Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$369
Hit rate
92.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
23,780
lifetime
Volume
$1.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$4.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 15:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
19%
Crypto
13% 20% $-45
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -605 $-585 98¢ $-592 $-8 07-06 14:29
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +479 $375 88¢ $421 +$46 07-07 09:34
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +772 $235 40¢ $305 +$71 07-16 17:17
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +330 $264 82¢ $272 +$8 07-05 04:56
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +356 $242 69¢ $246 +$4 07-14 07:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +256 $233 96¢ $245 +$11 07-06 11:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-206 96¢ $-193 +$13 06-16 09:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $166 94¢ $189 +$23 06-03 23:59
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +595 $148 32¢ $187 +$39 07-09 12:13
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $178 74¢ $186 +$9 07-14 07:23
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +214 $171 85¢ $182 +$11 07-15 00:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -222 $-109 70¢ $-154 $-46 06-19 11:51
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +260 $113 56¢ $146 +$32 07-15 00:31
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +176 $127 70¢ $122 $-5 07-15 02:29
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +150 $120 79¢ $118 $-2 07-14 06:57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +150 $103 76¢ $114 +$11 07-12 23:18
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +220 $99 49¢ $108 +$9 07-16 23:25
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? No +125 $94 84¢ $106 +$12 07-12 22:16
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +143 $92 69¢ $98 +$6 07-09 11:44
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +182 $99 54¢ $98 $-1 07-03 03:06
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -118 $-105 82¢ $-97 +$7 07-10 05:56
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +244 $83 39¢ $95 +$12 07-15 00:45
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +227 $100 40¢ $92 $-8 07-03 03:09
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$3 07-19 00:44
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? Yes +170 $32 49¢ $83 +$51 07-14 06:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -80 $-76 98¢ $-78 $-2 06-09 14:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -82 $-77 93¢ $-77 +$1 07-06 10:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +90 $58 78¢ $71 +$13 06-14 22:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -246 $-124 29¢ $-70 +$54 06-27 22:30
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $71 65¢ $65 $-6 06-03 00:01