5 | 06-11 09:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf157…f2de | No | +6,452 | $6,000 | $6,000 | 1 | 05-24 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc23d…9167 | Yes | +6,374 | $412 | $412 | 6 | 07-19 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5950…8c48 | No | +6,174 | $5,814 | $17,093 | 65 | 10-05 13:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3541…462e | Yes | +5,755 | $576 | $576 | 1 | 04-28 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | +5,202 | $5,012 | $5,012 | 14 | 08-21 05:25 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +5,062 | $432 | $1,192 | 89 | 08-11 17:08 |
| Healthy-Severity 0x0834…92da | Yes | +4,803 | $321 | $579 | 56 | 10-22 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b82…674b | Yes | +4,355 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-18 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d8…53d5 | Yes | +3,919 | $69 | $69 | 3 | 09-21 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xdafd…fd08 | Yes | +3,535 | $114 | $114 | 11 | 09-05 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x54f7…d7bf | Yes | +3,452 | $109 | $152 | 12 | 10-22 16:31 |
| Surprised-Instrument 0xe699…8dc2 | Yes | +3,400 | $161 | $161 | 2 | 10-18 21:49 |
| Sticky-Mood-Electrocardiogram 0xe393…8364 | Yes | +3,113 | $102 | $204 | 41 | 08-24 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x222f…d87b | Yes | +3,091 | $164 | $164 | 2 | 10-05 13:59 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +3,000 | $2,820 | $2,820 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Complicated-Rainy 0x8da3…4700 | No | +2,974 | $2,771 | $2,830 | 5 | 10-17 19:07 |
| Pleasant-Cephalopod 0x918e…3271 | Yes | +2,500 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-29 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xddf0…119b | No | +2,496 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 1 | 07-22 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3275…7b7e | No | +2,399 | $2,350 | $2,350 | 19 | 08-19 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3275…7b7e | Yes | +2,399 | $69 | $69 | 25 | 08-21 10:07 |
| Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | +2,184 | $46 | $61 | 2 | 08-20 10:18 |
| Damaged-Tank 0x1a6e…b5bc | No | +2,128 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-09 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x10c3…db1d | Yes | +2,001 | $159 | $236 | 4 | 06-18 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc517…f390 | No | +1,497 | $1,482 | $1,482 | 10 | 08-19 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc517…f390 | Yes | +1,497 | $32 | $32 | 10 | 08-21 05:04 |
| Unwelcome-Durian 0x8797…0706 | Yes | +1,402 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-19 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b05…ce8e | Yes | +1,364 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-10 03:54 |
| Tasty-Counseling 0xcbd1…e0cc | Yes | +1,360 | $63 | $147 | 3 | 08-31 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc880…8380 | Yes | +1,352 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-17 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +1,330 | $190 | $601 | 71 | 06-22 20:24 |
| Surprised-Rumor 0x993e…7c69 | Yes | +1,226 | $30 | $30 | 14 | 09-20 23:06 |
| Bumpy-Pronunciation 0x8b5a…b95d | Yes | +1,224 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 07-16 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd778…f2d5 | Yes | +1,136 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 17:00 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +1,112 | $1,070 | $1,070 | 4 | 08-10 08:40 |
| Pesky-Peace 0xa3c4…0eec | Yes | +1,111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-25 14:30 |
| Palatable-Opposite 0x7458…fecf | No | +1,000 | $940 | $940 | 1 | 06-03 07:13 |
| Odd-Statue 0x80ea…c728 | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 11 | 04-29 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a63…10b3 | No | +840 | $790 | $790 | 1 | 06-16 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbb1…2f98 | No | +733 | $704 | $704 | 1 | 06-20 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x38c8…64d0 | No | +551 | $532 | $532 | 1 | 07-18 04:46 |
| Sardonic-Characterization 0xad33…9962 | No | +521 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-02 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd880…9de0 | No | +516 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-22 08:38 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +500 | $482 | $482 | 6 | 08-04 10:49 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +500 | $454 | $454 | 8 | 05-31 01:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 01:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6fd6b7… |
| 10-27 01:13:03 | Pure-Pathogenesis 0xdda2…9bd7 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x6fd6b7… |
| 10-27 01:13:03 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6fd6b7… |
| 10-26 16:24:21 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x44cf47… |
| 10-26 16:24:21 | (anonymous) 0xede5…a302 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x44cf47… |
| 10-26 15:47:27 | (anonymous) 0xb249…c6fc | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x6c57b4… |
| 10-26 15:47:27 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6c57b4… |
| 10-26 15:47:27 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6c57b4… |
| 10-26 11:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2c7359… |
| 10-26 11:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x2c74…59bc | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2c7359… |
| 10-26 11:35:09 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2c7359… |
| 10-26 09:07:42 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 311 | 2¢ | $7 | 0xa0342e… |
| 10-26 09:07:42 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa0342e… |
| 10-26 09:07:42 | (anonymous) 0xd1e2…edda | Yes | SELL | 317 | 2¢ | $7 | 0xa0342e… |
| 10-25 23:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x0c30…6889 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfe85ee… |
| 10-25 23:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfe85ee… |
| 10-25 23:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xad69e1… |
| 10-25 23:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x0c30…6889 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xad69e1… |
| 10-25 14:13:08 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2b639a… |
| 10-25 14:13:08 | Excited-Snuck 0x1e18…0782 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x2b639a… |
| 10-25 14:13:08 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2b639a… |
| 10-25 11:38:23 | Queasy-Divorce 0x53d5…d88c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1c1dba… |
| 10-25 11:38:23 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1c1dba… |
| 10-24 19:39:27 | (anonymous) 0xf112…c1f1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x41729c… |
