Poor-Tavern 0x8304ad…42f086
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$148
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
15.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
532
lifetime
Volume
$18.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$2.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-29 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
58% 100% +$2
Politics
35% 0% $-150
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -291 $-285 100¢ $-291 $-5 06-25 03:25
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -190 $-188 100¢ $-190 $-1 06-11 01:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -176 $-166 94¢ $-166 $-0 06-25 04:16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -160 $-159 100¢ $-160 $-1 06-11 01:29
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No -152 $-149 100¢ $-151 $-3 06-16 03:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +130 $113 90¢ $118 +$5 06-11 01:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +110 $104 96¢ $106 +$1 06-25 03:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 +$0 06-13 01:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-103 100¢ $-100 +$3 06-25 01:33
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 +$0 06-16 03:12
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No -100 $-97 97¢ $-97 $-0 06-25 03:41
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +100 $78 85¢ $85 +$7 06-05 10:54
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +108 $48 66¢ $72 +$24 06-25 13:46
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +80 $72 88¢ $71 $-1 05-30 20:17
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -70 $-68 97¢ $-68 $-0 06-27 04:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +80 $72 82¢ $66 $-6 06-16 03:36
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -60 $-58 93¢ $-56 +$2 06-25 03:57
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +60 $47 88¢ $53 +$6 05-28 18:00
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-13 01:56
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-25 04:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 06-29 03:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +60 $48 80¢ $48 +$1 06-26 04:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +90 $42 52¢ $47 +$5 06-22 02:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 06-25 03:26
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +61 $39 70¢ $43 +$4 06-29 18:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +40 $37 95¢ $38 +$0 05-29 02:25
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +43 $38 86¢ $37 $-1 06-25 04:13
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No +40 $37 92¢ $37 +$0 06-16 03:34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +40 $36 92¢ $37 +$0 06-25 03:31
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +40 $35 88¢ $35 $-0 06-16 03:34