Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$793
$5 in 24h
Trades
137
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$1,628
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-10 05:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 6% YES on $421)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $3 | $90 | $87 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $201 | $201 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $8 | $33 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $15 | $72 | $56 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $70 | $70 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $21 | $20 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $200 | $198 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| unranked | 15 | $13 | $57 | $44 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +218 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-30 00:11 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +75 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 07-22 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5efe…81eb | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 23:16 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-19 05:00 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +35 | $3 | $11 | 19 | 07-22 23:16 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 06-23 18:01 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-27 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 08-10 05:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $7 | 15 | 08-07 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3325…0e60 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-10 10:06 |
| Blond-Substitution 0x5935…5e9b | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-11 07:00 |
| Forked-Phenotype 0x99b8…d816 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $2 | 14 | 05-31 06:10 |
| Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 17:11 |
| Popular-Recommendation 0xd0ae…73dd | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 08-10 05:30 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +3 | $0 | $2 | 15 | 05-31 06:10 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +2 | $2 | $36 | 2 | 07-19 05:00 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 04:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 05:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5460d2… |
| 08-10 05:30:43 | Popular-Recommendation 0xd0ae…73dd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5460d2… |
| 08-07 18:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x8c3b8d… |
| 08-07 18:31:22 | Popular-Recommendation 0xd0ae…73dd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8c3b8d… |
| 08-07 18:31:22 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8c3b8d… |
| 08-05 09:33:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ce260… |
| 08-05 09:33:47 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ce260… |
| 07-28 21:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x2a007a… |
| 07-28 21:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2a007a… |
| 07-27 16:56:39 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x55026c… |
| 07-27 16:56:39 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x55026c… |
| 07-24 16:35:46 | Minor-Vanilla 0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x312584… |
| 07-24 16:35:46 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x312584… |
| 07-22 23:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…81eb | Yes | BUY | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x7fc078… |
| 07-22 23:16:30 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x7fc078… |
| 07-22 23:16:30 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7fc078… |
| 07-22 23:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7fc078… |
| 07-22 23:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7fc078… |
| 07-19 05:00:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x8bf811… |
| 07-19 05:00:22 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8bf811… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbb5023… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xdf7e4c… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdf7e4c… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbb5023… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbb5023… |
| 07-16 17:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9d9c81… |
| 07-16 17:11:19 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9d9c81… |
| 07-16 17:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x13a7…6197 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9d9c81… |
| 07-15 06:31:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x69e387… |
| 07-15 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x69e387… |
| 07-15 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x13a7…6197 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x69e387… |
| 07-03 09:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x816a87… |
| 07-03 09:17:29 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x816a87… |
| 07-03 09:17:29 | (anonymous) 0xdb47…3c86 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x816a87… |
| 07-03 02:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x872c87… |
| 07-03 02:42:37 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x872c87… |
| 07-03 02:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x3c5d…f2c4 | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x872c87… |
| 06-30 07:48:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9d053… |
| 06-30 07:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x8c6f…64f2 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf9d053… |
| 06-30 07:47:50 | (anonymous) 0x8c6f…64f2 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf210c5… |
| 06-30 07:47:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf210c5… |
| 06-25 14:15:53 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd9d9fa… |
| 06-25 14:15:53 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd9d9fa… |
| 06-25 14:15:53 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd9d9fa… |
| 06-25 12:55:41 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 37 | 93¢ | $34 | 0x18014e… |
| 06-25 12:55:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 37 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x18014e… |
| 06-24 19:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x65ec29… |
| 06-24 19:46:23 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x65ec29… |
| 06-24 00:45:14 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xf1b070… |
| 06-24 00:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf1b070… |
| 06-23 23:27:28 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xbd83cd… |
| 06-23 23:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbd83cd… |
| 06-23 23:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x970346… |
| 06-23 23:25:56 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x970346… |
| 06-23 23:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x970346… |
| 06-23 22:37:38 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3437f3… |
| 06-23 22:37:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3437f3… |
| 06-23 19:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x52ecff… |
| 06-23 19:11:19 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x52ecff… |
| 06-23 18:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x69ee8d… |
| 06-23 18:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x69ee8d… |
| 06-23 18:01:16 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x69ee8d… |
| 06-23 18:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x69ee8d… |
| 06-22 14:42:13 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb719f4… |
| 06-22 14:42:13 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb719f4… |
| 06-22 14:41:31 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe1ec9b… |
| 06-22 14:41:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe1ec9b… |
| 06-22 01:17:41 | Roasted-Weekend 0x59f3…05a7 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x7ab5f5… |
| 06-22 01:17:41 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x7ab5f5… |
| 06-20 08:26:01 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x34bff2… |
| 06-20 08:26:01 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x34bff2… |
| 06-20 08:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x34bff2… |
| 06-20 04:31:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd718f3… |
| 06-20 04:31:16 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd718f3… |
| 06-17 21:18:49 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xedff89… |
| 06-17 21:18:49 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xedff89… |
| 06-16 03:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5842b7… |
| 06-16 03:35:49 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5842b7… |
| 06-16 03:35:49 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x5842b7… |
| 06-12 11:18:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xc9cc30… |
| 06-12 11:18:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xc9cc30… |
| 06-12 11:14:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x55d83c… |
| 06-12 11:14:46 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x55d83c… |
| 06-12 09:22:21 | (anonymous) 0x3a4e…5c16 | No | SELL | 54 | 92¢ | $49 | 0x21748f… |
| 06-12 09:22:21 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x21748f… |
| 06-12 09:22:21 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 43 | 92¢ | $39 | 0x21748f… |
| 06-11 08:59:13 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x448ddb… |
| 06-11 08:59:13 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x448ddb… |
| 06-11 07:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc91419… |
| 06-11 07:10:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc91419… |
| 06-11 07:10:07 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x57beae… |
| 06-11 07:10:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x57beae… |
| 06-11 07:00:57 | Blond-Substitution 0x5935…5e9b | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xb8fdd9… |
| 06-11 07:00:57 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb8fdd9… |
| 06-10 10:06:54 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x46f412… |
| 06-10 10:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x3325…0e60 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x46f412… |
| 06-08 11:16:43 | Noxious-Respite 0x4819…4afe | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf58134… |
| 06-08 11:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf58134… |
| 06-07 20:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xad717b… |
| 06-07 20:05:57 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xad717b… |