Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
open
Total volume
$6,007
Trades
374
Unique wallets
127
Liquidity
$12,026
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 17:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $456
vs crowd: 9% YES on $3.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $41 | $434 | $393 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $205 | $756 | $551 |
| 🐟 Fish | 34 | $13 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 59 | $63 | $611 | $548 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $25 | $431 | $407 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $37 | $197 | $161 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $181 | $66 | +$115 |
| Median | 18 | $8 | $71 | $63 |
| Below median | 32 | $6 | $435 | $430 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $125 | $125 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $8 | $382 | $374 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $8 | $294 | $286 |
| unranked | 27 | $50 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +1,205 | $138 | $138 | 13 | 07-20 17:54 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +481 | $431 | $431 | 7 | 07-04 22:33 |
| Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | +398 | $370 | $749 | 4 | 07-20 17:54 |
| Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | +310 | $25 | $25 | 8 | 07-18 18:56 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-17 21:34 |
| Verifiable-Interior 0x11de…21d7 | Yes | +200 | $28 | $28 | 9 | 06-30 00:51 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +190 | $161 | $161 | 4 | 06-29 17:34 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +177 | $156 | $156 | 2 | 07-18 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +170 | $157 | $399 | 5 | 07-16 06:30 |
| Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | +169 | $140 | $140 | 4 | 07-01 15:20 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +140 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 07-12 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e93…bc5d | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-03 21:54 |
| Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | +104 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 07-19 19:54 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-05 10:54 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +95 | $86 | $88 | 5 | 07-20 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +94 | $81 | $81 | 3 | 07-18 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 00:28 |
| Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x680d…a342 | No | +44 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-12 17:08 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 07-02 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +39 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-17 22:05 |
| Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | No | +35 | $29 | $70 | 4 | 05-30 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-18 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-08 21:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $88 | 8 | 07-20 17:54 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-03 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-30 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 5 | 07-03 21:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x82b3…6ab8 | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8fe…8488 | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-22 12:53 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-25 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf19…b3ee | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb15d…558a | No | +19 | $16 | $26 | 3 | 07-03 09:05 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-11 18:51 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-18 18:55 |
| Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-30 00:28 |
| Alienated-Remark 0x6c59…e3bb | No | +13 | $12 | $48 | 2 | 07-11 09:57 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 03:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-05 10:54 |
| Friendly-Patentee 0x1c11…05c5 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-08 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 06:53 |
| Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 12:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:54:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xb53d03… |
| 07-20 17:54:42 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xb53d03… |
| 07-20 17:54:42 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 580 | 9¢ | $52 | 0xb53d03… |
| 07-20 17:54:42 | Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | BUY | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0xb53d03… |
| 07-20 04:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc4ad15… |
| 07-20 04:00:34 | Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc4ad15… |
| 07-19 19:54:06 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | BUY | 53 | 90¢ | $48 | 0xc98636… |
| 07-19 19:54:06 | (anonymous) 0xe30e…60ac | No | SELL | 53 | 90¢ | $48 | 0xc98636… |
| 07-19 00:38:27 | (anonymous) 0xbf19…b3ee | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe9e397… |
| 07-19 00:38:27 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe9e397… |
| 07-18 22:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 36 | 90¢ | $32 | 0x23368c… |
| 07-18 22:53:28 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | BUY | 31 | 90¢ | $28 | 0x23368c… |
| 07-18 22:53:28 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x23368c… |
| 07-18 18:56:00 | Acceptable-Chance 0x9918…6045 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xf0484a… |
| 07-18 18:56:00 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf0484a… |
| 07-18 18:55:19 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd27211… |
| 07-18 18:55:19 | (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd27211… |
| 07-18 18:55:00 | Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x3496a7… |
| 07-18 18:55:00 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3496a7… |
| 07-18 18:55:00 | (anonymous) 0xec1d…db17 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x69f0e5… |
| 07-18 18:55:00 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x69f0e5… |
| 07-18 18:54:58 | Hideous-Toughguy 0x9af0…5816 | No | SELL | 243 | 90¢ | $218 | 0x609137… |
| 07-18 18:54:58 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 98 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x609137… |
| 07-18 18:54:58 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 34 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x609137… |
