Realized P&L
+$26.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.06K
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
651
Trades
26,360
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$8.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-03 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Politics
66%
67%
+$14,185
Other
20%
53%
+$5,516
Crypto
12%
46%
+$6,536
Tech
3%
63%
+$678
Sports
0%
33%
+$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk
• peak 28 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 434 | $42.2K | 36,977 | 35,408 | +1,570 | Yes | +$2,054 | 06-17 06:15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 439 | $34.4K | 38,583 | 32,442 | +6,141 | Yes | -$1,585 | 06-16 07:23 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026 | 182 | $29.1K | 19,695 | 16,804 | +2,890 | Yes | +$775 | 06-17 06:15 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 588 | $27.9K | 23,557 | 21,170 | +2,386 | Yes | +$684 | 04-21 16:51 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 523 | $26.1K | 23,174 | 22,041 | +1,133 | Yes | +$2,805 | 04-21 16:42 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 378 | $24.1K | 22,597 | 16,324 | +6,274 | No | +$2,999 | 05-30 07:52 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 406 | $23.0K | 16,918 | 16,642 | +276 | Yes | +$285 | 04-21 16:20 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 487 | $22.3K | 30,393 | 14,887 | +15,505 | Yes | -$250 | 02-28 06:49 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 373 | $18.6K | 23,905 | 14,753 | +9,152 | Yes | -$490 | 02-28 07:08 |
| will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054 | 125 | $17.8K | 13,829 | 7,309 | +6,520 | Yes | -$407 | 06-17 22:19 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 458 | $17.0K | 21,216 | 11,491 | +9,725 | Yes | +$7 | 02-28 07:04 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 221 | $15.2K | 18,275 | 8,873 | +9,401 | No | +$245 | 06-07 16:50 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 271 | $14.2K | 12,842 | 13,764 | -922 | Yes | +$868 | 02-28 07:17 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 33 | $13.5K | 11,400 | 3,000 | +8,400 | No | +$869 | 06-03 21:41 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 154 | $13.2K | 11,541 | 9,958 | +1,583 | Yes | +$653 | 06-14 23:17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 106 | $13.2K | 9,573 | 8,676 | +898 | Yes | -$177 | 06-16 01:31 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 272 | $12.8K | 14,654 | 11,682 | +2,971 | No | -$297 | 05-31 03:28 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 67 | $11.6K | 8,000 | 5,900 | +2,100 | open | — | 07-07 04:12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 111 | $11.5K | 9,200 | 8,180 | +1,020 | No | +$352 | 06-01 15:05 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | 162 | $11.4K | 9,667 | 8,500 | +1,167 | Yes | +$1,301 | 02-28 07:32 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | 176 | $11.2K | 12,512 | 10,441 | +2,072 | Yes | +$85 | 02-28 07:40 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 376 | $10.8K | 17,851 | 16,338 | +1,514 | Yes | -$2,521 | 04-21 17:56 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026 | 90 | $10.8K | 7,999 | 6,416 | +1,583 | Yes | +$42 | 06-15 23:06 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | 144 | $10.7K | 9,062 | 6,416 | +2,646 | No | -$475 | 05-25 18:47 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 242 | $10.7K | 14,604 | 13,152 | +1,452 | Yes | +$232 | 06-14 21:56 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 117 | $9.7K | 6,630 | 5,194 | +1,436 | No | +$785 | 04-01 09:50 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | 129 | $9.3K | 8,905 | 7,236 | +1,669 | Yes | +$267 | 02-28 07:34 |
| USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 132 | $8.8K | 7,255 | 5,617 | +1,638 | Yes | +$1,504 | 04-21 16:20 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? | 152 | $8.7K | 7,522 | 7,203 | +319 | Yes | +$802 | 02-28 07:40 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | 155 | $8.6K | 8,976 | 9,880 | -903 | Yes | +$516 | 02-28 07:33 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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