Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$43,280
$310 in 24h
Trades
1,196
Unique wallets
296
Liquidity
$12,275
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 11-08 22:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.0¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $7.5K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $24.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $528 | $3.0K | $2.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 52 | $482 | $12.8K | $12.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 63 | $402 | $4.6K | $4.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 151 | $388 | $2.2K | $1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 34 | $704 | $6.8K | $6.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 33 | $366 | $6.7K | $6.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $9 | $577 | $568 |
| Median | 53 | $39 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| Below median | 99 | $190 | $3.4K | $3.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $135 | $793 | $658 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $234 | $187 | +$47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $86 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| unranked | 4 | $38 | $203 | $165 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | +2,222 | $178 | $178 | 9 | 08-02 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa177…6e84 | No | +2,080 | $1,986 | $1,986 | 2 | 10-05 19:32 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +1,576 | $1,414 | $1,414 | 10 | 07-30 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9ea…1043 | No | +1,551 | $1,482 | $1,482 | 2 | 10-15 22:17 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +1,476 | $1,316 | $1,877 | 16 | 09-29 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5da5…e620 | Yes | +999 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-25 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | +693 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 11-08 16:58 |
| Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | +350 | $300 | $870 | 8 | 09-29 01:10 |
| Wavy-Curve 0x5c22…e4db | Yes | +342 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 08-30 07:45 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +330 | $292 | $292 | 3 | 07-17 21:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +289 | $20 | $31 | 20 | 11-02 19:50 |
| Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | +287 | $258 | $1,156 | 20 | 11-08 02:10 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +276 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-26 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc398…9c7f | No | +260 | $247 | $247 | 1 | 10-03 19:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +241 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-26 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +213 | $198 | $513 | 20 | 11-07 03:30 |
| Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | +200 | $164 | $536 | 9 | 09-30 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x680d…a342 | No | +190 | $160 | $160 | 2 | 07-12 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7021…b9bc | Yes | +172 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 11-07 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x441d…8f9c | No | +166 | $154 | $154 | 4 | 09-30 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf39f…83bf | No | +155 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 08-29 22:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +137 | $136 | $522 | 16 | 11-08 22:06 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +126 | $120 | $120 | 3 | 10-26 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +124 | $110 | $111 | 6 | 11-05 10:33 |
| Humiliating-Stepdaughter 0x0cca…700f | No | +112 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 07-30 14:03 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +105 | $98 | $110 | 6 | 09-29 01:10 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +100 | $78 | $710 | 35 | 11-06 10:31 |
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +97 | $21 | $30 | 10 | 06-17 22:05 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +91 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-27 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | +86 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 23:52 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +80 | $72 | $72 | 5 | 10-01 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1549…e0f3 | Yes | +62 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-17 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9c7…a83a | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 09-29 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6017…707e | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 10-29 20:01 |
| Alienated-Remark 0x6c59…e3bb | No | +56 | $46 | $82 | 7 | 07-11 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +49 | $43 | $44 | 8 | 10-12 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +49 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 06-17 22:05 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-23 19:36 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +35 | -$21 | $1,906 | 10 | 11-06 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-18 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-08 21:37 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 08-06 20:55 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $26 | $298 | 29 | 11-07 09:46 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $31 | 26 | 11-05 23:11 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb651…2089 | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-01 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x12b3…e104 | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-25 06:09 |
| Crisp-Outfit 0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd776…674c | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-29 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 06:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 22:06:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x40779b… |
| 11-08 22:06:07 | (anonymous) 0x3744…d422 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x40779b… |
| 11-08 16:58:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x4af395… |
| 11-08 16:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4af395… |
| 11-08 16:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x4af395… |
| 11-08 16:58:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 42 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4af395… |
| 11-08 02:10:19 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x24a5a6… |
| 11-08 02:10:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x24a5a6… |
| 11-07 20:40:22 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 62 | 94¢ | $59 | 0xa3017c… |
| 11-07 20:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x7021…b9bc | Yes | BUY | 62 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xa3017c… |
| 11-07 17:07:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xea73f0… |
