Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
open
Total volume
$3,476
$624 in 24h
Trades
276
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$6,770
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-26 14:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+90.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $10
vs crowd: 10% YES on $2.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $14 | $352 | $338 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $27 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $24 | $135 | $111 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $191 | $234 | $43 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $29 | $84 | $55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $3 | $39 | $36 |
| Median | 7 | $5 | $85 | $80 |
| Below median | 10 | $1 | $101 | $100 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $104 | $100 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | $282 | $273 |
| unranked | 25 | $190 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +772 | $752 | $1,983 | 30 | 07-15 13:06 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +700 | $15 | $15 | 14 | 07-09 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c1…f6be | Yes | +384 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 17:47 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +253 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 14:26 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +198 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-02 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | +152 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 07-02 06:28 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +115 | $104 | $104 | 18 | 07-09 10:14 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +101 | $-2 | $18 | 14 | 07-18 17:47 |
| Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-26 14:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +64 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 10:16 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +52 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 07-26 14:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 07-09 10:29 |
| Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | +42 | $34 | $34 | 7 | 07-09 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x30dd…bb80 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 07-02 03:53 |
| Favorable-Enclosure 0x08b9…3729 | No | +34 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 07-09 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc02d…6767 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 18:40 |
| Meager-Envelope 0xb5f9…f192 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cd9…198c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-10 14:29 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-18 17:47 |
| Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 07-09 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-10 01:02 |
| Deserted-Shopping 0xbcba…223f | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-01 18:44 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-06 18:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-09 11:21 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:14 |
| Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $2 | 3 | 07-18 17:47 |
| Awful-Ebook 0x80be…0a7f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 17:30 |
| Attentive-Harvester 0x2ee0…4d45 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 20:41 |
| Well-Off-Vibration 0x7817…208d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 20:35 |
| Anguished-Mistake 0x6b60…4007 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 04:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 14:26:40 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xb2e346… |
| 07-26 14:26:40 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xb2e346… |
| 07-26 14:26:40 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 253 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xb2e346… |
| 07-26 14:26:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 48 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb2e346… |
| 07-26 14:26:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb2e346… |
| 07-26 01:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x3935…fa2a | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xcfbefc… |
| 07-26 01:24:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcfbefc… |
| 07-25 14:44:06 | Spectacular-Cable 0xf249…699b | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x3a48ad… |
| 07-25 14:44:06 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3a48ad… |
| 07-25 05:46:19 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc289cd… |
| 07-25 05:46:19 | (anonymous) 0x3935…fa2a | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc289cd… |
| 07-21 05:31:24 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x83c6dd… |
| 07-21 05:31:24 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x83c6dd… |
| 07-20 02:24:25 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x42635f… |
| 07-20 02:24:25 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x42635f… |
| 07-20 00:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc52ecf… |
| 07-20 00:37:54 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc52ecf… |
| 07-20 00:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xc02d…6767 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc52ecf… |
| 07-18 18:26:07 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3a26b6… |
| 07-18 18:26:07 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x3a26b6… |
| 07-18 18:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3a26b6… |
| 07-18 17:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x13d769… |
| 07-18 17:47:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x13d769… |
| 07-18 17:47:13 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x13d769… |
| 07-18 17:47:13 | Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x13d769… |
| 07-18 17:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x90c1…f6be | Yes | BUY | 384 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x13d769… |
| 07-18 17:47:13 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | Yes | SELL | 172 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x13d769… |
| 07-15 22:56:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x205247… |
| 07-15 22:56:28 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x205247… |
| 07-15 13:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x9902…34b3 | No | SELL | 96 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x4aa9e4… |
| 07-15 13:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4aa9e4… |
| 07-15 13:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 88 | 99¢ | $87 | 0x4aa9e4… |
| 07-15 11:37:47 | Wavy-Intelligence 0xc2f7…ea4c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa01524… |
| 07-15 11:37:47 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa01524… |
| 07-14 01:08:26 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x273d29… |
| 07-14 01:08:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x273d29… |
| 07-12 19:37:16 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd75767… |
| 07-12 19:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xd75767… |
| 07-12 09:24:56 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x27c071… |
| 07-12 09:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x27c071… |
| 07-11 20:31:37 | Immense-Acquaintance 0x974d…e057 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xc1a0de… |
| 07-11 20:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xc1a0de… |
| 07-11 20:06:37 | Immense-Acquaintance 0x974d…e057 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x6a65e4… |
| 07-11 20:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x6a65e4… |
| 07-11 18:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x05c6b4… |
| 07-11 18:53:17 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x05c6b4… |
| 07-10 14:29:14 | (anonymous) 0x2cd9…198c | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x3350d2… |
| 07-10 14:29:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 140 | 99¢ | $139 | 0x3350d2… |
| 07-10 14:29:14 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3350d2… |
| 07-10 14:29:14 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3350d2… |
| 07-10 14:27:04 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | No | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xee2cfc… |
| 07-10 14:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xee2cfc… |
| 07-10 10:16:59 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2977bc… |
| 07-10 10:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2977bc… |
| 07-10 09:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x4c8394… |
| 07-10 09:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4c8394… |
| 07-10 09:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c8394… |
| 07-10 05:29:31 | Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x995b8a… |
| 07-10 05:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x995b8a… |
| 07-10 01:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x7b814a… |
| 07-10 01:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7b814a… |
| 07-10 01:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xf828…8a8c | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x7b814a… |
| 07-09 20:52:50 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0b12c9… |
| 07-09 20:52:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0b12c9… |
| 07-09 20:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa1a1ff… |
| 07-09 20:41:35 | Attentive-Harvester 0x2ee0…4d45 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa1a1ff… |
| 07-09 20:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1c4518… |
| 07-09 20:35:46 | Well-Off-Vibration 0x7817…208d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1c4518… |
| 07-09 17:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2114ad… |
| 07-09 17:30:16 | Awful-Ebook 0x80be…0a7f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2114ad… |
| 07-09 13:16:59 | Wavy-Intelligence 0xc2f7…ea4c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd7497c… |
| 07-09 13:16:59 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7497c… |
| 07-09 13:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1fa9cc… |
| 07-09 13:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1fa9cc… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | Helpful-Hatchling 0x9f91…9828 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 13:00:07 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x049080… |
| 07-09 12:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaaf437… |
| 07-09 12:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaaf437… |
| 07-09 12:28:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfe3507… |
| 07-09 12:28:50 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xfe3507… |
| 07-09 11:21:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x034757… |
| 07-09 11:21:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x034757… |
| 07-09 11:19:49 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb31bd7… |
| 07-09 11:19:49 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xb31bd7… |
| 07-09 11:19:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb31bd7… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xeaca9c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xe002cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x3c56cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x3c56cc… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0edf1c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0xc21db0… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0edf1c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 59¢ | $13 | 0x6374f3… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xac058e… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xeaca9c… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x0cb9…6c79 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 41¢ | $9 | 0x6374f3… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xac058e… |
| 07-09 10:29:29 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xe002cc… |