(anonymous) 0xd7765b…fa674c Create alert
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$45
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
56
lifetime
Volume
$1.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$658
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-25 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
68% 67% +$39
Other
32% 80% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,667 $200 14¢ $225 +$25 10-12 18:04
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +111 $100 96¢ $107 +$7 10-06 04:34
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 97¢ $107 +$7 10-06 19:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +125 $52 46¢ $57 +$5 10-12 17:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +38 $30 88¢ $34 +$4 09-29 17:57
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,176 $20 2¢ $29 +$9 10-15 16:56
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? Yes +28 $20 76¢ $22 +$2 09-29 18:00
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête? Knafo +107 $30 13¢ $14 -$16 10-08 16:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 09-29 18:31
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +12 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 09-28 10:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 09-29 18:34
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $20 13¢ $9 -$11 10-08 16:50
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +7 $6 68¢ $5 -$1 10-16 19:15
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-21 16:55
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 09-28 10:28
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 09-28 10:20
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +9 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 10-16 19:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:16
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 09-28 10:08
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? Yes +36 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-25 11:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +12 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-29 18:24
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-29 18:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-29 18:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-29 18:15
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +13 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-29 18:38