Left-Mailman 0xd3fe2e…c82b28
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$354
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
437
Trades
5,551
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 10-29 10:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Politics
67% 64% -$213
Other
23% 64% -$196
Tech
5% 71% -$6
Crypto
3% 57% +$11
Sports
1% 61% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +401 $395 99¢ $397 +$2 10-28 19:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +271 $241 82¢ $223 -$17 10-27 20:03
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +114 $112 99¢ $113 +$1 10-29 01:52
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +123 $112 92¢ $112 +$0 10-20 18:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +76 $73 96¢ $72 $0 10-29 00:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +71 $60 84¢ $60 $0 10-24 20:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +59 $55 97¢ $57 +$2 10-20 14:38
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +61 $55 92¢ $56 +$1 10-29 00:03
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +52 $51 97¢ $50 $0 09-15 23:33
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +36 $34 96¢ $35 +$0 08-20 20:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +32 $31 97¢ $31 +$0 08-23 21:30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 08-22 16:51
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +36 $27 74¢ $26 -$1 10-28 04:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +22 $21 98¢ $21 +$0 09-11 01:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +22 $21 96¢ $21 +$0 08-20 09:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +22 $21 97¢ $21 +$0 10-13 20:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +35 $18 58¢ $20 +$2 10-29 09:50
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +18 $17 97¢ $17 +$0 08-18 04:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +22 $15 66¢ $15 +$0 10-24 23:56
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-27 23:41
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +88 $16 16¢ $15 -$1 10-20 23:15
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +18 $5 78¢ $15 +$9 10-27 01:57
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +21 $15 68¢ $14 -$1 10-25 23:39
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +15 $14 97¢ $14 $0 08-18 01:01
russia coup attempt in 2026 No +13 $12 97¢ $13 +$0 08-18 00:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +44 $13 29¢ $13 +$0 10-24 03:16
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $12 80¢ $12 +$0 10-27 18:11
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 10-24 23:57
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +11 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 10-26 14:26
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$0 10-28 09:06