Far-Flung-Weird 0x030956…d422d1
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Realized P&L
-$25
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
45
Trades
351
lifetime
Volume
$406
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$53
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 13:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
48% 27% -$55
Politics
39% 56% +$33
Crypto
13% 33% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +13,136 $45 0¢ $20 -$25 09-10 21:21
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $15 3¢ $7 -$8 10-23 13:04
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes +95 $12 6¢ $5 -$6 10-21 21:07
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +208 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 10-23 13:07
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,629 $11 0¢ $4 -$7 07-10 01:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +34 $4 7¢ $2 -$2 10-21 21:08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $2 39¢ $2 +$0 06-06 01:32
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 10-21 21:08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +55 $6 3¢ $2 -$4 10-21 21:07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 06-18 23:23
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +14 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 06-05 19:58
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 06-05 20:00
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-06 06:41
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-05 20:01
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-05 20:00
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-05 20:00
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +121 $9 0¢ $0 -$9 06-28 21:49
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -111 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-05 20:05
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +105 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 06-05 20:24
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +82 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 06-05 19:56