Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$50,642
$83 in 24h
Trades
757
Unique wallets
208
Liquidity
$20,242
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-27 23:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $138
vs crowd: 7% YES on $35.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $35 | $14.2K | $14.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $482 | $4.1K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 74 | $1.6K | $13.8K | $12.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 91 | $293 | $1.0K | $710 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $138 | $138 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $114 | $491 | $378 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $53 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| Median | 22 | $13 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| Below median | 19 | $84 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $20 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $42 | $4.2K | $4.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $207 | $9.0K | $8.8K |
| unranked | 106 | $1.9K | $10.4K | $8.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | +21,541 | $1,336 | $1,336 | 42 | 07-26 18:52 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +3,571 | $3,379 | $3,379 | 3 | 07-01 08:17 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +3,134 | $200 | $200 | 69 | 07-23 10:03 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +2,996 | $2,796 | $2,796 | 2 | 06-22 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +2,556 | $2,454 | $2,454 | 1 | 07-16 08:10 |
| Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf2…a469 | No | +2,400 | $2,208 | $2,208 | 2 | 06-08 14:02 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,147 | $1,992 | $1,992 | 36 | 07-22 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +1,550 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 07-17 22:01 |
| Political-Trachoma 0x4181…de86 | Yes | +1,543 | $77 | $77 | 2 | 06-24 10:55 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +1,500 | $1,380 | $1,380 | 5 | 06-07 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,475 | $-76 | $481 | 32 | 07-22 23:44 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +1,111 | $39 | $39 | 17 | 07-26 18:52 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +1,061 | $996 | $996 | 3 | 07-09 13:12 |
| Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | +999 | $919 | $919 | 2 | 06-07 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b88…86c4 | No | +906 | $852 | $852 | 7 | 07-01 10:19 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +600 | $576 | $576 | 2 | 07-13 14:06 |
| Envious-Spectacle 0x5753…fa31 | Yes | +584 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-24 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | +423 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 06-09 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +400 | $383 | $755 | 4 | 07-22 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd34…de18 | No | +400 | $387 | $387 | 3 | 07-18 19:03 |
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | +383 | $349 | $349 | 2 | 06-09 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd27a…1c07 | No | +350 | $337 | $337 | 1 | 07-22 23:44 |
| Grand-Hunting 0xf128…b8d1 | Yes | +301 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-12 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $290 | $290 | 2 | 07-18 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $291 | $291 | 2 | 07-18 20:38 |
| Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | +300 | $289 | $665 | 4 | 07-19 10:40 |
| Nifty-Clove 0xd733…0dde | Yes | +279 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 09:37 |
| Embellished-Desire 0xdf4b…5c8d | Yes | +270 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 06-01 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2716…b593 | No | +250 | $242 | $242 | 2 | 07-19 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | +250 | $240 | $616 | 8 | 07-19 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf3e…8227 | Yes | +247 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +230 | $211 | $211 | 3 | 05-29 08:37 |
| Excited-Pancreas 0xf1fd…b42c | No | +215 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0c4…93e9 | Yes | +212 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-29 09:03 |
| Beneficial-Employ 0x07d4…f94f | No | +202 | $187 | $187 | 1 | 06-01 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7b9…6be2 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-23 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-18 19:18 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +200 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-20 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-19 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…379b | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 2 | 07-18 20:34 |
| Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | +200 | $193 | $379 | 4 | 07-19 12:16 |
| Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | +200 | $193 | $193 | 2 | 07-22 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d59…928c | Yes | +155 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-01 16:50 |
| Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | +140 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-21 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6328…4a83 | Yes | +139 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x376d…1496 | Yes | +136 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 20:27 |
| Dead-Pastry 0x312e…c604 | Yes | +130 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-16 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x40a8…046c | Yes | +118 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 09:03 |
| Nice-Pup 0x9958…a221 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 07:51 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 13:28 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $14 | 3 | 07-17 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-19 10:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x8c9911… |
| 07-27 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb844eb… |
| 07-27 23:51:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8c9911… |
| 07-27 23:51:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb844eb… |
| 07-27 23:46:39 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xfbdd34… |
| 07-27 23:46:39 | (anonymous) 0xd195…7b7c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbdd34… |
| 07-27 23:34:42 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x91c611… |
| 07-27 23:34:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x91c611… |
| 07-27 23:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x82a2f8… |
| 07-27 23:34:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x82a2f8… |
| 07-27 23:31:30 | (anonymous) 0xd195…7b7c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa0130e… |
| 07-27 23:31:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa0130e… |
| 07-27 23:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc45651… |