| 10-24 19:39:27 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x41729c… |
| 10-23 19:19:36 | (anonymous) 0x4a2f…f7ba | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x50d897… |
| 10-23 19:19:36 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x50d897… |
| 10-23 18:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5e6f46… |
| 10-23 18:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e6f46… |
| 10-23 18:43:38 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e6f46… |
| 10-23 15:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc61a22… |
| 10-23 15:56:36 | Ready-Gorilla 0xd3ce…d505 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc61a22… |
| 10-23 15:56:36 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc61a22… |
| 10-23 14:48:17 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8d7170… |
| 10-23 14:48:17 | Ringed-Truck 0xf1b5…3cff | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8d7170… |
| 10-23 14:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8d7170… |
| 10-23 13:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc4d9d… |
| 10-23 13:01:26 | French-Executive 0xcf4c…28e3 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xdc4d9d… |
| 10-22 16:49:18 | (anonymous) 0x7820…fa12 | No | SELL | 1,230 | 98¢ | $1,200 | 0x42d1fd… |
| 10-22 16:49:18 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 111 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x42d1fd… |
| 10-22 16:49:18 | Healthy-Severity 0x0834…92da | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42d1fd… |
| 10-22 16:49:18 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 3,160 | 98¢ | $3,084 | 0x42d1fd… |
| 10-22 16:49:18 | Insistent-Salt 0xab94…35a9 | No | SELL | 1,808 | 98¢ | $1,765 | 0x42d1fd… |
| 10-22 16:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | SELL | 855 | 98¢ | $833 | 0x538716… |
| 10-22 16:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x538716… |
| 10-22 16:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x538716… |
| 10-22 16:31:26 | Healthy-Severity 0x0834…92da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x538716… |
| 10-22 16:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 1,365 | 97¢ | $1,330 | 0x538716… |
| 10-22 16:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x54f7…d7bf | Yes | BUY | 450 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x538716… |
| 10-22 12:56:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x7f761f… |
| 10-22 12:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7f761f… |
| 10-22 12:56:11 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7f761f… |
| 10-22 07:19:45 | (anonymous) 0xbbf6…dd01 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x17f515… |
| 10-22 07:19:45 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17f515… |
| 10-22 05:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x78d98e… |
| 10-22 05:20:36 | Informal-Feature 0x044a…13f1 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x78d98e… |
| 10-21 21:16:42 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x40518c… |
| 10-21 21:16:42 | (anonymous) 0x8ba9…e570 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x40518c… |
| 10-21 21:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x40518c… |
| 10-20 13:09:54 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,197 | 97¢ | $1,167 | 0x589c8c… |
| 10-20 13:09:54 | (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | SELL | 851 | 97¢ | $830 | 0x589c8c… |
| 10-20 13:09:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 346 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x589c8c… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | SELL | 809 | 97¢ | $789 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xe67d…a4e8 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xa8bb…fb93 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x237f…50ed | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 346 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x9ad6…c1f2 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x1ffa…37a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x094b…43fa | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b8a…32f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xb7ff…1929 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-20 13:06:48 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,197 | 97¢ | $1,167 | 0x85a327… |
| 10-19 16:29:30 | (anonymous) 0xa8bb…fb93 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x10a7ca… |
| 10-19 16:29:30 | (anonymous) 0xbbf6…dd01 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x10a7ca… |
| 10-18 23:01:53 | Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x247a82… |
| 10-18 23:01:53 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | SELL | 76 | 97¢ | $73 | 0x247a82… |
| 10-18 23:01:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x247a82… |
| 10-18 23:01:53 | Healthy-Severity 0x0834…92da | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x247a82… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | Near-Accordion 0xd549…dfaa | Yes | SELL | 794 | 4¢ | $29 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 404 | 3¢ | $14 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | Surprised-Instrument 0xe699…8dc2 | Yes | BUY | 2,844 | 4¢ | $100 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 220 | 97¢ | $213 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 21:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x54f7…d7bf | Yes | SELL | 620 | 3¢ | $22 | 0x8a1ef3… |
| 10-18 18:52:30 | (anonymous) 0xb7f7…c207 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0xb682c4… |
| 10-18 18:52:30 | Healthy-Severity 0x0834…92da | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb682c4… |
| 10-18 14:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xd2f6…44be | Yes | SELL | 220 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xc2d2ec… |
| 10-18 14:05:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xc2d2ec… |
| 10-17 19:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc669b2… |
| 10-17 19:07:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc669b2… |
| 10-17 19:07:12 | Complicated-Rainy 0x8da3…4700 | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xc669b2… |
| 10-16 03:34:21 | (anonymous) 0x9764…b09d | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd99ad1… |
| 10-16 03:34:21 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd99ad1… |
| 10-16 03:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x9764…b09d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb1643b… |
| 10-16 03:22:22 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb1643b… |
| 10-15 14:52:08 | (anonymous) 0x64f5…04b2 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6f7d28… |
| 10-15 14:52:08 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6f7d28… |
| 10-15 14:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x64f5…04b2 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x87fa6d… |