US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
open
Total volume
$91,847
Trades
1,182
Unique wallets
496
Liquidity
$4,288
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-27 19:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.3¢
(top1%: 18% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $48.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $103 | $408 | $305 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $26 | $4.4K | $4.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $206 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 445 | $3.8K | $37.6K | $33.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $200 | $929 | $729 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $43 | $254 | $211 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $94 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| Median | 59 | $230 | $952 | $721 |
| Below median | 33 | $137 | $2.7K | $2.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $71 | $13 | +$58 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | — | $646 | $646 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $67 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| unranked | 360 | $3.3K | $32.8K | $29.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +3,641 | $3,271 | $3,271 | 19 | 07-26 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c1…f6be | Yes | +2,320 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-17 12:35 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +1,000 | $929 | $929 | 2 | 07-17 12:35 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +634 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 07-06 10:40 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +380 | $341 | $377 | 3 | 07-27 19:35 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | +298 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 07-24 07:01 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +276 | $17 | $34 | 6 | 07-27 19:35 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +228 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-01 21:46 |
| Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | +130 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-16 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x680d…a342 | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-12 16:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +109 | $13 | $50 | 29 | 07-24 05:55 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +89 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-26 13:25 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-22 10:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +52 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-22 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x79de…dd83 | No | +41 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-01 20:32 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-06 10:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-19 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-06 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-24 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 07-26 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cb0…9778 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 20:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f63…3b95 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-17 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1cf…bd58 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-14 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3472…de17 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x73a2…da43 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 06:48 |
| Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +15 | $2 | $17 | 17 | 07-05 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8425…f634 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | +15 | $13 | $55 | 3 | 06-14 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f0b…e9d9 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x158a…47a7 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2428…0fa3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 17:33 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf461…d797 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x73e3…d246 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x326c…3c06 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 19:03 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2d8…bae7 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x43f6…b854 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2d9…9e03 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7872…a472 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x89e1…54bc | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e0a…3381 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x521d…182a | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-25 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xcca0…68fc | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-28 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x69f5…8718 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-25 07:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ab…16aa | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | No | +10 | $9 | $17 | 2 | 06-12 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae3…aaed | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-16 23:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 19:35:57 | Appropriate-Cathedral 0x70ad…f1df | No | SELL | 70 | 92¢ | $64 | 0x348b70… |
