Poor-Tavern 0x8304ad…42f086
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$148
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
15.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
580
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$1.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-16 05:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
59% 100% +$2
Politics
34% 0% $-150
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -176 $-166 96¢ $-168 $-3 06-25 04:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +120 $114 98¢ $117 +$3 07-04 04:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +130 $113 90¢ $116 +$3 06-11 01:37
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No -100 $-97 97¢ $-97 $-0 06-25 03:41
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +100 $78 90¢ $90 +$12 06-05 10:54
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +80 $72 93¢ $74 +$2 05-30 20:17
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +118 $56 62¢ $74 +$17 07-04 00:28
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -70 $-68 94¢ $-66 +$2 06-27 04:11
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -60 $-58 97¢ $-58 $-0 06-25 03:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +60 $55 94¢ $57 +$2 07-09 21:21
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +60 $41 92¢ $55 +$14 07-04 00:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +90 $42 60¢ $54 +$12 06-22 02:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +60 $48 86¢ $52 +$4 06-26 04:08
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +60 $47 85¢ $51 +$4 05-28 18:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -51 $-50 96¢ $-49 +$1 07-04 02:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 $-0 07-13 03:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +80 $72 55¢ $44 $-28 06-16 03:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +40 $37 96¢ $38 +$1 05-29 02:25
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No +40 $37 94¢ $37 +$1 06-16 03:34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +40 $36 90¢ $36 $-0 06-25 03:31
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +40 $35 88¢ $35 +$0 06-13 01:37
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +37 $34 94¢ $35 +$1 06-16 03:16
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +61 $39 57¢ $35 $-5 06-29 18:10
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +40 $35 84¢ $34 $-2 06-16 03:34
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +38 $32 88¢ $33 +$1 06-13 00:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +40 $33 80¢ $32 $-1 06-11 01:43
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 92¢ $31 +$1 06-13 02:07
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +50 $30 60¢ $30 +$0 06-11 01:45
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No +30 $28 95¢ $28 +$1 06-23 18:01
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +30 $26 94¢ $28 +$2 06-13 02:06