Left-Mailman 0xd3fe2e…c82b28
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$95
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
267
lifetime
Volume
$1.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$167
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 16:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60% — —
Other
25% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +41 $38 94¢ $39 +$0 06-27 15:07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +23 $22 94¢ $21 $-0 06-27 15:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +14 $13 96¢ $14 +$0 06-27 15:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $12 40¢ $11 $-0 06-27 15:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-27 15:39
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +38 $10 26¢ $10 $-0 06-28 16:56
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 06-27 15:39
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$0 06-27 15:39
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 06-27 15:39
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 06-27 15:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +9 $5 55¢ $5 $-0 06-27 15:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-27 15:40
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $-0 06-27 15:40
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 06-27 15:40
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes +4 $3 56¢ $2 $-1 06-27 15:40
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-27 15:13
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +2 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-27 15:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 06-27 15:14
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 06-27 15:14
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:14
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:14
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:40
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-27 15:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +287 $93 0¢ $0 $-93 05-31 01:39