US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
open
Total volume
$13,846
Trades
720
Unique wallets
331
Liquidity
$4,288
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 12:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $60 | $302 | $242 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | — | $832 | $832 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $1 | $382 | $381 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 298 | $802 | $4.9K | $4.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $14 | $215 | $202 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $33 | $83 | $50 |
| Median | 47 | $28 | $63 | $35 |
| Below median | 22 | $12 | $104 | $93 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $71 | $12 | +$59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | — | $268 | $268 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $26 | $888 | $862 |
| unranked | 231 | $679 | $4.8K | $4.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +698 | $620 | $620 | 5 | 07-06 10:40 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +634 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 07-06 10:40 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +228 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-01 21:46 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | +186 | $158 | $158 | 4 | 06-28 13:10 |
| Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-05 02:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +94 | $11 | $49 | 28 | 07-01 21:46 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +93 | $81 | $81 | 11 | 07-06 10:35 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +80 | $63 | $99 | 2 | 07-02 03:00 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-22 10:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +52 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-22 10:01 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +49 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-01 21:46 |
| Prudent-Tackle 0xae8c…1dc0 | No | +47 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x79de…dd83 | No | +41 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-01 20:32 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | No | +36 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 06-28 13:10 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | No | +34 | $29 | $29 | 10 | 06-30 09:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-07 20:40 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-06 10:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-06 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cb0…9778 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 20:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f63…3b95 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-17 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x21ef…c270 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 20:40 |
| Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-28 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-14 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-28 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x73a2…da43 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +15 | $2 | $17 | 17 | 07-05 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | +15 | $13 | $55 | 3 | 06-14 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x158a…47a7 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f0b…e9d9 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2428…0fa3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 17:33 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf461…d797 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x73e3…d246 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x326c…3c06 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 19:03 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +12 | $10 | $156 | 11 | 07-08 12:39 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2d9…9e03 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2d8…bae7 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x30c6…dab4 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e0a…3381 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x89e1…54bc | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5403…b517 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8387…37df | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca0…a2ee | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ab…16aa | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-28 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | No | +10 | $9 | $17 | 2 | 06-12 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ab…16aa | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d99…bed6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa784…e121 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ceb…adc0 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7796…076f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xab1f…1574 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae3…aaed | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-16 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x029c…17a2 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-22 13:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 12:39:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xbfc118… |
| 07-08 12:39:11 | (anonymous) 0x1f2a…a71a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xbfc118… |
| 07-08 12:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x1f2a…a71a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x353835… |
| 07-08 12:34:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x353835… |
| 07-08 09:14:17 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc1d341… |
| 07-08 09:14:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc1d341… |
| 07-08 09:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | SELL | 590 | 11¢ | $65 | 0x756ee4… |
| 07-08 09:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x8750…08a0 | No | SELL | 590 | 89¢ | $525 | 0x756ee4… |
| 07-08 09:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xb75f…71f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe8f1df… |
| 07-08 09:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | SELL | 507 | 11¢ | $56 | 0xe8f1df… |
| 07-08 09:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x7bf6…a200 | No | SELL | 512 | 89¢ | $456 | 0xe8f1df… |
| 07-08 09:12:55 | (anonymous) 0xb75f…71f8 | Yes | SELL | 577 | 11¢ | $63 | 0x379286… |
| 07-08 09:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x0f14…9d3d | No | SELL | 577 | 89¢ | $514 | 0x379286… |
| 07-08 09:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xb75f…71f8 | Yes | SELL | 520 | 11¢ | $57 | 0xb7ac38… |
| 07-08 09:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb7ac38… |
| 07-08 09:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xddb7…0af6 | No | SELL | 525 | 89¢ | $467 | 0xb7ac38… |
| 07-08 09:10:11 | (anonymous) 0xe20f…a51b | No | SELL | 532 | 89¢ | $473 | 0x15fe52… |
| 07-08 09:10:11 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | Yes | SELL | 532 | 11¢ | $59 | 0x15fe52… |
| 07-08 09:10:10 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | Yes | SELL | 565 | 11¢ | $62 | 0x362d43… |
| 07-08 09:10:10 | (anonymous) 0xac46…eb50 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x362d43… |
| 07-08 09:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x8e38…fd5c | No | SELL | 570 | 89¢ | $507 | 0x362d43… |
| 07-08 09:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0bf17c… |
| 07-08 09:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5edf…b2e3 | No | SELL | 555 | 89¢ | $494 | 0x0bf17c… |
| 07-08 09:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xac46…eb50 | Yes | SELL | 547 | 11¢ | $60 | 0x3a71d7… |
| 07-08 09:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x30c8…bc09 | No | SELL | 547 | 89¢ | $487 | 0x3a71d7… |
| 07-08 09:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xac46…eb50 | Yes | SELL | 550 | 11¢ | $60 | 0x0bf17c… |
