US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
open
Total volume
$141,195
Trades
1,427
Unique wallets
577
Liquidity
$4,288
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-18 09:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.3¢
(top1%: 18% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $73.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $104 | $426 | $322 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $29 | $4.4K | $4.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 52 | $332 | $9.9K | $9.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 502 | $5.7K | $52.4K | $46.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $200 | $929 | $729 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $50 | $272 | $221 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 30 | $454 | $9.1K | $8.6K |
| Median | 58 | $313 | $506 | $193 |
| Below median | 42 | $529 | $4.3K | $3.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $218 | $888 | $669 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | — | $646 | $646 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $67 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| unranked | 404 | $4.3K | $46.9K | $42.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +3,641 | $3,271 | $3,271 | 19 | 07-26 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c1…f6be | Yes | +2,320 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-17 12:35 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +1,000 | $929 | $929 | 2 | 07-17 12:35 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +634 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 07-06 10:40 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +380 | $341 | $377 | 3 | 07-27 19:35 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +315 | $20 | $37 | 10 | 08-17 12:47 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | +293 | $26 | $27 | 4 | 08-02 01:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | +233 | $216 | $216 | 7 | 08-17 12:48 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +228 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-01 21:46 |
| Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | +180 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 08-18 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x680d…a342 | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-12 16:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +109 | $13 | $50 | 29 | 07-24 05:55 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +89 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-26 13:25 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +52 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-22 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 03:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +42 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 08-05 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x79de…dd83 | No | +41 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-01 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 08-01 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +37 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 08-01 12:05 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-06 10:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-06 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cb0…9778 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 20:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 17:48 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-18 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f63…3b95 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-17 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e80…08a2 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-01 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1cf…bd58 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-14 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3472…de17 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x73a2…da43 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 06:48 |
| Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +15 | $2 | $17 | 17 | 07-05 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8425…f634 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x158a…47a7 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | +15 | $13 | $55 | 3 | 06-14 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f0b…e9d9 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:47 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-17 12:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2428…0fa3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 17:33 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x73e3…d246 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf461…d797 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x326c…3c06 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 19:03 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2d8…bae7 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7872…a472 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2d9…9e03 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x43f6…b854 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xcca0…68fc | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ab…16aa | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | No | +10 | $9 | $17 | 2 | 06-12 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-28 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x69f5…8718 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-25 07:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 09:39:00 | Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6735d7… |
