Far-Flung-Weird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$252

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-09 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-4

Politics

39% 100% +$24

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	01-14 20:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$16	28	28	+0	open	—	01-10 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	13	$14	38	0	+38	Yes	+$24	05-02 20:53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	6	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	02-19 21:07
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	13	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	02-10 02:17
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	7	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	02-09 21:59
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	5	$9	87	0	+87	open	—	01-12 19:51
will mamdani make nyc buses free by march 31	9	$8	165	0	+165	open	—	01-07 05:34
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	10	$8	364	0	+364	open	—	03-06 11:14
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	12	$8	61	0	+61	open	—	07-09 15:34
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	01-03 09:42
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	10	$7	140	0	+140	open	—	03-04 20:39
tim walz charged by march 31	4	$7	61	61	+0	open	—	01-31 11:56
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	01-03 09:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	02-19 21:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	01-17 23:51
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	5	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	01-11 08:33
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	3	$6	81	98	-17	open	—	01-31 14:38
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	02-06 14:31
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	4	$5	298	0	+298	open	—	01-16 23:26
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	6	$5	32	0	+32	open	—	01-05 23:49
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	5	$5	91	0	+91	open	—	06-11 21:51
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	07-09 15:33
will ilhan omar be charged with fraud	4	$4	143	0	+143	open	—	01-15 14:20
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-26 06:55
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	5	$4	24	0	+24	open	—	07-09 15:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	3	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	06-05 20:08
will ilhan omars husband be charged with fraud	3	$3	99	0	+99	open	—	01-03 09:57
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	1	$3	0	43	-43	open	—	06-23 19:03
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions decjanmar	5	$2	106	0	+106	open	—	01-17 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 15:34:58	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdbcaae…
07-09 15:34:34	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5bed45…
07-09 15:33:58	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x13abef…
06-26 06:55:55	Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe3941c…
06-23 19:03:47	Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x506468…
06-19 09:18:07	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbea65c…
06-18 23:55:22	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7bd723…
06-18 23:18:26	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x900b52…
06-15 19:42:03	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x35a8c7…
06-14 15:05:37	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x6be43e…
06-11 21:51:40	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x606280…
06-10 21:24:42	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x8921a3…
06-09 16:35:21	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x354dff…
06-08 19:40:09	Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc3d62a…
06-08 19:36:25	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xed7d43…
06-07 10:24:46	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb73a46…
06-07 10:24:31	Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x63ca10…
06-06 16:13:36	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x31f317…
06-06 11:57:31	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3eb04e…
06-06 10:51:25	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x525d6c…
06-06 06:41:54	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8f8392…
06-06 01:26:34	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0f8b12…
06-05 21:05:34	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3f5577…
06-05 20:08:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe0a5fb…
06-05 20:02:48	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9eab4a…
06-05 20:01:34	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6f3866…
06-05 20:00:51	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x526b60…
06-05 20:00:31	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x429e2b…
06-05 20:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2068b7…
06-05 20:00:09	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x83d812…
06-05 19:58:12	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x533ea3…
06-05 19:57:48	Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xab7daa…
06-05 19:53:27	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x812b8a…
06-05 19:46:33	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x024fc2…
06-02 14:05:50	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe2aafc…
06-02 09:35:15	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xfc2e50…
06-02 09:30:16	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x29d017…
06-02 09:25:15	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x63fa6e…
06-02 09:20:16	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x30920c…
06-02 09:18:50	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x6c6e9a…
06-02 05:43:05	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xaa327c…
06-02 02:14:27	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x3ccc01…
06-02 02:01:11	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x52fd75…
06-02 00:33:55	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xfe08b9…
05-02 21:00:26	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x310bc8…
05-02 21:00:24	Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf86837…
05-02 20:59:50	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb24ae0…
05-02 20:59:36	Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b9091…
05-02 20:53:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9ece96…
04-16 23:11:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x405b35…
03-26 22:53:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c3b41…
03-26 22:53:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf9a8e7…
03-20 22:13:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4eb0ff…
03-20 22:12:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2c6075…
03-13 21:30:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd78e0f…
03-06 11:14:35	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x0bc0f6…
03-04 20:39:59	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x5197ae…
03-04 20:38:43	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x6fb767…
03-04 20:30:25	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x101444…
03-04 20:28:35	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe10469…
03-01 22:07:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x556c6c…
02-24 23:43:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfb4559…
02-19 22:16:08	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7a6577…
02-19 21:08:54	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x268c7e…
02-19 21:07:56	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xbe80c1…
02-10 02:17:23	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc93484…
02-09 21:59:05	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9c8832…
02-09 19:38:41	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x36da1d…
02-09 19:14:01	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x02bef0…
02-09 19:11:09	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x534e5c…
02-06 14:31:11	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc0339f…
02-04 22:40:53	will polymarket mindshare hit 80 277 757 727	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf1bf2a…
02-01 09:05:24	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xddce15…
01-31 14:38:40	will ilhan omar resign by march 31	Yes	SELL	98	4¢	$4	0xf42667…
01-31 11:56:12	tim walz charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0x729c8e…
01-29 18:44:00	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x4dddb2…
01-29 18:39:42	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb07b68…
01-29 11:50:24	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd63580…
01-29 11:42:48	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x647fe0…
01-27 16:56:19	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe4d71d…
01-27 16:56:19	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc4a9bc…
01-27 16:56:17	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd3ba95…
01-26 16:29:59	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd694b1…
01-26 13:29:25	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x3f5219…
01-25 22:24:46	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xd4aa8f…
01-25 22:24:04	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdcd805…
01-25 22:20:06	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0d75f7…
01-25 06:46:26	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf98f84…
01-23 22:49:38	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4206fb…
01-23 22:46:32	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x70201b…
01-23 21:43:14	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1669c3…
01-23 21:42:36	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x54a231…
01-23 21:41:42	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6ca85a…
01-17 23:51:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x90b985…
01-17 10:55:00	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2e303a…
01-17 09:24:56	will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3c979f…
01-16 23:26:12	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$1	0x3ee8f6…
01-15 14:20:56	will ilhan omar be charged with fraud	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x61ded2…
01-15 14:13:50	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x26c45a…
01-15 07:19:30	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x02e015…