Left-Mailman 0xd3fe2e…c82b28
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$354
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
437
Trades
5,597
lifetime
Volume
$27.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$874
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 10-29 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Politics
68% 64% -$213
Other
23% 64% -$196
Tech
5% 71% -$6
Crypto
3% 57% +$11
Sports
1% 61% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +271 $241 80¢ $218 -$23 10-27 20:03
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +114 $112 99¢ $113 +$1 10-29 01:52
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +123 $112 92¢ $112 +$0 10-20 18:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +59 $55 97¢ $57 +$2 10-20 14:38
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +71 $60 76¢ $54 -$6 10-24 20:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +52 $51 95¢ $49 -$1 09-15 23:33
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 08-22 16:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +31 $30 94¢ $29 -$1 10-29 17:16
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +36 $27 68¢ $24 -$3 10-28 04:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +35 $18 49¢ $17 -$1 10-29 09:50
will anthropic announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +21 $7 77¢ $16 +$9 10-29 17:16
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +21 $15 70¢ $15 $0 10-25 23:39
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +15 $14 89¢ $13 -$1 08-18 01:01
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +11 $11 95¢ $11 +$0 09-02 18:34
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 Yes +44 $13 23¢ $10 -$2 10-24 03:16
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-01 14:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $9 82¢ $9 +$0 10-28 20:18
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$0 06-27 15:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +9 $8 93¢ $8 $0 08-18 01:03
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $0 08-18 00:37
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +12 $10 66¢ $8 -$2 10-29 17:17
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +9 $8 95¢ $8 $0 10-29 17:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7 $7 95¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:17
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 06-27 15:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +64 $9 9¢ $6 -$3 10-28 06:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +7 $6 87¢ $6 +$0 10-28 09:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $6 58¢ $6 +$0 10-25 17:20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$1 10-27 03:31
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 10-28 03:06
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 08-18 00:16