Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$1.65K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 16:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 75% +$9

Other

17% 71% -$73

Tech

3% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,378	-$1,351	99¢	$-1366	-$16	06-20 03:06
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	-150	-$138	97¢	$-145	-$7	07-18 04:52
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	+143	$137	98¢	$140	+$3	07-25 00:00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	07-18 04:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	5	$2.5K	1,776	1,776	+0	open	—	07-09 17:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,230	1,230	+0	open	—	10-22 16:49
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.4K	0	1,378	-1,378	open	—	06-20 03:06
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$963	500	500	+0	No	-$1	01-02 10:26
will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$526	527	0	+527	No	+$1	01-20 04:37
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	01-20 04:35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$394	203	203	+0	open	—	10-15 13:12
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	1	$360	367	0	+367	No	+$7	05-14 06:49
will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$301	334	0	+334	No	+$33	01-16 00:48
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	10-19 01:47
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	1	$138	0	150	-150	open	—	07-18 04:52
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	7	$137	143	0	+143	open	—	07-25 00:00
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	2	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	01-03 15:06
will google be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	3	$65	100	0	+100	No	-$65	01-05 09:38
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	20	$42	1,499	700	+799	No	-$9	02-21 02:44
will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	01-02 10:30
will no company have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	1	$21	200	0	+200	No	-$21	02-06 19:51
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	8	$21	400	0	+400	No	-$21	02-02 14:19
will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-02 10:31
will openai have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	01-02 10:30
will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-02 10:30
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	01-02 18:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-24 05:11
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$8	10	0	+10	No	-$8	01-02 14:05
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$7	0	300	-300	No	+$7	03-05 13:29
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$7	0	689	-689	No	+$7	02-25 08:04
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	1	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	+$3	08-16 09:27
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$5	0	1,190	-1,190	No	+$5	02-25 09:50
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	1	$2	0	500	-500	No	+$2	03-05 03:41
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	07-18 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:49:18	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,230	98¢	$1,200	0x42d1fd…
10-19 01:47:05	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xcbfc24…
10-15 13:12:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	203	97¢	$198	0xaa8e34…
08-24 05:11:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x23ad1e…
08-16 09:27:15	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x98728c…
07-25 00:00:25	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x771444…
07-24 13:50:22	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xabf333…
07-23 15:40:18	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x147798…
07-18 21:45:00	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2dd73e…
07-18 10:07:33	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09f727…
07-18 09:53:48	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x827a5d…
07-18 09:45:54	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x4d262b…
07-18 04:52:27	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xef64da…
07-18 04:52:10	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0x1ef681…
07-09 17:25:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1,276	94¢	$1,202	0xcc93ca…
07-02 03:10:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	203	97¢	$197	0x2f2f2f…
06-20 17:02:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	96¢	$1,181	0x4f175f…
06-20 17:01:22	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1,076	93¢	$1,000	0xef9a62…
06-20 17:01:04	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x3e9a03…
06-20 17:00:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$36	0x64c43d…
06-20 03:06:35	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,378	98¢	$1,351	0xe2f1a9…
06-16 01:54:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x29b823…
05-20 17:40:46	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x58bc6f…
05-14 06:49:43	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	367	98¢	$360	0x201b8a…
03-08 08:30:53	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	Yes	SELL	385	0¢	$1	0xe585f7…
03-08 08:16:37	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x599ea3…
03-06 05:39:43	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x2d6d04…
03-05 13:29:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0xc88eb2…
03-05 03:41:49	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x691e29…
02-25 09:50:58	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x448e1c…
02-25 09:40:00	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,085	0¢	$4	0xc45c35…
02-25 08:04:30	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	689	1¢	$7	0xb06d7c…
02-21 02:44:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	862	2¢	$17	0x559c03…
02-20 17:35:24	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xecf982…
02-20 17:35:20	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x428cd1…
02-20 17:32:12	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x33b192…
02-20 17:24:40	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x7d1e12…
02-20 17:24:12	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x543584…
02-20 17:22:20	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xe85e0d…
02-20 17:18:44	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xb87143…
02-20 17:18:32	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0x8c4219…
02-20 17:16:34	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x47d699…
02-20 17:11:58	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x696d94…
02-20 17:08:28	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0x5da1b4…
02-20 17:06:48	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf0d1cf…
02-20 16:38:10	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$1	0xb52573…
02-20 16:37:34	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xb5ae28…
02-20 16:34:24	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0x386e11…
02-20 16:31:40	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xef11a6…
02-20 16:31:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x7951e7…
02-20 16:30:24	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	198	2¢	$5	0x27a06c…
02-06 19:51:27	will no company have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$21	0xb34ca3…
02-02 14:19:06	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xe6326f…
02-02 14:19:04	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf81a5e…
02-02 14:19:04	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xac26cc…
02-02 14:19:04	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x8c97a2…
02-02 14:19:04	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x620ed2…
02-02 14:19:04	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	257	5¢	$13	0x324a9d…
02-02 14:19:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf4d674…
02-02 14:19:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xc05fb1…
02-02 12:03:30	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	637	1¢	$9	0xa19c90…
01-20 04:37:08	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	527	100¢	$526	0x175ad4…
01-20 04:35:08	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x88ffcd…
01-16 00:48:18	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	176	90¢	$159	0xc808ef…
01-16 00:47:24	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	157	90¢	$142	0x5abb91…
01-05 09:38:25	will google be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x47b025…
01-05 07:28:11	will google be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x5c39bc…
01-05 06:49:41	will google be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x25bc03…
01-03 15:06:57	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xbdc4fd…
01-02 19:03:37	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x77f6b8…
01-02 18:29:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2663ab…
01-02 14:05:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x255c05…
01-02 13:40:57	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb1c606…
01-02 10:31:01	will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc5a3a2…
01-02 10:30:45	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x98bfc6…
01-02 10:30:33	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0b2670…
01-02 10:30:17	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf6e690…
01-02 10:26:43	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	500	96¢	$481	0x30fd81…
01-02 09:33:37	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x2cf341…