US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,263
Trades
411
Unique wallets
221
Liquidity
$4,288
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 20:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $27 | $102 | $75 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $74 | $74 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 199 | $166 | $656 | $490 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $18 | $25 | $7 |
| Median | 31 | $18 | $23 | $5 |
| Below median | 15 | $8 | $57 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | — | $92 | $92 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $5 | $81 | $77 |
| unranked | 156 | $140 | $634 | $495 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | +70 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-01 07:49 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +60 | $7 | $29 | 12 | 06-15 00:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +56 | $48 | $48 | 7 | 06-07 21:34 |
| Prudent-Tackle 0xae8c…1dc0 | No | +47 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cb0…9778 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 20:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-14 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +15 | $2 | $6 | 6 | 06-12 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f63…3b95 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-15 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f0b…e9d9 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x158a…47a7 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | +15 | $13 | $55 | 3 | 06-14 20:56 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-01 07:49 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf461…d797 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb60e…2679 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-28 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x61b0…c45f | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 22:22 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x78eb…6d30 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2d8…bae7 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2d9…9e03 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdb3…70d6 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ab…16aa | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8387…37df | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5403…b517 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 09:56 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-15 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ab…16aa | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | No | +10 | $9 | $17 | 2 | 06-12 17:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2b3…3cf0 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 03:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7796…076f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc206…db39 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0d…624f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bdd…6e14 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d99…bed6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x535f…8d2b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x87cf…a6fd | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-15 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf732…836b | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5b6…9010 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 17:14 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-06 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xab1f…1574 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xde82…f7d8 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 16:23 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6b…16eb | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 09:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc607…c644 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0fc…37c2 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3175…c434 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 09:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ea0…0bd5 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 00:41 |
| Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x519b…0604 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cf3…0db3 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d4c…fdba | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 21:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-14 23:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 20:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xe8dd…a010 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xff009e… |
| 06-16 20:12:53 | (anonymous) 0x4189…cb29 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xff009e… |
| 06-16 19:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x3bdd…6e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x54514e… |
| 06-16 19:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x61fb…6e6d | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x54514e… |
| 06-16 18:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x4f69…20b0 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x68529d… |
| 06-16 18:31:19 | (anonymous) 0xd189…1bfa | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x68529d… |
| 06-16 16:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x778f…366c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x65b235… |
| 06-16 16:23:37 | (anonymous) 0xde82…f7d8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x65b235… |
| 06-16 16:10:35 | (anonymous) 0xe66b…42de | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x16855e… |
| 06-16 16:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x519b…0604 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x16855e… |
| 06-16 13:55:29 | (anonymous) 0xc681…58ce | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xa5b800… |
| 06-16 13:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x2cf3…0db3 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xa5b800… |
| 06-16 12:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x778f…366c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa0965e… |
| 06-16 12:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x6d1b…35c6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa0965e… |
| 06-16 12:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x8387…37df | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd01ff3… |
| 06-16 12:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x06cb…2a3a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd01ff3… |
| 06-16 09:12:31 | (anonymous) 0x6d1b…35c6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9c5548… |
| 06-16 09:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xca4a…e55b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9c5548… |
| 06-16 05:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x0d4f…fa7d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x347b27… |
| 06-16 05:38:30 | (anonymous) 0xd845…4835 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x347b27… |
| 06-16 04:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x31b0…54bd | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xd016a5… |
| 06-16 04:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x7c1c…6a3a | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xd016a5… |
| 06-15 23:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x87cf…a6fd | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x940b1e… |
| 06-15 23:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xc419…3b35 | No | SELL | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x940b1e… |
| 06-15 22:52:57 | (anonymous) 0xe515…023a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xca6bdf… |
| 06-15 22:52:57 | (anonymous) 0x161f…abe7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xca6bdf… |
| 06-15 19:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x82f3…1e99 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0a2595… |
