Realized P&L
+$28.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.7K
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
239
Trades
4,079
lifetime
Volume
$917.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$225
Open exposure
$122.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Crypto
56%
93%
+$22,024
Other
38%
82%
+$4,795
Politics
6%
100%
+$1,666
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk
• peak 48 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +15,000 | $11,367 | 97¢ | $14.5K | +$3,145 | 08-01 03:09 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +8,168 | $7,610 | 97¢ | $8.0K | +$342 | 08-21 09:11 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,200 | $6,204 | 97¢ | $7.0K | +$769 | 09-03 04:00 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,500 | $6,325 | 92¢ | $6.9K | +$612 | 09-03 13:38 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +6,517 | $5,809 | 97¢ | $6.3K | +$489 | 09-04 00:09 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,500 | $5,850 | 82¢ | $6.2K | +$337 | 09-03 13:39 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,700 | 99¢ | $5.0K | +$250 | 06-02 06:21 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,143 | $4,521 | 96¢ | $4.9K | +$418 | 09-03 04:51 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | +5,000 | $3,950 | 98¢ | $4.9K | +$935 | 06-02 05:47 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,500 | 98¢ | $4.9K | +$378 | 06-04 11:08 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,105 | 97¢ | $4.9K | +$752 | 06-05 05:55 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,350 | 94¢ | $4.7K | +$375 | 08-21 09:01 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,793 | $4,026 | 94¢ | $4.5K | +$479 | 05-27 14:25 | |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,374 | $3,849 | 94¢ | $4.1K | +$256 | 06-04 11:24 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $2,925 | 77¢ | $3.9K | +$925 | 08-21 13:53 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,572 | $3,338 | 97¢ | $3.5K | +$129 | 10-05 23:04 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,426 | $2,947 | 98¢ | $3.4K | +$406 | 07-30 14:47 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,917 | $2,306 | 90¢ | $2.6K | +$304 | 07-08 22:55 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,578 | $2,074 | 92¢ | $2.4K | +$285 | 06-04 01:41 | |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +2,500 | $2,447 | 94¢ | $2.3K | -$101 | 06-04 18:06 | |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | +2,500 | $1,975 | 92¢ | $2.3K | +$325 | 05-29 19:38 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,486 | $1,964 | 92¢ | $2.3K | +$336 | 08-21 08:45 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,000 | $1,320 | 96¢ | $1.9K | +$590 | 06-01 23:30 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +2,500 | $2,178 | 73¢ | $1.8K | -$346 | 06-03 04:14 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | +2,000 | $1,280 | 86¢ | $1.7K | +$450 | 05-26 19:14 | |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,745 | $1,606 | 95¢ | $1.7K | +$60 | 06-03 22:58 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,814 | $1,397 | 90¢ | $1.6K | +$245 | 06-03 16:39 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | +2,000 | $1,520 | 78¢ | $1.6K | +$50 | 05-27 02:35 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,572 | $1,489 | 98¢ | $1.5K | +$44 | 07-31 16:00 | |
| will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 | No | +1,339 | $844 | 94¢ | $1.3K | +$422 | 08-01 18:43 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 40 | $32.5K | 33,950 | 0 | +33,950 | Yes | +$1,416 | 02-03 22:10 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 5 | $19.7K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | No | +$250 | 02-02 22:53 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 42 | $11.5K | 12,341 | 0 | +12,341 | Yes | +$880 | 01-11 15:01 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 70 | $11.4K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | open | — | 08-01 03:09 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | 4 | $9.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$65 | 06-23 17:05 |
| will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026 | 16 | $9.9K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$80 | 03-18 00:40 |
| will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026 | 7 | $9.9K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$95 | 03-18 00:40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? | 67 | $9.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$75 | 06-15 03:21 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026 | 22 | $9.9K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$107 | 03-17 06:44 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 13 | $9.8K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$155 | 03-17 23:34 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? | 64 | $9.8K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$120 | 06-13 14:29 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026 | 4 | $9.8K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$165 | 03-17 06:53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | 64 | $9.8K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$170 | 06-13 14:30 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026 | 6 | $9.7K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$290 | 03-17 15:21 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026 | 38 | $9.6K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$445 | 03-17 07:34 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | 2 | $9.5K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$395 | 06-09 13:16 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 14 | $9.4K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$605 | 03-18 00:13 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 14 | $9.3K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$700 | 02-16 06:27 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 4 | $9.2K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$775 | 04-18 11:13 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | 26 | $9.2K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$785 | 04-18 11:15 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026 | 7 | $9.2K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$835 | 03-17 02:08 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026 | 73 | $9.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,000 | 03-17 05:47 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | 17 | $8.7K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,325 | 04-18 12:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294 | 20 | $8.5K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,450 | 03-18 00:10 |
| will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026 | 2 | $8.3K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,650 | 03-17 01:35 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | 34 | $7.6K | 8,168 | 0 | +8,168 | open | — | 08-21 09:11 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | 110 | $7.0K | 3,511 | 3,511 | +0 | No | +$41 | 06-20 01:56 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $6.3K | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | open | — | 09-03 13:38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $6.2K | 7,200 | 0 | +7,200 | open | — | 09-03 04:00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | 6 | $5.8K | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | open | — | 09-03 13:39 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||