| 07-18 18:54:58 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0x609137… |
| 07-18 07:20:21 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x9c5a77… |
| 07-18 07:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9c5a77… |
| 07-17 21:34:19 | Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x3a0c21… |
| 07-17 21:34:19 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x3a0c21… |
| 07-17 15:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 53 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x48869e… |
| 07-17 15:03:25 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x48869e… |
| 07-16 06:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x7e0d94… |
| 07-16 06:30:08 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7e0d94… |
| 07-12 17:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x680d…a342 | No | BUY | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x6afb29… |
| 07-12 17:08:52 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x6afb29… |
| 07-12 17:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6afb29… |
| 07-12 17:08:52 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6afb29… |
| 07-12 14:58:16 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xf124c1… |
| 07-12 14:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf124c1… |
| 07-12 14:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | BUY | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0xf124c1… |
| 07-12 14:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf124c1… |
| 07-12 11:40:23 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x7a265a… |
| 07-12 11:40:23 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 130 | 91¢ | $118 | 0x7a265a… |
| 07-11 09:57:46 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x2fece1… |
| 07-11 09:57:46 | Alienated-Remark 0x6c59…e3bb | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x2fece1… |
| 07-08 21:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xb418c0… |
| 07-08 21:37:16 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xb418c0… |
| 07-08 21:37:16 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb418c0… |
| 07-07 10:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xefeaec… |
| 07-07 10:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xefeaec… |
| 07-07 10:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xefeaec… |
| 07-04 22:33:04 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 89 | 90¢ | $80 | 0x0454c5… |
| 07-04 22:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0454c5… |
| 07-04 22:30:29 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0xa8aad1… |
| 07-04 22:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa8aad1… |
| 07-04 22:30:29 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 90 | 90¢ | $81 | 0xa8aad1… |
| 07-04 22:29:59 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0xeb3cdf… |
| 07-04 22:29:59 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0xeb3cdf… |
| 07-04 22:29:20 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0x267fe4… |
| 07-04 22:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x267fe4… |
| 07-04 22:29:20 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 99 | 90¢ | $89 | 0x267fe4… |
| 07-04 22:29:20 | Joyous-Consequence 0x4b48…35d0 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x267fe4… |
| 07-04 16:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 31 | 89¢ | $28 | 0x97f0ef… |
| 07-04 16:28:35 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 31 | 89¢ | $28 | 0x97f0ef… |
| 07-04 08:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x2d9d…34e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xbc6fdf… |
| 07-04 08:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xbc6fdf… |
| 07-04 05:08:46 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x5de9ee… |
| 07-04 05:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x5de9ee… |
| 07-03 21:57:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0bf56d… |
| 07-03 21:57:53 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0bf56d… |
| 07-03 21:57:53 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x0bf56d… |
| 07-03 21:54:10 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 11¢ | $12 | 0xc1f80f… |
| 07-03 21:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x3e93…bc5d | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xc1f80f… |
| 07-03 21:54:10 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xc1f80f… |
| 07-03 18:48:52 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xd72adc… |
| 07-03 18:48:52 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xd72adc… |
| 07-03 09:05:31 | (anonymous) 0xb15d…558a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xfce4c7… |
| 07-03 09:05:31 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xfce4c7… |
| 07-03 05:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xebaa26… |
| 07-03 05:33:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xebaa26… |
| 07-03 05:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xebaa26… |
| 07-03 05:33:55 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 43 | 87¢ | $38 | 0xebaa26… |
| 07-02 20:26:22 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xa1fe6d… |
| 07-02 20:26:22 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xa1fe6d… |
| 07-02 19:47:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x573522… |
| 07-02 19:47:32 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x573522… |
| 07-02 14:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa61076… |
| 07-02 14:32:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa61076… |
| 07-02 14:32:31 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xa61076… |
| 07-02 05:11:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xa73738… |
| 07-02 05:11:43 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xa73738… |
| 07-01 15:20:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xb6ec79… |
| 07-01 15:20:02 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $0 | 0xb6ec79… |
| 07-01 15:20:02 | Unfolded-Meme 0x7b05…9f01 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xb6ec79… |
| 07-01 15:11:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xf695a0… |
| 07-01 15:11:01 | Innocent-Chairlift 0x303a…2b18 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xf695a0… |
| 07-01 11:15:13 | Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xd1c3d9… |
| 07-01 11:15:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xd1c3d9… |
| 07-01 10:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xb1cbc6… |
| 07-01 10:36:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xb1cbc6… |