Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
open
Total volume
$64,448
$76 in 24h
Trades
1,038
Unique wallets
217
Liquidity
$3,741
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 11:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.7¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $19.0K
vs crowd: 13% YES on $51.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 32 | $1.6K | $25.9K | $24.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 50 | $2.4K | $15.9K | $13.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 50 | $1.3K | $1.8K | $499 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 85 | $1.6K | $672 | +$924 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $322 | $18.6K | $18.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $463 | $2.6K | $2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $175 | $2.7K | $2.5K |
| Median | 20 | $42 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| Below median | 24 | $109 | $528 | $419 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $692 | $334 | +$358 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $1.4K | $5.2K | $3.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $612 | $2.9K | $2.3K |
| unranked | 83 | $3.1K | $7.4K | $4.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +10,187 | $777 | $777 | 2 | 07-07 17:19 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +9,691 | $9,114 | $9,114 | 9 | 07-09 02:58 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +7,827 | $6,958 | $6,958 | 3 | 06-10 22:30 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +7,541 | $597 | $597 | 76 | 07-09 10:02 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +3,978 | $3,648 | $3,648 | 43 | 07-09 02:58 |
| jsmp1 0x919d…60e1 | No | +2,600 | $2,344 | $2,344 | 7 | 07-03 07:11 |
| Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | +2,500 | $142 | $142 | 2 | 06-03 12:11 |
| Ill-Informed-Decisionmaking 0x6f7b…1893 | No | +2,500 | $2,272 | $2,272 | 2 | 06-08 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +2,364 | $249 | $249 | 2 | 07-03 21:49 |
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | +2,332 | $1,628 | $1,690 | 4 | 06-08 15:36 |
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | Yes | +2,332 | $303 | $303 | 5 | 06-08 14:49 |
| Eatpraylove 0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | +2,000 | $190 | $190 | 4 | 06-11 12:10 |
| Virtual-Execution 0x3d14…ee01 | No | +1,098 | $1,017 | $1,017 | 3 | 07-04 10:43 |
| Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | +1,066 | $850 | $2,890 | 3 | 07-09 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x465a…ca63 | No | +1,000 | $921 | $921 | 3 | 07-03 07:11 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +807 | $103 | $105 | 2 | 06-08 18:40 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +801 | $57 | $57 | 9 | 06-22 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | Yes | +790 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-24 11:23 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +680 | $615 | $615 | 10 | 07-04 05:57 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +600 | $532 | $532 | 5 | 06-08 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b30…58fb | Yes | +592 | $60 | $60 | 4 | 07-04 06:00 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +520 | $46 | $120 | 8 | 07-07 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6e5…ba97 | Yes | +511 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 19:06 |
| Altruistic-Shaw 0xfe49…7a4c | Yes | +500 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 06-08 18:41 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +490 | $380 | $3,516 | 11 | 06-14 14:23 |
| Bumpy-Revival 0x8333…eb93 | Yes | +450 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-12 16:01 |
| Optimistic-Applause 0xcc42…3679 | Yes | +400 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 07-04 06:25 |
| Any-Government 0x5040…96cf | Yes | +400 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 07-08 14:23 |
| Optimistic-Chocolate 0x41a3…46b8 | Yes | +375 | $42 | $85 | 3 | 06-18 20:18 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +364 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 15:10 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +353 | $54 | $187 | 19 | 07-10 07:03 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +323 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-04 15:02 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | +313 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-11 09:34 |
| OxygenDrop 0x72b2…5548 | Yes | +310 | $30 | $84 | 13 | 06-30 07:35 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +288 | $36 | $36 | 7 | 06-10 22:31 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +283 | $246 | $246 | 5 | 06-08 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8637…9657 | No | +272 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-03 07:11 |
| Miniature-Newsstand 0xdfaa…c3fd | Yes | +257 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 14:14 |
| Monthly-Week 0x2a8c…a1bf | Yes | +250 | $37 | $87 | 5 | 07-03 06:11 |
| United-Anime 0xdd34…16aa | No | +217 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-19 17:35 |
| Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed…c077 | Yes | +215 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-30 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bec…a1ab | Yes | +208 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-03 21:51 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +205 | $179 | $1,959 | 13 | 07-04 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0134…9054 | Yes | +205 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-18 14:51 |
| Electric-Condominium 0x272c…7f07 | Yes | +203 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-03 15:33 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-03 19:59 |
| Immaculate-Comb-Swamp 0x2d5f…9c36 | No | +200 | $185 | $185 | 8 | 07-05 00:00 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +154 | $145 | $145 | 7 | 07-10 01:21 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +147 | $128 | $1,043 | 6 | 07-03 21:51 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +126 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-08 14:08 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +112 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 07-07 17:29 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-10 08:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +89 | $81 | $81 | 2 | 06-08 21:33 |
| Stale-Collection 0xf594…bfc1 | No | +85 | $80 | $80 | 4 | 07-07 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x68fa…560f | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-08 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4dd…d204 | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 07-07 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf7…3c63 | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 07-07 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xea97…a471 | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 07-07 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x50a0…f508 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-07 19:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 11:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd6174d… |
| 07-10 11:34:29 | Legitimate-Rent 0x0003…9f7e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd6174d… |
| 07-10 08:20:16 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x253476… |
| 07-10 08:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 75 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x253476… |
| 07-10 08:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x253476… |
| 07-10 07:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x31d235… |
| 07-10 07:03:17 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x31d235… |
| 07-10 07:03:17 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x31d235… |
| 07-10 07:03:17 | (anonymous) 0xe8f2…1f55 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x31d235… |
| 07-10 07:03:17 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x31d235… |