| 07-27 19:35:57 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 213 | 7¢ | $15 | 0x348b70… |
| 07-27 19:35:57 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x348b70… |
| 07-27 19:35:57 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x348b70… |
| 07-27 19:35:57 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 300 | 93¢ | $278 | 0x348b70… |
| 07-27 19:35:57 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x348b70… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | Appropriate-Cathedral 0x70ad…f1df | No | BUY | 23 | 89¢ | $21 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 13:25:27 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xdd9c96… |
| 07-26 01:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xf0a9…c5e8 | Yes | SELL | 286 | 8¢ | $23 | 0x8b2042… |
| 07-26 01:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x8b2042… |
| 07-26 01:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xeca1…8919 | No | SELL | 265 | 92¢ | $244 | 0x8b2042… |
| 07-26 01:05:39 | Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8b2042… |
| 07-26 01:05:27 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 286 | 90¢ | $257 | 0xffcbfd… |
| 07-26 01:05:27 | (anonymous) 0xf0a9…c5e8 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 10¢ | $29 | 0xffcbfd… |
| 07-25 07:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xeca1…8919 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x5fd9d5… |
| 07-25 07:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x69f5…8718 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x5fd9d5… |
| 07-25 00:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x521d…182a | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x0d422a… |
| 07-25 00:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xeca1…8919 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x0d422a… |
| 07-24 08:05:22 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x801f33… |
| 07-24 08:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x859f…063b | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x801f33… |
| 07-24 08:03:49 | (anonymous) 0xf0a9…c5e8 | Yes | SELL | 936 | 9¢ | $84 | 0x0c0855… |
| 07-24 08:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0c0855… |
| 07-24 08:03:49 | (anonymous) 0xc56e…4805 | No | SELL | 456 | 91¢ | $415 | 0x0c0855… |
| 07-24 08:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x859f…063b | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x0c0855… |
| 07-24 08:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x4da7…b77a | No | SELL | 458 | 91¢ | $417 | 0xf4d207… |
| 07-24 08:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x2790…6ce3 | Yes | SELL | 936 | 9¢ | $84 | 0xf4d207… |
| 07-24 08:03:30 | (anonymous) 0xd6b8…e278 | No | SELL | 478 | 91¢ | $435 | 0xf4d207… |
| 07-24 07:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x009a…8d4a | No | SELL | 453 | 91¢ | $412 | 0xd45edc… |
| 07-24 07:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x908a…f02d | No | SELL | 478 | 91¢ | $435 | 0xd45edc… |
| 07-24 07:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xc792…e6eb | Yes | SELL | 931 | 9¢ | $84 | 0xd45edc… |
| 07-24 07:57:18 | (anonymous) 0xe9af…0f6c | No | SELL | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0x2c7e94… |
| 07-24 07:57:18 | (anonymous) 0x46db…15d2 | Yes | SELL | 480 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x2c7e94… |
| 07-24 07:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x46db…15d2 | Yes | SELL | 451 | 9¢ | $41 | 0xf4a59d… |
| 07-24 07:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x1785…ddf3 | No | SELL | 451 | 91¢ | $410 | 0xf4a59d… |
| 07-24 07:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xdcd7…13e6 | No | SELL | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0x27b6e9… |
| 07-24 07:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x54ee…fdba | No | SELL | 450 | 91¢ | $409 | 0x27b6e9… |
| 07-24 07:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x11b8…2f67 | Yes | SELL | 930 | 9¢ | $84 | 0x27b6e9… |
| 07-24 07:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xb1b0…e9f6 | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x73ab7c… |
| 07-24 07:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x7e27…147e | Yes | SELL | 930 | 9¢ | $84 | 0x73ab7c… |
| 07-24 07:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xe3e0…93df | No | SELL | 460 | 91¢ | $419 | 0x73ab7c… |
| 07-24 07:47:49 | (anonymous) 0x5ce6…544d | Yes | SELL | 634 | 8¢ | $51 | 0xc4b74f… |
| 07-24 07:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xeca1…8919 | No | SELL | 154 | 92¢ | $142 | 0xc4b74f… |
| 07-24 07:47:49 | (anonymous) 0x46d6…04a5 | No | SELL | 480 | 92¢ | $442 | 0xc4b74f… |
| 07-24 07:46:03 | (anonymous) 0x96c1…0724 | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0xd68528… |
| 07-24 07:46:03 | (anonymous) 0x74be…141e | No | SELL | 450 | 91¢ | $410 | 0xd68528… |
| 07-24 07:46:03 | (anonymous) 0x1d35…afbe | Yes | SELL | 920 | 9¢ | $83 | 0xd68528… |
| 07-24 07:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xd72a…5ab8 | No | SELL | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0xfb6b88… |
| 07-24 07:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xf59c…9f3f | No | SELL | 450 | 91¢ | $410 | 0xfb6b88… |
| 07-24 07:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x7083…be50 | Yes | SELL | 930 | 9¢ | $84 | 0xfb6b88… |
| 07-24 07:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x0c09…24eb | Yes | SELL | 930 | 9¢ | $84 | 0x8181cc… |
| 07-24 07:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x734d…092e | No | SELL | 460 | 91¢ | $419 | 0x8181cc… |