| 07-27 23:05:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc45651… |
| 07-27 23:05:55 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xdd8d25… |
| 07-27 23:05:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdd8d25… |
| 07-27 23:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x5a901f… |
| 07-27 23:03:21 | (anonymous) 0xd195…7b7c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5a901f… |
| 07-27 21:28:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x653e82… |
| 07-27 21:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x653e82… |
| 07-27 21:28:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xa4d189… |
| 07-27 21:28:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa4d189… |
| 07-27 21:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xbe9acf… |
| 07-27 21:25:10 | (anonymous) 0xd195…7b7c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbe9acf… |
| 07-27 20:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x1fd635… |
| 07-27 20:34:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1fd635… |
| 07-27 20:34:30 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x9aa5a1… |
| 07-27 20:34:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9aa5a1… |
| 07-27 20:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xd195…7b7c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc5ec34… |
| 07-27 20:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xc5ec34… |
| 07-27 17:03:30 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xc20d89… |
| 07-27 17:03:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc20d89… |
| 07-27 17:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xb16d0d… |
| 07-27 17:03:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb16d0d… |
| 07-27 16:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x1a4933… |
| 07-27 16:58:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1a4933… |
| 07-27 16:37:55 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x5103f9… |
| 07-27 16:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x5287…09bd | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x5103f9… |
| 07-27 16:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x5287…09bd | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x31287d… |
| 07-27 16:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x31287d… |
| 07-27 16:37:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x31287d… |
| 07-27 16:34:57 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9ce338… |
| 07-27 16:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x9ce338… |
| 07-27 16:33:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xec0ca3… |
| 07-27 16:33:01 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xf115a3… |
| 07-27 16:33:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf115a3… |
| 07-27 16:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xec0ca3… |
| 07-27 16:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xddf443… |
| 07-27 16:28:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xddf443… |
| 07-27 16:26:18 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x2ca03b… |
| 07-27 16:26:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2ca03b… |
| 07-27 16:26:16 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc5103b… |
| 07-27 16:26:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc5103b… |
| 07-27 16:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xc5103b… |
| 07-27 16:23:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x7e6204… |
| 07-27 16:23:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7e6204… |
| 07-27 03:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x877c99… |
| 07-27 03:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x877c99… |
| 07-27 03:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x5c01d6… |
| 07-27 03:34:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5c01d6… |
| 07-27 02:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9790b6… |
| 07-27 02:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9790b6… |
| 07-27 02:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x047e4b… |
| 07-27 02:02:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x047e4b… |
| 07-27 02:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x22f32b… |
| 07-27 02:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x22f32b… |
| 07-27 01:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa031ba… |
| 07-27 01:54:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa031ba… |
| 07-27 01:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x64e957… |
| 07-27 01:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x64e957… |
| 07-27 01:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xe9f5e1… |
| 07-27 01:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xee75ed… |
| 07-27 01:46:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe9f5e1… |
| 07-27 01:46:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xee75ed… |
| 07-27 00:37:52 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x42eaa8… |
| 07-27 00:37:52 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x42eaa8… |
| 07-27 00:33:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x49dbc9… |
| 07-27 00:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x49dbc9… |
| 07-26 23:21:10 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc4f6f4… |
| 07-26 23:21:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc4f6f4… |
| 07-26 23:16:36 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x05bc35… |
| 07-26 23:16:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x05bc35… |
| 07-26 23:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xe7d166… |
| 07-26 23:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe7d166… |
| 07-26 23:02:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x09717f… |
| 07-26 23:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x09717f… |
| 07-26 22:49:22 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x05f9f5… |
| 07-26 22:49:22 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x05f9f5… |
| 07-26 22:47:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdf3c16… |
| 07-26 22:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xdf3c16… |
| 07-26 18:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xa39198… |
| 07-26 18:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xa39198… |
| 07-26 18:52:48 | (anonymous) 0xeef9…195e | Yes | SELL | 1,399 | 3¢ | $45 | 0xc42061… |
| 07-26 18:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,180 | 3¢ | $38 | 0xc42061… |
| 07-26 18:52:48 | Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc42061… |
| 07-26 18:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x6a2c…7114 | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xc42061… |
| 07-26 18:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x96e9…a769 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xc42061… |
| 07-26 18:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x4670…1149 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0xc42061… |
| 07-26 18:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xac8041… |
| 07-26 18:49:33 | Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xac8041… |