| 06-15 19:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x161f…abe7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0a2595… |
| 06-15 19:00:55 | (anonymous) 0xff43…80b2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8d0b24… |
| 06-15 19:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x82f3…1e99 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8d0b24… |
| 06-15 15:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x535f…8d2b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0c88f8… |
| 06-15 15:54:37 | (anonymous) 0xcc62…0ff0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0c88f8… |
| 06-15 12:40:40 | (anonymous) 0x02c2…ac3f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x878210… |
| 06-15 12:40:40 | (anonymous) 0xbce0…78cb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x878210… |
| 06-15 12:21:45 | (anonymous) 0x02c2…ac3f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x17a868… |
| 06-15 12:21:45 | Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x17a868… |
| 06-15 12:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x8004…68f1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x91b76e… |
| 06-15 12:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x4f63…3b95 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x91b76e… |
| 06-15 08:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x8095…5d41 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcb7304… |
| 06-15 08:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x0d99…bed6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcb7304… |
| 06-15 06:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x8095…5d41 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbe3a6b… |
| 06-15 06:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x5d45…129b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbe3a6b… |
| 06-15 04:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x69a8…da51 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfa5b89… |
| 06-15 04:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x8004…68f1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfa5b89… |
| 06-15 00:11:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x33f70b… |
| 06-15 00:11:51 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x33f70b… |
| 06-14 23:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x5c4f…72be | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x6717d7… |
| 06-14 23:58:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6717d7… |
| 06-14 23:58:00 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x6717d7… |
| 06-14 23:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x56a706… |
| 06-14 23:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x56a706… |
| 06-14 23:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x5c4f…72be | No | SELL | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x56a706… |
| 06-14 23:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x0a1b…b45d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x56a706… |
| 06-14 23:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x87ce…b622 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x1ae727… |
| 06-14 23:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x1ae727… |
| 06-14 23:11:01 | (anonymous) 0xe7d0…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x1ae727… |
| 06-14 23:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x115f88… |
| 06-14 23:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x2529…51f8 | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x115f88… |
| 06-14 23:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x5896…447c | No | SELL | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0x115f88… |
| 06-14 23:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x69bc3d… |
| 06-14 23:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x87ce…b622 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x248e64… |
| 06-14 23:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x69bc3d… |
| 06-14 23:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x248e64… |
| 06-14 23:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x2529…51f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x4cef9a… |
| 06-14 23:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x0a1b…b45d | Yes | BUY | 35 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xec48c0… |
| 06-14 23:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x0a1b…b45d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x4cef9a… |
| 06-14 23:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x5896…447c | No | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xec48c0… |
| 06-14 22:06:18 | (anonymous) 0xcdff…7b53 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe49829… |
| 06-14 22:06:18 | (anonymous) 0xcc62…0ff0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe49829… |
| 06-14 21:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x4563…4850 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x2f59be… |
| 06-14 21:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x6dc5…29da | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x2f59be… |
| 06-14 20:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x0424…f722 | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x974127… |
| 06-14 20:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x974127… |
| 06-14 20:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x012b…8ea2 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x974127… |
| 06-14 20:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x974127… |
| 06-14 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x8612…a89a | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x1201a7… |
| 06-14 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | SELL | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x1201a7… |
| 06-14 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x1201a7… |
| 06-14 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x1201a7… |
| 06-14 20:55:33 | (anonymous) 0x5d71…08a9 | No | SELL | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x149cbf… |
| 06-14 20:55:33 | (anonymous) 0x039b…f701 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x149cbf… |
| 06-14 20:55:33 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x149cbf… |
| 06-14 20:55:33 | (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x149cbf… |
| 06-14 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x012b…8ea2 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xcbbba8… |
| 06-14 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xcbbba8… |
| 06-14 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x0424…f722 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xee3c17… |
| 06-14 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xee3c17… |
| 06-14 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xa5e703… |
| 06-14 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xa5e703… |
| 06-14 20:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x8612…a89a | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x73cae9… |
| 06-14 20:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x925f0c… |
| 06-14 20:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x039b…f701 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x73cae9… |
| 06-14 20:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x039b…f701 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x853de1… |
| 06-14 20:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x039b…f701 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x925f0c… |
| 06-14 20:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x853de1… |
| 06-14 20:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x145364… |
| 06-14 20:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x203a21… |
| 06-14 20:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x145364… |
| 06-14 20:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x26f45d… |
| 06-14 20:52:21 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x203a21… |