| 08-18 09:39:00 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6735d7… |
| 08-18 09:39:00 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x6735d7… |
| 08-18 09:39:00 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x6735d7… |
| 08-17 12:48:01 | Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xbd0d3f… |
| 08-17 12:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xbd0d3f… |
| 08-17 12:47:42 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb8a… |
| 08-17 12:47:42 | (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb8a… |
| 08-17 12:47:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x511c72… |
| 08-17 12:47:28 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x511c72… |
| 08-17 12:47:28 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x511c72… |
| 08-17 12:47:28 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 158 | 93¢ | $147 | 0x511c72… |
| 08-17 12:47:28 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x511c72… |
| 08-17 12:47:28 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 99 | 93¢ | $92 | 0x511c72… |
| 08-11 14:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x521d…182a | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x4475b2… |
| 08-11 14:14:42 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x4475b2… |
| 08-10 10:06:43 | (anonymous) 0x8e36…ddfa | No | SELL | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0x573347… |
| 08-10 10:06:43 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0x573347… |
| 08-07 15:26:09 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x524749… |
| 08-07 15:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x524749… |
| 08-06 23:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x042623… |
| 08-06 23:14:05 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x042623… |
| 08-05 18:47:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xc5931c… |
| 08-05 18:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc5931c… |
| 08-05 18:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc5931c… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x57a35a… |
| 08-03 06:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x9d8f…11a6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x57a35a… |
| 08-03 05:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x9f1d…41bb | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xe18999… |
| 08-03 05:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xe18999… |
| 08-02 01:42:48 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x09f3c6… |
| 08-02 01:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x09f3c6… |
| 08-02 01:03:57 | Mortified-Lounge 0x98ad…fcf6 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x4efeb4… |
| 08-02 01:03:57 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…42b8 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x4efeb4… |
| 08-01 12:05:27 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x588669… |
| 08-01 12:05:27 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x588669… |
| 08-01 12:05:27 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x588669… |
| 08-01 12:05:27 | (anonymous) 0x2e80…08a2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x588669… |
| 08-01 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x32c5…0763 | No | SELL | 479 | 91¢ | $436 | 0xfb8e66… |
| 08-01 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x9d8f…11a6 | Yes | SELL | 999 | 9¢ | $90 | 0xfb8e66… |
| 08-01 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x40be…8c0d | No | SELL | 520 | 91¢ | $473 | 0xfb8e66… |
| 08-01 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x9f1d…41bb | No | SELL | 474 | 91¢ | $431 | 0x116f99… |
| 08-01 08:28:11 | (anonymous) 0xdaa9…125f | Yes | SELL | 474 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x116f99… |
| 08-01 08:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xdaa9…125f | Yes | SELL | 523 | 9¢ | $47 | 0x586dc8… |
| 08-01 08:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x7305…6f3b | No | SELL | 523 | 91¢ | $476 | 0x586dc8… |
| 08-01 08:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x5bd7…9bcc | Yes | SELL | 442 | 9¢ | $40 | 0xbbbb4c… |
| 08-01 08:27:00 | (anonymous) 0xcdda…54c6 | Yes | SELL | 511 | 9¢ | $46 | 0x229458… |
| 08-01 08:27:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf47…685d | No | SELL | 442 | 91¢ | $402 | 0xbbbb4c… |
| 08-01 08:27:00 | (anonymous) 0xf282…ce1e | No | SELL | 511 | 91¢ | $465 | 0x229458… |
| 08-01 08:26:59 | (anonymous) 0xb5a2…94c1 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x9992d5… |
| 08-01 08:26:59 | (anonymous) 0xcdda…54c6 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x9992d5… |
| 08-01 08:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x4a0a…e5de | No | SELL | 534 | 91¢ | $486 | 0xd1ee5a… |
| 08-01 08:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x5bd7…9bcc | Yes | SELL | 534 | 9¢ | $48 | 0xd1ee5a… |
| 08-01 07:39:35 | (anonymous) 0x5bd7…9bcc | Yes | BUY | 442 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x502d5d… |