| 07-24 07:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x40be…43ff | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x8181cc… |
| 07-24 07:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x2790…6ce3 | Yes | BUY | 480 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x03d865… |
| 07-24 07:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x859f…063b | No | BUY | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0x03d865… |
| 07-24 07:39:33 | (anonymous) 0xc56e…4805 | No | BUY | 456 | 91¢ | $415 | 0x3cd77a… |
| 07-24 07:39:33 | (anonymous) 0x2790…6ce3 | Yes | BUY | 456 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x3cd77a… |
| 07-24 07:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xf0a9…c5e8 | Yes | BUY | 478 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xea948a… |
| 07-24 07:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xd6b8…e278 | No | BUY | 478 | 91¢ | $435 | 0xea948a… |
| 07-24 07:38:57 | (anonymous) 0x4da7…b77a | No | BUY | 458 | 91¢ | $417 | 0x304b3f… |
| 07-24 07:38:57 | (anonymous) 0xf0a9…c5e8 | Yes | BUY | 458 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x304b3f… |
| 07-24 07:27:51 | (anonymous) 0xe9af…0f6c | No | BUY | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0x708d3c… |
| 07-24 07:27:51 | (anonymous) 0xc792…e6eb | Yes | BUY | 480 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x708d3c… |
| 07-24 07:27:49 | (anonymous) 0xc792…e6eb | Yes | BUY | 451 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x5012b9… |
| 07-24 07:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x1785…ddf3 | No | BUY | 451 | 91¢ | $410 | 0x5012b9… |
| 07-24 07:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x46db…15d2 | Yes | BUY | 478 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x8d0d29… |
| 07-24 07:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x908a…f02d | No | BUY | 478 | 91¢ | $435 | 0x8d0d29… |
| 07-24 07:27:03 | (anonymous) 0x009a…8d4a | No | BUY | 453 | 91¢ | $412 | 0x4d2977… |
| 07-24 07:27:03 | (anonymous) 0x46db…15d2 | Yes | BUY | 453 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x4d2977… |
| 07-24 07:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x54ee…fdba | No | BUY | 450 | 91¢ | $410 | 0x8eb7b5… |
| 07-24 07:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e27…147e | Yes | BUY | 450 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x8eb7b5… |
| 07-24 07:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xdcd7…13e6 | No | BUY | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0x7a74cb… |
| 07-24 07:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x7e27…147e | Yes | BUY | 480 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x7a74cb… |
| 07-24 07:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x11b8…2f67 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x2c5745… |
| 07-24 07:13:31 | (anonymous) 0xe3e0…93df | No | BUY | 460 | 91¢ | $419 | 0x2c5745… |
| 07-24 07:13:30 | (anonymous) 0xb1b0…e9f6 | No | BUY | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x77a03c… |
| 07-24 07:13:30 | (anonymous) 0x11b8…2f67 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x77a03c… |
| 07-24 07:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x46d6…04a5 | No | BUY | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0xa96ec4… |
| 07-24 07:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x1d35…afbe | Yes | BUY | 480 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xa96ec4… |
| 07-24 07:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x1d35…afbe | Yes | BUY | 440 | 9¢ | $40 | 0xc1f2ff… |
| 07-24 07:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xeca1…8919 | No | BUY | 440 | 91¢ | $400 | 0xc1f2ff… |
| 07-24 07:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x5ce6…544d | Yes | BUY | 450 | 8¢ | $36 | 0x05f979… |
| 07-24 07:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x74be…141e | No | BUY | 450 | 92¢ | $414 | 0x05f979… |
| 07-24 07:01:31 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | BUY | 286 | 9¢ | $26 | 0xced5de… |
| 07-24 07:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x96c1…0724 | No | BUY | 470 | 91¢ | $430 | 0xced5de… |
| 07-24 07:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x5ce6…544d | Yes | BUY | 184 | 8¢ | $15 | 0xced5de… |
| 07-24 06:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x0c09…24eb | Yes | BUY | 450 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x05e790… |
| 07-24 06:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xd72a…5ab8 | No | BUY | 480 | 91¢ | $437 | 0x1e7076… |
| 07-24 06:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xf59c…9f3f | No | BUY | 450 | 91¢ | $410 | 0x05e790… |
| 07-24 06:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x0c09…24eb | Yes | BUY | 480 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x1e7076… |
| 07-24 06:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x7083…be50 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x894af4… |
| 07-24 06:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x734d…092e | No | BUY | 460 | 91¢ | $419 | 0x894af4… |
| 07-24 06:48:12 | (anonymous) 0x40be…43ff | No | BUY | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0xc9cb69… |
| 07-24 06:48:12 | (anonymous) 0x7083…be50 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 9¢ | $42 | 0xc9cb69… |
| 07-24 06:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x3a28…6129 | Yes | SELL | 968 | 9¢ | $87 | 0xc7d9b2… |
| 07-24 06:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x4ab7…155d | No | SELL | 483 | 91¢ | $440 | 0xc7d9b2… |