| 07-10 03:00:26 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0fd33c… |
| 07-10 03:00:26 | (anonymous) 0xf022…866c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0fd33c… |
| 07-10 02:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x7821…7945 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x85106c… |
| 07-10 02:24:32 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x85106c… |
| 07-10 01:21:43 | (anonymous) 0xf022…866c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3a2830… |
| 07-10 01:21:43 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x3a2830… |
| 07-09 20:14:55 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xaa15ba… |
| 07-09 20:14:55 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xaa15ba… |
| 07-09 16:25:29 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x3a41fb… |
| 07-09 16:25:29 | (anonymous) 0xe8f2…1f55 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3a41fb… |
| 07-09 10:02:53 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1617ad… |
| 07-09 10:02:53 | Unwilling-Pronoun 0xd0a3…962f | Yes | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1617ad… |
| 07-09 10:02:53 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1617ad… |
| 07-09 02:59:28 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe99898… |
| 07-09 02:59:28 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe99898… |
| 07-09 02:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xe99898… |
| 07-09 02:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5db023… |
| 07-09 02:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5db023… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x46b3b9… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7982ed… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x46b3b9… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7982ed… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | Instructive-Computer 0x6933…e6a6 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x46b3b9… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x5bdf71… |
| 07-09 02:58:49 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x5bdf71… |
| 07-09 02:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 90 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1a102e… |
| 07-09 02:58:47 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 1,085 | 94¢ | $1,020 | 0x1a102e… |
| 07-09 02:58:47 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x1a102e… |
| 07-09 02:58:47 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x1a102e… |
| 07-09 02:58:47 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 770 | 94¢ | $724 | 0x1a102e… |
| 07-09 02:58:47 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1a102e… |
| 07-08 21:45:14 | (anonymous) 0xe152…9976 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1f7dfc… |
| 07-08 21:45:14 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1f7dfc… |
| 07-08 21:09:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 160 | 6¢ | $9 | 0xeb5f1a… |
| 07-08 21:09:10 | (anonymous) 0xccd5…1d94 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 6¢ | $9 | 0xeb5f1a… |
| 07-08 18:29:26 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x5758e7… |
| 07-08 18:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x5758e7… |
| 07-08 17:49:59 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3d9bcc… |
| 07-08 17:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x3d9bcc… |
| 07-08 17:49:59 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x3d9bcc… |
| 07-08 17:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x3d9bcc… |
| 07-08 14:24:58 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x75ac9c… |
| 07-08 14:24:58 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x75ac9c… |
| 07-08 14:24:58 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x75ac9c… |
| 07-08 14:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3373ad… |
| 07-08 14:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3373ad… |
| 07-08 14:23:55 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9e2a35… |
| 07-08 14:23:55 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc30a2a… |
| 07-08 14:23:55 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc30a2a… |
| 07-08 14:23:55 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9e2a35… |
| 07-08 14:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xe152…9976 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x502b7e… |
| 07-08 14:23:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 231 | 94¢ | $217 | 0x72bcee… |
| 07-08 14:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x502b7e… |
| 07-08 14:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xea2828… |
| 07-08 14:23:52 | Any-Government 0x5040…96cf | Yes | BUY | 231 | 6¢ | $14 | 0x72bcee… |
| 07-08 14:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xea2828… |
| 07-08 14:05:52 | (anonymous) 0xdebb…38ad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbc44c7… |
| 07-08 14:05:52 | Any-Government 0x5040…96cf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbc44c7… |
| 07-08 14:03:17 | (anonymous) 0xdebb…38ad | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x42c275… |
| 07-08 14:03:17 | Any-Government 0x5040…96cf | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x42c275… |
| 07-08 08:39:04 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf8ba75… |
| 07-08 08:39:04 | (anonymous) 0xfb08…781e | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf8ba75… |
| 07-08 01:25:20 | Any-Government 0x5040…96cf | Yes | BUY | 78 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x83e77e… |
| 07-08 01:25:20 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 78 | 94¢ | $73 | 0x83e77e… |
| 07-08 01:24:31 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7ba1dd… |
| 07-08 01:24:31 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x7ba1dd… |
| 07-08 01:24:31 | Any-Government 0x5040…96cf | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x7ba1dd… |
| 07-08 01:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x7ba1dd… |
| 07-08 01:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7ba1dd… |
| 07-08 01:11:41 | (anonymous) 0xc262…080e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xeb594a… |
| 07-08 01:11:41 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xeb594a… |
| 07-07 19:59:47 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0d3ea2… |
| 07-07 19:59:47 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 27 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0d3ea2… |
| 07-07 19:59:47 | (anonymous) 0x50a0…f508 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x0d3ea2… |
| 07-07 17:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 122 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x5a124d… |
| 07-07 17:30:43 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 122 | 94¢ | $115 | 0x5a124d… |
| 07-07 17:29:59 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xa2a5b1… |
| 07-07 17:29:59 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 49 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xa2a5b1… |
| 07-07 17:29:59 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xa2a5b1… |
| 07-07 17:20:34 | Canine-Tie 0xea1d…e993 | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x88ada5… |
| 07-07 17:20:34 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x88ada5… |
| 07-07 17:20:11 | (anonymous) 0xea97…a471 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x88b761… |
| 07-07 17:20:11 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x88b761… |
| 07-07 17:20:08 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x813ed5… |
| 07-07 17:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x90dc…f09b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x813ed5… |
| 07-07 17:19:55 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x83f675… |
| 07-07 17:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x83f675… |
| 07-07 17:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xea97…a471 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xb75e85… |
| 07-07 17:19:55 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb75e85… |
| 07-07 17:19:53 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0xb62e6e… |