| 11-07 17:07:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xea73f0… |
| 11-07 15:55:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 43 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2e4a1f… |
| 11-07 15:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x7021…b9bc | Yes | BUY | 43 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2e4a1f… |
| 11-07 10:50:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x04df2d… |
| 11-07 10:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x04df2d… |
| 11-07 09:46:30 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 104 | 95¢ | $99 | 0x76b32a… |
| 11-07 09:46:30 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x76b32a… |
| 11-07 09:46:30 | (anonymous) 0x7021…b9bc | Yes | BUY | 53 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x76b32a… |
| 11-07 09:46:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8e07c7… |
| 11-07 09:46:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x8e07c7… |
| 11-07 09:46:01 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x8e07c7… |
| 11-07 03:30:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xb97f22… |
| 11-07 03:30:15 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xb97f22… |
| 11-06 21:03:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdd0ee3… |
| 11-06 21:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x22e5…1c0b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdd0ee3… |
| 11-06 15:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x20d085… |
| 11-06 15:33:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x20d085… |
| 11-06 15:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x953f75… |
| 11-06 15:33:25 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x953f75… |
| 11-06 15:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x953f75… |
| 11-06 10:31:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x99007a… |
| 11-06 10:31:09 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 230 | 7¢ | $15 | 0x99007a… |
| 11-06 10:31:09 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 35 | 93¢ | $33 | 0x99007a… |
| 11-06 10:31:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 34 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x99007a… |
| 11-06 10:31:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0x99007a… |
| 11-06 10:31:09 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x99007a… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x90f1…4e4a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x4a76…5b26 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 78 | 95¢ | $74 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 23:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 156 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x820432… |
| 11-05 10:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x85bf39… |
| 11-05 10:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x85bf39… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | (anonymous) 0xe8d6…e410 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b8a…32f0 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x51aa…a8d0 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-04 05:33:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x353c09… |
| 11-03 16:55:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf7ba41… |
| 11-03 16:55:57 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf7ba41… |
| 11-03 16:55:57 | (anonymous) 0x51aa…a8d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf7ba41… |
| 11-03 16:55:57 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf7ba41… |
| 11-03 13:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd9285f… |
| 11-03 13:56:33 | (anonymous) 0xebb1…fb48 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd9285f… |
| 11-03 13:56:00 | (anonymous) 0xebb1…fb48 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x25522a… |
| 11-03 13:56:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 69 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x25522a… |
| 11-03 13:56:00 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x25522a… |
| 11-02 21:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b8a…32f0 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x3bb4d4… |
| 11-02 21:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3bb4d4… |
| 11-02 21:41:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3bb4d4… |
| 11-02 21:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3bb4d4… |
| 11-02 21:41:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3bb4d4… |
| 11-02 20:06:18 | Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x156917… |
| 11-02 20:06:18 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x156917… |
| 11-02 19:50:43 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4556ba… |
| 11-02 19:50:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4556ba… |
| 11-02 19:50:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad37b3… |
| 11-02 19:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42deb2… |
| 11-02 19:50:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42deb2… |
| 11-02 19:50:39 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad37b3… |
| 11-02 19:50:39 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x42deb2… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x3d64…12a1 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x083a…1a75 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | (anonymous) 0xb06c…b574 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x5cda…6561 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 19:50:33 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xbea431… |
| 11-02 14:27:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x288180… |
| 11-02 14:27:49 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x288180… |
| 11-02 14:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x579c…877a | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x288180… |
| 11-01 13:10:22 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0xedd6e3… |
| 11-01 13:10:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xedd6e3… |
| 10-31 10:46:27 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x47df12… |
| 10-31 10:46:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x47df12… |
| 10-30 11:30:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x00a156… |
| 10-30 11:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x00a156… |
| 10-30 02:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x3d64…12a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe4f4b7… |
| 10-30 02:20:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe4f4b7… |
| 10-29 20:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x6017…707e | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xd00467… |
| 10-29 20:01:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd00467… |
| 10-29 17:54:22 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x843ac4… |
| 10-29 17:54:22 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | SELL | 187 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xc22d49… |
| 10-29 17:54:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x843ac4… |