Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$177
$5 in 24h
Trades
20
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$2,025
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-06 14:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $4 | $37 | $32 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $49 | $49 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-06 14:21 |
| Lucky-Mitten 0x7921…cab1 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-06 12:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 14:21:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7e2eb6… |
| 06-06 14:21:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7e2eb6… |
| 06-06 12:37:48 | Lucky-Mitten 0x7921…cab1 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x8c87d5… |
| 06-06 12:37:48 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8c87d5… |
| 06-05 22:51:12 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x3aa9ec… |
| 06-05 22:51:12 | Lucky-Mitten 0x7921…cab1 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x3aa9ec… |
| 06-04 08:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xc318…d82a | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xb42e53… |
| 06-04 08:36:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xb42e53… |
| 06-04 08:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xc318…d82a | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xae5922… |
| 06-04 08:36:07 | Severe-Hospitality 0xe5d2…ef4d | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xae5922… |
| 06-04 08:26:42 | Severe-Hospitality 0xe5d2…ef4d | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xf55031… |
| 06-04 08:26:42 | (anonymous) 0xed3b…1077 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xf55031… |
| 06-04 03:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xed3b…1077 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x8f0f54… |
| 06-04 03:19:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x8f0f54… |
| 05-31 03:38:08 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xdb0276… |
| 05-31 03:38:08 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xdb0276… |
| 05-28 14:29:56 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x6663c3… |
| 05-28 14:29:56 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x6663c3… |
| 05-28 12:27:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x3760d8… |
| 05-28 12:27:15 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x3760d8… |