| 07-08 08:27:17 | (anonymous) 0x8750…08a0 | No | BUY | 590 | 89¢ | $525 | 0x2e7c60… |
| 07-08 08:27:17 | (anonymous) 0xb75f…71f8 | Yes | BUY | 1,102 | 11¢ | $121 | 0x2e7c60… |
| 07-08 08:27:17 | (anonymous) 0x7bf6…a200 | No | BUY | 512 | 89¢ | $456 | 0x2e7c60… |
| 07-08 08:26:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xbd033b… |
| 07-08 08:26:26 | (anonymous) 0xb75f…71f8 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xbd033b… |
| 07-08 08:26:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xffa088… |
| 07-08 08:26:19 | (anonymous) 0xb75f…71f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xffa088… |
| 07-08 08:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x0f14…9d3d | No | BUY | 577 | 89¢ | $514 | 0x386f9d… |
| 07-08 08:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | BUY | 577 | 11¢ | $63 | 0x386f9d… |
| 07-08 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xddb7…0af6 | No | BUY | 525 | 89¢ | $467 | 0x4e8e03… |
| 07-08 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | BUY | 525 | 11¢ | $58 | 0x4e8e03… |
| 07-08 08:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x8e38…fd5c | No | BUY | 570 | 89¢ | $507 | 0x6a907b… |
| 07-08 08:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xac46…eb50 | Yes | BUY | 532 | 11¢ | $59 | 0x17d588… |
| 07-08 08:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xac46…eb50 | Yes | BUY | 570 | 11¢ | $63 | 0x6a907b… |
| 07-08 08:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xe20f…a51b | No | BUY | 532 | 89¢ | $473 | 0x17d588… |
| 07-08 08:16:44 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | Yes | BUY | 555 | 11¢ | $61 | 0x07bbdf… |
| 07-08 08:16:44 | (anonymous) 0x5edf…b2e3 | No | BUY | 555 | 89¢ | $494 | 0x07bbdf… |
| 07-08 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x30c8…bc09 | No | BUY | 547 | 89¢ | $487 | 0x36aeee… |
| 07-08 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | Yes | BUY | 547 | 11¢ | $60 | 0x36aeee… |
| 07-08 06:48:58 | (anonymous) 0xbce0…78cb | Yes | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa46c56… |
| 07-08 06:48:58 | (anonymous) 0x73a2…da43 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa46c56… |
| 07-08 02:06:50 | (anonymous) 0xff1e…d670 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdd97c2… |
| 07-08 02:06:50 | (anonymous) 0x9e0a…3381 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdd97c2… |
| 07-07 22:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xcdb3…70d6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x691132… |
| 07-07 22:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xff1e…d670 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x691132… |
| 07-07 20:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc9dc13… |
| 07-07 20:56:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc9dc13… |
| 07-07 20:40:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 24 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xfc959c… |
| 07-07 20:40:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xfc959c… |
| 07-07 20:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0xfc959c… |
| 07-07 17:33:32 | (anonymous) 0x2428…0fa3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x812720… |
| 07-07 17:33:32 | (anonymous) 0x327a…4dfc | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x812720… |
| 07-07 13:09:25 | Miserable-Cupboard 0xfeeb…98f7 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xfb9404… |
| 07-07 13:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x327a…4dfc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xfb9404… |
| 07-07 08:51:11 | (anonymous) 0xbce0…78cb | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x10d26d… |
| 07-07 08:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x535f…8d2b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x10d26d… |
| 07-07 07:56:26 | Miserable-Cupboard 0xfeeb…98f7 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x639261… |
| 07-07 07:56:26 | (anonymous) 0x996c…ce12 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x639261… |
| 07-07 04:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x535f…8d2b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6b5852… |
| 07-07 04:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x8d3c…7fe8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6b5852… |
| 07-06 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x8d3c…7fe8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3242b5… |
| 07-06 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x547b…c543 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3242b5… |
| 07-06 20:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x3980…2236 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d4e32… |
| 07-06 20:16:56 | (anonymous) 0xc68f…7a2a | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d4e32… |
| 07-06 20:06:47 | Animated-Dimple 0xac7c…9430 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfb7c8f… |
| 07-06 20:06:47 | (anonymous) 0xb089…9ac0 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfb7c8f… |
| 07-06 19:24:20 | (anonymous) 0xc681…58ce | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf03687… |
| 07-06 19:24:20 | (anonymous) 0x89e1…54bc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf03687… |
| 07-06 15:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x0ca0…a2ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x226e5b… |
| 07-06 15:00:23 | (anonymous) 0xc8ee…6fe6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x226e5b… |
| 07-06 10:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x358a…e8fa | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9e1994… |
| 07-06 10:42:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x9e1994… |
| 07-06 10:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xd65b41… |
| 07-06 10:40:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 60 | 89¢ | $53 | 0xd65b41… |
| 07-06 10:40:07 | Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | BUY | 347 | 12¢ | $40 | 0xd65b41… |
| 07-06 10:40:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xd65b41… |
| 07-06 10:40:07 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 209 | 88¢ | $184 | 0xd65b41… |
| 07-06 10:35:56 | Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | BUY | 279 | 11¢ | $30 | 0xa47e99… |
| 07-06 10:35:56 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 27 | 90¢ | $25 | 0xa47e99… |
| 07-06 10:35:56 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xa47e99… |
| 07-06 10:35:56 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 232 | 89¢ | $206 | 0xa47e99… |
| 07-06 06:50:02 | (anonymous) 0x358a…e8fa | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2eadce… |
| 07-06 06:50:02 | (anonymous) 0x2124…1e93 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2eadce… |
| 07-06 06:49:53 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xafb462… |
| 07-06 06:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x2124…1e93 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xafb462… |
| 07-06 02:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x21ef…c270 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe9f3a3… |
| 07-06 02:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x2fca…d775 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe9f3a3… |
| 07-06 01:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x3f26…5ab2 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x0bf6bf… |
| 07-06 01:32:16 | (anonymous) 0xd04b…c937 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x0bf6bf… |
| 07-05 23:21:43 | (anonymous) 0xc63b…5d7b | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x3b7118… |
| 07-05 23:21:43 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x3b7118… |
| 07-05 15:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xec9a…543f | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc0d531… |
| 07-05 15:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x73e3…d246 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc0d531… |
| 07-05 13:48:34 | (anonymous) 0xa174…5496 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x4b2feb… |