Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
687
lifetime
Volume
$6.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$396
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-22 00:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
47%
Other
36% 100% +$0
Crypto
15%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 07-19 13:33
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 07-16 16:46
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -28 $-27 98¢ $-27 $-0 07-04 02:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25 $20 92¢ $23 +$2 07-19 14:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +21 $19 96¢ $20 +$1 07-15 12:51
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 +$0 07-18 22:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -20 $-19 97¢ $-19 $-1 07-19 13:41
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$1 07-18 20:47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 07-19 15:20
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +15 $13 89¢ $13 +$1 07-11 23:54
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 +$0 07-11 14:46
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 07-05 20:44
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +10 $8 95¢ $10 +$1 07-17 17:41
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 07-17 01:49
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-15 10:11
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -10 $-10 93¢ $-9 +$0 07-06 02:06
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-07 02:27
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-29 20:02
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-04 18:48
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 05-30 00:11
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 07-13 13:47
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-02 07:51
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-07 01:58
Will Alberta join the US? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-05 16:27
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-07 01:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-07 04:48
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 13:26
Will RBC fail by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-10 08:05
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-07 18:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-05 15:00