| 08-01 07:39:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf47…685d | No | BUY | 442 | 91¢ | $402 | 0x502d5d… |
| 08-01 07:39:30 | (anonymous) 0x5bd7…9bcc | Yes | BUY | 534 | 9¢ | $48 | 0xf849eb… |
| 08-01 07:39:30 | (anonymous) 0x4a0a…e5de | No | BUY | 534 | 91¢ | $486 | 0xf849eb… |
| 08-01 07:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xcdda…54c6 | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x4f6b39… |
| 08-01 07:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xb5a2…94c1 | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x4f6b39… |
| 08-01 07:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xf282…ce1e | No | BUY | 511 | 91¢ | $465 | 0x5daaf5… |
| 08-01 07:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xcdda…54c6 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 9¢ | $46 | 0x5daaf5… |
| 08-01 07:30:12 | (anonymous) 0xdaa9…125f | Yes | BUY | 477 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x163631… |
| 08-01 07:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x9f1d…41bb | No | BUY | 477 | 91¢ | $434 | 0x163631… |
| 08-01 07:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x40be…8c0d | No | BUY | 520 | 91¢ | $473 | 0xad7922… |
| 08-01 07:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xdaa9…125f | Yes | BUY | 520 | 9¢ | $47 | 0xad7922… |
| 08-01 07:28:48 | (anonymous) 0x32c5…0763 | No | BUY | 479 | 91¢ | $436 | 0x1de793… |
| 08-01 07:28:48 | (anonymous) 0x9d8f…11a6 | Yes | BUY | 479 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x1de793… |
| 08-01 07:28:45 | (anonymous) 0x9d8f…11a6 | Yes | BUY | 523 | 9¢ | $47 | 0x75b947… |
| 08-01 07:28:45 | (anonymous) 0x7305…6f3b | No | BUY | 523 | 91¢ | $476 | 0x75b947… |
| 08-01 04:46:42 | Inexperienced-Prize 0x1f80…0010 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x738c5b… |
| 08-01 04:46:42 | Lovely-Front-Loaf 0x63af…31ed | No | SELL | 455 | 91¢ | $414 | 0x738c5b… |
| 08-01 04:46:42 | Dazzling-Teller 0xaa0a…fce1 | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0x738c5b… |
| 08-01 04:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x77d6…c7bb | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0x1d5cc6… |
| 08-01 04:46:29 | Deep-Brooch 0x433f…95b4 | No | SELL | 445 | 91¢ | $405 | 0x1d5cc6… |
| 08-01 04:46:29 | Extroverted-Passbook 0x8639…955b | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x1d5cc6… |
| 08-01 04:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x9e77…7bd2 | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0x8e0f98… |
| 08-01 04:45:00 | Handsome-Dill 0x9197…f9b9 | No | SELL | 455 | 91¢ | $414 | 0x8e0f98… |
| 08-01 04:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x4d35…ba43 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x8e0f98… |
| 08-01 04:44:48 | Visible-Vinegar 0xc4b1…016e | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0xabf02c… |
| 08-01 04:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xa40e…fda0 | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0xabf02c… |
| 08-01 04:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x1ca4…a466 | No | SELL | 445 | 91¢ | $405 | 0xabf02c… |
| 08-01 04:42:23 | Shabby-Fascia 0x5fd1…e076 | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0x5e66a4… |
| 08-01 04:42:23 | (anonymous) 0xe126…26f7 | No | SELL | 455 | 91¢ | $414 | 0x5e66a4… |
| 08-01 04:42:23 | Adolescent-Alloy 0x90de…e3ac | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x5e66a4… |
| 08-01 04:42:12 | (anonymous) 0x5b65…153e | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0xc6462d… |
| 08-01 04:42:12 | Finished-Melatonin 0x9c2e…77e6 | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0xc6462d… |
| 08-01 04:42:12 | (anonymous) 0xa7f4…38e3 | No | SELL | 445 | 91¢ | $405 | 0xc6462d… |
| 08-01 04:41:53 | Palatable-Dam 0xdb82…13d8 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x9e5375… |
| 08-01 04:41:53 | (anonymous) 0x6330…6ff0 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x9e5375… |
| 08-01 04:41:45 | Palatable-Dam 0xdb82…13d8 | Yes | SELL | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xdfbd36… |
| 08-01 04:41:45 | Unwitting-Rheumatism 0x2218…aa98 | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0xdfbd36… |
| 08-01 04:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…7e61 | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x97108d… |
| 08-01 04:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x2d5d…16fe | Yes | SELL | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x97108d… |
| 08-01 04:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x2d5d…16fe | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x6820c9… |
| 08-01 04:41:24 | Afraid-Hardcover 0x4dc8…cc5f | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x6820c9… |
| 08-01 04:38:53 | Minor-Pagan 0x1150…4347 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0xc50e39… |
| 08-01 04:38:53 | Active-Faith 0xdfbf…2391 | No | SELL | 455 | 91¢ | $414 | 0xc50e39… |
| 08-01 04:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x8b1a…8ebd | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0xc50e39… |
| 08-01 04:38:39 | Creamy-Nightmare 0x667c…e75a | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x10be83… |
| 08-01 04:38:39 | Impossible-Downforce 0xc62f…f8ae | No | SELL | 445 | 91¢ | $405 | 0x10be83… |
| 08-01 04:38:39 | Improbable-Typewriter 0xeea5…b6d1 | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0x10be83… |