Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
open
Total volume
$2,557
$624 in 24h
Trades
219
Unique wallets
58
Liquidity
$6,770
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 05:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $3 | $315 | $313 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $25 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $13 | $135 | $122 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $188 | $202 | $14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $27 | $48 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $37 | $34 |
| Median | 6 | $5 | $60 | $55 |
| Below median | 9 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $104 | $101 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $282 | $282 |
| unranked | 22 | $186 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +700 | $15 | $15 | 14 | 07-09 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +400 | $384 | $1,558 | 19 | 07-10 05:29 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +198 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-02 05:02 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +156 | $2 | $14 | 13 | 07-09 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | +152 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 07-02 06:28 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +115 | $104 | $104 | 18 | 07-09 10:14 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 19:26 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 19:26 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +100 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 07-09 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | +95 | $39 | $39 | 7 | 07-09 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | +95 | $5 | $5 | 9 | 07-10 01:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 07-09 10:29 |
| Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | +42 | $34 | $34 | 7 | 07-09 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x30dd…bb80 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 07-02 03:53 |
| Favorable-Enclosure 0x08b9…3729 | No | +34 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 07-09 10:11 |
| Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-09 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 18:40 |
| Meager-Envelope 0xb5f9…f192 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 10:19 |
| Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 13:00 |
| Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 07-09 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-10 01:02 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 10:19 |
| Deserted-Shopping 0xbcba…223f | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-01 18:44 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-06 18:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-09 11:21 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | +2 | $2 | $45 | 15 | 07-09 20:52 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:14 |
| Wavy-Intelligence 0xc2f7…ea4c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 13:16 |
| Attentive-Harvester 0x2ee0…4d45 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 20:41 |
| Awful-Ebook 0x80be…0a7f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 17:30 |
| Well-Off-Vibration 0x7817…208d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 20:35 |
| Anguished-Mistake 0x6b60…4007 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 04:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 05:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x995b8a… |
| 07-10 05:29:31 | Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x995b8a… |
| 07-10 01:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x7b814a… |
| 07-10 01:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7b814a… |
| 07-10 01:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x7b814a… |
| 07-09 20:52:50 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0b12c9… |
| 07-09 20:52:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0b12c9… |
| 07-09 20:41:35 | Attentive-Harvester 0x2ee0…4d45 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa1a1ff… |
| 07-09 20:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa1a1ff… |
| 07-09 20:35:46 | Well-Off-Vibration 0x7817…208d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1c4518… |
| 07-09 20:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1c4518… |
| 07-09 17:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2114ad… |
| 07-09 17:30:16 | Awful-Ebook 0x80be…0a7f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2114ad… |
| 07-09 13:16:59 | Wavy-Intelligence 0xc2f7…ea4c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd7497c… |
| 07-09 13:16:59 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7497c… |
| 07-09 13:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1fa9cc… |
| 07-09 13:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1fa9cc… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 12:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaaf437… |
| 07-09 12:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaaf437… |
| 07-09 12:28:50 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xfe3507… |
| 07-09 12:28:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfe3507… |
| 07-09 11:21:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x034757… |
| 07-09 11:21:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x034757… |
| 07-09 11:19:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb31bd7… |
| 07-09 11:19:49 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb31bd7… |
| 07-09 11:19:49 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xb31bd7… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0xc21db0… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xeaca9c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xc21db0… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xe002cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xac058e… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x3c56cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0edf1c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xe002cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 59¢ | $13 | 0x6374f3… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xac058e… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xeaca9c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xe002cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 41¢ | $9 | 0x6374f3… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0edf1c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x3c56cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xeaca9c… |
| 07-09 10:19:23 | Meager-Envelope 0xb5f9…f192 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7f801… |
| 07-09 10:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | SELL | 513 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xd7f801… |
| 07-09 10:19:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd7f801… |
| 07-09 10:19:23 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7f801… |
| 07-09 10:19:23 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd7f801… |
| 07-09 10:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd7f801… |
| 07-09 10:18:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd4d172… |
| 07-09 10:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x0c8a…3131 | Yes | SELL | 334 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xd4d172… |
| 07-09 10:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd4d172… |
| 07-09 10:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 140 | 97¢ | $136 | 0xd4d172… |
| 07-09 10:15:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0d2f61… |
| 07-09 10:15:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0d2f61… |
| 07-09 10:15:19 | Miniature-Auction 0xa685…6a1e | Yes | SELL | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0d2f61… |
| 07-09 10:15:19 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0d2f61… |
| 07-09 10:15:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc542b2… |
| 07-09 10:15:17 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | SELL | 468 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xc542b2… |
| 07-09 10:15:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc542b2… |
| 07-09 10:15:17 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 198 | 96¢ | $190 | 0xc542b2… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x910a5a… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x42b62b… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x47dd6b… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x42b62b… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 57 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x42b62b… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x910a5a… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x47dd6b… |
| 07-09 10:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x910a5a… |
| 07-09 10:14:49 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x875556… |
| 07-09 10:14:49 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x875556… |
| 07-09 10:14:38 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xdabf4a… |
| 07-09 10:14:38 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xdabf4a… |
| 07-09 10:14:38 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x31cfd2… |
| 07-09 10:14:38 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x31cfd2… |
| 07-09 10:14:29 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x9f4e7c… |
| 07-09 10:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x9f4e7c… |
| 07-09 10:14:29 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x06d21e… |
| 07-09 10:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x06d21e… |
| 07-09 10:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x0c8a…3131 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x086a09… |
| 07-09 10:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x8573a7… |
| 07-09 10:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x086a09… |
| 07-09 10:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x8573a7… |
| 07-09 10:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x7ecd7d… |
| 07-09 10:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x7ecd7d… |
| 07-09 10:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x7ed534… |
| 07-09 10:12:38 | Miniature-Auction 0xa685…6a1e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x7ed534… |
| 07-09 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xac6677… |
| 07-09 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x2b97…3116 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x16b66c… |
| 07-09 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x259ab6… |
| 07-09 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x0c8a…3131 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x259ab6… |
| 07-09 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xac6677… |
| 07-09 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0xd836…8811 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x16b66c… |
| 07-09 10:11:20 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x16dbc0… |
| 07-09 10:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x3f82…4f8f | Yes | BUY | 58 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x16dbc0… |
| 07-09 10:11:20 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x16dbc0… |
| 07-09 10:11:11 | Favorable-Enclosure 0x08b9…3729 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x8f21a7… |