Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd9607…47cbdc
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$852
Hit rate
92.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
22,823
lifetime
Volume
$1.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$3.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Other
19% — —
Crypto
13% 20% $-45
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +516 $483 96¢ $493 +$10 06-02 23:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -370 $-334 100¢ $-369 $-35 06-15 07:07
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +491 $385 73¢ $358 $-26 06-30 01:36
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -313 $-297 97¢ $-303 $-6 05-28 10:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +300 $279 100¢ $300 +$21 06-03 05:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-206 96¢ $-192 +$14 06-16 09:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $166 92¢ $183 +$17 06-03 23:59
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +335 $144 41¢ $137 $-7 06-27 18:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -222 $-109 56¢ $-125 $-17 06-19 11:51
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +345 $95 35¢ $121 +$26 06-15 13:53
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +120 $106 93¢ $112 +$6 06-28 00:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -100 $-826 100¢ $-100 +$726 06-19 21:41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$1 06-04 07:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +90 $58 90¢ $81 +$24 06-14 22:45
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +200 $82 40¢ $79 $-3 06-03 19:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -80 $-76 96¢ $-77 $-1 06-09 14:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -246 $-124 30¢ $-75 +$49 06-27 22:30
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +222 $58 28¢ $61 +$3 06-03 19:50
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +88 $43 56¢ $50 +$7 06-24 00:34
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $71 48¢ $48 $-22 06-03 00:01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -200 $-63 24¢ $-48 +$15 06-23 17:35
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +133 $42 31¢ $41 $-1 06-08 06:04
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +339 $10 12¢ $40 +$31 06-26 02:08
Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +60 $32 66¢ $40 +$8 06-25 09:26
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +48 $34 82¢ $39 +$5 06-28 00:20
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes +100 $46 24¢ $24 $-22 06-16 15:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +600 $23 4¢ $24 +$0 06-11 21:57
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -85 $-39 28¢ $-23 +$16 06-12 05:31
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -81 $-25 26¢ $-21 +$4 06-27 22:11
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +55 $11 39¢ $21 +$10 06-25 09:26