Poor-Tavern 0x8304ad…42f086
cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$245
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
381
Trades
1,377
lifetime
Volume
$34.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 04:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
56% 71% -$705
Politics
36% 77% -$280
Tech
4% 81% -$64
Sports
2% 76% -$88
Crypto
1% 100% +$51
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -425 -$409 97¢ $-413 -$4 10-19 02:47
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -300 -$293 98¢ $-293 +$0 10-10 18:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +170 $156 92¢ $157 +$2 10-29 01:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +130 $113 96¢ $124 +$11 06-11 01:37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +120 $112 96¢ $115 +$3 10-29 01:03
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No -120 -$124 93¢ $-112 +$13 09-09 00:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +130 $107 86¢ $111 +$4 07-16 04:02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 -$98 97¢ $-97 +$1 09-24 21:08
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$7 08-17 04:56
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +90 $85 96¢ $87 +$2 05-27 03:39
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +84 $46 94¢ $79 +$33 08-01 03:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +80 $66 98¢ $78 +$12 10-27 02:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +90 $42 84¢ $75 +$33 06-22 02:43
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +70 $65 97¢ $68 +$3 06-03 13:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +68 $58 94¢ $64 +$6 09-22 04:45
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -64 -$85 97¢ $-62 +$23 10-29 01:00
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No +80 $58 78¢ $62 +$4 06-25 15:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +70 $55 84¢ $59 +$4 06-11 01:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +63 $56 94¢ $59 +$3 09-11 04:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +60 $55 97¢ $58 +$3 07-09 21:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +60 $48 94¢ $57 +$9 06-26 04:08
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +53 $49 96¢ $51 +$3 10-10 18:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$53 98¢ $-49 +$4 10-27 02:45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$7 10-01 04:38
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +50 $40 91¢ $45 +$5 10-19 02:47
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 No +50 $26 90¢ $45 +$19 06-25 03:33
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +60 $26 74¢ $44 +$18 10-01 04:38
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +50 $30 83¢ $42 +$12 06-11 01:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $40 68¢ $41 +$1 10-29 01:14
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 06-13 01:37