Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$11,730
$753 in 24h
Trades
382
Unique wallets
156
Liquidity
$7,683
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-11 00:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $451
vs crowd: 3% YES on $9.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $42 | $646 | $604 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $40 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $4 | $1.0K | $999 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 100 | $212 | $6.1K | $5.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $451 | $451 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $15 | $365 | $350 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $2 | $152 | $150 |
| Median | 14 | — | $264 | $264 |
| Below median | 15 | $22 | $156 | $134 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | $68 | $56 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $10 | $76 | $67 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $24 | $111 | $87 |
| unranked | 96 | $212 | $7.2K | $7.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xdeed…b85d | Yes | +6,571 | $154 | $154 | 8 | 07-04 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +619 | $606 | $606 | 2 | 06-04 18:06 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +574 | $7 | $17 | 7 | 06-27 11:02 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +455 | $15 | $23 | 10 | 07-08 21:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +375 | $367 | $367 | 2 | 06-08 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | +193 | $188 | $188 | 24 | 07-02 14:03 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +161 | $5 | $8 | 5 | 07-02 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa44b…5846 | No | +152 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-04 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6b6…503c | No | +109 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c71…6d0b | No | +109 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e3a…850c | No | +109 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…cfbc | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ce2…a813 | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x438f…c139 | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d6b…1ee6 | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xefca…d7f0 | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5f9…e5d9 | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x955a…d54a | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x515d…bfcd | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe418…53e9 | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7378…48a2 | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0026…7ca0 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf13…d69e | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cd1…8023 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ec…6804 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbd6…f453 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0104…1ed2 | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a86…cc9e | No | +106 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7076…ebda | No | +105 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf112…08fe | No | +105 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1a5…c507 | No | +105 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x97e9…6f67 | No | +104 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5dce…46f0 | No | +103 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x412c…b54a | No | +103 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-02 14:00 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $7 | 3 | 07-02 13:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +70 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-08 09:31 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +61 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-07 20:03 |
| Irritating-Hemp 0x4f22…b75d | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 15:14 |
| Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-14 21:58 |
| Knobby-Altitude 0xb705…427e | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 08:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 01:19 |
| Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 20:45 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 17:30 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-02 03:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 00:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9b9cb0… |
| 07-11 00:17:28 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x9b9cb0… |
| 07-11 00:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9b9cb0… |
| 07-10 13:55:53 | Perfect-Shift 0xb499…23fa | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x92e292… |
| 07-10 13:55:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x92e292… |
| 07-10 12:00:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7a4c6e… |
| 07-10 12:00:41 | Barren-Reporting 0x0ac6…04f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7a4c6e… |
| 07-10 11:41:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb69713… |
| 07-10 11:41:08 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb69713… |
| 07-10 11:41:08 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xb69713… |
| 07-10 02:39:55 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe20863… |
| 07-10 02:39:55 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xe20863… |
| 07-09 11:14:35 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf68ade… |
| 07-09 11:14:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcafcbb… |
| 07-09 11:14:35 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcafcbb… |
| 07-09 11:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x4344…379b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf68ade… |
| 07-08 21:16:40 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4b9f3f… |
| 07-08 21:16:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x4b9f3f… |
| 07-08 21:15:32 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xdb513a… |
| 07-08 21:15:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xdb513a… |
| 07-08 20:45:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xe87133… |
| 07-08 20:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | SELL | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xe87133… |
| 07-08 20:45:05 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe87133… |
| 07-08 20:16:02 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5bbff9… |
| 07-08 20:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | SELL | 251 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x5bbff9… |
| 07-08 20:16:02 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | SELL | 78 | 96¢ | $75 | 0x5bbff9… |
| 07-08 20:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5bbff9… |
| 07-08 20:16:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x5bbff9… |
| 07-08 09:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf5731c… |
| 07-08 09:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xf5731c… |
| 07-08 09:42:07 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf5731c… |
| 07-08 09:35:02 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfe7cca… |
| 07-08 09:35:02 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xf21dfc… |
| 07-08 09:35:02 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfe7cca… |
| 07-08 09:35:02 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf21dfc… |
| 07-08 09:31:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35967e… |
| 07-08 09:31:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x35967e… |
| 07-08 09:31:07 | (anonymous) 0x9c90…17ef | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x35967e… |
| 07-08 09:31:04 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x503c97… |
| 07-08 09:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | SELL | 168 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x503c97… |
| 07-08 09:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x503c97… |
| 07-08 09:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 43 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x503c97… |
| 07-08 09:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9c90…17ef | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x503c97… |
| 07-08 01:19:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x37e725… |
| 07-08 01:19:59 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x37e725… |
| 07-08 01:19:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfaa153… |
| 07-08 01:19:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xfaa153… |
| 07-08 01:19:58 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xfaa153… |
| 07-08 00:16:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc7a25e… |
| 07-08 00:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xc7a25e… |
| 07-08 00:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xeb9fe1… |
| 07-08 00:16:40 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xeb9fe1… |
| 07-08 00:16:38 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd40a96… |
| 07-08 00:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd40a96… |
| 07-08 00:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x113cdc… |
| 07-08 00:16:31 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x113cdc… |
| 07-08 00:16:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 75 | 95¢ | $71 | 0xfa6da1… |
| 07-08 00:16:29 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0xfa6da1… |
| 07-08 00:16:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xfa6da1… |
| 07-07 22:06:58 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x4d64a1… |
| 07-07 22:06:58 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x4d64a1… |
| 07-07 22:06:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4d64a1… |
| 07-07 20:03:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x696484… |
| 07-07 20:03:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x696484… |
| 07-07 19:46:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x70aef7… |
| 07-07 19:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x70aef7… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xa687…23e2 | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 64 | 97¢ | $62 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xb8c3…8ee8 | No | BUY | 76 | 98¢ | $74 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | Weird-Sensor 0x7ac2…e28b | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 75 | 98¢ | $73 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 645 | 2¢ | $15 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xb770…21df | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 19:45:37 | (anonymous) 0x036a…1203 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xedf513… |
| 07-07 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x036a…1203 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x088bd2… |
| 07-07 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xa687…23e2 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x088bd2… |
| 07-05 20:32:32 | (anonymous) 0xa687…23e2 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x41f1b8… |
| 07-05 20:32:32 | Courteous-Reservoir 0xc74b…9c04 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x41f1b8… |
| 07-04 20:14:01 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x5210c7… |
| 07-04 20:14:01 | (anonymous) 0xa687…23e2 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x5210c7… |
| 07-04 20:13:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x64b543… |
| 07-04 20:13:58 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x64b543… |
| 07-04 20:13:58 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x64b543… |
| 07-04 19:46:52 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xc24409… |
| 07-04 19:46:52 | (anonymous) 0xdeed…b85d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc24409… |
| 07-04 04:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xdeed…b85d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcef77e… |
| 07-04 04:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcef77e… |
| 07-04 04:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0b509a… |
| 07-04 04:58:16 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x0b509a… |
| 07-04 04:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0b509a… |
| 07-03 04:19:53 | (anonymous) 0xa7f9…e20e | No | BUY | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0xfa02c9… |
| 07-03 04:19:53 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 70 | 97¢ | $68 | 0xfa02c9… |
| 07-03 04:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xfa02c9… |
| 07-03 04:19:50 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xef258a… |