Realized P&L
+$26.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.99K
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
651
Trades
26,360
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$8.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-03 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Politics
66% 67% +$14,185
Other
20% 53% +$5,516
Crypto
12% 46% +$6,536
Tech
3% 63% +$678
Sports
0% 33% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +1,502 $1,164 96¢ $1.4K +$281 07-10 07:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $760 82¢ $825 +$65 07-31 04:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +600 $347 98¢ $591 +$244 06-16 09:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +533 $353 97¢ $515 +$161 08-24 08:45
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +886 $265 56¢ $501 +$235 07-16 17:17
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +330 $264 99¢ $328 +$64 07-05 04:56
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138 No +349 $200 94¢ $328 +$128 07-02 19:20
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 No +300 $174 94¢ $284 +$110 07-02 18:51
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +356 $242 76¢ $272 +$30 07-14 07:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +293 $70 92¢ $271 +$201 06-19 11:51
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -271 -$259 98¢ $-265 -$6 10-02 23:23
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +268 $189 94¢ $252 +$63 08-04 16:04
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $178 96¢ $241 +$64 07-14 07:23
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +236 $80 99¢ $233 +$153 07-15 00:45
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +258 -$78 86¢ $222 +$300 07-09 16:55
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +260 $113 84¢ $218 +$105 07-15 00:31
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +214 $171 98¢ $209 +$38 07-15 00:46
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +194 $69 84¢ $164 +$95 07-11 09:22
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +174 $90 92¢ $161 +$71 07-06 17:22
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +427 $199 38¢ $160 -$39 07-03 03:09
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -200 -$63 78¢ $-156 -$92 06-23 17:35
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -150 -$55 72¢ $-109 -$54 07-09 10:02
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 05-16 06:17
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +100 $89 89¢ $89 +$0 07-19 00:44
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +162 $38 54¢ $87 +$49 07-04 20:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -82 -$77 97¢ $-80 -$3 07-06 10:06
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +354 $39 21¢ $75 +$36 08-30 23:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +1,448 $243 5¢ $74 -$170 08-24 08:58
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +390 $224 18¢ $68 -$156 07-15 06:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +71 $43 95¢ $67 +$24 06-08 19:00