Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
571
lifetime
Volume
$5.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$299
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-01 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
35% 100% +$0
Crypto
15%
Sports
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +45 $43 97¢ $44 +$0 06-16 19:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $43 85¢ $42 $-1 06-30 07:27
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $38 96¢ $38 +$0 06-30 08:41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -20 $-19 92¢ $-18 +$1 06-22 22:36
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 06-29 16:47
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 06-01 04:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 06-28 19:31
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-29 11:41
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-15 16:31
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? No +10 $10 94¢ $9 $-0 06-20 23:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-14 21:44
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 +$0 06-01 11:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -10 $-10 92¢ $-9 +$0 06-19 15:30
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-04 18:48
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-07 02:27
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-15 10:11
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 $-0 06-29 20:02
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No -6 $-6 97¢ $-6 $-0 05-30 00:11
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 13:26
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$1 06-30 09:25
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 06-09 12:37
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $-0 07-01 01:33
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$1 06-17 09:46